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2025 NFL betting preview: Three picks for each team you need to consider

Illustration by ESPN

The NFL season offers an almost unlimited amount of betting opportunities, from seasonlong win totals to individual player props and everything in between. It can be daunting.

Don't worry. I've got you covered.

Here are three wagers for each of the 32 franchises. Some picks look at the big picture, such as Super Bowl futures or division odds. Others zoom in on specific players, highlighting yardage totals, touchdown props or award chances. And for those who can't wait until February, we even have a few Week 1 matchups covered.

Whether you're a futures-focused bettor mapping out the entire season or someone who prefers to target specific markets, this guide gives you a broad menu of options for every team. Consider it your all-in-one starting point for betting the 2025 NFL season.

All odds current as of publication time and courtesy of ESPN BET.

Jump to: ARI | ATL | BAL | BUF | CAR | CHI
CIN | CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU
IND | JAX | KC | LAC | LAR | LV | MIA
MIN | NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT
SEA | SF | TB | TEN | WAS

Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals OVER 8.5 wins (-125)
Trey McBride OVER 4.5 receiving TDs (-110)
Jonathan Gannon to win Coach of the Year (+1400)

If things break well, Arizona could be a playoff team. The Cardinals quietly morphed into one of the best defenses in the league last year under Jonathan Gannon and ranked fifth in scoring defense (19.6 PPG) from Week 7 through 18. If they can maintain that performance on that side of the ball and get Kyler Murray and Marvin Harrison Jr. to make a leap, this could be a sneaky team in the NFC West. With legit question marks surrounding all four teams, the division appears wide open. ... One thing I'm fairly confident in is some positive touchdown regression for tight end Trey McBride, who had just two TD catches last season despite hauling in 111 passes.


Atlanta Falcons

Michael Penix Jr. to lead NFL in passing yards (+2500)
Drake London to lead NFL in receiving yards (+2200)
Week 1 Buccaneers-Falcons total points OVER 48.5 (-110)

This Falcons team has the potential to be the RedZone channel team of the year. If Michael Penix Jr. is the real deal at QB, this offense could be explosive. All the other ingredients are there. Unfortunately, I'm not sure how good Atlanta's defense is going to be. The Falcons invested premium draft capital in this (and next year's) draft to upgrade an impotent pass rush. We'll see if it pays off. ... OC Zac Robinson is going to lean heavily on Bijan Robinson and Drake London. Each has the potential to be the leading producer at his position if the Falcons end up playing at a brisk pace and in a lot of shootouts. This team could end up being the NFC's version of the Bengals.


Baltimore Ravens

Ravens to win AFC North (-160)
Ravens finishing seed in AFC UNDER 4.5 (-135)
Ravens to lead league in scoring (+800)

Although postseason success has eluded this team, the Ravens remain one of the most consistently excellent franchises in football. They have an MVP quarterback in the prime of his career, a Super Bowl-winning head coach and a front office that routinely makes good personnel decisions. They are deserving co-Super Bowl favorites with the defending champion Eagles (+650 at ESPN BET). ... The Baltimore offense produced 518 points last year (third in the league) in its first season with Todd Monken as offensive coordinator. With the Lions -- the top-scoring team from last year -- losing OC Ben Johnson, we could see some growth from Baltimore's unit that makes it the most potent offense in the league.


Buffalo Bills

Bills OVER 11.5 wins (-155)
Bills to win AFC East (-300)
James Cook UNDER 8.5 RUSHING TDs (+100)

Priced at +700 at ESPN BET, Buffalo has the third-shortest odds to win the Super Bowl. Postseason traumas have plagued this franchise, well, forever, but the remarkable consistency of Josh Allen gives this team a regular-season floor that rivals that of the Chiefs. The Bills have a light schedule that they should have no problem navigating on their way to 12-plus wins and a sixth straight AFC East division title. ... On the downside, RB James Cook is looking for a new contract and is highly likely to regress from the 16 rushing touchdowns he scored in 2024 on just 207 carries. He had scored just four rushing TDs on his previous 326 carries.


Carolina Panthers

Panthers OVER 6.5 wins (-135)
Bryce Young OVER 3,200.5 passing yards (-115)
Week 1 Panthers-Jaguars total points UNDER 46.5 (-115)

The 2025 Panthers have one reason for legitimate optimism in 2025: the play of QB Bryce Young down the stretch in 2024. After getting benched two games into last season, Young earned the starting job back in Week 8 and produced 20 touchdowns to just 11 turnovers over his final 10 games, helping the Panthers win three out of four overtime games during that span. Carolina's front office poured even more resources into his development by drafting WR Tetairoa McMillan with the eighth pick. I don't think the defense is quite ready to contend in 2025, but the unit can only get better after allowing a league-worst 31.4 PPG last season -- almost four PPG worse than the next team.


Chicago Bears

Caleb Williams OVER 3,450.5 passing yards (-130)
Williams to record 4,000+ passing yards (+250)
Week 1 Bears +1 (-120) vs. Vikings

Caleb Williams' rookie year was a disappointment (he was sacked 68 times), but his sophomore campaign is set up for him to make a big leap. The Bears upgraded their coaching and personnel in a major way across the board. Head coach/coordinator, offensive line, pass catchers -- all are improved in 2025. If Williams is as good as he looked in his collegiate career, he's poised to become the first quarterback in franchise history to throw for 4,000 yards and 30 TDs. I'm not sure Chicago is a playoff team given the strength of its division, but I am confident that Bears fans will enjoy watching Williams play in 2025.


Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals UNDER 9.5 wins (+105)
Bengals to MISS the playoffs (+120)
Joe Burrow OVER 4,000.5 passing yards (-140)

The 2025 Bengals look a lot like the 2024 Bengals to me. This team should be able to throw and score on anyone, but why should we expect the defense to be any better? Trey Hendrickson remains without a new contract. First-round draft pick Shemar Stewart had his own struggles finalizing a contract. The Bengals have a new defensive coordinator in Al Golden. Maybe he's an upgrade over Lou Anarumo. Maybe he's not. I see a top-10 offense and a bottom-10 defense that ultimately have Cincinnati on the outside of the AFC playoffs once again.


Cleveland Browns

Shedeur Sanders OVER 600.5 passing yards (-115)
Sanders OVER 3.5 passing TDs (+105)
Browns UNDER 4.5 wins (+140)

The Browns are likely going to be one of the worst teams in the NFL this year -- and that's OK! They're equipped with two first-round draft picks in 2026, a year that is generally regarded as having a strong class of QB prospects. There's enough evidence that Joe Flacco (age) and Kenny Pickett (ability) are not the future for the franchise. I don't know whether Shedeur Sanders or Dillon Gabriel is either, but I do know the smart thing to do is give them a shot to prove it in a "throwaway" season. ... The Sanders player props indicate a belief that he is going to start two to four games this season. Why not see if he is good enough to alter your 2026 draft plans by giving him at least six to eight starts? That's what I would do.


Dallas Cowboys

Cowboys OVER 7.5 wins (-145)
Cowboys to MAKE the playoffs (+210)
George Pickens OVER 800.5 receiving yards (-135)

The Micah Parsons holdout is definitely a concern (what are you doing, Jerry Jones?!?!), but the markets seem a bit too bearish on the Cowboys. Dak Prescott has won at least eight games in seven of his nine years as a starter. The only two times he failed to get to that number came when he had his seasons cut short by injury. As long as Dak remains upright, this is a legit playoff contender in the NFC. The offensive line is stout (the Tyler Guyton injury not withstanding), and George Pickens should feast playing alongside CeeDee Lamb. Given the state of their running back room, the Cowboys could very well lead the league in pass attempts and passing yards this season. I don't think they'll beat the Eagles in this division, but I wouldn't be shocked if they finish as the second-best team in the NFC East and slip into a wild-card spot.


Denver Broncos

Broncos OVER 9.5 wins (+100)
Broncos to win AFC West (+325)
Broncos to MAKE the playoffs (-130)

The Broncos surprised in 2024 with a 10-win season and a playoff appearance. Rookie QB Bo Nix (vastly) outperformed my expectations. That's a mea culpa. When it comes to developing a QB, I should have known better; in Sean Payton we trust! Because of that surprising rookie campaign, many are bullish on the Broncos in 2025. They have a top-10 offensive line and a potentially dominant defense featuring reigning DPOY Pat Surtain II. If the Chiefs fail to win the AFC West for the first time since 2015, the Broncos appear poised to be the most likely team in the division to take the throne.


Check out the latest odds and lines for Week 1 on ESPN BET.


Detroit Lions

Lions UNDER 10.5 wins (-130)
Aidan Hutchinson UNDER 14.0 sacks (-130)
Jahmyr Gibbs to win Offensive Player of the Year (+1200)

The Lions are a good team. But that success takes its toll. Not just on the roster, but on the coaching staff. Everyone knows they lost OC Ben Johnson and DC Aaron Glenn to head coaching jobs with other teams, but did you know the two former coordinators took six(!) other coaches from Dan Campbell's staff with them? That's a lot of brain drain that Campbell will have to compensate for. Coming off a 15-win season, I think that leads to some regression for the 2025 Lions. ... Aidan Hutchinson is back from injury to help the defense, but his sack prop is astronomical. ... If Jahmyr Gibbs gets just two or three more touches per game this year, he could easily be the No. 1 overall fantasy scorer.


Green Bay Packers

Packers OVER 9.5 wins (-115)
Packers to win NFC North (+250)
Jordan Love to win NFL MVP (+2500)

My buddy Mike Tannenbaum created quite a stir -- and a lot of content on the network -- with his list ranking the top five QBs in the NFC. In case you missed it, Jordan Love was the name at the top of that list. Certainly a spicy take, but far from ludicrous. Love has elite arm talent and an excellent head coach. Last year, he guided the Packers to 11 wins despite playing just about the entire year at less than 100 percent after suffering a left knee sprain in Week 1 against the Eagles in Brazil. Now fully healthy, I can see Love and Matt LaFleur upping the pass rate and Love producing some MVP-caliber stats for a division-winning team. Of the QBs outside the top choices, Love is easily my favorite "long shot" to win the award.


Houston Texans

Nico Collins 1,250+ receiving yards (+130)
C.J. Stroud OVER 3,650.5 passing yards (-105)
Week 1 Texans +3 (-115) at Rams

Much was made of the disappointing Texans offense in 2024 coming off a 2023 campaign in which quarterback C.J. Stroud won Rookie of the Year. Head coach DeMeco Ryans fired offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik and plucked Nick Caley off of Sean McVay's staff in L.A. Will that make the offense better? We shall see. The offensive line personnel is still a potential issue. As great as 2023 was and as poor as 2024 was, I'm guessing 2025 lands somewhere in between. ... Nico Collins is an absolute baller who should dominate target share and air yards in this offense. Only Ja'Marr Chase (+550) has shorter odds to lead the NFL in receiving yards this season than Collins (+700).


Indianapolis Colts

Anthony Richardson Sr. to win Comeback Player of the Year (+3500)
Richardson OVER 1,500.5 passing yards (-115)
Daniel Jones UNDER 11.5 passing TDs (-115)

Anthony Richardson's 2024 season was a disaster. There's no other way to paint it. He missed critical developmental time in training camp with a shoulder injury, and it showed on the field when he did play. However, things look more promising in 2025. After an early scare, Richardson's shoulder has been healthy enough for him to compete with Daniel Jones for the starting QB spot and, by many accounts, he has performed better than Jones in training camp. I'm willing to bet the Colts want Richardson to win this competition. The staff and front office are far more invested in him than the Giants castoff. Richardson is a vastly superior talent, so if he hits his ceiling, this could be a playoff team. Unless another injury hits, I expect Richardson to start for the Colts from Week 1 and for his play to earn him enough starts to clear his seasonlong player props.


Jacksonville Jaguars

Jaguars UNDER 7.5 wins (+100)
Travis Hunter OVER 1.5 INTs (+135)
Week 1 Panthers-Jaguars total points UNDER 46.5 (-115)

The biggest question surrounding the Jaguars in 2025 has less to do with how many games they'll win and more to do with how many snaps their first-round rookie will play. I'm only slightly kidding. I know there is a ton of excitement about the possibility of new head coach Liam Coen unlocking the full potential of former No. 1 pick Trevor Lawrence, but I have tempered expectations of the team as a whole. Questions remain on the offensive line, at running back and on defense. ... It appears Travis Hunter is going to focus more on wide receiver, especially to start the season, but when he's out there on defense, I fully expect opposing offenses to test his stamina by running and throwing at him often, giving him enough opportunities to snag a few picks.


Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs UNDER 11.5 wins (-125)
Patrick Mahomes OVER 4,000.5 passing yards (+100)
Week 1 Chiefs-Chargers total points OVER 45.5 (-105)

The Chiefs have won the AFC West nine straight seasons! It hasn't been a profitable stance betting against the Andy Reid-Patrick Mahomes combo. Yet, here I am. Fueled by the embarrassment of the Super Bowl LIX loss to the Eagles, I firmly believe Kansas City is hell-bent on restoring the explosiveness to its offense. Reid and Mahomes averaged 493 points per season their first five full seasons together. That average dipped to 378 over the past two seasons. ... The Chiefs were 11-0 in one-score games last season (playoffs included). They can't win them all, right? Well, maybe they can (shrugs). I'm betting that some regression happens this year and they land on 10 or 11 wins, instead of 12 or more.


Las Vegas Raiders

Brock Bowers to record 1,000+ receiving yards (+105)
Bowers to record 10+ receiving TDs (+900)
Week 1 Raiders-Patriots total points OVER 42.5 (-110)

Brock Bowers lit the world and fantasy lineups on fire in his rookie campaign. Billed as a generational prospect at the tight end position, he absolutely delivered on that promise. In 2025, he gets an upgrade at head coach (Pete Carroll) and offensive coordinator (Chip Kelly) and, most importantly, at quarterback (Geno Smith). The Raiders might have drafted another generational force in Ashton Jeanty, as well. The entire offense should be a lot of fun to watch this season and score many more TDs, especially if it's built around Bowers.


Los Angeles Chargers

Omarion Hampton OVER 825.5 rushing yards (-115)
H2H receiving yards Tyreek Hill (-105) over Ladd McConkey
Week 1 Chargers-Chiefs total points OVER 45.5 (-105)

The Chargers are a hard team to handicap. Jim Harbaugh is a proven winner at all levels. Justin Herbert is one of the most gifted passers in the league. That combo alone should make them a playoff contender. But these are the Chargers. They've been brimming with promise for decades, only to mostly fall far short of expectations. I'm not willing to write them off in 2025 by any stretch of the imagination. I won't be shocked at all if they win 10 or more games and make the playoffs. I just don't have a strong conviction in any of those futures betting markets. Instead, I'll lean on some props where I think the market has them slightly mispriced.


Los Angeles Rams

Kyren Williams UNDER 950.5 rushing yards (+100)
Williams UNDER 10.5 rushing TDs (-125)
Week 1 Texans +3 (-115) at Rams

One could argue that the Rams were the second-best team in the playoffs last year. They certainly were the only team that gave the eventual Super Bowl champion Eagles a fair fight. Expectations are high again in 2025, but Matthew Stafford's back injury is a concern. The Rams QB is 37 years old, and when he's not healthy or protected, the efficiency of this offense plummets, regardless of the talent at wide receiver. Until we hear otherwise, I think it's prudent to proceed with skepticism regarding the Rams. ... RB Kyren Williams secured a deserved contract extension during camp, but I still think Sean McVay is finally intent on lowering Williams' workload slightly in the regular season. McVay finally has the personnel capable of doing so after taking running backs Blake Corum and Jarquez Hunter in the past two drafts.


Miami Dolphins

Dolphins UNDER 8.5 wins (-185)
Tyreek Hill OVER 950.5 receiving yards (-130)
Hill to lead NFL in receiving yards (+1600)

Miami's chief concern in 2025 will be its defense. Minkah Fitzpatrick is back, but there isn't a lot of talent on that side of the ball. On the offensive side, it really just comes down to health. Can Tua Tagovailoa stay healthy enough to make 15-plus starts? The offensive line is far from the most formidable in the league, but if Tagovailoa manages to avoid injury or another concussion, this passing game should once again hum. Yes, Tyreek Hill had a down season in 2024 by his standards, but he posted back-to-back 1,700-yard seasons his first two years in Miami, averaging 106.3 yards per game. Based on his track and field exploits this offseason, Hill hasn't lost a step. This offense is fragile, but if it maintains health, the principal players should soar over their seasonlong props.


Minnesota Vikings

Vikings UNDER 8.5 wins (+130)
J.J. McCarthy UNDER 3,500.5 passing yards (Even)
Week 1 Bears +1 (-120) vs. Vikings

The Vikings are a trendy pick to win the NFC North. I certainly think that's possible, given the talent and coaching on this team, but I am still stuck on the fact that J.J. McCarthy will be playing his first meaningful professional football games this year. What if he struggles out of the gate? I was floored to find out that his passing yardage prop of 3,500.5 yards at ESPN BET is the highest of any second-year, first-round quarterback! That's wild to me, and I'm not sure it's justified. ... I feel like the 2025 Vikings will land somewhere in the seven-to-10 win range, so the value on the under appeals to me.


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New England Patriots

Patriots UNDER 8.5 wins (-120)
Drake Maye OVER 3,200.5 passing yards (-140)
Week 1 Raiders-Patriots total points OVER 42.5 (-110)

The 2024 Patriots won just four games, yet ESPN BET set their win total for 2025 at 8.5. That's the largest gap between 2024 win total and 2025 projected win total in the entire NFL. QB Drake Maye looks like a young star. Mike Vrabel is a proven winner in this league. Optimism is justified in New England. But man, that's a big jump to make in one year. A perceived soft schedule (third easiest based on last year's win percentage) is the likely reason the market is so bullish on the Pats, but what if some of those easy opponents turn out to be better than expected? I think Maye is going to make a big leap in Year 2, just not big enough to make the team five wins better than 2024.


New Orleans Saints

Saints UNDER 5.5 wins (-150)
Saints to finish fourth in NFC South (-145)
Alvin Kamara UNDER 4.5 rushing TDs (-130)

The Saints are a contender to have the worst record in the NFL. Their quarterback situation is one of the bleakest in the league. While the NFC South hasn't been the most difficult division in recent seasons, I still see New Orleans as the runt of the litter. ... Alvin Kamara has been a lone bright spot year in and year out, but he's getting older and the team is transitioning, and just how many touchdowns are we going to see from this offense as a whole? Maybe the biggest threat to Kamara scoring five-plus TDs on the ground this season is a trade to a contending team that is desperate for running back help down the stretch.


New York Giants

Giants UNDER 5.5 wins (-135)
Abdul Carter to win Defensive Rookie of the Year (+250)
Week 1 Giants +7 (-120) at Commanders

The Giants hope to be competitive in 2025, but wow does that schedule look brutal. I can't find a game where they will definitely be favored at kickoff. Week 5 at New Orleans, maybe? But that game is on the road, and they're only 1.5-point favorites as of now (the only game they're favored in before the season begins). They play 10 games against teams that made the playoffs last year. And the teams outside of New Orleans that did not make the playoffs on their schedule (Dallas, Chicago, Las Vegas, New England) all have higher projected win totals than New York this season. ... I think No. 3 pick Abdul Carter and that defensive line are going to be awesome, but I have little faith that Russell Wilson, Jameis Winston or Jaxson Dart can lead the Giants to a bunch of upsets. At least Winston would be fun for fantasy managers rostering Malik Nabers.


New York Jets

Jets OVER 5.5 wins (-140)
Breece Hall to lead NFL in rushing (+3000)
Week 1 Jets-Steelers total points UNDER 38.5 (-105)

The Jets might not have a Super Bowl-caliber quarterback on the roster, but they do have elite personnel at two spots on the roster: offensive line and defense. A dominant O-line and a great defense will have you in almost every game you play. New head coach Aaron Glenn is likely going to lean on those areas while building his identity for this team. ... Don't be shocked if the Jets lead the NFL in rushing attempts and rushing yards this season. And don't be shocked if they play in a lot of tight, low-scoring games. If QB Justin Fields plays to his absolute potential, this is a team that could be a surprise playoff contender in the AFC.


Philadelphia Eagles

Eagles to win NFC East (-160)
Jalen Hurts to win MVP (+1600)
Saquon Barkley UNDER 1,400.5 rushing yards (-105)

With most of the principal players back, the defending Super Bowl champs look like legit contenders again in 2025. I don't see another team in the division -- or the NFC, for that matter -- in the Eagles' class. They should repeat as NFC East champions and be a top-two seed in the conference. ... Jalen Hurts is now a Super Bowl MVP and feels like a good wagering value in the regular-season MVP market. The Eagles might need to throw the ball more in 2025 if Saquon Barkley feels the effects of a 482-touch season (including playoffs), and if that's the case, Hurts could produce some gaudy stats on one of the best teams in the league. That's a nice recipe for an MVP résumé. It feels like Hurts odds should be a bit closer to the likes of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes and Joe Burrow.


Pittsburgh Steelers

Steelers OVER 8.5 wins (-120)
Aaron Rodgers OVER 3,200.5 passing yards (-115)
Week 1 Steelers-Jets total points UNDER 38.5 (-105)

Death, taxes and Mike Tomlin finishing .500 or better. Book it. Tomlin is entering his 19th season as the Steelers' head coach and has never won less than eight games. He has averaged 10 wins per season since 2020, dealing with the remnants of Ben Roethlisberger, Mason Rudolph, Devlin "Duck" Hodges, Mitchell Trubisky, Russell Wilson and Justin Fields as his quarterbacks. Say what you want about 41-year-old Aaron Rodgers, but he's better at this age than all of those QBs before him. He's also fairly durable, playing every game of the season in 10 of the past 13 years and never throwing for less than 3,695 yards in any of those campaigns.


San Francisco 49ers

Christian McCaffrey OVER 7.5 rushing TDs (-105)
McCaffrey to win Offensive Player of the Year (+2000)
Week 1 49ers-Seahawks total points UNDER 45.5 (-115)

Coming off an injury-riddled 2024 that saw them win just six games, the 49ers were, a bit to my surprise, installed as the small betting favorite in the NFC West. They do have what looks to be perhaps the easiest schedule in the league on paper, and there is no doubt they should have better injury luck in 2025, so I understand the logic. If they're going to deliver on that expectation, then the most important player that needs to retain health on offense is RB Christian McCaffrey. By all accounts, CMC looks like he's back to 100% health, and if that's the case, his betting markets are providing great value. In this offense, he is capable of leading the entire NFL in total touchdowns and yards from scrimmage.


Seattle Seahawks

Kenneth Walker III OVER 6.5 rushing TDs (-105)
Sam Darnold UNDER 19.5 passing TDs (-110)
Week 1 49ers-Seahawks total points UNDER 45.5 (-115)

Seattle is going to give it a go with Sam Darnold at quarterback in 2025. Will he be able to replicate the regular-season success he enjoyed last season in Minnesota? The play of the offensive line will go a long way in determining the answer to that question, and unfortunately for Darnold, that's one of the biggest roster concerns with this Seahawks team. Given that outlook, I'm leaning toward some serious Darnold regression statistically. ... Mike McDonald is going to have a competent, perhaps tenacious, defense. ... If Kenneth Walker III stays healthy, he's one of the most dynamic running backs in the league. New offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak has been adamant during training camp that this team is going to run the football early and often. That's probably a good idea to help Darnold! Still, I have to squint a bit more with this team than I do with others to find a place for Seattle in the NFC playoffs.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Buccaneers UNDER 9.5 wins (-120)
Baker Mayfield UNDER 26.5 passing TDs (+120)
Week 1 Buccaneers-Falcons total points OVER 48.5 (-110)

Almost by default, the Buccaneers have been the class of the NFC South in recent seasons. Baker Mayfield had an outrageously productive 2024, but for the second straight season he lost the offensive coordinator that helped him succeed to another team. Add on top of that some injury concerns to key players on this offense (LT Tristan Wirfs and WR Chris Godwin) and the bet on touchdown regression for Mayfield and the offense as a whole seems sound. Mayfield's 7.2 TD% from last season is almost certain to drop closer to what was, before last year, a career TD% less than 5.0. Even if the Buccaneers finish under this win total, though, nine wins might still be enough to win the division again.


Tennessee Tians

Titans OVER 5.5 wins (-145)
Cameron Ward to win Offensive Rookie of the Year (+350)
Week 1 Broncos -8 (+100) vs. Titans

I'm a believer that Cameron Ward is #goodatfootball. Not only that, but he comes to a solid situation in Tennessee. The Titans have invested a lot of resources into their offensive line, a unit coached by the legendary Bill Callahan. Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears form an excellent combination at running back. The pass-catching corps lacks outside of Calvin Ridley, but that's OK. If Ward plays like a top pick, he'll elevate the performance of that unit. ... It's rare that a No. 1 pick provides value in the Rookie of the Year market, but because of the buzz around Ashton Jeanty (+275), Ward isn't even the betting favorite. Much like MVP, it's hard for a non-QB to win ROY if a quarterback performs well. (See Puka Nacua and Brock Bowers.)


Washington Commanders

Commanders UNDER 9.5 wins (+100)
Commanders to finish third in NFC East (+260)
Week 1 Giants +7 (-120) at Commanders

I know the Commanders are a trendy pick to contend in 2025, but I'm a bit skeptical. Everything broke about as perfectly as it could for Washington in 2024. Jayden Daniels turned in one of the greatest seasons ever by a rookie QB. The team converted 20 of 23 (87%) fourth-down attempts. That's an absurd outlier that is impossible to replicate. The Terry McLaurin holdout isn't helping anything in training camp. I don't think this team is going to bottom out by any stretch of the imagination, but I can easily see the Commanders landing on eight or nine wins this year and getting leapfrogged in the division by a healthier Cowboys team.