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Betting the NBA Finals: Bets that stand out for Game 3

Pascal Siakam is due for a big scoring game, but can the Pacers slow down Shai Gilgeous-Alexander? Adam Pantozzi/NBAE via Getty Images

The Oklahoma City Thunder responded in a big way in Game 2 of the NBA Finals following the Indiana Pacers' miraculous comeback win in Game 1.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander put up 34 points, eights assists and five boards on Sunday, and the Thunder made sure not to let another lead slip away in a 123-107 victory to even the series.

The series now shifts to Indianapolis for Game 3, where the Pacers are 5.5-point home underdogs.

Here are our analysts' bets that stand out for Wednesday's game.

Odds are as of publication time. For the most up-to-date odds, visit ESPN BET


Game 3 bets that stand out

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander under 34.5 points (-125)

There are clashing trends here. After all, SGA just set the NBA record for most points in a player's first two Finals games (72, surpassing Allen Iverson's 71) and he has produced big numbers against the Pacers all season. But, after the first round of the playoffs, SGA's scoring output has not been the same on the road as it has been at home. SGA has posted monster scoring numbers at home (34.2 PPG in nine games), but on the road he has averaged 25.8 PPG while going over 34.5 points in just one of five outings. I expect this to be the Pacers' best effort in the series on both offense and defense and for Indiana to keep SGA below this very high line. -- Snellings

Pascal Siakam over 19.5 points (-115)

Siakam is due for a big scoring game. He has gone over 19.5 points in five of his last 10 games, but only four of those games were at home. In those four home games, he averaged 24.8 PPG while scoring at least 21 in three of the four outings. The Pacers are back home for Game 3, and I expect them to put their best foot forward. That will involve the more aggressive style that helped Siakam win the Eastern Conference Finals MVP award and should result in him putting at least 20 points on the board. -- Snellings

Alex Caruso over 9.5 points (-120)

Caruso has cleared this line in each of the first two games of the series, playing 27 or more minutes in both. He is knocking down his 3-pointers, getting to the free throw line and capitalizing on the defensive attention drawn by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. That attention has opened up opportunities for Caruso, and he has taken advantage. Caruso has gone over 9.5 points in all seven games this season where he's played 27 or more minutes. -- Moody


Projections and injury reports

Basketball Power Index by ESPN Analytics. Injury aggregation by Rotowire.com. Odds by ESPN BET


Oklahoma City Thunder at Indiana Pacers
8:30 p.m. ET on ABC

Line: Thunder -5.5 (EVEN) | Pacers +5.5 (-120)
Money line: Thunder -200 | Pacers +170
Total: 228.5 (-105 O, -115 U)
BPI Projection: Thunder by 1.6, straight up 55%, 226.3 total points.

Injury Report:
Thunder: Nikola Topic, (OFS - Knee)
Pacers: Jarace Walker, (OUT - Ankle); Isaiah Jackson, (OFS - Achilles)