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AL East: Team needs, possible fits for 2016 MLB draft

UConn lefty pitcher Anthony Kay has been linked to the Orioles late in Round 1. Greg Thompson/Icon Sportswire

For the fourth straight year, we're doing a comprehensive audit of every organization in baseball leading up to the MLB draft.

By examining where each team's strengths and weaknesses lie -- and with a working knowledge of its typical draft strategy and tendencies -- we can get a sense of which player each team will select when the draft begins.

Click on the player names of the possible fits to get a full scouting report for that player. Also, the number in parentheses in the bonus-pool area is their rank among MLB teams, from most money (Reds are 1st) to least (Cubs at 30th).

Division-by-division draft outlook

AL East | AL Central | AL West | NL East | NL Central | NL West


Baltimore Orioles
First pick: No. 27 overall
Bonus pool: $7,545,800 (15th)

System strength: Tanner Scott and Christopher Lee both project to be lights-out bullpen pieces, but the system in general is down.

System weakness: Despite the high number of talented arms that have traversed Baltimore's system in recent years, none of them ever seem to pan out. Also, the Orioles invest very little internationally.

Recent top picks
2015: D.J. Stewart, OF, No. 25 overall
2014: Brian Gonzalez, LHP, No. 90
2013: Hunter Harvey, RHP, No. 22
2012: Kevin Gausman, RHP, No. 4

Possible fits

Anthony Kay, LHP, Connecticut: Kay is a polished college lefty with a terrific fastball/changeup combo. We've seen arms like this go toward the back of the first round pretty frequently. Kay could move quickly. Justin Dunn would be an interesting target as well.

Gavin Lux, SS, Indian Trail Academy (Kenosha, Wisconsin): There aren't many no-doubt shortstops in any draft, but 2016 is especially dry. Baltimore doesn't have much in the way of middle-infield prospects in their system and would do well to add one at some point, be it at 27 (if they consider anyone worthy) or at 54, where Lux would be a great value.

Anfernee Grier, OF, Auburn: Grier swings and misses but has power, and it's likely he remains in center field. His defensive profile alone likely sneaks him into the first round, especially if other more polished college bats, like Bryan Reynolds, come off the board early, forcing teams looking for something safe to dig a little deeper down their boards.


Boston Red Sox
First pick: No. 12
Bonus pool: $6,997,400 (19th)

System strength: This system is top-heavy but has as much elite-level talent as any in baseball. Yoan Moncada, Rafael Devers and Andrew Benintendi could all be stars, while Anderson Espinoza's likely upside falls just short of that. Some of the lower-level bats are in the midst of breakout seasons, including first baseman Josh Ockimey and outfielder Tate Matheny.

System weakness: The Red Sox haven't developed a starting pitcher to completion in a while. Henry Owens has, at least temporarily, hit a wall. So too have Brian Johnson and Trey Ball, like Matt Barnes before them.

Recent top picks
2015: Andrew Benintendi, OF, No. 7
2014: Michael Chavis, SS, No. 26
2013: Trey Ball, LHP, No. 7
2012: Deven Marrero, SS, No. 24
2011: Matt Barnes, RHP, No. 19

Possible fits

Nolan Jones, SS, Holy Ghost Prep (Bensalem, Pennsylvania): Jones is a potential middle-of-the-order bat who is also a good bet to stay somewhere on the infield, likely at third base. He is big, athletic and smooth and the best prep infielder in the draft not named Delvin Perez. He'd be a solid value at 12.

Bryan Reynolds, OF, Vanderbilt: Reynolds has a usable swing from both sides of the plate, solidly average raw power, a good approach and will probably be the fastest-moving bat in this class not named Zack Collins. He runs well enough to get a look in pro ball as a center fielder, at least initially. He could go under slot in the top 15 and provide a quick return on investment.

Dakota Hudson, RHP, Mississippi State: Hudson is essentially the pitching version of Reynolds. He'll get up to 96 mph and flash a plus cutter, but the overall profile is that of a fourth -- maybe low-end third -- starter. He has been relatively consistent in a year when college pitchers are dropping like flies and has a mature idea of how to use his pitches.


New York Yankees
First pick: No. 18
Bonus pool: $5,831,200 (24th)

System strength: New York's system is full of good defensive players, including Tyler Wade, Dustin Fowler, Kyle Holder and Diego Castillo. The Yankees pioneered big-time Latin American spending a few years back, and the system is flush with talent from the islands.

System weakness: There aren't many physically projectable arms atop the system right now. Even last year's third-rounder, Drew Finley, is more polish than projection.

Recent top picks
2015: James Kaprelian, RHP, No. 16
2014: Jacob Lindgren, LHP, No. 55
2013: Eric Jagielo, 3B, No. 26
2012: Ty Hensley, RHP, No. 30
2011: Dante Bichette Jr., 3B, No. 51

Possible fits

Taylor Trammell, OF, Mount Paran Christian (Kennesaw, Georgia): The Yankees typically stay up the middle when drafting bats, and Trammell is among the most physically gifted. He could be a very special defensive center fielder.

Kevin Gowdy, RHP, Santa Barbara (California) HS: Any of the quality prep arms are a possibility. If the Yankees have a favorite, they had better take him here, because they don't pick again until 62. Gowdy is projectable, has already been into the mid-90s and has flashed a plus slider.

Cody Sedlock, RHP, Illinois: The fastball and slider are already of big league quality, while the curveball and changeup remain behind, but Sedlock spent most of last year in the bullpen and has more upside than the typical college arm. James Kaprelian was mostly a two-pitch guy at UCLA (especially in the start I saw) and has progressed quickly.


Tampa Bay Rays
First pick: No. 13
Bonus pool: $7,643,100 (13th)

System strength: The seemingly incessant parade of pitching prospects continues with Blake Snell, Taylor Guerreri and Brent Honeywell, though Honeywell is dealing with some arm issues right now.

System weakness: Some of the catching prospects have faltered, leaving the Rays' system relatively barren up the middle. But shortstop Adrian Rondon is still young, and the team drafted likely center fielder Garrett Whitley last year.

Recent top picks
2015: Garrett Whitley, CF, No. 20
2014: Casey Gillaspie, 1B, No. 20
2013: Nick Ciuffo, C, No. 21
2012: Richie Shaffer, 3B, No. 25
2011: Taylor Guerrieri, RHP, No. 24

Possible fits

Delvin Perez, SS, International Baseball Academy (Puerto Rico): If Perez, the most talented position player in this draft, were to somehow plummet all the way down to thirteen because of makeup issues, Rays fans should be doing backflips. Small-market clubs like Tampa don't have very many opportunities to acquire talent like this, even if it has warts.

Braxton Garrett, LHP, Florence (Alabama) HS: Garrett has the best curveball in the draft among high schoolers not named Jason Groome. His velocity has been up this year and use of his lower half has been more consistent. He lacks physical projection but already does two things that can't be taught: throw hard and spin a curveball.

Ian Anderson, RHP, Shenendehowa HS (Clifton Park, New York): Anderson has been clocked up to 95 mph and has plus-slider projection. He has been tough to scout this spring after dealing with illness and an upper-body injury. He seemed destined for the top 10 at one point, and he still has mid-rotation potential.


Toronto Blue Jays
First pick: No. 21
Bonus pool: $6,665,900 (20th)

System strength: Pitching. Even with last year's first-rounder Jon Harris struggling, arms such as Connor Greene, Sean Reid-Foley, Justin Maese and Juan Meza all have power stuff.

System weakness: Through no fault of their own, the Jays' system has also been plagued by injuries. Toronto has a number of hitters whose offensive skills have been torpedoed by one glaring flaw, guys like Rowdy Tellez (bat speed/swing path), Roemon Fields (total lack of power) and D.J. Davis (pitch recognition).

Recent top picks
2015: Jon Harris, RHP, No. 29
2014: Jeff Hoffman, RHP, No. 9
2013: Phil Bickford, RHP, No. 10 (didn't sign)
2012: D.J. Davis, OF, No. 17
2011: Tyler Beede, RHP, No. 21 (didn't sign)

Possible fits

Josh Lowe, 3B/RHP, Pope HS (Marietta, Georgia): Toronto drafts aggressively and Lowe has quite a ceiling. Toronto picks at 57 and 66 as well, and could go overslot early if a talent like Lowe requires it.

Alex Speas, RHP, McEachern HS (Powder Springs, Georgia): This draft has a surplus of prep arms that could be options for Toronto at 21 (if the Jays don't think someone they covet will get to their next pick) or at 57 if they want to make an underslot pick in the first round. Speas is athletic, very projectable and already touching 97 mph. He needs considerable polish but has big-time upside and could be a fit.

Corbin Burnes, RHP, St. Mary's College: Athletic and competitive, Burnes has more upside than most college pitchers that will begin to be considered at the end of Round 1 but also less sophistication.