Considering we're only three weeks and one day away from the MLB draft, it's time I stop procrastinating and take a shot at projecting the first round. This is never easy -- I think it's the hardest thing I do in this job because I'm trying to get information teams have no incentive to disclose -- but this year, it's even more difficult because the teams at the top, including the Phillies at 1-1, have yet to decide whom they're taking.

I think with the way the top of the board is shaking out, with probably just two prep arms going in the top 10, several other top high school pitchers will end up in the teens -- or they'll be totally unsignable unless someone goes way over slot in the comp round. That could apply to Clifton Park, New York, right-hander Ian Anderson, who has barely pitched this spring because of terrible weather in the area and a bout of pneumonia, or Kansas lefty Joey Wentz, whose velocity has tailed off and whose medical reports teams are waiting to read.

Enjoy this for what it is: a first attempt. I'll have another one in two weeks, and I hope that will be more accurate. (You can see my MLB draft Big Board here.)

Note: Click on a player's name to go to his player card, which has a full scouting report written by Eric Longenhagen.

1. Philadelphia Phillies
A.J. Puk, LHP
Florida

Puk threw well Saturday with a ton of heat in the house, including three folks from the Phillies, at least two each from Atlanta and Colorado, and the scouting director for the Reds. The Phillies' mix is still pretty broad, which reflects the lack of consensus around the top talents in the class, with Puk, Kyle Lewis, Corey Ray, Mickey Moniak and Blake Rutherford forming their current decision set.

2. Cincinnati Reds
Kyle Lewis, OF
Mercer

The Reds have been rumored to be on college players most of the spring. Scouting director Chris Buckley has had three top-10 picks with Cincinnati, and he went college for each of those, though he went with a high schooler at No. 11 last year. This year, Lewis, Ray, Nick Senzel and Puk are the most likely options.

3. Atlanta Braves
Jason Groome, LHP
Barnegat (New Jersey) High School

Atlanta could take a strong college position player here, such as Ray, and then resume its usual, high-upside high school strategy in the sandwich round. That said, the Braves have loved Groome's upside since the fall, and I think they'd feel they were getting the draft's top talent.

4. Colorado Rockies
Riley Pint, RHP
St. Thomas Aquinas High School (Overland Park, Kansas)

The Rockies are on pitching. They'd take Puk if he got here, which seems unlikely but not impossible. If Puk is gone, I think their choice would come down to Pint or Groome, though they've also been very heavy on Moniak.

5. Milwaukee Brewers
Corey Ray, OF
Louisville

Brewers scouting director Ray Montgomery has always gone after the top player on the board wherever he has drafted (with Milwaukee and Arizona), and in this scenario, that's Ray. However, the Brewers also like Delvin Perez and Zack Collins, and they would be in the mix for Puk or Groome if either fell. Josh Lowe is also a dark horse here.

6. Oakland Athletics
Nick Senzel, 3B
Tennessee

Oakland is on college bats here, especially Senzel and Zack Collins, though it has scouted Moniak hard and would consider any of the top five guys who fell here, even Pint.

7. Miami Marlins
Mickey Moniak, OF
La Costa Canyon High School (Carlsbad, California)

I've heard the Marlins have expressed interest in Perez, Moniak, Braxton Garrett and Pint, as well as Senzel if he gets this far. That said, I don't think they'll take another college hitter in the first round, after Colin Moran didn't work out.

8. San Diego Padres
Braxton Garrett, LHP
Florence (Alabama) High School

Padres GM A.J. Preller said he wants "loud tools," but Garrett is not "loud." He is just a good, polished, high school pitcher who should move more quickly than some of his higher-ceiling peers. I've heard the Padres with Pint, Forrest Whitley and Perez. They're also widely rumored to have a deal in place at pick 24 with Stanford pitcher Cal Quantrill, who's still out after 2015 Tommy John surgery and might not pitch this spring (which is fueling rumors that he has a deal with a team, though it could be just about any team).

9. Detroit Tigers
Blake Rutherford, OF
Chaminade College Prep (West Hills, California)

It's Rutherford here for now, though I've heard Riley Pint will go here if he drops this far.

10. Chicago White Sox
Dakota Hudson, RHP
Mississippi State

I've heard the White Sox are on big college arms, especially Hudson and Georgia right-hander Robert Tyler. That said, I wonder if they'd roll the dice on Pint, given their willingness to take guys with great stuff but unusual aspects to their deliveries.

11. Seattle Mariners
Zack Collins, C
Miami

Collins almost certainly is not a catcher long-term, but he almost certainly is a major league bat at first base or even DH. Look for Seattle to lean toward a college bat at least with this pick, so if any of Ray, Lewis or Senzel slides here, one of them would be the pick. I've heard the Mariners are also very high on Justin Dunn.

12. Boston Red Sox
Nolan Jones, SS
Holy Ghost Prep (Bensalem, Pennsylvania)

Jones has been high on the Red Sox's radar for a while now. They don't seem to love the college pitching options and are very unlikely to take a high school arm.

13. Tampa Bay Rays
Delvin Perez, SS
International Baseball Academy (Puerto Rico)

Perez's stock has fallen due to questions about his work ethic and maturity, as well as some doubts about whether his ability to hit is enough to make his other plus-plus tools play. He's also just 17 years old and one of the highest-ceiling talents in the draft. The Rays, meanwhile, have never shied away from a player with questionable makeup, and compared to some past Rays players, such as Elijah Dukes and Josh Lueke, Perez is an angel. The Rays are looking for upside here and are also on Taylor Trammell.

14. Cleveland Indians
Cody Sedlock, RHP
Illinois

Perez stops here. I've also heard the Indians connected with a few college arms, including Sedlock and Justin Dunn, though I don't think that's all they're targeting.

15. Minnesota Twins
Matt Manning, RHP
Sheldon (Sacramento) High School

The Twins love power arms and have seen a lot of Manning -- part of that is due to his proximity to scouting director Deron Johnson's residence -- but I've heard them with Hudson if he slides here. Industry expectation is that Manning goes between pick No. 8 and here, if he's signable. The Twins seem to be on power arms first and a few high school athletes as well.

16. Los Angeles Angels
Alex Kirilloff, OF
Plum (Pittsburgh) High School

With the GM change in Anaheim (to Billy Eppler), the Angels are again open for business in the high school market, which should allow them to target some higher-ceiling players, such as Kirilloff or Trammell.

17. Houston Astros
Forrest Whitley, RHP
Alamo Heights (San Antonio) High School

I've heard the Astros more on high-upside high school players such as Whitley and Trammell, rather than the expected (or stereotyped?) college performers.

18. New York Yankees
Taylor Trammell, OF
Mount Paran Christian (Kennesaw, Georgia)

I've also heard the Yankees connected with Santa Barbara, California, prep right-hander Kevin Gowdy, who, if he doesn't go here, is a favorite of Phillies scouts and could be an overpay at 43.

19. New York Mets
Will Craig, 1B
Wake Forest

The Mets seem to be mostly focused on college bats, such as Craig, Collins if he gets here, Chris Okey and Matt Thaiss.

20. Los Angeles Dodgers
Justin Dunn, RHP
Boston College

The Dodgers are also on Sedlock, Trammell and prep shortstop Gavin Lux, the No. 2 true shortstop in this class.

21. Toronto Blue Jays
Bo Bichette, IF
Lakewood (St. Petersburg, Florida) High School

Dante Bichette's son was very good last summer and has continued to mash this spring, though he's clearly not a shortstop. He'll have to find a new position in pro ball.

22. Pittsburgh Pirates
Matt Thaiss, C
Virginia

Thaiss might not stay at catcher, but he rarely strikes out, which makes him an obvious fit for the Pirates' philosophy. They're also the highest team I've heard on Louisville reliever Zack Burdi, who might be able to pitch in the big leagues this season.

23. St. Louis Cardinals
Robert Tyler, RHP
Georgia

This is the first team about which I can honestly say I haven't heard anything of substance, and given that they have a new scouting director, I can't give you anything more than an educated guess.

Compensation picks

Because the first round is unusually short this year, here are a few stabs at the sandwich-round selections, the 11 picks awarded to teams that lost free agents who declined qualifying offers.

24. San Diego Padres: Cal Quantrill, RHP, Stanford

25. San Diego Padres: Zack Burdi, RHP, Louisville

26. Chicago White Sox: Gavin Lux, SS, Indian Trail Academy (Kenosha, Wisconsin)

27. Baltimore Orioles: Anthony Kay, LHP, Connecticut

28. Washington Nationals: Carter Kieboom, 3B, Walton High School (Marietta, Georgia)

29. Washington Nationals: Alec Hansen, RHP, Oklahoma

30. Texas Rangers: Josh Lowe, 3B/RHP, Pope High School (Marietta, Georgia)

31. New York Mets: Eric Lauer, LHP, Kent State

32. Los Angeles Dodgers: T.J. Zeuch, RHP, Pittsburgh

33. St. Louis Cardinals: Chris Okey, C, Clemson

34. St. Louis Cardinals: Jordan Sheffield, RHP, Vanderbilt