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Betting Seahawks-Commanders: How to bet Jayden Daniels, Jaxson Smith-Njigba

Sunday's slate of Week 9 games wraps up with the Seattle Seahawks visiting the Washington Commanders on "Sunday Night Football."

Seattle has won consecutive games and five of six. Meanwhile, the Commanders continue to deal with injuries and have dropped three in a row.

The Seahawks head into Sunday's matchup as slight favorites.

Liz Loza, Pamela Maldonado and Seth Walder offer their picks, prop plays and analysis to help you bet Sunday's game.

Note: Odds at time of publication. For the latest updates, visit ESPN BET.


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Game picks | Prop bets | Betting trends

Game bets

Notable player props, bets

Jayden Daniels to go UNDER 229.5 passing yards (-115)

Loza: I know unders are no fun, but this feels like a bull's-eye. Mike McDonald's defense has emerged as one of the most complete units in the NFL, giving up the fewest rushing yards per carry (3.3) as well as the fifth-lowest average QB rate (84.4). Led by Leonard Williams, the defensive line has dominated, tallying 23 sacks and earning a pass rush win rate of 44%. The defense only figures to be better coming out of the bye healthier with Devon Witherspoon returning. Daniels has cleared the above line in only two of five outings this season. Additionally, Terry McLaurin's absence only figures to further stymie Daniels' ability to air it out.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba longest reception OVER 28.5 yards

Maldonado: The Washington defense is the ideal matchup profile. The Commanders bleed explosive pass plays, Seattle's scheme is built for them, Sam Darnold leads the league in YPA and play-action explosives, and Smith-Njigba possesses the most cheat-code usage in the NFL. This is an edge bet.

Leonard Williams to go UNDER 0.5 sacks (-170)

Walder: Williams had an exceptional 2024 season, but his pass-rushing numbers beyond sacks in 2025 have been down quite a bit. He has just a 4.4 % pass rush win rate and 4.6% pressure rate this season -- numbers that are well below average and average, respectively, for an interior lineman. To push me off an under at this price with a (mostly) interior lineman underperforming in advanced pass rushing metrics, he would need to be playing a sack-magnet quarterback. That's not Jayden Daniels: he has a 7% career sack rate that is a shade over average, but nothing extreme.

Betting trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

  • The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS as a favorite this season and 3-0 ATS in road games.

  • The Commanders are 0-3 ATS in their past three.

  • Home underdogs are 7-4-1 outright and 8-4 ATS in prime-time games this season.