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Betting market watch: NFL, college football line moves, early action and bookmaker insights

Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images

Here is our weekly look at how the NFL and college football betting markets are shaping up leading into the weekend.

For consistency, lines, totals and betting percentages are from Caesars Sportsbook, unless otherwise noted. The betting percentages are not specific to the current line or total and are designed to provide a snapshot of the early action. The look-ahead lines were offered in advance of the previous week's games. The numbers were re-opened Sunday night.


Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals (Thursday)

Last week's look-ahead line: Bengals -6.5, 46
Sunday opener: Bengals -7.5, 46.5
Wednesday: Bengals -7.5, 45.5
Spread action: 77% of bets, 75% of money wagered is on the Bengals.
Total action: 65% of bets, 65% of money wagered is on the over.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New England Patriots

Last week's look-ahead line: Bucs -5.5, 50.5
Sunday opener: Bucs -6, 49.5
Wednesday: Bucs -7, 49
Spread action: 97% of the bets, 97% of the money wagered is on the Bucs.
Total action: 61% of the bets, 67% of the money wagered is on the over.

Note: The Brady-Belichick showdown had attracted more bets than any other game at PointsBet, where 93% of the money wagered was on the Bucs.

Washington Football Team at Atlanta Falcons

Last week's look-ahead line: Football Team -1, 49
Sunday opener: Pick 'em, 49
Wednesday: Football Team -1.5, 48
Spread action: 60% of bets, 80% of money wagered is on the Football Team.
Total action: 66% of bets, 76% of money wagered is on the under.

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears

Last week's look-ahead line: Bears -6, 45.5
Sunday opener: Bears -4, 44.5
Wednesday: Bears -3, 42
Spread action: 84% of bets, 93% of money wagered is on the Lions.
Total action: 61% of bets, 95% of money wagered is on the under.

Tennessee Titans at New York Jets

Last week's look-ahead line: Titans -6, 48.5
Sunday opener: Titans -6.5, 47
Wednesday: Titans -7, 44
Spread action: 97% of bets, 98% of money wagered is on the Titans.
Total action: 72% of bets, 95% of money wagered is on the under.

Note: The SuperBook reported sharp bettors in Colorado backing the Jets +8.

Cleveland Browns at Minnesota Vikings

Last week's look-ahead line: Browns -1, 50.5
Sunday opener: Browns -1.5, 51
Wednesday: Browns -2, 51.5
Spread action: 67% of bets, 80% of money wagered is on the Browns.
Total action: 70% of bets are on the over, but 61% of the money wagered is on the under.

Note: The SuperBook reported taking bets from sharp bettors on the Browns -1.5 in Nevada.

Indianapolis Colts at Miami Dolphins

Last week's look-ahead line: Dolphins -2.5, 45.5
Sunday opener: Dolphins -2, 45.5
Wednesday: Dolphins -2, 42.5
Spread action: 51% of the bets are on the Colts, but 61% of the money wagered is on the Dolphins.
Total action: 60% of the bets are on the over, but 95% of the money is on the under.

Note: Early forecasts are calling for windy conditions (15 mph).

Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys

Sunday opener: Cowboys -4.5, 50
Wednesday: Cowboys -4.5, 52.5
Spread action: 60% of the bets, 65% of the money wagered is on the Cowboys.
Total action: 69% of the bets are on the over, but 75% of the money wagered is on the under.

New York Giants at New Orleans Saints

Last week's look-ahead line: Saints -6.5, 47
Sunday opener: Saints -8, 45
Wednesday: Saints -7.5, 42
Spread action: 79% of the bets, 79% of the money wagered is on the Saints.
Total action: 58% of the bets are on the over, but 84% of the money is on the under.

Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles

Last week's look-ahead line: Chiefs -6.5, 54.5
Sunday opener: Chiefs -5.5, 54.5
Wednesday: Chiefs -7, 54.5
Spread action: 96% of the bets, 89% of the money wagered is on the Chiefs.
Total action: 68% of the bets are on the over, but 51% of the money wagered is on the under.

Note: BetRivers' sportsbook reported heavy action on the Chiefs, including spread, money line and parlays and teasers.

Houston Texans at Buffalo Bills

Last week's look-ahead line: Bills -16.5, 48
Sunday opener: Bills -17.5, 47.5
Wednesday: Bills 16, 47
Spread action: 61% of the bets are on the Bills, but 68% of the money wagered is on the Texans.
Total action: 76% of the bets are on the over, but 65% of the money wagered is on the under.

Note: At BetRivers, nearly 75% of the spread bets are on the Bills, but the money wagered is very evenly divided.

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams

Last week's look-ahead line: Rams -6, 53
Sunday opener: Rams -6, 53.5
Wednesday: Rams -4.5, 55
Spread action: 60% of the bets, 97% of the money wagered is on the Cardinals.
Total action: 82% of the bets, 95% of the money wagered is on the over.

Note: The only matchup this week of undefeated teams attracted the biggest early bet on Week 4 that Caesars Sportsbook had taken as of Tuesday. Caesars reported taking a $300,000 bet on the Cardinals +6 this week in Nevada, leading to the lopsided money percentage above.

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers

Last week's look-ahead line: 49ers -3.5, 49.5
Sunday opener: 49ers -2.5, 51.5
Wednesday: 49ers -2.5, 52
Spread action: 59% of the bets, 60% of the money wagered is on the Seahawks.
Total action: 68% of the bets, 79% of the money is on the over.

Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos

Last week's look-ahead line: Ravens -1, 45.5
Sunday opener: Broncos -1.5, 45
Wednesday: Broncos -1 (-105), 45
Spread action: 70% of the bets, 68% of the money wagered is on the Ravens.
Total action: 74% of the bets, 79% of the money wagered is on the over.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Green Bay Packers

Last week's look-ahead line: Packers -6.5, 48
Sunday opener: Packers -7, 47.5
Wednesday: Packers -6.5, 45.5
Spread action: 92% of the bets, 88% of the money wagered is on the Packers.
Total action: 86% of the bets, 84% of the money wagered is on the over.

Note: "The Steelers game probably has the most interesting betting," John Murray, executive director of the SuperBook, told ESPN. "The whole world is on the Packers, and the number has gone the other way, from Packers -7 to -6.5."

Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers (Monday)

Last week's look-ahead line: Chargers -3, 52.5
Sunday opener: Chargers -3, 53
Wednesday: Chargers -3.5, 52.5
Spread action: 52% of the bets, 83% of the money wagered is on the Chargers.
Total action: 84% of the bets is on the over, but 61% of the money wagered is on the under.


College football market watch

Circa Sports is responsible for the first college football lines to hit the betting market each week. The book posts its opening lines at 11 a.m. PT on Sundays and offers $3,000 betting limits to all comers, including professional bettors. Within the industry, Circa Sports is what's considered a "sharp book." Their limits grow rapidly through the week and, by the time kickoff approaches, will be among the largest in the betting market.