2023 NFL Week 9 games: Betting odds, lines, spreads, more

NFL Week 9 kicked off Thursday night a Tennessee Titans loss in a visit to the Pittsburgh Steelers. Sunday morning football is back with the Kansas City Chiefs playing host to the Miami Dolphins at Frankfurt Stadium in Germany. Sunday night's game features two more of the AFC's top teams as the Cincinnati Bengals are home to the Buffalo Bills. Monday Night Football will be back at MetLife Stadium for the New York Jets and the Los Angeles Chargers in the final matchup of the week.

Football Power Index (FPI) by ESPN Sports Analytics Group. Odds by ESPN BET.

Miami Dolphins @ Kansas City Chiefs -1.5

Money Line: Miami Dolphins (+100) ; Kansas City Chiefs (-120)
Total: 50.5; Opened: 46.5
FPI favorite: Chiefs by 0.3 (51% to win outright)

Betting Nuggets

• Four straight Chiefs games have gone under the total. That is tied for the longest streak of Patrick Mahomes' career.

• The Chiefs are 18-7 ATS as a favorite of 1-3 points under Andy Reid (Mahomes: 7-3 ATS).

• The Dolphins are 12-5 ATS in conference games since the start of last season.

• The Dolphins are 5-0 ATS as favorites and 1-2 ATS as underdogs this season.

Minnesota Vikings @ Atlanta Falcons -4

Money Line: Minnesota Vikings (+170) ; Atlanta Falcons (-200)
Total: 37.5; Opened: 37
FPI favorite: Falcons by 0.3 (51% to win outright)

Line Movement Alert: Opened Falcons -1

Betting Nuggets

• Unders are 7-1 in Vikings games this season, tied with the Giants for the highest Under pct this season (.875). 6 straight Vikings games have gone under the total, tied with the Giants for the longest active streak.

• The Falcons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. The Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite, and they are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 home games.

• The Falcons are 13-25 ATS as favorites since 2018 including 6-10 ATS under Arthur Smith.

• The Vikings have covered 3 straight games (started season 1-3-1 ATS) and 3 straight road games.

Arizona Cardinals @ Cleveland Browns -12.5

Money Line: Arizona Cardinals (+500) ; Cleveland Browns (-700)
Total: 38.5; Opened: 37.5
FPI favorite: Browns by 6.8 (69.4% to win outright)

Line Movement Alert: Opened Browns -10

Betting Nuggets

• P.J. Walker is 6-2-1 ATS and 5-4 outright in his career as a starter, with every one of those starts coming as an underdog. This would be Walker's first start as a favorite.

• The Browns are 11-20 ATS as favorites under Kevin Stefanski.

• The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last five games after starting the season 3-0 ATS.

• The Browns are 8-2-1 ATS after a loss since the start of last season, including 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a loss.

Los Angeles Rams @ Green Bay Packers -3.5

Money Line: Los Angeles Rams (+160) ; Green Bay Packers (-190)
Total: 37.5; Opened: 38
FPI favorite: Rams by 2.9 (58.7% to win outright)

Line Movement Alert: Opened Rams -1

Betting Nuggets

• The Packers have covered 8 straight meetings against the Rams dating back to 2007.

• The Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games, tied for their longest ATS losing streak in the last decade (last five-game ATS losing streak was in 2013, 6 straight).

• The Packers enter this week as 1 of 4 teams that have not been favored in a game this season (Colts, Cardinals, Panthers).

• Last week, the Packers closed as a pick'em against the Vikings (lost by 14).

Washington Commanders @ New England Patriots -3

Money Line: Washington Commanders (+130) ; New England Patriots (-150)
Total: 40.5; Opened: NL
FPI favorite: Patriots by 2.1 (56.3% to win outright)

Betting Nuggets

• The Commanders are 3-0 ATS as road underdogs this season (2-1 outright).

• The Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games and 0-3 ATS against non-conference opponents this season.

• The Patriots are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when the line is between +3 and -3 (10-19-1 ATS in last 30 games in that role).

• The Patriots are 4-8 ATS at home the last 2 seasons (T-3rd worse of any team).

Chicago Bears @ New Orleans Saints -9.5

Money Line: Chicago Bears (+340) ; New Orleans Saints (-425)
Total: 41.5; Opened: 40.5
FPI favorite: Saints by 6.1 (67.4% to win outright)

Line Movement Alert: Opened Saints -5.5

Betting Nuggets

• Matt Eberflus is 7-16-2 ATS in his career (.304), tied for the worst mark of any coach with at least 20 games in the Super Bowl era. Dennis Allen is 23-37-1 ATS (.383), the worst mark of any coach with at least 40 games in the Super Bowl era.

• Derek Carr is 5-18 ATS in his career when laying at least 3.5 points. He is 19-34-2 ATS as a favorite, the worst mark of any quarterback with at least 50 starts as a favorite in the Super Bowl era.

• Overs are 16-9 in Bears games under Eberflus, the highest over percentage in the NFL the last 2 seasons. Unders are 17-8 in Saints games in that span (T-3rd highest under pct).

Seattle Seahawks @ Baltimore Ravens -6

Money Line: Seattle Seahawks (+225) ; Baltimore Ravens (-275)
Total: 44.5; Opened: 42.5
FPI favorite: Ravens by 6.9 (69.6% to win outright)

Betting Nuggets

• The Seahawks are 50-32-2 ATS as underdogs under Pete Carroll (.610). Geno Smith is 22-14 ATS in his career as an underdog (9-6 ATS with Seahawks).

• The Ravens are 5-11 ATS as home favorites since 2021 (most home ATS losses of any team).

• The Seahawks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in November or later.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Houston Texans -3

Money Line: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+130) ; Houston Texans (-150)
Total: 39.5; Opened: 38.5
FPI favorite: Texans by 0.2 (50.7% to win outright)

Betting Nuggets

• The Texans have lost five straight games outright as favorites dating back to 2020 (0-2 this season). That is the second-longest active streak in the NFL (Panthers: 9 straight).

• Unders are 6-1 in Buccaneers games this season with five straight unders.

• Unders are 17-7 in Buccaneers games the last two seasons, tied with the Titans for the highest under percentage in the NFL. Four straight Texans games have gone under the total.

• The Buccaneers are 3-0 ATS on the road this season (1 of 3 teams without a road ATS loss this season, with the Jaguars and Vikings).

Indianapolis Colts -2.5 @ Carolina Panthers

Money Line: Indianapolis Colts (-130) ; Carolina Panthers (+110)
Total: 43.5; Opened: 42.5
FPI favorite: Colts by 3.3 (59.6% to win outright)

Betting Nuggets

• The Panthers are 1-5-1 ATS this season, the only team in the NFL to not cover multiple games this season. They are 1-1-1 ATS at home (unders: 3-0).

• Colts games are 6-2 to the over this season, tied with the Bears for the highest over percentage in the NFL. 3 straight Colts games and 11 of their last 14 dating back to last season have gone over the total.

• The Colts enter this week as 1 of 4 teams that have not been favored in a game this season (Packers, Cardinals, Panthers). Last season, the Colts were 1-6 ATS as favorites.

New York Giants @ Las Vegas Raiders -1.5

Money Line: New York Giants (+105) ; Las Vegas Raiders (-125)
Total: 37.5; Opened: NL
FPI favorite: Giants by 3 (58.8% to win outright)

Betting Nuggets

• Giants games are 7-1 to the under this season with 6 straight unders. The .875 Under pct is tied with the Vikings for highest in the NFL. All 3 Raiders home games have gone under the total this season.

• The Giants are 27-13 ATS as road underdogs since 2018 (8-3 ATS under Brian Daboll).

• The Raiders are an NFL-worst 32-60-1 ATS as favorites since 2003, 10-20 ATS since 2019 (also worst in span), and 6-8 ATS under Josh McDaniels.

• The Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.

Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles -3

Money Line: Dallas Cowboys (+140) ; Philadelphia Eagles (-165)
Total: 46.5; Opened: 46
FPI favorite: Eagles by 0 (50.1% to win outright)

Betting Nuggets

• The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS when the line is between +3 and -3 since the start of last season (Eagles are 2-0 ATS in those games over last 2 seasons).

• The last five meetings have gone over the total.

• The Cowboys are 14-7 ATS on the road over the last 3 seasons, the 2nd-best road ATS record in the NFL (Bengals: 15-6).

• The Cowboys are 18-9 ATS in their last 27 games as underdogs dating back to October 2018.

Buffalo Bills @ Cincinnati Bengals -2.5

Money Line: Buffalo Bills (+115) ; Cincinnati Bengals (-135)
Total: 50.5; Opened: 46
FPI favorite: Bills by 5.9 (67% to win outright)

Line Movement Alert: Opened Bills -1

Betting Nuggets

• The Bills have been favored in 26 straight regular season games entering this week, the longest active streak in the NFL.

• Josh Allen is 16-8-1 ATS in his career as an underdog (11-4-1 ATS as road underdog).

• Bills road games are 9-2 to the under since the start of last season, tied with the Buccaneers for the highest road Under pct.

• The Bengals have covered in three straight games after starting 0-3-1 ATS. All 4 of their outright wins this season have come against the NFC West.

• The Bengals are 0-3 outright and ATS in conference games this season.

Los Angeles Chargers -3.5 @ New York Jets

Money Line: Los Angeles Chargers (-190) ; New York Jets (+160)
Total: 39.5; Opened: 39
FPI favorite: Chargers by 3.6 (60.6% to win outright)

Line Movement Alert: Opened Chargers -1.5

Betting Nuggets

• The Jets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games, including going 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games as an underdog.

• The Chargers are 0-3 outright and ATS against teams over .500 this season.

• The Chargers have gone under the total in 5 straight games after going over in their first two games this season.