<
>

NBA draft lottery: Potential picks and odds for every team

play
If the Warriors get the top pick, whom should they take? (1:33)

Mike Schmitz breaks down which player the Warriors should take if they end up with the No. 1 pick in the NBA draft. (1:33)

What's at stake for every team in the 2020 NBA draft lottery on Aug. 20? What should each team do if it jumps into the top four? And what if it stays put?

Now that the lottery odds for every team are locked in, our NBA draft experts break down the likely picks, odds and questions for every franchise pinning its hopes on pingpong balls, including the favorites for Anthony Edwards, LaMelo Ball and James Wiseman.

MORE: How the draft lottery works


Golden State Warriors | Average pick: 3.7

No. 1 pick odds: 14.0% | Top-three pick odds: 40.1%

If they land in the top four, they should pick ...

  • No. 1: LaMelo Ball

  • No. 2: Deni Avdija

  • No. 3: Anthony Edwards

  • No. 4: James Wiseman

Most likely pick: James Wiseman | C

In a draft lacking surefire star power at the top, the Warriors could have a tough decision on draft night if they land at No. 1.

Should they move back and draft a more ready-made contributor such as Deni Avdija, Isaac Okoro, Onyeka Okongwu, Tyrese Haliburton or Obi Toppin? Do they zero in on upside prospects LaMelo Ball, Anthony Edwards and James Wiseman?

I'd swing on Ball's incredible instincts and vision as a 6-foot-7 lead guard and pair him with elite shotmakers Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson, an athletic wing in Andrew Wiggins and an all-league small-ball defender in Draymond Green.

They should also consider Avdija given his versatility, experience, modern fit and basketball instincts. A Curry-Thompson-Wiggins-Avdija-Green small-ball lineup could be one of the most dynamic and versatile in the NBA.

But I could see the Warriors opting for Wiseman. The 7-1 marvel could reach his sky-high potential as a DeAndre Jordan-style finisher and defensive anchor with offensive upside should he land in an environment such as Golden State's. -- Schmitz


Cleveland Cavaliers | Average pick: 3.9

No. 1 pick odds: 14.0% | Top-three pick odds: 40.1%

If they land in the top four, they should pick ...

  • No. 1: Onyeka Okongwu

  • No. 2: Deni Avdija

  • No. 3: Isaac Okoro

  • No. 4: James Wiseman

Most likely pick: Onyeka Okongwu | F

After drafting guards Collin Sexton and Darius Garland in back-to-back years (as well as the promising Kevin Porter Jr. last year), Cleveland would probably be less interested than other teams in ball-dominant guards LaMelo Ball and Anthony Edwards.

That might lead the Cavs in the direction of Okongwu or Okoro, depending on where their pick falls. Neither player needs plays called for him to make his presence felt, and either should complement Sexton and Garland.

And with Cleveland's hole on the depth chart at forward, Avdija is a compelling option, thanks to his defensive versatility and basketball instincts. -- Givony


Minnesota Timberwolves | Average Pick: 4.1

No. 1 pick odds: 14.0% | Top-three pick odds: 40.1%

If they land in the top four, they should pick ...

  • No. 1: LaMelo Ball

  • No. 2: Anthony Edwards

  • No. 3: Deni Avdija

  • No. 4: Isaac Okoro

Most likely pick: Anthony Edwards | G

With Karl-Anthony Towns and D'Angelo Russell locked in, president of basketball operations Gersson Rosas is in search of a third star to add to the skilled pair of 24-year-olds. This pick could come down to Ball or Edwards.

But a defensive trio of Ball, Russell and Towns would be one of the league's most vulnerable. On top of that, Russell is one of the NBA's only non-superstars to post a usage rate over 30 in three consecutive seasons -- he and Ball both need volume and freedom to be at their best.

That opens the door for Edwards -- a gifted 6-5, 225-pound scorer who could do a lot of damage getting downhill with the space Towns and Russell provide. Like Ball, he needs to dramatically improve his defensive intensity, but he at least has the tools to be an asset on that end, and he'd give the Timberwolves an athletic boost they're otherwise lacking.

Avdija's versatility would also make a lot of sense here. -- Schmitz


Atlanta Hawks | Average pick: 4.4

No. 1 pick odds: 12.5% | Top-three pick odds: 36.6%

If they land in the top four, they should pick ...

  • No. 1: Deni Avdija

  • No. 2: Isaac Okoro

  • No. 3: Onyeka Okongwu

  • No. 4: James Wiseman

Most likely pick: Deni Avdija | G/F

With several building blocks in place, the Hawks probably will look to add a player who can contribute immediately and accelerate the franchise's move back to respectability.

A big guard such as Avdija -- who can defend multiple positions, play on or off the ball and brings considerable experience -- could be attractive here. His ability to play anywhere from 2-4 would make it easier to find minutes alongside existing building blocks Kevin Huerter, Cam Reddish and De'Andre Hunter. And as long as his improved perimeter shooting is sustainable, he could be a very good fit with point guard Trae Young. -- Givony


Detroit Pistons | Average pick: 5.0

No. 1 pick odds: 10.5% | Top-three pick odds: 31.6%

If they land in the top four, they should pick ...

  • No. 1: LaMelo Ball

  • No. 2: Anthony Edwards

  • No. 3: Onyeka Okongwu

  • No. 4: Tyrese Haliburton

Most likely pick: LaMelo Ball | G

While the Pistons have hit singles over the years with value adds Bruce Brown, Christian Wood and Sekou Doumbouya, Detroit is in dire need of a future star, especially in the backcourt.

The fifth pick isn't typically where you find franchise-changers. But in this case, it's not impossible that Ball falls to the Pistons, considering the teams expected to draft ahead of Detroit. The Pistons ranked 21st in offense and 28th in pace this season, making Ball an ideal choice, given he excels in transition and can generate offense from virtually anywhere on the floor.

As it happens, Ball's manager, Jermaine Jackson, is a Detroit native, played his college basketball and was an assistant coach at Detroit Mercy and had a short stint with the Pistons.

I'd expect Pistons senior adviser Ed Stefanski and recently hired general manager Troy Weaver to give do-it-all Iowa State guard Tyrese Haliburton and 6-6 French playmaker Killian Hayes long looks here as well. -- Schmitz


New York Knicks | Average pick: 5.5

No. 1 pick odds: 9.0% | Top-three pick odds: 27.6%

If they land in the top four, they should pick ...

  • No. 1: LaMelo Ball

  • No. 2: Anthony Edwards

  • No. 3: Deni Avdija

  • No. 4: Isaac Okoro

Most likely pick: Isaac Okoro | F

In the midst of a rebuilding process now headed by new management, the Knicks have more needs than are likely to be addressed with a single draft pick.

One school of thought would be to pick the player with the most star power, which would lead them in the direction of Ball or Edwards. Neither player is a great fit, but a franchise that hasn't made the playoffs in seven years can't afford to pass on talent in favor of fit.

But if Knicks do want a player who complements some of the promising young talent assembled by the previous regime -- namely RJ Barrett, Kevin Knox II and Mitchell Robinson -- the likes of Avdija, Okoro and, to a lesser extent, Okongwu could make plenty of sense. Okoro's defensive versatility, selfless style of play and considerable upside probably would make him fit well with Barrett in a supersized wing duo. -- Givony


Chicago Bulls | Average pick: 6.2

No. 1 pick odds: 7.5% | Top-three pick odds: 23.4%

If they land in the top four, they should pick ...

  • No. 1: LaMelo Ball

  • No. 2: Deni Avdija

  • No. 3: Tyrese Haliburton

  • No. 4: Isaac Okoro

Most likely pick: Tyrese Haliburton | G

A revamped Bulls front office, led by vice president of basketball operations Artūras Karnišovas, is in dire need of a pass-first guard to play next to electric scorers Coby White and Zach LaVine, and a wing who can mesh with bigs Wendell Carter Jr. and Lauri Markkanen.

Karnišovas, who helped draft Nikola Jokic in Denver, could fill both needs in one player by selecting Serbian-Israeli point forward Avdija. The 19-year-old Maccabi Tel Aviv product has the basketball instincts and court vision to operate as a big guard for stretches while also possessing the size and versatility at 6-9 to play either forward spot when off the ball.

If Avdija is off the board, Chicago could consider guards such as Tyrese Haliburton or Killian Hayes or a proven big man such as Obi Toppin, especially given the inconsistency from both Carter and Markkanen. -- Schmitz


Charlotte Hornets | Average pick: 7.0

No. 1 pick odds: 6.0% | Top-three pick odds: 19.0%

If they land in the top four, they should pick ...

  • No. 1: LaMelo Ball

  • No. 2: Anthony Edwards

  • No. 3: Deni Avdija

  • No. 4: Onyeka Okongwu

Most likely pick: Obi Toppin | F

The Hornets have been avoiding a full-blown rebuild for years in hopes of cobbling together a playoff team, which they haven't had since 2016. The results are glaring holes on the roster and very little star power.

Swinging for the fences to bring in Ball or Edwards would make sense if Charlotte has the opportunity, and this has to be considered the floor for a high-ceiling prospect such as Wiseman.

Short of that, drafting a versatile wing in Toppin -- who can score in a variety of ways and comes ready to play -- would make a lot of sense. He'd inject the frontcourt with plenty of athleticism, intensity and physical play. -- Givony


Washington Wizards | Average pick: 8.0

No. 1 pick odds: 4.5% | Top-three pick odds: 14.5%

If they land in the top four, they should pick ...

  • No. 1: LaMelo Ball

  • No. 2: Anthony Edwards

  • No. 3: Onyeka Okongwu

  • No. 4: James Wiseman

Most likely pick: Precious Achiuwa | F

Ranking last in defensive rating, the Wizards need a rim protector to slot next to scoring forward Rui Hachimura. Landing a shot-blocker such as Okongwu or Wiseman would be a dream for the Wizards should they end up in the top three.

Given the slim odds of jumping up to grab either player, however, GM Tommy Sheppard and his group probably will have to turn to the draft's next tier of bigs in Dayton's Toppin and Memphis' Achiuwa.

When he's fully engaged and embracing his role, Achiuwa is arguably the draft's most versatile defender, with the ability to check point guards on switches and protect the rim as a small-ball 5. He should also be able to pierce defenses as a Montrezl Harrell-like roller and driver on the other end.

If the Wizards don't focus on defense, Toppin could energize the team's fan base with his high-flying dunks and deep 3s, making him an excellent fit next to John Wall and Bradley Beal. -- Schmitz


Phoenix Suns | Average pick: 9.2

No. 1 pick odds: 3.0% | Top-three pick odds: 9.9%

If they land in the top four, they should pick ...

  • No. 1: LaMelo Ball

  • No. 2: Anthony Edwards

  • No. 3: Obi Toppin

  • No. 4: Isaac Okoro

Most likely pick: Killian Hayes | G

The Suns have exceeded expectations in a season highlighted by the improvement of cornerstones Devin Booker and Deandre Ayton and strong contributions from several role players.

While Ricky Rubio has proved to be a strong complement to Booker, he's about to turn 30. The Suns might look at 6-5 pick-and-roll guard Hayes. A versatile guard like Haliburton, who can play on or off the ball thanks to his size, strong perimeter shooting and basketball instincts, would also be a great fit. -- Givony


San Antonio Spurs | Average pick: 10.3

No. 1 pick odds: 2.0% | Top-three pick odds: 6.6%

If they land in the top four, they should pick ...

  • No. 1: LaMelo Ball

  • No. 2: Anthony Edwards

  • No. 3: Deni Avdija

  • No. 4: Isaac Okoro

Most likely pick: Patrick Williams | F

DeMar DeRozan, LaMarcus Aldridge, and Rudy Gay are in their 30s and could depart by 2021, so I'd expect the Spurs to take the best player available and build for the future.

With the majority of their young talent in the backcourt in Dejounte Murray, Derrick White and Lonnie Walker IV, the Spurs would be wise to take a long look at wings such as Devin Vassell, Williams, Saddiq Bey and Aaron Nesmith. Guards Cole Anthony, RJ Hampton, Tyrese Maxey and Killian Hayes might also generate interest here.

Ultimately, Florida State products Williams (18.8 years old) and Vassell (19.8 years old) might make the most sense in terms of need, youth and the type of character the Spurs tend to want. The physically impressive 6-8 Williams (32% from 3 at FSU) is the perfect pupil for renowned shooting coach Chip Engelland to mold, as he did with Kawhi Leonard. -- Schmitz


Sacramento Kings | Average pick: 11.9

No. 1 pick odds: 1.3% | Top-three pick odds: 4.3%

If they land in the top four, they should pick ...

  • No. 1: Anthony Edwards

  • No. 2: Deni Avdija

  • No. 3: Onyeka Okongwu

  • No. 4: Isaac Okoro

Most likely pick: Tyrese Maxey | G

The Kings can stand to add talent at every position outside of point guard and will be well positioned to jump on any of the high-upside prospects who fall out of the top 10 due to the uncertainty caused by this year's pre-draft process.

Combo guards who complement De'Aaron Fox, including RJ Hampton and Maxey, could be especially interesting, but there are real needs in the frontcourt, which a versatile defensive big man such as Precious Achiuwa could help shore up. Drafting a deadeye shooting wing such as Aaron Nesmith could make sense as well. -- Givony


New Orleans Pelicans | Average pick: 12.1

No. 1 pick odds: 1.2% | Top-three pick odds: 4.0%

If they land in the top four, they should pick ...

  • No. 1: LaMelo Ball

  • No. 2: Anthony Edwards

  • No. 3: Deni Avdija

  • No. 4: Isaac Okoro

Most likely pick: Saddiq Bey | F

As the Pelicans build around a youthful quartet of Zion Williamson, Brandon Ingram, Lonzo Ball and Jaxson Hayes, they could certainly use a versatile wing who defends and spaces the floor.

No player expected to fall in this range fits that description better than Bey, a 21-year-old forward from Villanova who comes from a winning program and aligns with New Orleans' timeline perfectly. At 6-8 with a 7-0 wingspan, Bey has the size to play either forward spot while functioning as a ball-mover, cutter and spot shooter (career 42% from 3) on offense.

Devin Vassell, Aaron Nesmith, Patrick Williams and Jaden McDaniels could all also draw interest here if David Griffin & Co. are indeed eyeing another wing. Should the Pelicans somehow land in the top three, a Lonzo-LaMelo backcourt, alongside Williamson, could make for the most exciting team in the NBA. -- Schmitz


Boston Celtics (via Memphis Grizzlies) | Average pick: 13.7

No. 1 pick odds: 0.5% | Top-three pick odds: 1.7%

Trade considerations: The Grizzlies owe their pick to the Celtics if it falls outside the top six.

If Grizzlies land in the top four, they should pick ...

  • No. 1: Anthony Edwards

  • No. 2: Deni Avdija

  • No. 3: Isaac Okoro

  • No. 4: Tyrese Haliburton

Most likely pick: Devin Vassell | G/F

Assuming this pick goes to Boston, Celtics exec Danny Ainge could go a variety of directions.

Despite drafting Grant Williams and Romeo Langford last year, the Celtics could still look to add depth up front and at the off-guard spot, especially with coach Brad Stevens' willingness to play small.

A floor-spacing, shot-blocking big such as Maryland's Jalen Smith could make sense here. Guards RJ Hampton, Cole Anthony and Theo Maledon are also worthy of a look, along with any available wings in Saddiq Bey, Aaron Nesmith, Devin Vassell and Patrick Williams.

Vassell could end up being a steal as a late bloomer who holds some similarities to Suns standout Mikal Bridges. Because the Celtics also hold the 26th and 30th picks, Ainge has more freedom to make an upside pick such as 7-1 Serbian power forward Aleksej Pokusevski, who handles the ball like a point guard and shoots it like a wing, yet has questions in terms of his NBA readiness and toughness. -- Schmitz

Jonathan Givony is an NBA draft expert and the founder and co-owner of DraftExpress.com, a private scouting and analytics service utilized by NBA, NCAA and international teams.

Mike Schmitz is an NBA draft expert and a contributor to DraftExpress.com, a private scouting and analytics service utilized by NBA, NCAA and international teams.