For the fourth straight year, we're doing a comprehensive audit of every organization in baseball leading up to the MLB draft.
By examining where each team's strengths and weaknesses lie -- and with a working knowledge of its typical draft strategy and tendencies -- we can get a sense of which player each team will select.
Click on the player names of the possible fits to get a full scouting report for that player. Also, the number in parentheses in the bonus-pool area is the team's rank among all MLB teams, from most money (Reds are first) to least (Cubs at 30th).
Division-by-division draft outlook
AL East | AL Central | AL West | NL East | NL Central | NL West
Arizona Diamondbacks
First pick: No. 39 overall
Bonus pool: $5,419,900 (26th)
System strength: The Diamondbacks send personnel to games at the lowest levels of the minor leagues -- something a lot of organizations still aren't doing -- which allows them to identify breakout prospects sooner than other teams would. There are a number of interesting arms throughout their system, though many of them likely will end up as relievers.
System weakness: Minor league talent valuation in general seems to be an issue. Their trade of 2015 first pick Dansby Swanson was evidence of that.
Recent top picks
2015: Dansby Swanson, SS, No. 1
2014: Touki Toussaint, RHP, No. 16
2013: Braden Shipley, RHP, No. 15
2012: Stryker Trahan, OF, No. 26
2011: Trevor Bauer, RHP, No. 3
Possible fits
College arms: I would caution D-backs fans from getting too excited if a high-profile prep talent tumbles down the draft board toward their team's selection at 39. That player is likely headed for an overslot deal with Atlanta or Cincinnati just behind Arizona. Instead, look for the Diamondbacks to grab one of the college arms, such as Eric Lauer, Corbin Burnes or T.J. Zeuch.
Jeff Belge, LHP, Henninger HS (Syracuse, New York): Belge is a massive prep lefty from the Northeast who, while not very physically projectable, has been in the mid-90s with really good curveball feel.
Cooper Johnson, C, Carmel Catholic HS (Mundelein, Illinois) : Johnson is the best defensive catcher in the draft. We've seen players go in the middle of the first round simply because they laid claim to that superlative. Johnson is highly unlikely to make any sort of big league impact as a hitter, but he's athletic and has a good frame and could be an everyday player because of his defense alone.
Colorado Rockies
First pick: No. 4
Bonus pool: $11,153,400 (5th)
System strength: The Rockies added a lot to the system last year, trading for Jeff Hoffman and picking the most talented player in the draft in Brendan Rodgers, as well as several interesting pitching prospects in David Hill, Peter Lambert and Mike Nikorak, who has only been 88-92 mph in extended spring training, but it's heavy and he's throwing more strikes.
System weakness: They can't seem to develop any pitching. Some of that could have to do with Coors Field, though. It has a way of turning good pitchers into bad pitchers
Recent top picks
2015: Brendan Rodgers, SS, No. 3
2014: Kyle Freeland, LHP, No. 8
2013: Jon Gray, RHP, No. 3
2012: David Dahl, RHP, No. 10
2011: Tyler Anderson, LHP, No. 20
Possible fits
Jason Groome, LHP, Barnegat (New Jersey) HS : There are scenarios in which the first three picks are A.J. Puk and college bats, which would mean Colorado would have the chance to take the player who, in my opinion, is the most talented in the draft for a second consecutive year. Groome's best secondary pitch is his curveball, and Denver hasn't been kind to pitchers who lean on Uncle Charlie, so it's possible the Rockies just feel hard-throwing Riley Pint's stuff plays better in Coors if they can get him there. If Groome goes in the top three, this pick is probably Puk.
Mickey Moniak, OF, La Costa Canyon HS (Carlsbad, California) : This is probably the earliest Moniak could go. He has the best bat-to-ball skills in the draft and looks more and more likely to stay in center field.
Ryan Boldt, OF, Nebraska : The Rockies have picks at 38 and 45. There are a lot of teams with multiple picks just before or after those selections, and it's hard to envision a scenario in which the Rockies easily move money to guarantee themselves a top-25 talent back that far. Instead, expect them to consider college value in Boldt or Connor Jones with one pick and a toolsy high-schooler like Luis Curbelo with another.
Los Angeles Dodgers
First pick: No. 20
Bonus pool: $9,336,500 (9th)
System strength: The Dodgers have a seemingly endless supply of cash and have been as aggressive in the international market as the industry has ever seen.
System weakness: It's going to be a while before the system produces talent at a premium defensive position, with Omar Estevez, Yusniel Diaz and other no-doubt shortstop/center field defensive talents all at the lower levels.
Recent top picks
2015: Walker Buehler, RHP, No. 24
2014: Grant Holmes, RHP, No. 22
2013: Chris Anderson, RHP, No. 18
2012: Corey Seager, SS, No. 18
2011: Chris Reed, LHP, No. 16
Possible fits
A high-risk/high-upside pick: The Dodgers also have picks at 32 and 36, and with those picks, they can afford to take a chance on Josh Lowe or Will Benson, or they could even take Buddy Reed at 20 and then diversify their draft class later.
Cody Sedlock, RHP, Illinois : Sedlock is at 93-94 mph with feel for a slider and curveball, and he throws strikes. He's probably only a No. 4 starter, but that's solid value at this point, especially if the Dodgers grab him at 32 or 36 instead of 20. Logan Shore or Eric Lauer are also possibilities.
Gavin Lux, SS, Indian Trail Academy (Kenosha, Wisconsin) : Lux is one of very few players likely to remain at shortstop. The late first and sandwich rounds are normally where players like Lux, who projects at a premium position but is unlikely to have an impact bat, end up going.
San Diego Padres
First pick: No. 8
Bonus pool: $12,869,200 (4th)
System strength: San Diego has a number of potential big league middle infielders in its system, including Luis Urias, Ruddy Giron, Javy Guerra and Jose Rondon. The Padres also have a big-time international class on the way.
System weakness: Many of the arms in their systems either project as likely relievers or have underperformed.
Recent top picks
2015: Austin Smith, RHP, No. 51
2014: Trea Turner, SS, No. 13
2013: Hunter Renfroe, OF, No. 13
2012: Max Fried, LHP, No. 7
2011: Corey Spangenberg, 2B, No. 10
Possible fits
Braxton Garrett, LHP, Florence (Alabama) HS: Garrett has a low-90s fastball, a likely future plus curveball and enough athleticism to project a changeup and command.
Delvin Perez, SS, International Baseball Academy (Puerto Rico): If he's available at No. 8, he'll almost certainly be the most talented player left on the board, and the risk is well worth the potential reward at that draft spot.
Cal Quantrill, RHP, Stanford: The Padres are set up to have one heck of a draft, with three top-25 picks -- they also have picks 24 and 25 -- and endless possibility for financial creativity to get the most out of this class. They're rumored to be on Quantrill at 24 or 25.
San Francisco Giants
First pick: No. 59
Bonus pool: $3,494,900 (28th)
System strength: The Giants have a slew of pitching, highlighted by Tyler Beede, Phil Bickford and several more, who are likely to be anything between No. 4 starters and useful relievers. This includes sleepers Michael Santos and Jordan Johnson.
System weakness: Adding Lucius Fox and Jalen Miller to the system last year gave it a much-needed influx of athleticism, but there isn't much beyond those two players at premium defensive positions.
Recent top picks
2015: Phil Bickford, RHP, No. 18
2014: Tyler Beede, RHP, No. 14
2013: Christian Arroyo, SS, No. 25
2012: Chris Stratton, RHP, No. 20
2011: Joe Panik, SS, No. 29
Possible fits
Bryson Brigman, SS, San Diego: While he isn't likely to remain at shortstop, Brigman rakes, and he runs well enough to be given a shot in center field.
Joe Rizzo, SS/3b, Oakton HS (Vienna, Virginia): Rizzo is a bat-first prospect with no clear position, but the Giants have prioritized hitting in past draft picks, and Rizzo looks more likely to fall this far than he did last summer.
Lucas Erceg, 3B, Menlo College (California): Erceg has big power and arm strength. He could fall because of the level of competition he has played this year and some off-field concerns but is arguably a first-rounder talent-wise.