With the 2025 NFL draft getting underway Thursday night in Green Bay and the Titans on the clock atop Round 1, it's time to share some intel and insights.
It was in this spot last year, a few days prior to a draft that saw six quarterbacks selected in the top 12 picks, when I wrote in this column: "One NFL general manager said he believes 'there is an undercurrent of support for Michael Penix Jr. and Bo Nix,' even though his team doesn't have a first-round grade on either. This particular general manager said he believes both Penix and Nix are Day 2 picks. Some teams disagree, and there now is speculation Penix could go as high as No. 8 to the Falcons."
Maybe there is another Penix-like surprise in this draft -- we'll see soon enough. But the information below is gathered from weeks of calls with front offices and coaching staffs, and it will play out Thursday, Friday and Saturday in Green Bay, where ESPN and its crew will be as the first round begins at 8 p.m. ET, live on ESPN, ABC and the ESPN App.
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This is the first NFL draft in Wisconsin in more than 85 years, since the 1940 draft was held on Dec. 9, 1939, at the Schroeder Hotel in Milwaukee. It was held on the night before the 1939 NFL Championship Game, which saw the Packers beat the Giants 27-0. The same hotel still is there, but it is now known as the Hilton Milwaukee City Center.
This always is one of the best weeks of the year, with unknowns throughout the draft. Here are some of the many things I'm hearing:
Jump to a section:
Where could Shedeur Sanders land?
How high could Tyler Shough go?
Latest on Kirk Cousins, Falcons' draft plan
Where are the trades? And who could get dealt?
One team could be eyeing Ashton Jeanty
Who could be drafted higher than most think?
Will the Browns take another QB?
Expect the Texans, Eagles to be active
Quick-hit notes ahead of Round 1
Questions loom over this draft class
It's easy enough to figure out the top picks in this draft. Miami quarterback Cam Ward is expected to go to Tennessee with the top pick, while Colorado standout Travis Hunter and Penn State edge rusher Abdul Carter are expected to be gone by New England's turn at No 4. But that's where it gets murky -- and this year might be murkier than any other in recent memory.
Multiple teams have said the player who will be drafted at No. 10 is the same quality as the player drafted at No. 32. It will be about each team's preference, but in the opinion of multiple personnel people, there is not a tremendous amount of difference.
At least one team does not have a first-round grade on any of the quarterbacks in this draft. The general manager of another team said there are "no surefire quarterback solutions" and the top-rated passer in this class -- Ward -- would be the seventh-rated passer in last year's class. "And I don't think it's close," he added. Some teams and prognosticators have predicted four quarterbacks to go in Round 1, but there are smart people around the league who believe there might only be one or two who go in the top 32 picks.
There is a scenario in which Friday night could be more interesting and active for quarterbacks than Thursday night. If fewer quarterbacks are drafted in Round 1, Rounds 2 and 3 set up to be explosive. Currently, the Browns are scheduled to hold pick No. 33, Friday night's opening selection. The Giants are next at No. 34, and the Saints are scheduled to pick No. 40 but already are making calls about trading up. In the eyes of some around the league, it's possible there could be more signal-callers selected in the first eight picks on Friday than there are in the 32 picks on Thursday.
Additionally, there isn't an elite offensive tackle in this draft. No cornerback is, in the eyes of evaluators, a can't-miss prospect. There seem to be more questions in this draft than answers. Multiple teams consider the value to be not in Round 1, but in Rounds 2 and 3 and maybe bleeding into Round 4.
The latest on the Falcons' draft plan -- and Cousins' future
Publicly, the Falcons have said they're not interested in trading quarterback Kirk Cousins but that they'd entertain offers if the right deal was on the table. Privately, they have had discussions with teams -- and have asked for a lot in return, per sources.
Atlanta has asked for any acquiring team to pay $20 million of the $37.5 million worth of guarantees left on Cousins' contract. To date, no has been willing to do that, and no team is expected to be willing to. But what happens this weekend -- and which franchises come out of the draft with or without rookie quarterbacks -- could influence how much guaranteed money a team might be willing to absorb on Cousins' contract.
There is a feeling around the league that a team, whether it is the Vikings or Steelers, might be willing to pay down roughly $10 million. How much any team would be willing to pay also would influence the compensation it gives up. The higher the payment, the lower the draft compensation; the lower the payment, the higher the draft compensation. The Falcons and Cousins, who has a no-trade clause, recognize their future is not together, and how it will play out could very well be influenced by this draft.
What could the Falcons do in the draft? As much as anything, they need pass-rush help. They have not had a player record seven sacks in a season in any of the past five years. No other team since 1982 went five straight years without a player reaching at least seven sacks in a season. Atlanta's sack leaders since 2020: Deion Jones (4.5 in 2020); Dante Fowler Jr. (4.5 in 2021); Grady Jarrett (6 in 2022); Bud Dupree and Calais Campbell (6.5 in 2023); Arnold Ebiketie (6 in 2024).
There is a belief that the Falcons' pick at No. 15 could be used on a pass rusher -- if they don't trade back. They have only five picks in this draft; if they can find a trade partner, they'd be willing to move back to stockpile extra picks.
Where could the draft's most interesting prospect land?
From the moment the draft process kicked off, the biggest question has been where Colorado quarterback Shedeur Sanders will be selected. It continues to be the single most intriguing storyline heading into Thursday night. No team has done more work on one player than the Giants have done on Sanders.
Officials from the Giants' organization were at most, if not all, of Sanders' games last season. They went to some of his practices. They met with him at the combine in Indianapolis in March. They flew him to New Jersey for a visit. They went to his "Showcase Day" in Boulder, Colorado. They went back to Colorado on Thursday to put Sanders through a private workout and spent a full day with him exactly one week ahead of the draft. As another NFL general manager said about the Giants general manager: "Joe Schoen has lived in Boulder."
The Giants even had access to added unique insight that no one else did: Colorado's director of on-campus recruiting for the football team is Maileka Slayton, sister of Giants wide receiver Darius Slayton.
And yet there still might not be consensus within the building about whether to draft him. There is a belief around the league that certain segments of the Giants organization want Sanders more than others. Per sources, Sanders wants to be in a place where he has the full support of an organization, and there are questions about whether the Giants fit into that category.
Here are insights into each of the three teams linked to the Sanders and their perceived level of interest in him:
New York Giants (No. 3): Scheduling a private workout for Sanders on Thursday initially seemed like a big deal, but it was not as big as it seemed. The Giants did the same thing with the top quarterbacks they considered in last year's draft. They had visits and/or private workouts with Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, Michael Penix Jr., J.J. McCarthy and Bo Nix.
This year's private workouts came later, and closer to the draft, but that was only because Sanders held his pro day on April 4. Even if the Giants bypass Sanders with their top pick -- and there are split opinions across the league about whether they will -- they always can attempt to trade back into Round 1 to try to land him later.
As some evaluators pointed out, however, if they like him enough to trade back up for him, they should like him enough to take him at No. 3. As an NFL executive said about the Giants: "If they like Shedeur, they're taking him at 3."
New Orleans Saints (No. 9): New Orleans hasn't used a first-round pick on a quarterback since 1971, when it drafted Archie Manning at No. 2. Yet even with the drought, even with Derek Carr dealing with a lingering shoulder injury, there still is a healthy dose of skepticism the Saints are interested in Sanders at No. 9.
The Giants and Browns had full staffs in attendance at Colorado's pro day, but the Saints had limited attendance that didn't even include coach Kellen Moore and offensive coordinator Doug Nussmeier. The Saints coaches spotted at Sanders' pro day were quarterbacks coach Scott Tolzien and wide receivers coach Keith Williams. If the Saints needed any further insight into Sanders, veteran running back Alvin Kamara has been training at Colorado this offseason, but it doesn't sound like they do.
There is a belief around the league that the Saints are more interested in using a high pick on an offensive or defensive lineman, because there are questions about two starters: tackle Trevor Penning and guard Nick Saldiveri. The belief is they want to draft a quarterback -- just maybe not at No. 9, and maybe not Sanders. As another personnel executive said: "I don't think New Orleans is taking Shedeur. I think they're hot and heavy on Jaxson Dart."
Speaking of Dart, there is skepticism about whether the Saints would take the Ole Miss passer at No. 9 -- it feels high to many around the league. They have an equally strong need on defense and had a contingent of officials -- including Moore, assistant general manager Jeff Ireland and defensive coordinator Brandon Staley -- in Athens, Georgia, on Thursday to visit with defenders Jalon Walker and Mykel Williams, both of whom are projected to be first-round picks.
Dart would figure to be squarely in play for the Saints' next pick, whether that's in the second round (No. 40) or in a trade-up. And then there's this: New Orleans already has made exploratory calls about trading up in Round 2, per league sources, and it's worth noting it has two third- and two fourth-round picks.
Pittsburgh Steelers (No. 21): Sources said the Steelers had not been planning to draft a quarterback in Round 1, but they also were not expecting Sanders to fall out of top 10. Now, all options seem to be on the table, and they are preparing in case they have the option to draft Sanders.
There has been speculation about whether Pittsburgh would trade up to secure a quarterback, and remember, it already has traded its second-round pick to Seattle for wide receiver DK Metcalf, leaving the franchise short-handed heading into the draft's early rounds. This makes it more likely the Steelers will trade back in the draft, not up.
It also might make their choice at No. 21 even more critical. If they pass on a quarterback, they very well might not have another chance to get one until Round 3. It accentuates the pressure on this pick.
In the eyes of some across the league, it now feels like Sanders could go as high as No. 3 to the Giants or as low as No. 21 to the Steelers -- with a team potentially trading up to a spot anywhere in the No. 4 to No. 20 range to select him. But what if Sanders slides past Pittsburgh? He could be the object of a trade up from a team such as the Giants, or he could fall to one of the top picks in Round 2. It all makes for great intrigue -- and the biggest predraft storyline.
What makes the Sanders situation so unique
Here's a point that some personnel people in the league made about Shedeur Sanders: He is the rare player whose NFL experience will be a reversal of his college experience. He has played for his father Deion Sanders throughout college; he didn't have the chance to be on his own.
Now, at the NFL level, he will be without his father's presence in football for the first time, and he will have to adapt to his new life the way some players do when they go from high school to college. This, in the eyes of some, will be an opportunity for Sanders to grow, continue to learn and take his game to an even higher level.
And then there's this: Short of Pittsburgh's Mike Tomlin, any other coach who drafts Sanders better be comfortable with his standing within the organization. Because if that team struggles and the fan base is calling for a coaching change, speculation will start to swirl about Sanders' father taking over.
Though Deion recently finalized a five-year, $54 million contract extension, his buyout is not overly restrictive. It starts at $12 million if he leaves before Dec. 31, 2025, then drops to $10 million if he leaves in 2026, $6 million in 2027, $4 million in 2028 and $3 million in 2029.
Where are the trades? And who could get dealt?
This draft already has made a mark all on its own: Now that it is three days away, this is the closest to the start of Round 1 that there have been no trades for first-round picks in the common draft era (since 1967).
One of the biggest reasons for the lack of movement is what evaluators perceive to be the lack of blue-chip quarterbacks; for most teams, there isn't a quarterback outside of Cam Ward (Miami) worth trading up for. The Browns inquired about the possibility trading up from No. 2, and the Giants at No. 3 were even more persistent in their efforts to try to trade up for the top pick with Tennessee. The Titans have resisted those overtures and are expected to hold on to their pick.
On the other side of things, the Steelers (No. 21) are among the teams interested in moving back from their first-round slot. That list also includes the Jaguars (5), Panthers (8), 49ers (11), Falcons (15), Seahawks (18), Buccaneers (19) and Vikings (24), who currently have four picks, the fewest any team.
There has been, however, a lack of teams willing to trade up -- at least so far. Denver is one of those: The Broncos have made inquiries about moving up in Round 1, according to sources. But there aren't many others. This always could change when players start falling and teams are on the clock.
Draft weekend is also a busy time for trades of players already on rosters. Here are players on rookie contracts who could be deemed expendable:
• Will Levis, QB, Titans
• Treylon Burks, WR, Titans
• Kayvon Thibodeaux, Edge, Giants
• Evan Neal, OL, Giants
• Jalin Hyatt, WR, Giants
• Sam Howell, QB, Seahawks
• Tyree Wilson, Edge, Raiders
• Greg Newsome II, CB, Browns
• Travis Etienne Jr., RB, Jaguars
• Odafe Oweh, Edge, Ravens
• George Pickens, WR, Steelers
• Rachaad White, RB, Bucs
• Kayshon Boutte, WR, Patriots
And here are veterans who could be available via trade:
• Jalen Ramsey, CB, Dolphins
• Jaire Alexander, CB, Packers
• Kirk Cousins, QB, Falcons
• Dallas Goedert, TE, Eagles
• Mark Andrews, TE, Ravens
• Trey Hendrickson, Edge, Bengals
How high could Shough go?
Plenty has been made about the age of Louisville quarterback Tyler Shough, who turns 26 in September. Some teams view his age and experience as a positive, as they would be drafting a mature professional. To put Shough's age in perspective: He is three months older than his high school rival whom he played against four times -- 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy, who was drafted in 2022. The two friends from Arizona squared off in the 2020 Fiesta Bowl, not far from where they grew up, in a game in which Purdy's Iowa State team beat Shough's Oregon team 34-17.
There are teams that actually have Shough rated as their top quarterback in this draft. The concern is that, even at his age, he has only started one full season across his seven at Oregon, Texas Tech and Louisville, though he did make 32 career starts. He could figure into the back part of Round 1 or possibly into Round 2.
There are a group of teams after Tennessee that would like to address quarterback early, including the Browns, Giants, Saints and Steelers. Cleveland also happens to own the ever-valuable No. 33 pick, the first pick at the top of Round 2, which is why the Giants or Saints could explore trading back into Round 1 to jump them. Shough is likely to land on one of these quarterback-needy teams.
What to make of Milroe's invite
Just because Alabama quarterback Jalen Milroe was invited to attend the draft in Green Bay doesn't mean the league expects him to be picked on Thursday night. The league invites players it believes have a chance to be picked high, and even some that could still be on the board on Day 2. A team of league officials reaches out to the top prospects, but that should not be confused for a projection nor with the idea that the league has any inside info.
The league invited Milroe because he's one of the top quarterback prospects, and even if he is not picked in Round 1, he could be in attendance Friday night. Teams certainly like Milroe enough, and it's fair to say many are incredibly intrigued: "Rare physical talent," Browns general manager Andrew Berry said of Milroe last week. "Maybe the only quarterback who's faster than Lamar Jackson."
Milroe has some similarities to a quarterback named Jalen who also played at Alabama. He is 6-foot-2, 217 pounds; Jalen Hurts is 6-foot-1, 223 pounds. Both are represented by agent Nicole Lynn. Hurts went in the second round to the Eagles in 2020, while Milroe figures as a potential second-round pick to a team willing to bet on his upside.
Jeanty's superpower, and which team could target him
One of the strengths of this class is, undoubtedly, the running backs. Scouts Inc. has 11 ranked in the top 100, the most since a 2008 class that included Darren McFadden, Matt Forte, Chris Johnson, Jonathan Stewart and Jamaal Charles.
The best this year are Boise State's Ashton Jeanty, North Carolina's Omarion Hampton, Iowa's Kaleb Johnson and Ohio State's TreVeyon Henderson and Quinshon Judkins. There is one factor, however, that separates Jeanty, according to evaluators. He has a remarkable ability to break tackles and gain yards after contact. In fact, Jeanty had 1,733 rushing yards after contact last season while Hampton -- regarded as the No. 2 back in this class -- had 1,660 total rushing yards. Jeanty's total rushing yards after contact are the most by any FBS player in a season over the past five years.
There are multiple personnel people who believe the Bears are praying that Jeanty slips to them at No. 10. They think new Bears coach Ben Johnson could feature Jeanty and D'Andre Swift as a two-headed duo the way the Lions did with David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs when Johnson was Detroit's offensive coordinator.
Who could be drafted higher than most think
Each year there are players who go higher than prognosticators predict. Here are four who evaluators are expecting to go higher than projected:
• Missouri offensive tackle Armand Membou now looks like a top-10 lock, with the Raiders (No. 6) and Jets (No. 7) being possible destinations.
• A pair of Texas players -- offensive tackle Kelvin Banks Jr. and cornerback Jahdae Barron, have generated less talk than some of the other prospects at their positions. But both are in position to go higher than some people realize, with Banks being in play for Miami at No. 13 and Barron being linked to the Jets at No. 7.
• UCLA linebacker Carson Schwesinger, projected by many as a Day 2 pick, has a chance to go in the end of Round 1 to a team such as the Commanders (No. 29) or Bills (No. 30) that might be be looking for additional defensive help.
Will the Jags go against conventional wisdom?
Many mock drafts have pegged the Jaguars to select Michigan defensive tackle Mason Graham at No. 5 overall. As the venerable Lee Corso says, however -- not so fast, my friends. New GM James Gladstone -- who has 10 picks to work with, including four in the top 90 -- might not be that predictable. As one league executive said recently: "Jacksonville is a wild card -- watch."
Jaguars coach Liam Coen has long had a soft spot for wide receivers in the draft, and the top-rated wideout in this class, Arizona's Tetairoa McMillan, has drawn comparisons to ... the Bucs' Mike Evans. Coen, who coached Evans last year, knows how valuable a player like that can be to an offense. Some have questions McMillan's passion for football, but others suggest he is misunderstood and that, when he's on a football field, "he's an absolute baller."
A prospect to watch for the Jets
The Jets, who own the No. 7 pick, have made a concerted effort to "move in silence" this offseason, as new coach Aaron Glenn put it at last month's league meeting. There has been less talking out of their building as they begin to focus on how to turn around a team that went 5-12 last season.
So what the Jets wind up doing this week still is the subject of speculation, shrouded in more secrecy than usual. But they did recently and quietly have Penn State's Tyler Warren in for a visit, and there are certain members of their organization who are said to be enamored with the player many consider to be the top tight end in this class. (Warren also visited the Giants the day after he worked out for the Jets.)
If the Jets target the other side of the ball, some people around the league believe Glenn could target a cornerback, with Texas' Jahdae Barron as an option. Glenn, of course, played cornerback for 15 seasons in the NFL.
Will the Browns take another QB?
Welcome back to the top of the draft, Cleveland. The Browns have not made a top-50 pick in any of the past three drafts. Since 1990, the only other team to go three consecutive years without a top-50 pick was the Rams, who had a five-year streak from 2018 to 2022. At least they have a Super Bowl title to show for it, though.
The Browns will be returning to the top 50 in style, holding the No. 2 overall pick and the opening pick, No. 33, on Day 2. The closer the draft has gotten, however, the more it has seemed like they will not take over the league lead for drafting the most quarterbacks since returning to the NFL in 1999. They have drafted five in Round 1, tying Chicago and Washington for the highest total. Cleveland's first-round QBs since 1999: Tim Couch (1999), Brady Quinn (2007), Brandon Weeden (2012), Johnny Manziel (2014) and Baker Mayfield (2018). Those five combined for a 61-97 (.386) record with the Browns.
It feels as if Cleveland will not go quarterback in Round 1 on Thursday, but nobody would be surprised if its next pick -- whenever it comes -- turns out to be a passer.
Ohio State's 'special' player -- and class
Ohio State quarterback Will Howard played with a number of NFL prospects on the school's national championship team last season. Asked earlier this month on The Adam Schefter Podcast to point out one teammate who is set to have a special NFL career, Howard didn't hesitate.
"One guy I've been saying over and over, and I think he's a special guy, is Emeka Egbuka," Howard said. "He's been special throughout his whole career here, and he's going to be special at the next level. I see something different with him, man. He's got unbelievable route-running ability, he's got great speed, he's got some of the best hands that I've been around. On top of that man, he's one of the best guys I've been around. He's super into his faith, understands the game like a quarterback. You could sit him down in a quarterback meeting and he spit stuff out damn near like I could, and it's pretty impressive. I know he's got a really bright future ahead of him."
Egbuka figures to be selected somewhere in the 20s. Ohio State had 15 prospects in Matt Miller's seven-round mock draft, the most of any school. If there are 15 Buckeyes drafted, it would be the program's most in a single year, surpassing the 14 it had selected in 2004.
Expect a Day 2 run on receivers
Thursday night of the draft always is the headliner. But Friday night gives teams just as much of a chance to upgrade their roster. One of the strengths of the 2025 class is the wide receiver talent available on Day 2, where Mel Kiper Jr. and Field Yates had nine wideouts being selected in their most recent mock draft.
Two of those receivers are likely to be Iowa State standouts Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel. Others that could fall in that range include Washington State's Kyle Williams and TCU duo of Jack Bech and Savion Williams. Last year, there was a run on second-day receivers that included Keon Coleman going No. 33 to Buffalo and Ladd McConkey going No. 34 to the Chargers. There is expected to be another Day 2 receiver run this year.
Can the Titans add more premium picks?
A team looking for more firepower on Friday night will be the Titans, who in a bit of irony don't have a third-round pick thanks to their own general manager, Mike Borgonzi. Just over a year ago, Borgonzi was the assistant GM for the Chiefs and a central figure in the trade that sent cornerback L'Jarius Sneed from Kansas City to Tennessee in exchange for a 2025 third-round pick.
Now, Borgonzi has been hired to help build up the Titans' roster. Borgonzi turned down the Giants' overtures to trade up to No. 1 in a package of picks that would have included a third-round pick this year. Now he'll have to see if he can find a way back into that round.
Expect the Texans, Eagles to be active
No general manager seems to enjoy making draft weekend deals more than the Texans' Nick Caserio. During the four drafts he has run, the Texans have made a remarkable 22 trades either shortly before or during the draft, including one with the Vikings on March 15 last year that netted Houston the 2025 second-round pick Caserio turned into wide receiver Stefon Diggs.
The trade with the Vikings was just a warmup for draft weekend, when the Texans went on to make three more deals -- two with the Eagles and one with the Lions that involved nine draft picks in last year's draft. As busy as they were last year, it was nothing compared to how active they've been during other drafts.
During the 2023 draft, they made eight trades, including the move up for edge rusher Will Anderson Jr. at No. 3 overall. During the 2022 draft, they made seven. During the 2021 draft, they made three. If history is any guide, the Texans -- who have seven picks this year -- will be moving all around the board again this weekend.
Speaking of trades, no team is in a better position to make them this week than the Eagles. They own 20 selections over the next two drafts -- more than the actual number of players who can make their team. Therefore, they have added bargaining power should they try to trade for available veterans -- a certain possibility during the draft -- or if they decide in a less-likely scenario that they want to move up.
Moving up is what they've consistently done in the past. Eagles general manager Howie Roseman traded up in 2019 to get offensive tackle Andre Dillard, in 2021 to get wide receiver DeVonta Smith, in 2022 to get defensive lineman Jordan Davis and in 2023 to get Jalen Carter, Davis' college teammate. With the added pick firepower, Philadelphia is armed to make more trades, but deals for veterans instead of moving up in Round 1 are considered more likely.
Could the Seahawks trade a QB, then draft one?
John Schneider has done many good things during his 17 years as the Seahawks general manager. He just hasn't drafted many quarterbacks. The only two quarterbacks he has drafted are Russell Wilson in the third round in 2012 and Alex McGough in the seventh round in 2018.
The team already has been incredibly busy at the position this offseason. It traded Geno Smith to the Raiders for a third-round pick, then signed free agents Sam Darnold and Drew Lock. It still could wind up trading Sam Howell while entertaining the possibility of drafting another quarterback, per sources.
Once Seattle signed Lock, it opened up the possibility of a potential trade of Howell, whom the Seahawks traded for just over a year ago in a deal with Washington. Howell is available, and if the Seahawks wind up trading him this weekend, it would open up the possibility of drafting just the third quarterback during Schneider's tenure.
Quick-hit notes
• One source predicted this is going to be one of the most talented lists of priority free agent (PFAs) in recent years. The class is filled with players who won't get drafted but have draftable grades on them. It's two COVID classes and underclassmen combined together. Prospects who normally are late-round picks now will go undrafted and become PFAs. The Vikings have only four picks, so they would figure to sign as many of these players as they could. The Falcons, who have five picks, also will be in the mix.
• Contrary to internet speculation, the Eagles are not trading A.J. Brown. The star wide receiver signed a three-year extension a year ago this week.
• Once he is picked Thursday night, Colorado standout Travis Hunter wants to make sure NFL commissioner Roger Goodell introduces him as a cornerback and a wide receiver.
• Once again, North Dakota State has a quarterback prospect in the NFL pipeline in Cam Miller, who threw 33 touchdown passes and had just four interceptions last season. The Steelers, Jets and Broncos all sent their quarterback coaches to North Dakota State last month to meet with Miller, who is expected to be a late-round pick.
• At 464 pounds, Florida defensive tackle Desmond Watson could become the heaviest draft pick in NFL history.