This is the worst farm system in baseball, and the decision to rank Arizona last wasn’t particularly difficult, given its lack of any top 100 prospects or the fact that the No. 3 guy in the system is probably a fourth outfielder. I could list all of the talent former GM Dave “I’ve got better things to do” Stewart gave up in his two years at the helm, but why pour boiling vinegar on an open wound?
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1. Anthony Banda, LHP
2. Jasrado Chisholm, SS
3. Socrates Brito, OF
4. Domingo Leyba, SS
5. Anfernee Grier, OF
6. Taylor Clarke, RHP
7. Brad Keller, RHP
8. Cody Reed, LHP
9. Jon Duplantier, RHP
10. Curtis Taylor, RHP
Anthony Banda is the best prospect in the game’s worst system, a probable No. 4 starter who might have the command and feel to end up a No. 3. He’ll show a plus fastball and has a good changeup that has been very effective against right-handed batters.
Jasrado Chisholm was born in the Bahamas, signed in 2015, and debuted last summer in the advanced short-season Pioneer League at 18, where he hit .281/.333/.446. He probably moves off shortstop in the long run but has quick, strong hands at the plate, already producing loud contact even though he was young for the league and in his first year in the minors.
Socrates Brito has been hyped beyond his skills for some time now, but the most likely outcome is fourth outfielder; he can run and hit a little but there isn’t enough thump or OBP to make him an everyday guy. Domingo Leyba is a shortstop who can put the ball in play and at worst is a utility infielder who could play three positions. He’s got good hands and gets rid of the ball quickly, while at the plate he has a short swing with good plate coverage that should allow him to post respectable OBPs.
Anfernee Grier was the team’s first selection in the 2016 draft class, a toolsy outfielder from Auburn who raked in nonconference play in the spring and stopped hitting when SEC pitchers showed up and threw him breaking stuff. It’s a tiny sample, but he punched out 26 times against three walks in 94 pro at bats. There’s power/speed potential here, but he’s going to have to show any ability to recognize spin before we can get excited.
Taylor Clarke spent most of his first full pro season in Double-A, throwing strikes and missing enough bats to call him a potential fifth starter. He comes from a high slot but doesn’t generate the ground balls he should from up top. Brad Keller has been clocked at 92-94 mph with a slider and changeup; the former eighth-round pick from 2013 threw well as a 20-year-old in the hitter-friendly California League, but he’ll need to miss more bats to profile as a back-end starter. He has workhorse size at 6-foot-5 and about 250 pounds now.
Cody Reed hasn't had quite the same stuff in pro ball as he did as a high school senior in Alabama, but he started 2016 by dominating the low-A Midwest League and earning a quick promotion to the California league. He was struggling a little there (including a disaster outing at Lancaster) when his shoulder came up sore, after which the D-backs shut him down for the rest of the year.
Jon Duplantier fell to the third round this spring on injury and overwork concerns, threw one inning in June, and hurt his hamstring, which ended his season. The time off may have been good for the Rice product and he should be ready for spring training. He’s a great athlete who can reach the mid-90s and has an average curveball and changeup.
Curtis Taylor was the D-backs’ big breakout guy after the draft, throwing 94-96 with sink and a plus slider in relief outings. The University of British Columbia product may return to starting this year, but now at least the team knows he has a high floor and could come quickly in the bullpen.
Dawel Lugo (11) looks like a better player than he is -- he can’t stay at short, and has the arm for third but not the footwork right now, and it’s power over hit at the plate, with a good swing that never changes with the situation. Andy Yerzy (12) was the D-backs’ second-round pick last June, a Canadian catcher who’s going to stay behind the plate and has some power from the left side but is a long way off as a receiver and hitter for contact.
Victor Reyes (13) is a 60 runner with a short swing that produces a ton of contact but is unlikely to give him more than doubles power; Arizona acquired him in a two-part trade that sent Trevor Cahill’s contract and a bonus draft pick to Atlanta. Mack Lemieux (14) was Arizona’s sixth-round pick last year out of a Florida junior college, a lefty with some arm strength who throws up to 92 mph, as well as an average curveball, and feel for a change, but his rough delivery made it unlikely he’d stay a starter.
Brazilian outfielder Gabriel Maciel (15) is a plus runner with great range in center and an above-average arm, but right now his approach is just to make contact and he’s going to have to learn to impact the baseball. He just turned 18 in early January and will almost certainly start in extended spring training.
Adam Miller (16) has reached 100 mph in the past with a power slider, but had surgery to repair a scapular issue; we'll have to wait till March to see if his old stuff returns.
2017 impact: Nobody. As weird as it seems given the state of the system, the major-league roster is probably set for now, and barring injury we won’t see many prospects on the field for Arizona until the trade deadline.
Sleeper: Chisholm is the one guy in the system who looks like he has a legitimate chance to develop into a 60: an everyday player who makes some All-Star teams.
The fallen: The Dave Stewart regime fell. Isn’t that the real story here?