2025 U.S. Open golf betting: Bets, props and odds to know

With a field of elite talent and a notoriously tough setup at Oakmont Country Club, the 2025 U.S. Open offers plenty of intrigue and strong betting opportunities. From favorites like Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy to promising long shots and enticing prop bets, there's no shortage of ways to get in on the action.

Whether you're hunting for value, looking to fade the public or targeting course-specific trends, our experts are here to help you build a sharper betting card.

Here are Pamela Maldonado, Anita Marks, Tyler Fulghum and David Gordon with the bets and props that stand out for the 2025 U.S. Open.

Odds are accurate as of publication. For the latest odds, visit ESPN BET.

Who is your bet to win?

Rory McIlroy (12-1)

McIlroy was just the co-favorite at +450 at last month's PGA Championship. Now he's nearly triple the price thanks in part to some equipment issues. I trust Rory to iron out the issues and get back to form at a tournament he's finished runner-up at in each of the past two years. He has been seventh or better after each of the past 14 rounds at this event dating to 2021. -- David Gordon, ESPN Research

Collin Morikawa (22-1)

Morikawa has the emotional control and analytical mindset that suits Oakmont. He started the year hot with two runner-up finishes in his first four stats, The Sentry and Arnold Palmer, and has since cooled with only one top-10 finish since March. He has the build to tackle this course; he's fourth in accuracy and fifth in approach. We've seen what Morikawa is capable of when the putter is even slightly cooperating. While his putting can be a disaster, that should be the case for everyone this week. If he stays calm and plays his game, Morikawa will quietly be in the mix Sunday, and no one would be surprised. -- Pamela Maldonado, Betting Analyst

Jon Rahm (12-1)

Rahm has the perfect long game to succeed at Oakmont. He comes into the week in great form, and that feisty mojo is back! His T-14th at the Masters and T-8th at the PGA Championship tells me that he can pull this off. Rahm leads LIV in greens in regulation percentage, which is a very important metric on this track. -- Anita Marks, Betting Analyst

Who is your favorite bet to make the top 10?

Xander Schauffele (+210)

I'm leaning with spectacular tournament history over mediocre season form with Schauffele at a price I don't think we'll see for him too often in the future. He has seven top-10 finishes in eight career appearances at the U.S. Open, with tied for 14th his worst career finish (2022). It's only a matter of time before Schauffele (139th this season in Strokes Gained: Putting) gets his putter back, after which... he's back. -- Gordon

Keegan Bradley (+475)

Golf is about trusting your swing. With back-to-back top-10 finishes and positive putting, Bradley has the trust. That's confidence, timing and flow. Bradley is a high-quality ball striker across the board and is surprisingly strong around the green. He's not the most consistent major performer, but Captain Keegan's best stuff has come at tough venues. The putter is the most volatile aspect of his game, but Bradley has the ballstriking ceiling that is absolutely high enough to win. If Oakmont is a pure tee-to-green survival test, Bradley is in the mix. -- Maldonado

What is your favorite Scottie Scheffler bet?

To finish Round 1 in top 10 (+150)

Scheffler has been inside the top 10 after 10 of his past 11 major rounds (91%) dating back to last year. Each of the past four U.S. Open winners, and nine of the past 11, were inside the top 10 after 18 holes. Given Scheffler is the prohibitive favorite this week, it might be the best value on the three-time major champion. -- Gordon

To finish Round 1 in top 10 (+150)

Scottie is sustained excellence. He's not flashy, but he's steady, especially in the early stage of a tournament. Third on tour in Round 1 scoring average, Scheffler is beyond elite from the jump. Separating his strokes gained numbers by round, Scottie is at his best off the tee, with his irons and from tee-to-green in the opening round of tournaments, gaining an average of 3.98 strokes total, at least a full 1.5 strokes better compared to the rest of the three rounds to close. That's why "waiting for a better number live" usually doesn't come. He starts hot, then stays solid the rest of the way. -- Maldonado

Who are your favorite long shots/value bets?

Keegan Bradley to win (75-1)

I feel good about this being more than just a lotto ticket. Wild? Yes. Impossible? No. Putting and scrambling are the red flags, but Bradley's approach and ballstriking floor is massive. With two top 10s in his past two starts, his form is peaking. He's dynamite tee to green right now, ranking second in the field over the past 32 rounds. If you want a guy with winning-level ballstriking at longer odds, he belongs on your card. He's already one of my top-20 picks, now as a top-10 choice, may as well throw in the top 5 at 10-1. One time, Captain Keegan! -- Maldonado

Cameron Young to win (100-1)

After a brutal start to the season with four missed cuts in a five-start span, Young is coming off a T-4th finish at the RBC Canadian Open and finished tied for seventh in Pennsylvania at the Truist Championship three starts prior. He has plenty of major championship experience and success, with five top 10s between the 2022 PGA and 2024 Masters. -- Gordon

Any other bets stand out to you?

Make the cut parlay: Tommy Fleetwood and Harris English (-104)

English is in the middle of a career year and has never missed the cut at the U.S. Open in nine career appearances. Fleetwood hasn't missed a cut this season and hasn't even been outside the top 40 through 36 holes in his past 11 starts. I feel rather comfortable putting the two together for this one! -- Gordon

Scottie Scheffler top-5 finish (-140)

The juice is steep but may even still be undervalued. In 31 starts since January 2024, Scheffler has finished top five in 19 of those, including 10 wins. Unlike most juice-heavy markets, this one has the data to back it. Scheffler isn't volatile, rarely posts a bad round, and even with a cold putter, his ballstriking alone can keep him near the top. There have been multiple instances where he's lost at least three strokes or more putting and still finished T-11th or better. If this were any other player, the juice would be unplayable, but Scheffler is statistically reliable. -- Maldonado

Dustin Johnson to miss the cut (-120)

DJ won the U.S. Open at Oakmont in 2016 in what feels like a lifetime ago. Since his move to LIV in 2022, Johnson hasn't even come close to contention in major competition. His best finish in 10 major starts since 2023 is a T31 at last year's Open Championship. He has missed the cut five times, including at both the Masters and the PGA Championship this year. Until DJ shows me something else with his game, I'll continue to fade him hard at major competitions. -- Tyler Fulghum