I said all spring this draft was bad, and here's more subjective evidence: Three teams, at most, drafted their new No. 1 overall prospects, and I think I come down here saying that only one more team drafted a top-two prospect. Some of that is a function of high-drafting teams already having multiple top-50 prospects in their systems -- the Tigers with Casey Mize and Matt Manning; the Padres with MacKenzie Gore and Luis Patino; the Reds with Taylor Trammell and Hunter Greene. Some is just that it wasn't a good draft up top.
I do think in a year we'll see more players emerge from this draft as top-100 caliber prospects, but I would also bet they will be surprises from the back half of the first round (Corbin Carroll?) or beyond.
New No. 1 prospects in their organizations
Baltimore Orioles: Adley Rutschman, C, No. 1 overall pick
That was a pretty easy call. The Orioles' top prospect coming into the year, lefty DL Hall, is still a good prospect, but he lacks Rutschman's floor or ceiling. It doesn't help that Hall has had some issues with walks for High-A Frederick this year with a 16% walk rate; he has walked or struck out more than half the hitters he faced. I'd also guess that Rutschman will be Hall's teammate either at the end of this summer or by the beginning of next summer, and he's likely to reach the majors sooner.
Kansas City Royals: Bobby Witt Jr., SS, No. 2 overall pick
Lefty Daniel Lynch was No. 1 on my list, and I don't think the gap between these two guys is all that big, although Lynch was removed from his last start on June 1 for "precautionary" reasons. If I had higher confidence in Witt's hit tool he would be a top-10 to top-15 prospect in baseball, and then this would be an easier choice to bump him over Lynch, who had been rolling for High-A Wilmington (along with the since-promoted Brady Singer).
Miami Marlins: JJ Bleday, OF, No. 4 overall pick
This is a closer call, as the Marlins also just traded for their incumbent No. 1 prospect, right-hander Sixto Sanchez, in the winter deal that sent J.T. Realmuto to the Phillies. Sanchez started the year on the shelf after missing much of last year with arm soreness, although he returned in early May and hasn't missed a start since then. But between his on-and-off arm issues and questions about his conditioning, he's probably behind Bleday, the Vanderbilt outfielder who led Division I in homers this year thanks to exceptional hand strength and an excellent eye.
New No. 2 prospects in their organizations
San Francisco Giants: Hunter Bishop, OF, No. 10 overall pick
I'd slot Bishop in behind the Giants' top pick from last year, catcher Joey Bart, who just returned from the injured list and continues to show big power (which isn't a function of the California League's great hitters' parks). Bishop has the potential to be at least a full grade better on offense, but he's a corner outfielder while Bart is a good defensive catcher -- and, of course, Bart is a year closer to the majors.
New ... something
Chicago White Sox: Andrew Vaughn, 1B, No. 3 overall pick
Vaughn would have been the new No. 1 prospect in a lot of systems, but I don't think you could make a credible argument yet to put him there in the White Sox system. Outfielder Luis Robert, finally healthy for an extended stretch, has done everything you could want a hitter to do at two levels so far this year, and projects to have a lot more defensive value than Vaughn will, even though Vaughn provides more OBP value. Michael Kopech is still a prospect, as he retains rookie eligibility. While he's out for the season after Tommy John surgery, if he returns to be the pitcher he was last August, he's among the top pitching prospects in all of baseball. Dylan Cease, the top healthy pitching prospect in the White Sox system, is no slouch himself.
So while I'm very high on Vaughn's potential as a hitter, I couldn't put him in the top two in this system.