Mike Clay is a senior writer for fantasy football and the NFL at ESPN. Mike is a member of the FSWA Hall of Fame. His projections power the ESPN Fantasy Football game, and he also appears on "Fantasy Football Now" and the Fantasy Focus Football podcast.
Opportunity-adjusted fantasy points (OFP) strip away player talent and efficiency and focus solely on opportunity.
FORP -- fantasy points over replacement player -- is the difference between a player's actual fantasy point total (FF Pts) and his OFP (expected total).
Quarterback adjustments are made as follows:
Pass attempts: No change
Pass completions: Pass attempts multiplied by a passer's expected completion percentage based on depth of throw, location and target position
Passing yardage: Pass attempts multiplied by a passer's expected yardage based on depth of throw, location and target position
Passing touchdowns: Passing OTD
Interceptions: Pass attempts multiplied by a passer's expected interceptions based on depth of throw, location and target position
Rushing attempts: No change
Rushing yardage: Rush attempts multiplied by a rusher's expected yardage based type of rushing attempt
Rushing touchdowns: Rushing OTD
Two-point conversions: OTD multiplied by the league average two-point rate
Fumbles lost: Touches multiplied by the league average rate
