<
>

Law: Giants struck gold with lone Day 1 pick

Vanderbilt outfielder Bryan Reynolds was in the top 15 on Keith Law's Big Board but slid all the way to pick No. 59. AP Photo/Ted Kirk

Some highlights from Thursday night's Round 2 as the 2016 MLB draft continues this afternoon. I'll recap every team's draft over the weekend once we get a handful more rounds in the books.

• The steal of Day 1 might have been the San Francisco Giants' sole selection, Vanderbilt center fielder Bryan Reynolds, a clear first-round talent for me who slipped to No. 59 because of concerns about his swing-and-miss tendencies, as he struck out in 20 percent of his plate appearances this year and 19 percent over his three years at Vandy. Reynolds walks a lot, is an above-average runner and has plus power, and he has a real chance to stay in center thanks to his speed and his instincts.

I am as hard on hitters who swing and miss as anyone, but Reynolds does literally everything else you'd want a hitting prospect to do -- including considerable damage when he does make contact -- and I think his propensity to strike out is a function of working deep counts, not pure hacking. He was 15th on my board thanks to the combination of physical tools and strong performance in the best conference in Division I.


• The Milwaukee Brewers picked fifth, 46th and 75th, and they took the players ranked first, 47th and 74th on my board, so needless to say I think they had the best draft ever. Their second pick, Lucas Erceg, has first-round tools, but he flunked out of Cal and had to play at NAIA Menlo College, where he destroyed the competition, as a Division I veteran should. Erceg has real power, a 7 (high-grade) arm, and, I think, enough feel to hit to get to that power, as well.

Mario Feliciano, the Brewers' third pick, is a Puerto Rican catcher who can also hit well, has a good shot to stay behind the plate, and has outstanding makeup and aptitude, which I think are essential for anyone to develop as a backstop. His arm is there, and he has a good body for a catcher, but he needs work on the more subtle aspects of catcher defense.


• The San Diego Padres had a confusing first round, but they did roll the dice big-time on a high school arm at pick 71 with Reggie Lawson, who came into the spring as a sure first-rounder with a chance to do what Ian Anderson did and pitch himself into the top five. Instead, some genius -- and by genius I mean idiot -- shortened Lawson's stride so his release point backed up, his velocity dropped and his curveball lost its bite.

If the Padres do sign him away from Arizona State by using expected savings from going under-slot on a couple of their first-round picks, the first thing they should do is restore his mechanics from last summer/fall and see whether the velocity spikes.


• I wondered which team would roll the dice on Oklahoma starter Alec Hansen, who came into the spring in the 1-1 (first pick overall) conversation but was ineffective and occasionally just bad for the Sooners, only sometimes flashing the plus stuff he had shown in the past. Hansen walked 39 batters in 51 2/3 innings, was in and out of the rotation, and was down a couple of miles per hour at the Big 12 tournament, sitting 91-92 rather than bumping 98. I don't know whether the issue was mental or physical -- I don't think it was purely mechanical -- but this is a second-round selection of a guy who was, not that long ago, seen as a top-10 talent, and I've said before that the Chicago White Sox have done some outstanding work developing or refurbishing pitchers who have question marks around them.


• The Pittsburgh Pirates had probably the biggest reach of Day 1, taking Travis MacGregor, a projectable right-handed pitcher from East Lake High School in Tarpon Springs, Florida. I don't think MacGregor was even on MLB's radar and wasn't on a few teams' draft boards as I checked around overnight, with others saying they thought he needed to go to college. The Pirates do like prep pitchers with good bodies and deliveries and are willing to bet on guys with less present velocity, but this was a couple of rounds ahead of where most teams seemed to value him, if they had him ranked at all.


• I thought the Baltimore Orioles did very well with their three picks, even though I'm not a huge fan of their middle pick on Keegan Akin, a squat 6-foot-0 lefty whose only real plus pitch now is his 92-95 mph fastball. He has a solid-average changeup and fringy breaking ball, so I think he's more likely a bullpen guy than a starter. He did punch out 32 percent of the hitters he faced this spring, albeit in a bad conference.

The Orioles' first pick was Illinois right-hander Cody Sedlock, ranked 17th on my board and taken 27th. He's a three-pitch starter who was badly overworked by the Illini -- he pitched into the 10th inning twice, even though he wasn't a starter until this year -- which a few teams who passed on him said was a concern. That makes him a good value pick as long as the Orioles handle him gently after he signs.

And at pick No. 69, the O's made a nice pick with Matthias Dietz, a raw junior college right-hander with a very quick arm and good pitcher's frame but a rather crude delivery that, if refined, could unlock more velocity. It's also worth noting he's among those with the best hair in this draft.


• I thought the New York Mets' Day 1 trio of picks was also very strong, with Boston College righty Justin Dunn in the first round at 19, UConn lefty (another overworked college arm) Anthony Kay at 31 ,then Florida first baseman Pete Alonso at 64.

A Jordan Sheffield pitch broke Alonso's hand a month ago, but he hit .368/.464/.632 for the Gators this year -- again, in the best baseball conference -- and walked as often as he struck out, leading the team with 12 homers, as well. He might have gone a bit higher without the injury, as it meant he missed a couple of heavily scouted series and the SEC tournament.


• Best players still available for Day 2 (Rounds 3-10) include California prep outfielder Hunter Bishop (No. 30 on my board), Illinois catch-and-throw specialist Cooper Johnson (33), Syracuse prep righty Jeff Belge (36), Wright State catcher Sean Murphy (39) and Miami prep righty Jesus Luzardo (42), who had Tommy John surgery in March. Murphy is also an interesting value play, having missed about a month with a broken hamate bone and then hitting somewhat poorly after his quick return, which is totally unsurprising given what that injury does to a hitter's hand strength.