Texans (4-8) at Bears (5-7)
1 p.m. ET | CBS
Matchup rating: 36.8 | Spread: HOU -1 (45)
What to watch for: The buildup in Chicago is all about Houston's Deshaun Watson, one of two franchise quarterbacks the Bears bypassed in favor of Mitchell Trubisky in the 2017 NFL draft. The game itself is almost inconsequential. Bears fans will hang on every Watson throw, the way they did when Patrick Mahomes visited Soldier Field last year. Mahomes embarrassed the Bears. -- Jeff Dickerson
Bold prediction: Watson will throw for three touchdowns and set his single-season career high (27). That would also be the second most in a single season in Texans history. -- Sarah Barshop
Stat to know: The Bears are 30th in offensive efficiency and yards per game, but the Texans rank 30th in defensive efficiency and opponent yards per game.
Playoff/draft picture: Through Week 6, Chicago held a 71.6% chance to make the playoffs. Now? Just 6.6% and a projected No. 12 pick in the 2021 draft. And while Houston's playoff hopes ride at less than 0.1%, it does not have a first-round pick.
What to know for fantasy: On a per-game basis, Bears running back David Montgomery is RB7 since the Tarik Cohen injury. He faces the second-most friendly defense to opposing running backs this weekend. See Week 14 rankings.
Betting nugget: Houston is 3-2 against the spread versus teams with losing records this season and 1-6 ATS against all others. Read more.
Barshop's pick: Texans 27, Bears 20
Dickerson's pick: Texans 27, Bears 24
FPI prediction: HOU, 52.9% (by an average of 1.0 points)
Matchup must-reads: For Texans' Watson, losing is unfamiliar and 'tough to handle' ... Can GM Pace and coach Nagy survive Bears' downfall? ... Under-25 developmental players crucial to Texans' rebuilding effort ... Bears' Smith takes place among league's elite linebackers