For the fourth straight year, we're doing a comprehensive audit of every organization in baseball leading up to the MLB draft.
By examining where each team's strengths and weaknesses lie -- and with a working knowledge of its typical draft strategy and tendencies -- we can get a sense of which player each team will select when the draft begins.
Click on the player names of the possible fits to get a full scouting report for that player (if we have one). Also, the number in parentheses in the bonus-pool area is their rank among MLB teams, from most money (Reds are 1st) to least (Cubs at 30th).
Division-by-division draft outlook
AL East | AL Central | AL West | NL East | NL Central | NL West
Chicago Cubs
First pick: No. 104 overall
Bonus pool: $2,245,100 (30th)
System strength: The Cubs have young howitzers brewing in the system's lower levels: Dylan Cease, Carson Sands, Justin Steele and Oscar de la Cruz. The club has done a good job sourcing talent from Latin America as Gleyber Torres, Willson Contreras, Eloy Jimenez and Jeimer Candelario are all potential every-day players.
System weakness: This is one of the better farm systems in all of baseball, but it's going to be hard for the Cubs to add much to it this year with the lowest draft bonus pool and lowest international bonus pool in MLB.
Recent top picks
2015: Ian Happ, 2B, No. 9
2014: Kyle Schwarber, C, No. 4
2013: Kris Bryant, 3B, No. 2
2012: Albert Almora, OF, No. 6
2011: Javier Baez, SS, No. 9
Possible fits
David Martinelli, OF, Dallas Baptist: Martinelli has solid all-around tools and is one of the better defensive outfielders in the country. He made a swing adjustment this year and has cut down on his strikeouts but has also dealt with leg injuries.
Jameson Fisher, 1B, Southeastern Louisiana: Fisher is leading D-I baseball with a .450 average and has a natural low-ball swing with comfortable, above-average bat speed. A former catcher, Fisher tore his labrum in 2015, missed the season, and is now a first baseman or left fielder.
Nick Quintana, INF/C, Arbor View HS (Las Vegas, Nevada): Quintana is stocky and physically mature. He probably can't play SS long term and fits best at second base or catcher, where he's already begun to work out. He hits, tracking well with loose wrists and all-fields power. He could be a 50 bat with 50 power (on the 20-80 scouting scale), which plays as long as he can play either second base or catcher.
First pick: No. 2
Bonus pool: $13,923,700 (1st)
System strength: The Reds have several middle infielders who project as useful big leaguers: Alex Blandino, Jose Peraza and Blake Trahan. The Reds are expected to sign slick-fielding SS Antonio Rodriguez during the July 2 international signing period. With the largest draft bonus pool and the second-largest international bonus pool, they have a chance to load up the farm in a hurry.
System weakness: The Reds have targeted pitchers in trades/drafts/free agency that most of the industry considers to be relievers. Raisel Iglesias, Tony Cingrani, Michael Lorenzen, Keury Mella, Nick Howard and Nick Travieso are all relievers for me, and always have been.
Recent top picks
2015: Tyler Stephenson, C, No. 11
2014: Nick Howard, RHP, No. 19
2013: Phil Ervin, OF, No. 27
2012: Nick Travieso, RHP, No. 14
2011: Robert Stephenson, RHP, 27
Possible fits
Kyle Lewis, OF, Mercer: The Reds are heavily linked to Mercer, who has the most upside in the draft among college bats, with easy plus power projection and the chance for five average or better tools.
A.J. Puk, LHP, Florida: If something odd happens at No. 1 or Puk looks great for the next few weeks, he could force his way into consideration at No. 2.
Injured or enigmatic arm: The Reds pick at Nos. 2, 35 and 43. The No. 2 pick will likely sign for below slot, giving Cincy extra money to spend with each of their next two picks. That could net them one of the high school or college arms who has fallen because of injury or wildness, such as Daulton Jeffries, Reggie Lawson, Jesus Luzardo, Alec Hansen or Matt Krook.
Milwaukee Brewers
First pick: No. 5
Bonus pool: $9,364,300 (8th)
System strength: Milwaukee committed to the rebuild and now has one of the best systems, top to bottom, in baseball. Most of that talent is up the middle, with a host of middle infielders, catchers and potential center fielders.
System weakness: Hard to pinpoint a weakness here, but that 2014 draft class is having a difficult time getting off the ground.
Recent top picks
2015: Trent Clark, CF, No. 15
2014: Kodi Medeiros, LHP, No. 12
2013: Devin Williams, RHP, No. 54
2012: Clint Coulter, C, No. 27
2011: Taylor Jungmann, RHP, No. 12
Possible fits
Delvin Perez, SS, International Baseball Academy (Puerto Rico): The Brewers' new scouting regime has aggressively targeted the most talented players available, even if there are concerns about things like injury. Perez is the most gifted position player in this draft, a no-doubt shortstop with a chance to make an offensive impact, as well.
Corey Ray: Ray could go 1-1 and is a top-four talent in this draft, but he could fall to No. 5 if one of the non-Jason Groome pitchers is selected ahead of him.
Pittsburgh Pirates
First pick: No. 22
Bonus pool: $6,945,400 (18th)
System strength: The Bucs have a slew of solid infield prospects, led by 2015 draftees Ke'Bryan Hayes and Kevin Newman. The team has a track record of turning lower-profile Latin American signings into major league assets.
System weakness: Most of the pitching in the system is risky. Tyler Glasnow's stuff is incredible but there's a chance he's just a reliever, and Jameson Taillon and Nick Kingham have had Tommy John surgery already.
Recent top picks
2015: Ke'Bryan Hayes, 3B, No. 19
2014: Cole Tucker, SS, No. 24
2013: Austin Meadows, OF, No. 9
2012: Mark Appel, RHP, No. 8 (did not sign)
2011: Gerrit Cole, RHP, No. 1
Possible fits
Nolan Jones, SS, Holy Ghost Prep (Bensalem, Pennsylvania): Jones would be a steal this late, and he fits the Pirates' recent style of drafting players who project to hit and play solid defense at an important position. Jones could be above-average at third and have all-fields power.
Zack Burdi, RHP, Louisville: Burdi has been up to 100 mph with a plus changeup and average slider. That's a starter's repertoire, and some teams would consider giving Burdi a shot there. If not, he could move quickly as a three-pitch reliever.
Gavin Lux, SS, Indian Trail Academy (Kenosha, Wisconsin): With precious few shortstops available in this year's draft, the Pirates could reach a bit for the second-best one the same way they reached a bit for Cole Tucker in 2014.
St. Louis Cardinals
First pick: No. 23
Bonus pool: $9,08,700 (10th)
System strength: The pitching up top is impressive, with Alex Reyes looking like a potential No. 2 or No. 3 starter in the Arizona Fall League and Luke Weaver, Jacob Woodford and Jack Flaherty looking like solid back-end starters.
System weakness: Most of the potential impact position players are way down in the lower levels, while the bats at Double-A and Triple-A are more platoon/bench/fringe prospects. But Cardinals prospects seem to outpace projections rather frequently.
Recent top picks
2015: Nick Plummer, OF, No. 23
2014: Luke Weaver, RHP, No. 27
2013: Marco Gonzales, LHP, No. 19
2012: Michael Wacha, RHP, No. 19
2011: Kolten Wong, 2B, No. 22
Possible fits
Anthony Kay, LHP, Connecticut: With a new scouting director and three picks in the top 34 (they also have the Nos. 33 and 34 picks), the Cardinals can get creative. There will be lots of interesting college pitching available late in Round 1 and the sandwich round, including changeup artist Kay. T.J. Zeuch, Logan Shore and Corbin Burnes could also be possibilities back in the 30s. Connor Jones might be an option at 23.
Joe Rizzo, SS/3b, Oakton HS (Vienna, Virginia): Rizzo is a bat-first prospect without a real defensive home, but he hit very well against his peers during last summer's showcases, and hitters who do that have a track record of success in pro ball.
Kevin Gowdy, RHP, Santa Barbara (California) HS: It might require some financial maneuvering, especially if teams are trying to move Gowdy back into the 40s and offer him over-slot money there, but the Cardinals have the flexibility to get Gowdy or any of the falling prep arms they like.