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Law's top 50 draft prospects: No. 1 is easy, but who comes next?

John Korduner/Icon Sportswire

The MLB draft is a little earlier this year, starting on Monday, June 4, so we are just under seven weeks away from D-Day. I've been out seeing players most of the spring, and in talking to execs and scouts, the only consensus seems to be that there's no consensus: We all agree who the top talent is in the class, but beyond that, no one has any confidence in how the rest of the draft might fall.

One national guy suggested to me a scenario where the top of the draft is all college guys, even with this college class being down this year -- Casey Mize, Shane McClanahan, Nick Madrigal, Travis Swaggerty, Brady Singer and Alec Bohm could all conceivably go one through six, in that order -- but that's entirely speculative, with the Giants (picking second) also linked to prep right-hander Carter Stewart.

With that significant caveat, here’s a ranking of the top 50 prospects in this year's draft class, as I see them right now, with some guys just getting underway due to the cold and rain in the northern half of the country. This is a ranking of players, not a mock draft. I have Jonathan India ranked 10th, but that doesn't mean I think he's going to be the 10th pick, or even necessarily a pick in the top 15.

1. Casey Mize, RHP, Auburn. The only clear ranking in the class. Mize is throwing up to 96 mph with plus control, his splitter is the best swing-and-miss pitch in the class and he has shown a plus slider and average changeup. He did miss some time last year with a forearm strain, but as long as his medicals check out, he should go first overall.

2. Carter Stewart, RHP, Eau Gallie High School, Melbourne, Florida. This is how you know this list is a ranking and not a mock: I have lots of high school pitchers in the top 10. Stewart is the "now" guy -- he throws up to 98 mph, as well as a plus curveball with some of the highest spin rates ever recorded, and has good size at 6-foot-6 and 200-plus pounds.

3. Matthew Liberatore, LHP, Mountain Ridge High School, Peoria, Arizona. Liberatore did hit 97 mph in one outing to start the year and hasn't done it again, but he's still a top-five guy for the same reason he looked like one last summer -- he's a lefty with arm strength, projection and an above-average breaking ball. He does need some delivery work out of the stretch.

4. Travis Swaggerty, OF, South Alabama. Swaggerty hasn't hit for much average this year, hovering just above .300 for most of the spring despite facing a lot of mediocre pitching. He's doing just about everything else he should be doing -- walking a ton, running well and playing at least solid-average defense in center.

5. Alec Bohm, 3B, Wichita State. Bohm has been mashing all spring with a great right-handed swing that should continue to generate hard contact and power; he's walked twice as much as he's struck out and sports a .347/.461/.613 line this season. He's big for third base but moves well for his size and shows a plus arm.

6. Nick Madrigal, 2B, Oregon State. Madrigal had a huge first six games to start the year and has been out since then with a hairline fracture in his left hand. He's been on scouts' radar for four years now and has a long track record of hitting for average and contact, but he has little power and doesn't project to have any. He's also been bumped to second base by shortstop Cadyn Greiner, a potential Day 1 pick.

7. Jarred Kelenic, OF, Waukesha (Wisconsin) West High School. Kelenic has barely played at all this spring; scouts who have seen him had to watch him play at an indoor facility, which isn't real baseball. He doesn't play for his school and only plays on weekends for a club team in Kenosha. So while he hasn't been seen much at all this spring, he did impress many scouts with his tools last summer, and has already been to Lakeland to work out for the Tigers.

8. Mike Vasil, RHP, Boston College High, Boston. The Virginia commit now has made three short appearances, showing a fastball up to 96 mph that really plays up, a good changeup and a solid delivery; the main question here is the breaking ball, as he doesn't have anything average yet.

9. Shane McClanahan, LHP, South Florida. McClanahan is reportedly in the mix at No. 2 and elsewhere in the top 10 and can touch 99 mph from the left side, but his secondary stuff lags a little and his delivery and lack of command raise serious bullpen risk.

10. Jonathan India, INF, Florida. India has gone bananas at the plate this year for the Gators, and if you rake like this in the SEC, you’re probably going to go pretty high in the draft. He's played mostly third base, but don't be surprised if the team that drafts him sends him out at shortstop.

11. Cole Winn, RHP, Orange Lutheran High School, Orange, California. Winn is one of the most polished prep arms in the class, with command of three pitches that could all project to plus and a simple delivery he repeats very well.

12. Kumar Rocker, RHP, North Oconee High School, Bogart, Georgia. Rocker looks big league-ready at 6-foot-5, 235ish pounds, with a fastball consistently in the mid-90s and a breaking ball that shows plus; he missed a few starts recently with a hamstring injury.

13. Cole Wilcox, RHP, Heritage High School, Chickamauga, Georgia. Wilcox has touched the mid-90s with his fastball but pitches comfortably at 90-94 mph with good life on his two-seamer. He flashes plus on both the slider and the changeup with a loose but unorthodox arm action.

14. Joey Bart, C, Georgia Tech. The top college catcher in the class, Bart could go as high as Oakland's pick (No. 9 overall). He's a power guy more than a hit guy with good receiving skills and a 60-grade arm.

15. Nolan Gorman, 3B, Sandra Day O'Connor High School, Peoria, Arizona. Gorman has 80-grade raw power but might not stay on the dirt. He has raised some questions about his future contact rate with an excessive focus on hitting homers this spring.

16. Ryan Weathers, LHP, Loretto (Tennessee) High School. Son of longtime big leaguer David Weathers, who pitched like a crafty lefty but wasn't one, Ryan is an actual southpaw with excellent command for a teenager and two above-average pitches right now in his fastball and curve.

17. Jackson Kowar, RHP, Florida. Kowar has one of the best changeups in the class and an above-average fastball, lacking an average breaking pitch and struggling too often with command.

18. Grayson Rodriguez, RHP Central Heights High School, Nacogdoches, Texas. There's some violence in the delivery but Rodriguez has thrown up to 98 mph and complements it with a hammer curveball. The Texas A&M commit is already big league-sized at 6-foot-5, 230.

19. Ryan Rolison, LHP, Ole Miss. Rolison has really gone backward this spring, as he now throws way across his body -- he didn't last summer -- which reduces his odds of remaining a starting pitcher. He's still throwing 92-94 mph along with an above-average breaking ball and has been generally successful in the SEC. He's a draft-eligible sophomore this year.

20. Brady Singer, RHP, Florida. Singer has a rough arm action and comes from a very low slot that gives lefties a long look at the ball, compounded by his lack of a viable changeup, although he has been throwing up to 96 mph at times and can show two average or better breaking balls in his better outings.

21. Noah Naylor, INF/C, St. Joan of Arc, Mississauga, Canada. Naylor, younger brother of Padres farmhand Josh Naylor, is an excellent athlete with good feel to hit but no clear position right now. He's similar in that regard to another Canadian prep player, Brett Lawrie, who also went in the first round.

22. Alek Thomas, OF, Mount Carmel High School, Chicago. Thomas is one of the better pure bats in the high school class, with above-average run and throw tools, potentially profiling in center field with a leadoff skill set. He's committed to TCU for baseball and football but has MLB bloodlines -- his father is the White Sox's strength and conditioning coach.

23. Mike Siani, OF, William Penn Charter, Philadelphia. Siani's season has just gotten underway, with frequent rainouts limiting scouts' looks, but he's got one of the better tools packages among prep outfielders in this class.

24. Sean Hjelle, RHP, Kentucky. Hjelle is 6-foot-11, so while he doesn't throw that hard, he might as well be standing on a ladder as far as hitters are concerned. He's a strike-thrower who could still add some velocity.

25. Jake McCarthy, OF, Virginia. McCarthy has barely played this spring due to injury but should be back in the next few weeks. He's a center fielder who might stay there and has shown a good feel to hit in the past, with more power potential than his brother, Joe McCarthy, had.

26. Seth Beer, OF, Clemson. He'll be a 40- or 45-grade defender in left, and he's hitting only .288 this spring, but Beer has a three-year track record of getting on base and hitting for power that should put him in or just outside the first round.

27. Brice Turang, SS, Santiago High School, Corona, California. A plus defender at shortstop with great hands, range and arm strength, Turang hasn't shown much offensive ability, with power in batting practice that never translates to games. Turang is committed to LSU, and if he's not drafted before this point, he might very well end up geauxing to school.

28. Logan Gilbert, RHP, Stetson. Gilbert's stuff has been down a little bit all spring, although he's pitched well enough to still slip into the first round to a team willing to bet that he'll get all that velocity back in time.

29. Triston Casas, 1B, American Heritage High School, Plantation, Florida. Casas doesn't have Gorman's power, grading out more around 60 raw, but he has a better present hit tool and a more advanced approach. He's limited to first base, which isn't a position that typically goes in the first round.

30. Kris Bubic, LHP, Stanford. Bubic has a great track record of success at Stanford -- which has killed a lot of pitchers over the past two decades -- and is up to 95 mph along with a plus changeup and average curveball, although he hasn't held his velocity well deep into games.

31. Konnor Pilkington, LHP, Mississippi State. Pilkington's stuff is a little light for the first round but his results aren't, as he's shown some of the best control in the draft class and still projects as a starter given his arsenal.

32. Connor Scott, OF, Plant High School, Tampa. Scott is a plus runner with arm strength and a fair chance to hit, showing average power from the left side, profiling in right field given the chance he'll outgrow center.

33. Ethan Hankins, RHP, Forsyth Central High School, Cumming, Georgia. Hankins was No. 1 on my list before his shoulder barked, and while he's hit 95 mph in his outings after a monthlong layoff, he hasn't been the same guy, pitching with less command and a much-reduced curveball. He might be a second-pick overpay, as with Sean Manaea several years ago, or could head to Vanderbilt in the fall instead.

34. Tristan Pompey, OF, Kentucky. Pompey can hit, has some pop and runs a little bit, although he's probably limited to left field. He missed some time with an off-field ankle injury earlier this season.

35. Nico Hoerner, SS, Stanford. Hoerner rarely strikes out, showing good balance at the plate and a short path to the ball, although he doesn't project to hit for power and hasn't shown great walk rates. He has a chance to stay at short, standing out in a draft class very weak in the middle infield.

36. Kyler Murray, CF, Oklahoma. Murray is slated to start at quarterback this fall for the Sooners, but if he's finally ready to play baseball full time, his plus-plus speed and contact-oriented swing would make him a first-round pick -- especially since he's played fairly well since moving into the Sooners' lineup in the third weekend of the spring.

37. Lenny Torres, RHP, Beacon (New York) High School. Torres is still just 17, one of the youngest prospects in the draft this year -- and already has hit 97 mph in his few outings so far this spring around some awful weather -- but with command and control that lag behind the other premium arms in the class.

38. J.T. Ginn, RHP, Brandon (Mississippi) High School. Ginn's delivery is rough, with some effort and a head-whack, but he'll flash a 70-grade fastball and 70-grade breaking ball. There are certainly teams that don't care about arm actions and will just bet on stuff like this.

39. Jeremiah Jackson, SS, St. Luke's High School, Mobile, Alabama. A projectable prep shortstop who came out strong early this spring and could go somewhere in the 30s with someone's second pick.

40. Will Banfield, C, Brookwood (Georgia) High School. The top prep catcher in the class shows potential on both sides of the ball but has underperformed a little bit this spring at the plate.

41. Blaine Knight, RHP, Arkansas. Knight was draft-eligible last year but slid to the 29th round, where Texas took him. He obviously chose not to sign. He's a four-pitch starter with a good delivery and excellent control, although his slight build has some scouts concerned he won't hold up as a starter.

42. Garrett Wade, LHP, Hartselle (Alabama) High School. Wade's slider is the best in the draft class, but his velocity has been inconsistent and he has a lowish slot where he tends to get under his fastball.

43. Anthony Seigler, C/BHP, Cartersville (Georgia) High School. Seigler is a switch-hittin', switch-pitchin' catcher from the same high school that gave us ... (checks notes) Donavan Tate, so, OK, never mind that, but Seigler has hit well enough this spring to push himself into the top 50 as a good defensive catcher with some offensive upside.

44. Owen White, RHP, Jesse Carlson High School, Mount Ulla, North Carolina. White was mostly at 90-91 mph last year but has seen his velocity tick up this spring, with some power to the breaking ball and projection left in his frame.

45. Jordan Groshans, SS, Magnolia (Texas) High School. Groshans' name has started to pop up as a potential first-rounder; he's a shortstop now but will head to third base in pro ball, boasting a plus arm. He makes a lot of contact with a swing that's on the flat side right now, although he has the physical strength for power. His teammate, Adam Kloffenstein, is a 6-foot-5 right-hander who also likely will go off the board on Day 1.

46. Joe Gray, OF, Hattiesburg (Mississippi) High School. I like Gray a little more than the industry, even with the awful historical track record of prep bats signed out of Mississippi. (In 50-plus years of the draft, it's Charlie Hayes, Bill Hall, Billy Hamilton and that's about it.) He's athletic, physical and not quite as raw at the plate as the typical high school hitter from that state.

47. Trevor Larnach, OF, Oregon State. Strong college performer in a class that could use a few more of them, limited to a corner and with no real tools beyond his power -- although he tends to hit the other way and rarely pulls the ball.

48. Jeremy Eierman, SS, Missouri State. Yet another college hitter who hasn't performed near expectations, especially playing in a mid-major conference, although Eierman gets a little slack because he's a shortstop who should at least stay on the dirt.

49. Matt McLain, SS, Beckman High School, Tustin, California. McLain is small and lacks tools, but he has hit well all spring and done so in front of enough national scouts that he's getting talked about in the sandwich or second rounds. He might also be benefiting from a historically bad year in Southern California.

50. Jordyn Adams, OF, Green Hope High School, Cary, North Carolina. Adams could be fool's gold if he's not fully committed to baseball -- if he doesn't sign, he’s headed to North Carolina in the fall to play football for his dad, the Tar Heels' wide receivers coach -- but he's a 70-grade runner with plus bat speed. His tools are ahead of his skills right now, so taking him would be a big bet on his athleticism.

Honorable mentions: Parker Meadows, OF, Grayson (Georgia) HS; Xavier Edwards, SS, North Broward Prep, Wellington, Florida; Osiris Johnson, SS/OF, Encinal HS, Alameda, California; Griffin Conine, OF, Duke; Carson Sands, RHP, Florida State; Austin Becker, RHP, Big Walnut HS, Sunbury, Ohio; Nick Decker, OF, Seneca HS, Southampton, New Jersey; Sean Guilbe, SS, Berks Catholic HS, Reading, Pennsylvania; Alex McKenna, OF, Cal Poly.

Two more players who would have been in the top 50 if not for injuries: RHP Mason Denaburg of Merritt Island High School, Florida; and LHP Tim Cate of UConn. Denaburg was a likely top-20 pick, Cate somewhere near the end of the first round or in the comp picks.