For the fourth straight year, we're doing a comprehensive audit of every organization in baseball leading up to the MLB draft.
By examining where each team's strengths and weaknesses lie -- and with a working knowledge of its typical draft strategy and tendencies -- we can get a sense of which player each team will select.
Click on the player names of the possible fits to get a full scouting report for that player. Also, the number in parentheses in the bonus-pool area is the team's rank among all MLB teams, from most money (Reds are 1st) to least (Cubs at 30th).
Division-by-division draft outlook
AL East | AL Central | AL West | NL East | NL Central | NL West
Houston Astros
First pick: No. 17 overall
Bonus pool: $5,928,300 (23rd)
System strength: Houston fared well in last year's draft, landing three potential impact regulars. The Astros have been consistently creative with their bonus pools, moving money around and wreaking havoc since the current regime has been in power.
System weakness: Only SS Miguelangel Sierra and CF Gilberto Celestino project as impact defenders up the middle.
Recent top picks
2015: Alex Bregman, SS, No. 2 overall
2014: Brady Aiken, LHP, No. 1
2013: Mark Appel, RHP, No. 1
2012: Carlos Correa, RHP, No. 1
2011: George Springer, CF, No. 11
Possible fits
Forrest Whitley, RHP, Alamo Heights HS (San Antonio): With so many good high school arms running around, one is bound to fall into Houston's lap at 17. It's possible that Braxton Garrett, Ian Anderson or even Matt Manning will get there, but Whitley is most likely.
Cal Quantrill, RHP, Stanford: Hear me out. If Quantrill had been healthy this year, he may have pitched his way into the top three. He is rumored to have a deal somewhere, though not necessarily with Houston. What if the Astros, who have been creative, if not cavalier, at times with the draft, took Quantrill and tried to get a deal done? If they do, they just netted one of the more talented arms in the draft at pick No. 17. If Quantrill doesn't sign, then the Astros get a compensatory pick next year in what looks like a better draft. Bridges would burn, but it sure is fun to think about.
Los Angeles Angels
First pick: No. 16
Bonus pool: $6,120,500 (22nd)
System strength: Yes, the Angels have the worst collection of prospects in baseball, but I like what I've seen from Jahmai Jones and Julio Garcia (who are still eons away from the big leagues).
System weakness: I still can't wrap my head around the Taylor Ward pick in the first round last year, and international signing Roberto Baldoquin is having a hard time just getting on the field.
Recent top picks
2015: Taylor Ward, C, No. 26
2014: Sean Newcomb, LHP, No. 15
2013: Hunter Green, LHP, No. 59
2012: Carlos Correa, RHP, No. 114
2011: C.J. Cron, 1B, No. 17
Possible fits
Alex Kirilloff, OF, Plum HS (Pittsburgh): Kirilloff is a good athlete and has all-fields power and a projectable frame, but some scouts think the swing is too long. The risk that he'll swing and miss a little excessively makes the middle of Round 1 his ceiling.
Justin Dunn, RHP, Boston College: Dunn is an interesting mix of high upside -- he was only recently inserted into BC's rotation, meaning you can dream on him a bit more due to inexperience -- and a high floor (stuff to move quickly as a reliever if you want him to), which might be just what the Angels need.
Bryan Reynolds, OF, Vanderbilt: Reynolds has solid across-the-board tools and a track record of performing well in the nation's toughest conference. If the Angels think they need to get something out of their farm system, and soon, then Reynolds would be a lower-risk option than the prep arms available here and would also be a solid value, especially if the Angels think he can stay in center field.
Oakland Athletics
First pick: No. 6 overall
Bonus pool: $9,883,500 (6th)
System strength: Oakland has a slew of power-hitting infielders in the system; Matt Chapman, Matt Olson and Renato Nunez all have plus raw power, while Chad Pinder, Yairo Munoz and Franklin Barreto have impressive raw power for "shortstops." Dakota Chalmers, last year's third-round pick, has first-round stuff.
System weakness: Most of the prospects the A's run out at shortstop every day fall short of the industry's standard for defense at that position.
Recent top picks
2015: Richie Martin, SS, No. 20
2014: Matt Chapman, 3B, No. 25
2013: Billy McKinney, OF, No. 24
2012: Addison Russell, SS, No. 11
2011: Sonny Gray, RHP, No. 18
Possible fits
Nick Senzel, 3B, Tennessee: I saw Senzel in four games early this year and consider him an average everyday big leaguer. I love the bat but was not enamored with the defense. That said, hot-corner defense is becoming an increasingly volatile thing to project and measure.
Zack Collins, C, Miami: The A's are rumored to be on Collins for obvious reasons: He hits, he's advanced, he has power, he's a polished college performer, and he possesses all the things the A's are stereotypically in love with. It's assumed that he would come at a hefty discount if the A's take him all the way up at No. 6, but with a bunch of random teams rumored to be interested in Collins from picks 5-20, that may not be the case. If teams in the 8-12 range are in on Collins, Oakland could realistically save only about $500,000. Whether that's enough to make a big difference for Oakland at picks 37 or 47 is impossible to discern right now.
Seattle Mariners
First pick: No. 11
Bonus pool: $7,136,000 (17th)
System strength: Last year's draft class has performed well since signing. Jio Orozco remade his body and looked better late last summer than he did in the spring, Drew Jackson got healthy and excelled in the Northwest League, and Nick Neidert showed No. 4 starter stuff in the Arizona League.
System weakness: Alex Jackson looks bad in extended spring training, and pessimism about his future is growing among scouts here. Gareth Morgan is unlikely to ever be more than a grade-30 hitter (on the 20-80 scouting scale), and Luiz Gohara's development is at best stuck in neutral. The recent track record of the Mariners' top picks has been atrocious.
Recent top picks
2015: Nick Neidert, RHP, No. 60
2014: Alex Jackson, C/RF, No. 6
2013: D.J. Peterson, 3B, No. 12
2012: Mike Zunino, C, No. 3
2011: Danny Hultzen, LHP, No. 2
Possible fits
Blake Rutherford, OF, Chaminade College Prep (West Hills, California): If both Braxton Garrett and Delvin Perez are taken inside the top 10, then Rutherford will probably be here and would make for tremendous value. Seattle has had multiple high-level executives in to see Rutherford.
Justin Dunn, RHP, Boston College: Dunn's move to the rotation was a boon for his bank account. Some teams are wary of his lack of a track record and others are enamored by the unknown, wondering if he's just begun to scratch the surface.
Braxton Garrett, LHP, Florence (Alabama) HS: Garrett, Seattle's prep arm of choice, would make for a fine selection if the top 10 transpires without any surprises.
Texas Rangers
First pick: No. 30
Bonus pool: $5,358,500 (27th)
System strength: Texas' lower levels are littered with talent, with LHP Yohander Mendez poised to break out and ascend toward the top of the system's rankings. Others, like Eric Jenkins and Yeyson Yrizarri, will likely endure growing pains.
System weakness: With Luke Jackson in the majors and Chi Chi Gonzalez scuffling, Texas doesn't have much in the way of pitching prospects at the system's upper levels right now.
Recent top picks
2015: Dillon Tate, RHP, No. 4
2014: Luis Ortiz, RHP, No. 30
2013: Alex "Chi Chi" Gonzalez, RHP, No. 23
2012: Lewis Brinson, OF, No. 29
2011: Kevin Matthews, OF, No. 33
Possible fits
Kyle Muller, LHP, Jesuit College Prep School of Dallas: Muller's stuff has been up this spring, and he now sits in the low 90s with great curveball feel and perhaps the best pitcher's frame in the entire draft.
Jared Horn, RHP, Vintage HS (Napa, California): Horn has been up to 97 mph this spring and has some feel for two separate breaking balls. The stuff is good -- Horn induced a few uncomfortable swings from possible high pick Mickey Moniak during the Area Codes Games -- but some think he'll end up in relief.
Ian Anderson, RHP, Shenendehowa HS (Clifton Park, New York): Anderson has been clocked up to 95 mph and has plus-slider projection. He has been tough to scout this spring after dealing with illness and an upper-body injury. He seemed destined for the top 10 at one point, and he still has midrotation potential.