If there's one thing that defines the 2019 NHL draft, it's the utter lack of consensus that exists after picks No. 1 and 2.
To that end, this class' risers and fallers are, for the most part, not rising or falling terribly far from where they started. These aren't drastic climbs or tumbles. Rather, these are players who have generated more buzz over the course of the season or players who started with plenty and tailed off.
Here's a look at draft prospects trending up and down coming out of the combine.
Note: Ages are all as of the 2019 NHL draft on June 21.
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COMBINE MOVERS
At the NHL combine this past week, players had the chance to meet with teams and showcase their strength and athleticism in Buffalo. In the physical testing segment, top-rated goalie Spencer Knight and prep school defenseman Jayden Struble -- who finished first in five categories -- were among the standouts.
Jayden Struble, a defenseman from St. Sebastian's School in Needham, Mass., finished first in 5 of the 18 fitness tests at the 2019 NHL Scouting Combine presented by adidas.#NHLCombine Top 25 Results: https://t.co/q1bJc7Y2iC pic.twitter.com/vOKvKx7sIc
— NHL Public Relations (@PR_NHL) June 1, 2019
Another interesting note coming out of the measurements was that several players measured a quarter-inch to a half-inch taller. Among them was undersized scorer Cole Caufield, who measured at 5-foot-7.25 after coming in a hair under 5-foot-7 at the midterm.
In the interview stage, sources in the scouting community say defensemen Tobias Bjornfot and Moritz Seider impressed. Seider actually interviewed with all 31 teams and joked "maybe even Seattle soon too" while holding court with the media after physical testing Saturday.
TRENDING UP
Brayden Tracey, LW, Moose Jaw (WHL)
Age: 18 | Ht: 6-0 | Wt: 177 | Shot: L
Of the prospects in this draft class, Tracey probably had the most dramatic change from the start of the season. Tracey put up 81 points for the Moose Jaw Warriors, second-most among U18 players in the WHL, with a similar points-per-game rate to top-10 prospect Dylan Cozens. Tracey was named WHL Rookie of the Year for his efforts. He's an offensive standout, but he has some grit and edge to him as well.
NHL Central Scouting listed him 21st among North American skaters in their final ranking after he was No. 73 at the midterm. The midseason indeed proved to be a turning point for him. "Kind of around New Years, I started raising my game, and I noticed I started going up in the rankings," Tracey said Saturday at the NHL scouting combine. He mentioned his defensive game and work ethic as big areas of improvement.
Tracey also was a member of Team Canada at the World U18 Championship, at which he showcased excellent hand skills and top-end vision, posting seven points in seven games. He spent a good chunk of the season playing with Justin Almeida, a Pittsburgh Penguins prospect and one of the WHL's top scorers, and he thought U18s allowed him to prove that he isn't just a product of his high-end teammates in Moose Jaw.
"A lot of guys thought I only had my numbers because of my linemates this year," Tracey said. "Obviously, that gets on me. I get a little fire about it. I knew U18 was going to be a good experience for me. I knew I'd have to showcase a bit, and I think I did that."
The extra motivation certainly helped, as Tracey went from under-the-radar to a potential first-rounder for some teams.
Moritz Seider, D, Mannheim (Germany)
Age: 18 | Ht: 6-4 | Wt: 183 | Shot: R
The big German defenseman got a lot of love over the course of the season. There are even a few teams that now have him as their No. 2 defenseman after Bowen Byram. Seider noted at the scouting combine that there were 84 scouts at his last regular-season game with Adler Mannheim of the DEL. His team went on to win the league title, and Seider became the youngest player to represent Germany at the World Championship, in which he played a top-four role.
Seider has been viewed as a first-round talent for almost the entire season, but now he's very much in the conversation to be a top-15 pick. He's big, smooth and a right shot, which makes him a real rarity. The only risk at this point is that there aren't a ton of historical comparables for him. The team that drafts him might consider bringing him to North America right away and giving him a shot in the AHL. Seider noted that he will play wherever he thinks will be best for his development, noting that it will be important for him to get more minutes and special-teams play than he got this season.
Patrik Puistola, RW, Tappara Jr. (Finland Jr.)
Age: 18 | Ht: 6-0 | Wt: 174 | Shot: L
After bouncing between the various levels of Finnish hockey, Puistola finished the season on a high note as one of Finland's most important players at the World U18 Championship. He scored five goals and was an offensive driver for a team that lacked much skill. Although Puistola did not produce in Finland's top pro league over 16 games, he made the most of being sent down. When he was loaned out to second-division LeKi, Puistola had the best rate of production by a U18 player in that league's history, with 26 points in 22 games (1.18 points per game).
He remains a little lower on rankings -- Central Scouting had him at 28th among European skaters, and he was No. 26 overall on my early May ranking set -- but I've heard more chatter about him being a potential first-rounder or at least an early second-round pick. He's remarkably skilled.
Pyotr Kochetkov, G, Ryazan (Russia 2)
Age: 19 | Ht: 6-3 | Wt: 205 | Catch: L
A third-year-eligible goalie, Kochetkov wasn't even ranked by Central Scouting in his original draft campaigns in 2017 and 2018. Now, he could be the second goaltender off the board at the draft. Ranked No. 1 among international goalies by Central in their final rankings for 2019, Kochetkov has all of the tools NHL teams look for, including size, quickness and calmness under pressure. And does he ever compete.
He really popped onto the scene this season with Russia's U20 program. Kochetkov dominated first at the Canada-Russia series, then at the World Junior Championship, at which he was named goalie of the tournament and a media all-star as he backstopped Russia to bronze. Kochetkov made two starts in the KHL this year but did most of his damage in the VHL, Russia's second division. He posted a .930 save percentage in 18 appearances. One thing to watch, however, is that Kochetkov was transferred to SKA St. Petersburg, where he is likely to replace New York Rangers prospect Igor Shesterkin on the KHL roster. Teams might exercise some additional caution as a result, but there's no question that he is a talent worth drafting.
Jackson LaCombe, D, Shattuck St. Mary's Prep (High-MN)
Age: 18 | Ht: 6-1 | Wt: 171 | Shot: L
The buzz surrounding LaCombe at the NHL combine was noticeable. He had a monster season on the back end for the vaunted Shattuck St. Mary's prep school, but those numbers are often taken with a grain of salt due to the level of competition. LaCombe has an early 2001 birth date and was a nonfactor at last summer's Hlinka-Gretzky Cup, but teams kept watching him. He made USA Hockey's U18 national championship an especially hot scouting destination this year.
"Every player has their own path," LaCombe said when asked what he gained by staying in prep school as opposed to trying junior hockey. "Going back to Shattuck helped me. I was able to play a key role. I'm a bit of a late grower too."
It became apparent that scouts were paying closer attention and starting to think of him as a top prospect when LaCombe played a few games with the Chicago Steel in the USHL. He met with 26 NHL teams at the combine.
LaCombe is a project. He has been playing defense for only the past two seasons, and he needs to tack on more strength. But he is a tremendous skater and clearly has some athleticism and tools. He isn't the kind of guy you take a swing on in the first round, but I'd imagine we see him in the second, especially if there are teams with multiple picks in that round. I'm still a little lukewarm on his long-term projection, but he has made a decent case for himself.
TRENDING DOWN
Nolan Foote, LW, Kelowna (WHL)
Age: 18 | Ht: 6-3 | Wt: 190 | Shot: L
Early in the season, it looked like Foote was a lock to go in the first round. A big power forward with good NHL bloodlines, he was among the most highly regarded WHL forwards. But as the season progressed, Foote appeared to be falling out of favor a bit. He had a good yet not dominant season with Kelowna and started dropping in the public rankings. It's looking less and less likely that Foote will go in the first round without some sort of rally.
However, Foote revealed to EPRinkside.com that he played through a wrist injury the entire year. If there has been a frequent complaint about him among scouts, it's his hands, which would undoubtedly have been affected by such an injury. Foote doesn't have exceptional skill, but he has high-end hockey sense and great vision. His shot is pretty strong too, as he had 36 goals. The injury might soften some opinions on him, but I still think teams will exercise caution despite his good size.
Anttoni Honka, D, Jukurit (Finland)
Age: 18 | Ht: 5-10 | Wt: 179 | Shot: R
He has some tremendous skill, and his stock rallied a little bit late in the season, but Honka has not shown much progress from last season to this season, especially in the defensive zone. Honka was viewed as a potential first-rounder coming into the season, and I was very high on him, knowing that he was going to need to get his defensive game in order and make better puck decisions. I didn't see that enough this season, and I know there are more than a few scouts who didn't either.
Honka put up eight points in 27 Liiga games this season and was even more productive when loaned out to the second division. But he remains a defensive liability and is perhaps not dynamic enough to play his style of game at a fairly average size. He was part of Finland's gold medal team at the World Junior Championship but was its least used defenseman. He is absolutely still worth a pick because he has some upside due to his skill set, but it might not be until the middle rounds at the earliest.
Daniil Gutik, LW, Yaroslavl 2 (Russia Jr.)
Age: 17 | Ht: 6-3 | Wt: 179 | Shot: R
I potentially overranked him early in the season based on a few early views, but one of the players who has dropped significantly in my own rankings and across the industry is Gutik. He has excellent puck skills to go with a 6-foot-3 frame with room to fill out, and he makes clever plays and has good vision. The big complaints throughout the season were inconsistency and poor on-ice work ethic. He disappeared far too many times for a player of his skill. He went from playing on the same line with Vasily Podkolzin on Russia's U18 team to being cut from the squad that went on to win silver at the World U18 Championship.
He did not attend the combine, though he was invited. I believe Gutik will still be drafted by someone, but it certainly isn't a lock anymore.
Ryder Donovan, C, Duluth East (High-MN)
Age: 18 | Ht: 6-3 | Wt: 184 | Shot: R
A big, athletic kid who can really skate, Donovan has tantalizing physical tools. He had first-round buzz at the beginning of the season, even as he opted to stay with his high school team, but the senior did not produce at a rate in line with other top high schoolers who go high in the draft. Donovan also did a short stint with the Dubuque Fighting Saints in the USHL and registered just two assists in 14 games at the end of the regular season and playoffs. In those games, it was clear that he still needs to work at playing with pace and against speed.
There might still be a few teams that would take a chance on the upside of Donovan's athleticism, but that number is probably smaller than it was at the start of the season. He was ranked 46th by Central Scouting at the midterm and 97th in the final.