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Betting preview: Win total, title odds for South Florida

Bulls QB Quinton Flowers is a legitimate Heisman contender this season. Shanna Lockwood/USA TODAY Sports

With college football season on the horizon, ESPN Chalk's college football experts -- Phil Steele, "Stanford Steve" Coughlin and Chris Fallica -- combine to give you betting previews of the top 25 teams, according to the ESPN College Football Rankings. They break down each team's strengths and weaknesses, along with season win total bets and national title odds.

Odds from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of Aug. 14.

South Florida Bulls

National title odds: 300-1 (opened 300-1)
Season win total: 10
FPI win total projection: 9.7


Phil Steele

Strengths: Charlie Strong inherits a talented and experienced team in Tampa Bay. Quarterback Quinton Flowers is a legitimate Heisman contender after posting more than 4,000 total yards and 40 touchdowns last year, and he will have a veteran offensive line in front of him. I also like the size, speed and athleticism on defense. The Bulls have my No. 21 defensive line and No. 30 set of defensive backs.

Weaknesses: While I love Flowers at quarterback, there are question marks around who will replace the production of running back Marlon Mack, who averaged 6.8 yards per carry for 1,187 yards last year, and top wide receiver Rodney Adams, who was drafted by the Vikings. Strong will need playmakers to emerge.

Over/under (10): I have South Florida favored in all twelve games this year. If they slip up once, you still win with the over. If they get upset twice, you get your money back. They would have to lose three times for you to lose. I like the over on 10 wins.

National title odds (300-1): I think this team will go undefeated. While it sounds like there is value here at 300-1, South Florida plays too soft a schedule and is a Group of Five team that I do not think has a shot at making the playoffs. No play.


"Stanford Steve" Coughlin

Over/under (10): Long story short, the Bulls are the team to beat in the American Athletic Conference. There is a good chance that they will be favored in every game they play. Their team runs through Flowers, who became the first player from any FBS program in the state of Florida to have 2,000 yards passing and 1,000 yards rushing in the same year. He rushed for 1,530 yards and averaged 7.7 yards per carry last year. I also like that they return nine defensive starters from a team that won 11 games last year. Need more? They don't have to play Memphis and they have a cupcake nonconference schedule. Oh, and I'm a fan of Charlie Strong. I'm drinking the Bulls Kool-Aid this year, and I think the Bulls are the non-Power 5 school to make the most noise in the country this year. Over 10 wins, for sure.


Chris Fallica

Over/under (10): It's hard to find more than two losses on this schedule, as this team has won 13 of its past 15 AAC games. Those two losses were Navy, who is not on 2017 schedule, and at Temple, the conference winner last year. USF gets a lesser Owls team at home this year. The nonconference schedule also lightens up, as Florida State is replaced by Illinois. While an upset loss is always possible, there are only three games in which USF has less than a 70 percent chance to win -- at Tulane, vs. Houston and at UCF. It seems like 10-2 is a worst-case scenario here. I'd lean over, but I'm also not really a fan of counting on 11-1 to cash.

National title odds (300-1): While the Bulls are obvious favorites to represent the Group of Five in the New Year's Six, they are not winning the national title. Go buy a Powerball ticket with that $5, instead.

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