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Predicting which tagged players will get long-term deals

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Bears still hoping for long-term deal with Jeffrey (1:24)

ESPN NFL Insider Joe Banner breaks down the impact of the Bears using their franchise tag on Alshon Jeffery. (1:24)

Ten teams utilized franchise/transition tags on Tuesday. The deadline to sign franchised players to a long-term extension is July 15, while the players who received the transition tag have until July 22 to secure a deal. NFL Nation assesses the likelihood each tagged player will get a new long-term deal this offseason.

Baltimore Ravens: K Justin Tucker

Franchise tag value: $4.572M

History says the Ravens and Tucker will reach a long-term deal. The past four Ravens who received the tag -- cornerback Chris McAlister, linebacker Terrell Suggs, defensive tackle Haloti Ngata and running back Ray Rice -- all ended up with multiyear agreements. It's just a matter of when this will happen. With the tag for kickers being the lowest among all positions, Baltimore could tag Tucker in 2017 as well, but a kicker hasn't played under the tag in the past three seasons. -- Jamison Hensley

Buffalo Bills: LT Cordy Glenn

Franchise tag value: $13.706M

The Bills weren't going to let Glenn get away this offseason, and they cleared cap space to assign him the franchise tag. They're still in need of cap room, so there is an incentive for the Bills to keep negotiating with Glenn and strike a long-term deal that lowers his 2016 cap number. -- Mike Rodak

Carolina Panthers: CB Josh Norman

Franchise tag value: $13.952M

I would say the odds are about 60-40 in favor of Norman getting a long-term deal. Both sides want to get one done, but Norman is looking to be paid among the top cornerbacks in the NFL, which would cost the Panthers an average of about $14 million per year. That is perhaps a couple million more than Carolina wants to commit with management also looking to lock up defensive tackle Kawann Short long term. -- David Newton

Chicago Bears: WR Alshon Jeffery

Franchise tag value: $14.599M

The most likely outcome is for the Bears and Jeffery to reach an agreement on a long-term deal before the July 15 deadline. Both sides prefer a multiyear arrangement, but Jeffery's camp initially sought around $14 million per season (the 2016 salary cap figure for franchised wide receivers is about $14.6 million). The Bears were not prepared to go that high. Work needs to be done to bridge that gap, but both parties are expected to resume negotiations sometime in the future. The odds of the Bears and Jeffery eventually finding some kind of common ground are promising. -- Jeff Dickerson

Denver Broncos: OLB Von Miller

Franchise tag value: At least $14.129M*

Both the Broncos and Miller believe they will get a long-term deal done. In the formal announcement of Miller's exclusive franchise tag, the team's top football decision-maker John Elway said the Broncos have had "productive talks'' with Miller's agent, Joby Branion. Elway also added, "we'll continue those discussions with the goal of making sure Von remains a Bronco well into the future.'' The last three players in Elway's tenure who have been tagged have then been signed to a long-term deal before the next training camp. At the moment, there is no reason to expect Miller won't be the fourth. -- Jeff Legwold

*Exclusive franchise tag number not set until after the RFA signing period ends on April 22.

Kansas City Chiefs: S Eric Berry

Franchise tag value: $10.806M

Berry and the Chiefs look willing to reach an agreement, so I would expect them to sign a long-term contract before the July 15 deadline. General manager John Dorsey said as much in the official announcement of the news: "Our goal is to keep Eric in Kansas City for the foreseeable future." Plus, by the summer, the Chiefs might need some relief from the $10.8 million they have to carry on their cap for Berry as their franchise player. -- Adam Teicher

Los Angeles Rams: CB Trumaine Johnson

Franchise tag value: $13.952M

The Rams didn't want to let Johnson reach the free-agent market, thinking his size (6-foot-2), age (26) and production (15 interceptions in four seasons, fourth most in the NFL in that time) would attract plenty of suitors. But they also believe they can get a deal done to keep Johnson with the team for the long term. Johnson is a California native and is looking forward to playing in his home state. While his price certainly went up this past year and will again after free agency, the Rams and Johnson should be able to strike a deal before the July 15 deadline. -- Nick Wagoner

Miami Dolphins: DE Olivier Vernon

Transition tag value: $12.734M

Yes, Vernon will likely get a long-term deal this offseason, but not necessarily from Miami. The Dolphins opted to use the transition tag on their sack leader, meaning other teams can negotiate with Vernon and Miami has the right to match any offer. With lots of cap space available all over the league and Vernon entering his prime, it's hard to imagine the 25-year-old pass rusher having to settle for the $12.734-million transition tag in 2016. -- James Walker

New York Jets: DE Muhammad Wilkerson

Franchise tag value: $15.701M

The chances of locking up Wilkerson with a long-term contract aren't promising. He's believed to be seeking a deal in the Marcell Dareus neighborhood ($43 million guaranteed at signing), and the Jets apparently don't think he's worth it. There's a considerable gap in negotiations. They will explore a tag-and-trade, but it'll be difficult to find a team willing to meet his asking price and compensate the Jets fairly. He could end up playing 2016 for the franchise tender, $15.7 million. -- Rich Cimini

Washington Redskins: QB Kirk Cousins

Franchise tag value: $19.953M

Kirk Cousins will play under the franchise tag, with the caveat that this is a tricky one to predict. It's easy to say right now that a deal won't happen because the sides aren't close. If the Redskins indeed want to see more before they pay a certain amount and if Cousins is truly willing to bet on himself, then I could see the QB playing the 2016 season on a one-year deal. It's in the Redskins' best interest to sign a long-term team-friendly deal, but Cousins doesn't need to do so. Still, it'll be a much easier question to answer in a couple of months when the real deadline of July 15 approaches. -- John Keim