We're officially through Week 14 of the 2025 NFL season, the playoff picture and the road to Super Bowl LX are starting to come into view. Which teams have the best chances to make the 14-team playoff field? Which still have work to do to ultimately get in? No one has clinched yet ... but a few teams are getting close.
We used ESPN's Football Power Index to project the rest of the season, looking at the playoff picture for both conferences. We included updated odds for every team to make the postseason, clinch its division and even make the Super Bowl. And we also have projected seeds.
Here's everything you need right now.
Last update: Dec. 9 at 10:25 a.m. ET
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AFC picture | NFC picture
AFC seeds | NFC seeds
Projecting the AFC playoff field
The Chiefs are out of contention for the AFC West title for the first time in 10 seasons. In order to earn a playoff berth, they'll have to be a wild-card team, which ESPN's FPI currently gives them only an 11% chance of doing. The Texans, meanwhile, saw their chances surge with their win on Sunday night and have the sixth-easiest remaining strength of schedule in the AFC.
The Chargers are putting together a powerful late-season push with an overtime win against the Eagles on "Monday Night Football." On Sunday, the Bills came back fighting with their thrilling win over the Bengals, and the Jaguars took control of the AFC South away from the Colts -- who got dealt a major blow with Daniel Jones' Achilles tear. On the other end of things, the Browns and Jets joined the Raiders and Titans in being eliminated from playoff contention this week.
In Week 15, the Patriots can clinch the AFC East with a win -- and clinch at least the playoffs with losses from the Texans and Colts. The Broncos can clinch a playoff berth with a win or losses from the Texans, Colts and Jaguars.
Projecting the NFC playoff field
The Lions kicked off Week 14 with a win over the Cowboys on Thursday, pushing them to 8-5 and improving their chances of making the playoffs. Another NFC North team was not so lucky, as the Bears -- one week after surging to No. 1 in the NFC -- lost in a heartbreaker to the Packers. Green Bay has reclaimed its spot at the top of the NFC North but still has to face Chicago one more time before the end of the season.
The Buccaneers' hold on the NFC South got much looser this week. With the Panthers on bye, Tampa Bay's loss to the Saints got rid of the half-game lead the team had on Carolina. However, the Bucs still get to face the Panthers twice before the end of the season and have the second-easiest strength of schedule remaining in the NFL.
The Commanders and Falcons were eliminated from playoff contention, joining the Cardinals, Saints and Giants in the conference.
In Week 15, there is only one clinching scenario for the NFC: The Rams can lock up a playoff berth with a win.
Projecting the AFC playoff seedings
It appears the race for the No. 1 seed will come down to the Patriots and Broncos, but the Broncos' win over the Raiders does gives them the tiebreaker (better record in conference games).
Projecting the NFC playoff seedings
It'll come down to the Packers and three NFC West teams for the first-round bye, but the Seahawks play the Rams and 49ers one more time before the end of the season.
NFL playoff schedule
Jan. 10-12, 2026: Wild-card round
Jan. 17-18: Divisional round
Jan. 25: AFC and NFC championship games
Feb. 8: Super Bowl LX (in Santa Clara, California)