This SEC matchup has all the ingredients for chaos. Georgia walks into Neyland Stadium as a road favorite, but Tennessee has the firepower and home-field edge to make this anything but straightforward.
It's strength on strength, tempo versus explosiveness, and two quarterbacks with very different profiles stepping into a spotlight game with playoff implications. The margin for error will be slim, and whichever team imposes its style first likely dictates everything that follows.
The line dropping from Georgia -6.5 at opening to -4.5 and all the way to -3.5 signals early money backing Tennessee and growing market confidence in the Vols keeping this close, or perhaps even winning outright.
No. 6 Georgia Bulldogs at No. 15 Tennessee Volunteers
Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC
Line: Georgia -3.5
Money line: Georgia (-170), Tennessee (+145)
Over/Under: 49.5 (O -115, U -105)
How Georgia can win
Georgia's path to winning as road favorites is about controlling tempo and forcing Tennessee out of rhythm. That advantage starts on the ground.
Through two weeks, Tennessee's defense is 95th in defensive success rate against the run, and Georgia has the depth to exploit it with a committee approach led by Nate Frazier, Dwight Phillips Jr. and Chauncey Bowens, in addition to QB Gunner Stockton's mobility. Sustaining drives, chewing clock and keeping Tennessee's explosive receivers on the sideline is how Georgia dictates pace.
Defensively, they have to make Joey Aguilar uncomfortable. Aguilar hasn't thrown an interception, but he also hasn't faced a front seven that can disguise looks like Georgia can. With just two sacks in two games, this is the spot to dial up pressure and force Aguilar to work underneath instead of attacking deep. If the Bulldogs establish the run early, limit vertical shots and keep the game in front of them, they control both possession and tempo.
How Tennessee can win
For Tennessee, it starts, and possibly ends, with explosives. Aguilar has been sharp to open the season, completing 66% of his passes, averaging 9.1 YPA and, most importantly, throwing no picks.
He's efficient, composed and hasn't taken a single sack -- huge against a Georgia defense that hasn't generated much heat up front, with only three sacks from 23 total pressures. That's not great.
Georgia's secondary ranks 41st in EPA/pass allowed and now faces a Vols receiving corps where four different receivers are averaging 14+ yards per catch. If Tennessee hits two or more chunk plays per half, Georgia's defense could struggle to keep pace. Add in Star Thomas and DeSean Bishop, who are efficient enough on the ground to keep Georgia honest, and Aguilar has every tool to stretch the field.
Then there's Neyland Stadium. At home, with noise shaking Georgia's quarterback, Tennessee's eight sacks in two games and active pass rush become even more dangerous. If Aguilar stays clean, Tennessee can win outright.
Betting prediction: Tennessee +3.5 (-110) 
Tennessee +3.5 is still playable, even after the line movement, because this is about the Vols' chance to win. Georgia hasn't looked sharp offensively, and Stockton is the biggest question mark. Throwing it 34 times against Austin Peay isn't typical Georgia football, especially when you're up just 14-3 at halftime against an FCS opponent. It feels like they're still searching for rhythm and identity.
Meanwhile, Aguilar gives Tennessee a real edge. His elusiveness, efficiency and zero sacks through two games make him the X-factor. Against a Georgia defense that hasn't consistently pressured quarterbacks, this sets up perfectly for Tennessee's vertical passing game to dictate pace and flow.
The matchup points to one thing: Tennessee can cover +3.5 and has every chance to win outright.