The NFL divisional-round matchups are finally set, and some teams enter this stage of the playoffs with some momentum on their side after strong performances on wild-card weekend.
For the first time since 1971, all four favorites (Titans, Packers, Buccaneers, Chiefs) are favored by six points or fewer, according to research by ESPN Stats & Info.
But which teams have the best chance to win the Super Bowl? And who will be the playoff stat leaders? Here's the way I see it:
Playoff category leaders
Most passing yards
Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills (+250)
Most rushing yards
Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills (+2000)
Most receiving yards
Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers (+750)
Handicapping this kind of market is essentially trying to guess which two teams will meet in the Super Bowl.
It's clear by my choices that I like the Bills to come out of the AFC and the Packers to represent the NFC (my power rankings below will also reflect such).
The value on Allen potentially leading the postseason in rushing yards is too good to pass up. Despite the emergence of Devin Singletary near the end of this season, Allen is still the most dangerous running back on the Bills. He had only 15 fewer yards rushing than Singletary in the wild-card win over the Patriots.
On the Green Bay side, Adams is working at a disadvantage having earned a first-round bye ... but he's still Adams and his quarterback is still Aaron Rodgers. Even with one fewer game than most of the rest of the field, Adams is too good and efficient to not rack up a couple of 100-yard games if the Packers make it all the way to Los Angeles.
There were three 100-plus-yard pass-catchers in the wild-card round (Ja'Marr Chase, Mike Evans, Travis Kelce). I'd be shocked if the Bengals played two to three more times this postseason. The Chiefs are playing in a de facto AFC title game against a wildly dangerous Bills team. Evans remains a serious threat, however, due to having Tom Brady as his quarterback and Rob Gronkowski as the only legitimate target competition in his offense.
Playoff Power Rankings
1) Green Bay Packers (+380)
The Packers finished the regular season tied with Tampa Bay for the best record in the NFL (13-4) and ranked second only to the Cowboys after finishing 12-5 against the spread. The playoffs will go through Lambeau Field.
2) Buffalo Bills (+500)
Boy, if Allen is going to play like this ... yikes. The Bills have already beaten the Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium this season, so they will not be afraid of the moment. Although the QBs are basically a wash (perhaps a slight edge to Patrick Mahomes for his accomplishments), the Bills -- in my eyes -- have a much more complete and complementary roster around their star QB. This future price reflects only the home-field advantage the Chiefs will have in their divisional-round matchup. That seems like value for the Bills given what they've already done at Arrowhead this season.
3) Kansas City Chiefs (+425)
The Chiefs are currently two-point home favorites for Sunday's game against the Bills. Mahomes-led Chiefs teams have never been less than a 2.5-point home favorite (37 games, including playoffs). They are 20-17 against the spread (30-7 straight up) in those 37 games,
4) Tennessee Titans (+850)
Not only are the Titans benefitting from a first-round bye and the return of their tone-setting running back Derrick Henry, but they avoided the two best teams in the AFC, one of which will be knocked out at the conclusion of the Bills-Chiefs matchup.
Not that the Bengals aren't dangerous, but if the Titans make it to the Super Bowl, they will only have to go through either Kansas City or Buffalo, not both. There appears to be some value here on the Titans, who somehow earned that No. 1 seed despite the injuries this season. Fifteen of the past 16 Super Bowl teams were squads that got to rest in the first round of the postseason.
5) San Francisco 49ers (+1100)
As our guy Ryan Clark says: It's time to stop looking at the 49ers as a tough matchup and start looking at them as just a really good and dangerous team.
Now, beating Rodgers in Lambeau will be no small task, and there are legitimate concerns about Jimmy Garoppolo's health and ability to match up with elite-level QBs, but the 49ers play a brand of football that will always have them in tightly contested games in which any one random play can be the difference between a win and a loss. Don't forget that San Francisco made it to the Super Bowl just two years ago by stomping Rodgers and the Pack in the NFC Championship Game.
6) Los Angeles Rams (+750)
7) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+550)
This is, of course, wildly dangerous since the QB of this team has already won seven Super Bowls and played in 10. But, Tampa Bay is dealing with lousy injury/roster luck that may be too much to overcome -- even for the great Tom Brady.
The WR corps is down Chris Godwin and Antonio Brown. The top two RBs on this team -- "Playoff" Leonard Fournette and Ronald Jones II -- were unable to suit up against the Philadelphia Eagles. And right tackle Tristan Wirfs had to leave the game with an injury, while C Ryan Jensen played through a clearly uncomfortable ankle injury of his own.
Of course, Brady can overcome all of this, but even that is asking a lot given the matchups that loom on the way to L.A. and SoFi Stadium, the site of this year's Super Bowl.
8) Cincinnati Bengals (+1300)