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Keith Law's 2018 Mock Draft 1.0

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We're 32 days away from the 2018 Rule 4 draft, which means it's really still too early for a first-round projection, but I can't procrastinate too much longer on this. Please remember that this is not a ranking of player abilities or values (here is my most recent ranking of the players in this class), but a best guess as to which player each team might take in this scenario, based on the best information I could glean from industry sources right now.

1. Detroit Tigers: Casey Mize, RHP, Auburn. It is entirely possible the Tigers don't take Mize, cutting a deal with someone else, but at this point there's no real indication they're taking someone else. Imagine if the Tigers could trade this pick to a team in contention right now, though, given how advanced Mize is and the possibility he could work out of an MLB bullpen in September and October.

2. San Francisco Giants: Brady Singer, RHP, Florida. Singer has been very up and down this season, but so have all of the other candidates for this pick after Mize. I've also heard the Giants associated with Shane McClanahan, Joey Bart and Carter Stewart.

3. Philadelphia Phillies: Alec Bohm, 3B, Wichita State. I've heard they’re primarily interested in college bats, including Bohm and Bart -- but not Nick Madrigal.

4. Chicago White Sox: Joey Bart, C, Georgia Tech. Also hearing them mostly associated with picking college players, but as with the Phillies they're unlikely to take Madrigal given their MLB middle-infield duo.

5. Cincinnati Reds: Nick Madrigal, 2B, Oregon State. I've heard mostly college bats are in the mix for Cincinnati, since none of the prep hitters have shown well enough this spring (yet) to merit going in the top five. If someone wanted to jump on a prep arm in the top five, my guess would be the Reds pick Matthew Liberatore here.

6. New York Mets: Jonathan India, 3B, Florida. I’m also hearing they'd prefer a college player, hitter or pitcher, here, although this might be a little high for India by the standards of the rest of the industry.

7. San Diego Padres: Carter Stewart, RHP, Eau Gallie HS, Melbourne, Florida. Stewart’s curveball has the highest spin rate ever recorded and he’s been throwing up to 98 mph, but he's faltered a little in his past two starts while dealing with a wrist issue. I've also heard the Padres associated with Liberatore, and saw A.J. Preller at starts by Ethan Hankins and Ryan Weathers.

8. Atlanta Braves: Nolan Gorman, 3B, Sandra Day O'Connor HS, Peoria, Arizona. I've heard this connection a few times already. Gorman has the best raw power in the draft and Atlanta doesn't really have anyone like him in its (loaded) farm system.

9. Oakland Athletics: Travis Swaggerty, OF, South Alabama. I've heard Bart and Madrigal would stop here if they fell at all. Swaggerty was a top-five pick coming into the spring but has hit just .305 in a bad conference, albeit with high walk and power outputs (.468/.565).

10. Pittsburgh Pirates: Matthew Liberatore, LHP, Mountain Ridge HS, Peoria, Arizona. The Pirates have had a lot of success lately with prep arms in high picks and I have heard them also being in on Libby and Stewart.

11. Baltimore Orioles: Logan Gilbert, RHP, Stetson. I've heard them with college arms -- Gilbert, McClanahan, and Ryan Rolison in particular.

12. Toronto Blue Jays: Shane McClanahan, LHP, South Florida. I've heard them with the same three guys as Baltimore. McClanahan came out strong early this spring, but since the outing against UConn (allowing six earned runs after giving up no earned runs prior to that) he's been inconsistent and there are concerns he's potentially a reliever.

13. Miami Marlins: Trevor Larnach, OF, Oregon State. This would be a dramatic departure from recent Marlins drafts -- they've taken high school arms with their first picks in three of the past four years, and just one college position player in the first round since 1996. But it's a new regime, and they've been linked to Larnach by several sources.

14. Seattle Mariners: Ryan Rolison, LHP, Ole Miss. Jerry Dipoto has had five first-round picks while general manager of the Mariners or Angels, and all five selections were four-year college players, so while I wouldn't rule out high school guys here, it does seem like college first and high school second (often over slot) is the Mariners' strategy. They've also been heavy on Miami-area high school shortstop Xavier Edwards.

15. Texas Rangers: Jarred Kelenic, OF, Waukesha (Wisconsin) West HS. Kelenic went to Lakeland, Florida, to work out for the Tigers before the season, spawning rumors of a deal at 1-1 that don't appear to have any foundation. He's played only a handful of games so far due to weather, however, so he could still hit his way into the top 10; at the moment, I haven't heard him strongly anywhere above this.

16. Tampa Bay Rays: Noah Naylor, C/3B, St. Joan of Arc HS, Ontario, Canada. I've heard Naylor in consideration with only a few teams so far, none above this pick. I've also heard the Rays associated with some high school hitters, including Jordyn Adams, Connor Scott and Alek Thomas.

17. Los Angeles Angels: Ryan Weathers, LHP, Loretto (Tennessee) HS. The son of longtime big leaguer David Weathers started his spring late after leading Loretto to the state Class A basketball championship, winning tournament MVP in the process; he hit 95 mph his first start but has pitched more with average velocity since. The interest in him seems to start in the mid-teens. The Angels are one of a few teams I've heard, with Adams, too.

18. Kansas City Royals: Jordyn Adams, OF, Green Hope HS, Cary, North Carolina Adams is a two-sport guy, committed to play baseball and football at UNC, where his father is the defensive-line coach; there's strong interest in him in the late teens and a few spots in the 20s if he indicates he'll sign and give up football. I've heard the Royals all over the place, but mostly interested in prep outfielders and pitchers.

19. St. Louis Cardinals: Cole Wilcox, RHP, Heritage HS, Ringgold, Georgia. Wilcox's delivery is unorthodox, but he's one of the only pitchers, prep or college, in this draft class who has improved his standing over the course of the spring, pitching well and consistently from start to finish. He faces Kumar Rocker on Thursday afternoon in a second-round playoff game in Ringgold.

20. Minnesota Twins: Jackson Kowar, RHP, Florida. I've heard the Twins linked to every manner of player and think it's best player available, with Kowar probably fitting that description well at this point -- and it wouldn't hurt that he's a college arm who could move quickly through their system anyway.

21. Milwaukee Brewers: Ethan Hankins, RHP, Forsyth Central HS, Cumming, Georgia. Hankins was probably going in the top five before a shoulder issue ruined his coming-out party, and hasn't showed the same stuff since returning while appearing to pitch at something less than 100 percent effort as well. Sources with drafting near the end of the round felt that he wouldn't get to their pick, even with a commitment to Vanderbilt.

22. Colorado Rockies: Kumar Rocker, RHP, North Oconee HS, Bogart, Georgia. Rocker is an outstanding two-way high school player whose fastball sat in the mid-90s much of the spring, losing a little velocity after a hamstring injury cost him a few starts, but he can also show a plus curveball.

23. New York Yankees: Cole Winn, RHP, Orange Lutheran HS, Orange, California. I've heard the Yankees mostly associated with college guys and a few premium high school athletes, but Winn is the only high school arm I've heard here, perhaps because he'd fit with longtime scouting director Damon Oppenheimer's affinity for polished prep arms from Southern California.

24. Chicago Cubs: Grayson Rodriguez, RHP, Central Heights HS, Nacogdoches, Texas. The Cubs seem likely to go for upside with this pick, with a young and relatively full major league roster but lacking potential stars in the system; Rodriguez has some of the best pure stuff in the draft class and is one of the very few pitchers you might project as a potential No. 2 starter or better.

25. Arizona Diamondbacks: Matt McLain, SS, Beckman HS, Tustin, California. The D-backs have been all over McLain this spring, with GM Mike Hazen going to see him at least twice. They could also be targeting him for their competitive-balance pick at No. 39.

26. Boston Red Sox: Brice Turang, SS, Santiago HS, Corona, California. Turang is a premium defensive shortstop with power but a questionable hit tool; a team taking him in the first round is likely hoping to work with his swing to get that power to play more in games. I think Boston will go for some upside with this pick, depending on who falls this far, but is unlikely to take a prep pitcher.

27. Washington Nationals: J.T. Ginn, RHP, Brandon (Mississippi) HS. I could also see the Nats taking Hankins or Turang if either falls here.

28. Houston Astros: Kris Bubic, LHP, Stanford. Bubic has surpassed teammate Tristan Beck, who missed all of last year with a back injury, with a better performance this spring, and worked himself into potential late first-round consideration along with other college arms like Kentucky's Sean Hjelle and Mississippi State's Konnor Pilkington.

29. Cleveland Indians: Connor Scott, OF, Plant HS, Tampa, Florida. I've heard Cleveland with a mess of high school players, including Scott and Thomas, who by the way...

30. Los Angeles Dodgers: Alek Thomas, OF, Mount Carmel (Illinois) HS. ... is also in the Dodgers' mix, as is Scott. I've also heard Stanford shortstop Nico Hoerner here; he or Missouri State shortstop Jeremy Eierman could slip into the back of the first round.