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2024 NFL offseason: Key free agents, draft notes, predictions

Davante Adams, Bryce Young, Saquon Barkley & Mike Vrabel ESPN

The 2024 offseason has begun. With the Super Bowl now behind us, all 32 franchises are headed toward a long five months before training camps open at the end of July. But it should be an active five months, as teams make changes to coaching staffs, rosters, front offices and schemes. We're here to break down what each team must do this offseason.

Our NFL Nation reporters picked out one big offseason priority for the team they cover, hitting anything from finding a new quarterback to figuring out what went wrong on defense. Then they identified an under-the-radar priority that should be considered this spring. National reporters Jeremy Fowler and Dan Graziano weighed in with buzz on one looming free agent decision for each club, and draft experts Matt Miller and Jordan Reid picked out what you need to know about every team's 2024 draft outlook. And finally, Aaron Schatz made one big prediction for each team's offseason.

Let's dig in on how every team can get better before the 2024 campaign begins. We have been updating this file since the end of the regular season, and ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) and projected salary cap (via OverTheCap) are as of Jan. 7.

Jump to a team:
ARI | ATL | BAL | BUF | CAR | CHI | CIN | CLE
DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND | JAX | KC
LV | LAC | LAR | MIA | MIN | NE | NO | NYG
NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF | SEA | TB | TEN | WSH

The 14 teams that made the playoffs

Kansas City Chiefs

2023 record: 11-6
Final FPI ranking: No. 6
Estimated 2024 cap space: $34.8 million
First-round draft slot: No. 32

Biggest offseason priority: Kansas City obviously has to upgrade at wide receiver. Whether it's getting improvement from the receivers the Chiefs have or a complete rebuild beyond Rashee Rice, the Chiefs have to be better than they were in 2023. They led the NFL in drops with 38. A difficult decision must be made about tight end Travis Kelce and whether he can still be part of the solution at 35 years old. The Chiefs miscalculated on development or production from Kadarius Toney, Skyy Moore and Marquez Valdes-Scantling, and they need to decide whether any of them are worth retaining.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: What will they do about cornerback L'Jarius Sneed? He has been a key element of the defense and in many ways is the ideal corner for Steve Spagnuolo's system. The Chiefs would need to invest heavily in order to keep him. After drafting five corners in the past two years, including Trent McDuffie, would such an investment be worth it? -- Adam Teicher

Latest on whether they will re-sign L'Jarius Sneed: The Chiefs long have had interest in retaining Sneed, a favorite of Spagnuolo and a fringe top-10 corner in the eyes of league evaluators. But he will most likely command top dollar in free agency, and the Chiefs -- who have McDuffie ascending -- don't often spend big on defensive players. Recent top free agency corners have pushed or surpassed $15 million per year on new deals. -- Fowler

Draft outlook: Rice has been a blessing in his rookie season, but speed is a must-add for this team to get the offense back to its pre-2023 levels. Texas speedster Xavier Worthy would give Kansas City the downfield vertical threat that has been missing since Tyreek Hill took his talents to South Beach. -- Miller

Big prediction for the offseason: The Chiefs will add a veteran possession receiver to their struggling receiving corps by signing free agent Tyler Boyd away from the rival Bengals. -- Schatz


San Francisco 49ers

2023 record: 12-5
Final FPI ranking: No. 1
Estimated 2024 cap space: $1.4 million
First-round draft slot: No. 31

Biggest offseason priority: Re-signing wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk is crucial. The 49ers rebuffed trade inquiries on Aiyuk last offseason, and he rewarded them with his best season as a pro, teaming with QB Brock Purdy to become one of the league's most formidable downfield duos. Aiyuk -- who had 1,342 receiving yards in 2023 -- is still under team control via the fifth-year option, but the Niners would like to keep him around for the long haul. With the notable exception of defensive tackle DeForest Buckner, the 49ers have a long track record of keeping their star players, and there are ways to structure a deal for Aiyuk so his big money wouldn't kick in until other highly paid players have moved on.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: The Niners have managed success despite not getting consistent production from their offensive line, particularly in pass protection. They need more competition and upgrades for the right side of the line and must begin planning for the future on the left side, where tackle Trent Williams will turn 36 this offseason and guard Aaron Banks is eligible for a contract extension for the first time. This is both a short- and long-term need in San Francisco. -- Nick Wagoner

Latest on whether they will re-sign edge rusher Chase Young: They acquired Young from the Commanders at the deadline as a win-now move, knowing he could be a short-term rental. The 49ers are tight against next year's cap and have some big-money extensions to consider for the likes of Aiyuk and safety Talanoa Hufanga, just to name two. Young has been very happy there playing with former college teammate Nick Bosa on one of the league's best teams. But San Francisco may not have enough to keep him if he wants a deal like his former Commanders teammate Montez Sweat got in Chicago. -- Graziano

Draft outlook: Right tackle Colton McKivitz surrendered 11 sacks this season. With a strong crop of right tackles on the horizon in a deep class, an upgrade is needed to protect Purdy. Kingsley Suamataia (BYU) and Jordan Morgan (Arizona) are two names to watch as potential immediate starters. -- Reid

Big prediction for the offseason: Given questions on the offensive line and the age of Williams, the 49ers will draft an offensive tackle with their first-round pick, perhaps Patrick Paul of Houston. However, with Young, Randy Gregory and Clelin Ferrell all entering free agency, the 49ers will also use a couple of picks on developmental edge rushers. -- Schatz


Detroit Lions

2023 record: 12-5
Final FPI ranking: No. 8
Estimated 2024 cap space: $59.3 million
First-round draft slot: No. 29

Biggest offseason priority: Detroit's offense ranked among the best in the league, but defensively, the 2023 season was pretty inconsistent from game to game, particularly in the pass rush and the secondary. The team should consider adding a defensive lineman, notably on the edge, along with extra depth at cornerback. Second-year edge rusher Aidan Hutchinson struggled to translate his rush production into sacks at times this season, but he's certainly a star in the making for the Lions -- and they need to continue to build support around him.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: The Lions got great news when offensive coordinator Ben Johnson opted to remain with the team rather than pursue head-coaching opportunities. Johnson's playcalling has been pivotal in the Lions' success. Next up? Taking care of "unfinished business" as wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown said. Detroit can keep its core together on offense, which means the expectations should be high in 2024. -- Eric Woodyard

Latest on whether they will re-sign edge rusher Romeo Okwara: Once a big free agent signing for Detroit, Okwara has just five sacks over the past three seasons. His contract voids after the Super Bowl, and the Lions will be looking to upgrade their pass rush this offseason after tying for 23rd in sacks (41). -- Graziano

Draft outlook: Washington's Bralen Trice is the exact type of relentless pass-rusher that the team could be looking for at the end of Round 1 to address the pass rush issues. -- Reid


Baltimore Ravens

2023 record: 13-4
Final FPI ranking: No. 2
Estimated 2024 cap space: $17.9 million
First-round draft slot: No. 30

Biggest offseason priority: Baltimore has to find a way to keep defensive tackle Justin Madubuike. The 2020 third-round pick broke out in his contract year, recording a career-high 13 sacks (which led all interior linemen). Madubuike was a major reason why Baltimore had the NFL's best pass rush (60 sacks). The Ravens can't let him leave in free agency because they haven't had this type of push up the middle since Trevor Pryce was there 17 years ago. Madubuike is projected to command a contract that averages $20 million per season. If the Ravens are unable to reach a long-term deal with him by March 5, they would have to place the franchise tag on him to keep him in 2024 and buy more time to sign him to a multiyear deal.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: Lamar Jackson's supporting cast need attention. The Ravens have a major chunk of their offense headed to free agency: their two most proven running backs (J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards), two most experienced wide receivers (Odell Beckham Jr. and Nelson Agholor) and two starting offensive linemen (guards Kevin Zeitler and John Simpson). -- Jamison Hensley

Latest on whether they will re-sign linebacker Patrick Queen: The Ravens' top free agent is Madubuike, who will be difficult to keep as a high-end defensive lineman. But right behind him is Queen, who played very well in a contract year that required a response after Baltimore declined his fifth-year option. The problem: Baltimore already has Roquan Smith, and rarely does a team pay two linebackers double-digit millions per year. Potential solution: Baltimore loves linebackers and might not care about that precedent. -- Fowler

Draft outlook: Rookie wide receiver Zay Flowers was fantastic in 2023, but Beckham hits free agency in March at 31 years old. In a draft class that is stacked at wide receiver, this could be the year to land Jackson another top-flight target. Flowers is a speedy, undersized vertical threat. If the Ravens can land a big-bodied wideout like LSU's Brian Thomas Jr. or Texas' Adonai Mitchell, they have to jump on the chance. -- Miller

Big prediction for the offseason: The Ravens will cut running back Justice Hill, saving $2.5 million on the cap with just $500,000 in dead money. Then they will use a third-round pick on a young running back to lead a backfield that will also include Dobbins returning from an Achilles tear and Keaton Mitchell returning from an ACL tear. -- Schatz


Buffalo Bills

2023 record: 11-6
Final FPI ranking: No. 4
Estimated 2024 cap space: minus-$43.1 million
First-round draft slot: No. 28

Biggest offseason priority: Sign defensive linemen. The Bills have an array of defensive starters and contributors set to hit free agency, especially on the defensive line. Upcoming free agents include safety Micah Hyde, defensive end Leonard Floyd, defensive tackle DaQuan Jones and defensive end AJ Epenesa -- and that's just the start of the list. The only defensive tackle under contract for next season is Ed Oliver. Re-signing players and adding to the DL in the draft and free agency will be important.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: Draft (or sign) a No. 2 wide receiver. Wide receiver Gabe Davis is an upcoming free agent, and with the inconsistent connection between Stefon Diggs and Josh Allen this season, it has never been more important for the Bills to seriously address the wide receiver room beyond Diggs to help Allen. Drafting tight end Dalton Kincaid in the first round last year was a good start, but looking wide receiver early should be next. -- Alaina Getzenberg

Latest on whether they will re-sign edge rusher AJ Epenesa: The Bills like to keep their home-grown talent and this is no different, depending on the price point. Epenesa is 25 and stood out this season with 6.5 sacks, 2 interceptions and eight pass deflections. Buffalo got trade calls on two young pass-rushers in the summer -- Epenesa and Boogie Basham -- and decided to keep Epenesa and deal Basham. Epenesa delivered, and it wouldn't surprise if the Bills talk extension at some point. -- Fowler

Draft outlook: The Bills had the fourth-most sacks in the NFL this season (54), but Floyd -- who led the team with 10.5 -- is a free agent, and Buffalo has not been able to find a consistent young starter via the draft despite many efforts. This could be the year, with a deep edge rusher group. The Bills could look for a Round 1 addition like Bralen Trice (Washington). -- Miller

Big prediction for the offseason: The Bills will use their first-round pick on a wide receiver. Some possibilities include LSU's Brian Thomas Jr., Washington's Ja'Lynn Polk and South Carolina's Xavier Legette. -- Schatz


Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2023 record: 9-8
Final FPI ranking: No. 17
Estimated 2024 cap space: $47.0 million
First-round draft slot: No. 26

Biggest offseason priority: Tampa Bay will be trying to re-sign wide receiver Mike Evans. Obviously solidifying the quarterback situation is imperative, but the Bucs could re-sign Baker Mayfield and draft a quarterback. Evans tied Tyreek Hill for the most touchdown catches in the NFL this season (14). He's still the Bucs' No. 1 target and has shown no signs of slowing down at age 30.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: What will the Bucs do at linebacker? Lavonte David, the longest-tenured player on the current roster at 12 seasons, is a free agent, and so is Devin White, who requested a trade last offseason and instead played under the fifth-year option. Will Tampa Bay choose to keep both, neither or sign just one? -- Jenna Laine

Latest on whether they will re-sign quarterback Baker Mayfield: Mayfield's contract voids if he's still on the roster 23 days prior to the start of the league year, which gives the Buccaneers the option to franchise him if they so choose. He has played quite well for them and likely -- if he hits the market -- can look for something along the lines of the Daniel Jones contract ($40 million per year). But the Bucs may decide to keep him around. -- Graziano

Draft outlook: The interior of the Buccaneers' defensive line is set with Vita Vea and rookie Calijah Kancey. YaYa Diaby has come on strong for the team, but the lack of another edge rusher is glaring. Tampa Bay is in range to add one of the top pass-rushers in this year's class, including Jared Verse (Florida State), Chop Robinson (Penn State) and Bralen Trice (Washington). -- Reid

Big prediction for the offseason: The Buccaneers will sign left tackle Tristan Wirfs to a contract extension to keep him with the team through his peak years while lowering his 2024 cap hit of $18.6 million. Wirfs ranked 23rd among tackles in pass block win rate (89.5%) in his first season after switching from the right side to the left. -- Schatz


Green Bay Packers

2023 record: 9-8
Final FPI ranking: No. 12
Estimated 2024 cap space: $5.9 million
First-round draft slot: No. 25

Biggest offseason priority: Fix the kicking situation. Whether that's sticking with Anders Carlson, who had a rocky rookie year, bringing in some competition or signing a proven veteran, they can't have what happened this season happen again. And it wasn't just Carlson's missed 41-yard field goal in the fourth quarter of the playoff loss to the 49ers. It was an on-going problem. His 13 missed kicks this season (field goals and extra points, including playoffs), were the most in the NFL and three more than any other kicker. Perhaps this is why some teams simply refuse to draft a kicker like the Packers did with Carlson in the sixth round. Had they not invested a pick in Carlson, perhaps they would've brought in another kicker at some point while letting Carlson work out his issues.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: Figure out what to do with aging high-priced veterans like OT David Bakhtiari, RB Aaron Jones and LBs De'Vondre Campbell and Preston Smith. They're all under contract for next season, but it's hard to imagine any of them being back at their current scheduled salaries. -- Rob Demovsky

Latest on whether they will re-sign safety Darnell Savage: The Packers added void years to Savage's deal to help them with this year's cap, so they have about $5.5 million in dead money already on the books for him in 2024. They could opt to move on unless he wants to re-sign on the cheap as a depth player in the secondary. -- Graziano

Draft outlook: The emergence of quarterback Jordan Love and the Packers' young receivers has made their upcoming draft plan flexible. But after trading away Rasul Douglas and with question marks on whether or not Jaire Alexander will be on the roster next season, the cornerback room in Green Bay is very thin. Alabama CBs Kool-Aid McKinstry and Terrion Arnold would each make sense. -- Reid

Big prediction for the offseason: The Packers will allow Savage to leave in free agency, replacing him with another veteran free agent safety such as Jordan Whitehead or C.J. Gardner-Johnson. -- Schatz


Houston Texans

2023 record: 10-7
Final FPI ranking: No. 18
Estimated 2024 cap space: $71.4 million
First-round draft slot: No. 23

Biggest offseason priority: Re-signing defensive end Jonathan Greenard will be key. The Texans can't let a premier pass-rusher walk. He is a big reason why their defense registered 46 sacks on the year (he had 12.5) and why the run defense went from sixth worst all time (allowing 2,894 total rushing yards) to now finishing with the sixth-fewest yards allowed per game (96.6) this season.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: Houston has to get quarterback C.J. Stroud one more playmaker. He has receivers Nico Collins -- who led the team with 1,297 receiving yards -- and Tank Dell, but adding to that group could make the offense more dynamic. It might be the difference between getting Pro Bowl-level play from Stroud ... and getting a MVP-caliber performance. -- DJ Bien-Aime

Latest on whether they will re-sign edge rusher Jonathan Greenard: Yes, the Texans could make a run at Greenard as the long-term bookend to Will Anderson Jr. Both backup pass-rushers, Derek Barnett and Jerry Hughes, are also free agents. -- Fowler

Draft outlook: After last year's trade up to No. 3 overall, the Texans don't have their original first-rounder. But they do have Cleveland's pick, and Houston needs to focus on adding defensive help. A starting cornerback opposite Derek Stingley Jr. is a priority need. Missouri's Ennis Rakestraw Jr. is a physical, aggressive cover man with a late-Round 1 grade. -- Miller

Big prediction for the offseason: The Texans will be a popular destination in free agency, as players will want to play for DeMeco Ryans and enjoy a contract with no state income tax. Look for the Texans to bring in a veteran depth edge rusher such as Randy Gregory or Clelin Ferrell to replace Hughes and play behind Anderson and Greenard. -- Schatz


Philadelphia Eagles

2023 record: 11-6
Final FPI ranking: No. 9
Estimated 2024 cap space: $29.1 million
First-round draft slot: No. 22

Biggest offseason priority: The Eagles have to shore up the defense. A switch from Sean Desai to Matt Patricia as defensive playcaller has not cured all that ails this unit, which ranked near the bottom in key areas like third down, red zone and passing touchdowns allowed for most of the season. Now, with Vic Fangio taking over as the coordinator, the Eagles need help at linebacker and in the secondary in particular to get the defense back to a championship-caliber level.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: The Eagles need an eventual heir apparent to right tackle Lane Johnson who can provide depth in the interim. Edge rusher should also be a priority to help bolster a pass rush that has fallen off in 2023. Philadelphia went from 70 sacks in 2022 to 43 this season. -- Tim McManus

Latest on whether they will re-sign running back D'Andre Swift: Like most teams, the Eagles seem to like to bargain-hunt at the running back position. They got Swift cheap and have used him to great effect. But if he's going to cash in big on his strong season (1,049 rushing yards), it may have to be elsewhere. -- Graziano

Draft outlook: Investing in the trenches has been a common theme for the Eagles. Adding more talent to the offensive or defensive line is a repetitive formula of success for them. Johnson will turn 34 years old prior to the 2024 season at right tackle, so Jordan Morgan (Arizona) and Tyler Guyton (Oklahoma) could be Round 1 targets. Both have experience at guard and tackle. -- Reid

Big prediction for the offseason: The Eagles will finally spend some money at the linebacker position by offering a big contract to Panthers free agent Frankie Luvu. He can play off the ball or off the edge, giving flexibility to whoever is calling the defensive plays in Philadelphia next season. -- Schatz


Pittsburgh Steelers

2023 record: 10-7
Final FPI ranking: No. 19
Estimated 2024 cap space: minus-$7.4 million
First-round draft slot: No. 20

Biggest offseason priority: The Steelers thought they were drafting their next franchise quarterback when they selected Kenny Pickett with the 20th overall pick in 2022. But Pickett hasn't lived up to his first-round status in 24 games as the Steelers' starter, with 13 touchdown passes and 13 interceptions. With Pickett effectively benched for longtime backup Mason Rudolph, it's fair to speculate on Pickett's future, even if coach Mike Tomlin and Pickett hasn't gone there yet. The Steelers are a traditionally patient organization, and the hiring of a new offensive coordinator, Arthur Smith, could be enough leeway to keep Pickett as the No. 1 for another season.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: The Steelers have an All-Pro safety in Minkah Fitzpatrick and a rising star in cornerback Joey Porter Jr., but the organization needs to build around them in the secondary. Veteran Patrick Peterson has been solid in his transition to being a dual-threat defensive back, but he's in the final years of his career and the Steelers need at least one or two more starter-capable cornerbacks and safety depth. -- Brooke Pryor

Latest on whether they will re-sign cornerback Levi Wallace: The Steelers' free agency class is not star-studded, but Wallace has been a solid starter over two years in Pittsburgh, producing six interceptions and 12 pass breakups since 2022. I could see him staying there on another two-year deal closer to free agency. -- Fowler

Draft outlook: The Steelers tied for the 11th-most interceptions with 16, but the cornerback position is one that needs more talent even after drafting Porter in Round 2 last year. The Alabama duo of Terrion Arnold and Kool-Aid McKinstry could be of interest. But the front office could also surprise us and look at quarterbacks, though none of the Round 1 passers are expected to be available where Pittsburgh is picking. -- Miller

Big prediction for the offseason: They will cut veteran wide receiver Allen Robinson II, who was a disappointment in 2023 (34 catches for 280 yards). That move can save the Steelers $10 million on the cap in 2024 with just $1.9 million in dead money. -- Schatz


Los Angeles Rams

2023 record: 10-7
Final FPI ranking: No. 7
Estimated 2024 cap space: $44.0 million
First-round draft slot: No. 19

Biggest offseason priority: The Rams have to add top defensive talent. For the first time since 2016, they have a first-round pick -- and they could use it on whoever the best defensive player available is when they are on the clock. The Rams' defense played at a high level -- one higher than expected by most outside the building -- this season, and adding top defensive talent makes sense to continue that growth.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: Settling on a reliable option at kicker will also be key. They signed Lucas Havrisik at midseason but then cut him to bring back Brett Maher late in the season. Los Angeles missed an NFL-high 11 field goals this season, which was the most by any team since the 2015 Buccaneers (11). It's an area the Rams need to solidify this offseason. -- Sarah Barshop

Latest on whether they will re-sign receiver Demarcus Robinson: Robinson caught four touchdowns in December as the Rams surged into the playoffs. Puka Nacua is a rookie star at WR, and Cooper Kupp has $20 million guaranteed next year, so he's not likely going anywhere soon. But Kupp is 30 and has been banged up the past couple of years. Has Robinson played his way into a role in this offense in the long-term? And would the Rams pay to keep him if other teams are offering more? -- Graziano

Draft outlook: The Rams still need help along the offensive line and could benefit from a strong class at offensive tackle. Alaric Jackson is a restricted free agent, and Rob Havenstein will be 32 years old prior to next season. Tyler Guyton (Oklahoma) and Troy Fautanu (Washington) are two prospects to watch here in Round 1. -- Reid

Big prediction for the offseason: The Rams will re-sign free agent safety Jordan Fuller but not the older John Johnson III, handing the second starting safety job to either Russ Yeast or a 2024 rookie draft pick. -- Schatz


Dallas Cowboys

2023 record: 12-5
Final FPI ranking: No. 3
Estimated 2024 cap space: minus-$16.1 million
First-round draft slot: No. 24

Biggest offseason priority: Quarterback Dak Prescott is due for a contract extension. It will be costly as Prescott enters the final year of his deal, and the Cowboys will not be able to use the franchise tag on him in 2025. With a $59.4 million cap figure, an extension would help the Cowboys greatly in terms of being able to re-sign other players (CeeDee Lamb, Micah Parsons) or add free agents. If they can sign Prescott, that opens up a ton of different avenues the Cowboys can take.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: Figure out what to do with Tyron Smith, whose contract is up. The left tackle missed time this season, but the Cowboys don't have a left tackle ready to take over. Keeping Smith on a cost-wise contract and drafting another tackle early might be the best option. -- Todd Archer

Latest on whether they will re-sign offensive tackle Tyron Smith: Smith's contract voids at the end of this season. He's 33 years old and has battled injuries for several years, and the Cowboys drafted Tyler Smith in the first round in 2022 with the thought of him eventually replacing him. It's entirely possible we just saw the final weeks of an outstanding 13-year Cowboys career. -- Graziano

Draft outlook: There aren't many holes, but as pointed out above, offensive line is one glaring weakness. The team could be in search of a succession plan to its long-time left tackle, and Arizona's Jordan Morgan or BYU's Kingsley Suamataia could be versatile options. -- Reid

Big prediction for the offseason: The Cowboys will allow running back Tony Pollard to leave in free agency and then trade up to the top of the third round to take a new starting running back, perhaps TreVeyon Henderson (Ohio State) or Blake Corum (Michigan). There aren't really any running backs projected to go in this year's first two rounds, but the Cowboys will want to move up to make sure they get the guy they want. -- Schatz


Miami Dolphins

2023 record: 11-6
Final FPI ranking: No. 5
Estimated 2024 cap space: minus-$40.8 million
First-round draft slot: No. 21

Biggest offseason priority: Sign their stars. This specifically applies to defensive tackle Christian Wilkins and quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, both of whom have excelled in "prove it" years. Wilkins has set a career-high with 9 sacks this season and will be an unrestricted free agent this offseason. From both a production and leadership standpoint, bringing him back in 2024 is essential. Tagovailoa, on the other hand, built on his success from the 2022 season and remained healthy after prioritizing his durability last offseason. After seeing a less-productive Daniel Jones net $40 million AAV last offseason from the Giants, Tagovailoa should expect to clear that with ease on an extension.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: Bolster the wide receiver room. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle are excellent receivers who command a lion's share of Tagovailoa's targets. But there is no reliable receiving option behind them when Miami is forced to play without either one. This isn't a role that requires a high draft pick to fill, but something the Dolphins can address either through free agency or on Day 2 of the draft. -- Marcel Louis-Jacques

Latest on whether they will re-sign guard Robert Hunt: The fourth-year guard has performed well enough to become one of the top guards on the free agency market. The Dolphins will try to re-sign him but know he will get big dollars, which might prevent him from signing with the team that drafted him. The Dolphins gave tackle Austin Jackson $36 million over three years to ensure they keep one of their top-two free agent linemen. -- Fowler

Draft outlook: With Wilkins set to become a free agent and money tied up throughout the defense, Miami might not be able to keep him. A draft class that is weak on top-tier defensive tackle talent might enter into the equation for GM Chris Grier when making a decision on Wilkins' future. Illinois' Jer'Zhan Newton is my top DT. -- Miller

Big prediction for the offseason: The Dolphins will cut edge rusher Emmanuel Ogbah, who has played a smaller role this season. He didn't play over 40% of the defensive snaps in any game. Cutting Ogbah will save $13.8 million on next year's cap for Miami while leaving just $4 million in dead money behind. -- Schatz


Cleveland Browns

2023 record: 11-6
Final FPI ranking: No. 15
Estimated 2024 cap space: minus-$12.7 million
First-round draft slot: None

Biggest offseason priority: Cleveland should focus on extending coach Kevin Stefanski and general manager Andrew Berry. The Browns have frantically cycled through coaches and GMs over the years since returning to the league in 1999. The franchise has finally found a winning pairing. It needs to lock up this coaching staff and front office for the foreseeable future. Stefanski is 37-30 since taking over as coach in 2020.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: Receiver Amari Cooper continues to catch everything, tight end David Njoku is turning into a star and running back Nick Chubb will eventually return from a knee injury. But the Browns could look to add another big-time playmaker or two, especially at the receiving position. -- Jake Trotter

Latest on whether they will re-sign quarterback Joe Flacco: On paper, he's hardly considered a marquee free agent -- a practice squad player thrust into action late in the season. But he got the Browns this far. Does Cleveland at least entertain bringing him back, even with Deshaun Watson on the roster? It seems far-fetched due to the commitment to Watson, but the questions are worth asking. Flacco has created a market for himself. -- Fowler

Draft outlook: With no first-round pick thanks to the Watson trade, the upstart Browns will look to Round 2 to add playmakers at wide receiver and/or linebacker. They will be drafting in the latter third of the round but could find a playmaker like Washington's Ja'Lynn Polk available at wide receiver. -- Miller

Big prediction for the offseason: Despite questions about his return from a knee injury, the Browns will sign Chubb to an extension which will allow them to keep him past the 2024 season, while also lowering his cap charge to help the Browns get under the number. A big running back contract may surprise some coming from the analytically forward Browns, but advanced analytics generally portray Chubb as one of the few running backs who truly makes a difference. (For example, he always excels at the NFL Next Gen Stats rushing yards over expectation metric, where he leads the NFL since 2021 with 597.) -- Schatz

The 18 teams that didn't make the playoffs

Arizona Cardinals

2023 record: 4-13
Final FPI ranking: No. 26
Estimated 2024 cap space: $52.3 million
First-round draft slots: Nos. 4, 27

Biggest offseason priority: Arizona has to add a playmaking No. 1 receiver. There are many offseason priorities for the Cardinals this year, including landing a No. 1 cornerback and a top-tier defensive lineman, but they need a true top pass-catcher more than anything else. It looks like Kyler Murray is their choice for quarterback next season, but he will need help. Only the Falcons and Jets had fewer receiving yards from their wideouts than the Cardinals (1,790), and Marquise Brown is on an expiring deal. They could find Murray's new receiver either in the draft or in free agency, going after a young productive pass-catcher and paying him the money he's worth.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: The Cardinals aren't in desperate need of a No. 1 cornerback, but they're about as close as a team can get. It'll be a priority this offseason, and signing a veteran in free agency would likely be the best move, especially with such a young unit at the moment. Arizona allowed a 68.6% completion rate to opponents, second worst in the NFL. -- Josh Weinfuss

Latest on whether they will re-sign receiver Marquise Brown: He's close with Murray, and if the Cardinals stick with the current QB situation next season -- as appears they might -- that could help Brown's case to return. But Brown hasn't delivered high-end production in his two years in Arizona (574 yards this season), so he won't likely get to play in the same free agent sandbox as guys like Tee Higgins and Michael Pittman Jr. Will he want to stay, and will the Cardinals want to keep him badly enough, to find a compromise? It's possible, and it's worth noting that Brown doesn't even turn 27 until June. -- Graziano

Draft outlook: The Cardinals have multiple options, but as Josh mentioned, adding more pass-catchers on the outside will be key. In a deep receiver class, Ohio State's Marvin Harrison Jr. is within range here. He has rare body control and strong hands, and I have him as my No. 1 overall prospect. But similar to last year, GM Monti Ossenfort could look to trade back, acquire more picks for a team that severely lacks talent and still add a pass-catcher later in Round 1. Again, this is a deep receiver class. -- Reid

Big prediction for the offseason: The Cardinals will keep Murray as their starting quarterback and give him the best possible new receiver by drafting Harrison. The talented receiver prospect caught 67 passes for 1,211 yards and 14 scores at Ohio State this season. -- Schatz


Atlanta Falcons

2023 record: 7-10
Final FPI ranking: No. 24
Estimated 2024 cap space: $34.1 million
First-round draft slot: No. 8

Biggest offseason priority: Atlanta needs to figure out its starting quarterback situation. The Falcons have Taylor Heinicke and Desmond Ridder on the roster in 2024, but the reality is they need to be in the market for at least one starting-level quarterback either through the draft or free agency. A complete quarterback room makeover is possible, too. Atlanta has a young and talented roster, but 2023 showed what happens without at least average quarterback play. The lack of a solution here would sink new coach Raheem Morris in Year 1.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: The Falcons have to decide whether to pick up tight end Kyle Pitts' fifth-year option. It's a nuanced conversation. Is Pitts classified as a receiver or tight end, a close to $9 million financial difference? And do the Falcons believe in his long-term potential versus the production he has put on the field? -- Michael Rothstein

Latest on whether they will re-sign cornerback Jeff Okudah: The Falcons traded a fifth-round pick to Detroit for the 2020 No. 3 pick, and while he has played well for them at times, he hasn't been consistent (four pass breakups, zero interceptions). The Falcons likely have the ability to bring him back if they want to, but I'm not sure they're going to get into an open market bidding war instead of pursuing other options. -- Graziano

Draft outlook: Quarterback is the clear top need in Atlanta, and the Falcons have the offensive personnel in place for a young passer to step in and have quick success. They could be a team that's aggressive in trading up to draft a signal-caller, and LSU's Jayden Daniels fits the current offensive scheme. -- Reid

Big prediction for the offseason: The Falcons will use Pitts as part of a package to pry quarterback Justin Fields away from the Bears before Chicago uses the No. 1 overall pick on a new starting quarterback. -- Schatz


Carolina Panthers

2023 record: 2-15
Final FPI ranking: No. 32
Estimated 2024 cap space: $37.3 million
First-round draft slot: None

Biggest offseason priority: The Panthers must rebuild their offensive line to give quarterback Bryce Young time to live up to expectations as the top pick of the 2023 draft. Young was sacked 62 times, second in the NFL to Washington's Sam Howell. He was often running for his life before receivers finished their routes. New head coach Dave Canales and his staff will have to figure out how to fix this line, which finished 23rd in pass block win rate (54.5%). Ikem Ekwonu, the No. 6 overall pick in the 2022 draft, was 63rd in pass black win rate among NFL tackles (82.2%).

Under-the-radar offseason priority: It's hard to say this is "under the radar," but Carolina needs to reup edge rusher Brian Burns and defensive tackle Derrick Brown to long-term deals. They are the foundation of the defense and can help the Panthers get into winning ways. Burns had eight sacks in 2023, while Brown had 103 tackles. -- David Newton

Latest on whether they will re-sign edge rusher Brian Burns: Burns played out his fifth-year option season without an extension, and he'll surely be looking to cash in on the open market. The Rashan Gary and Montez Sweat deals likely offer something of a floor (about $24 million per year) for Burns' next contract. So far, the Panthers haven't been able to meet his demands. -- Graziano

Draft outlook: The Panthers are without a first-round pick, as they sent their selection to the Bears as part of the deal to acquire the No. 1 overall pick last March. Outside of Adam Thielen, their receiving corps fails to generate separation, and the team is ranked last in the league in yards after the catch (4.1 per catch). So in the draft, Carolina has to put an emphasis on finding a receiver who can not only get open but also gain yards afterward. At the top of the second round, Xavier Worthy (Texas) and Xavier Legette (South Carolina) are two possibilities who could immediately boost the talent on the perimeter. -- Reid

Big prediction for the offseason: The Panthers will be unable to reach a new contract deal with Burns, forcing them to use the franchise tag to keep him around for 2024. They will also decline the 2025 fifth-year option for cornerback Jaycee Horn because of his inability to stay healthy. -- Schatz


Chicago Bears

2023 record: 7-10
Final FPI ranking: No. 20
Estimated 2024 cap space: $61.5 million
First-round draft slot: Nos. 1, 9

Biggest offseason priority: The Bears have 38 career starts from Justin Fields to evaluate whether he's the quarterback they move forward with in 2024. If not, they can use the No. 1 overall draft pick on a rookie QB. It's the most polarizing topic in Chicago sports and will be a decision that alters the trajectory of the franchise over the next decade while also impacting other decisions that need to be made in the next few weeks. The future of coach Matt Eberflus will be affected by what the Bears decide to do with Fields, who closed the season 22nd in QBR (46.3).

Under-the-radar offseason priority: The missing piece that can take the Bears' defense from good to elite is a disruptive 3-technique defensive tackle. Chicago is pleased with Gervon Dexter's development as a rookie, and while that could be a role he ultimately earns more time in, the Bears' to-do list in free agency should include testing the market on Kansas City's Chris Jones, Miami's Christian Wilkins or Baltimore's Justin Madubuike. The Bears solidified their edge rusher position with Montez Sweat during the season, and now they need to find a disruptive interior pass-rusher to complete the defense. -- Courtney Cronin

Latest on whether they will re-sign cornerback Jaylon Johnson: Johnson has made it clear he wants a long-term deal. He deserves one, too, as he has played like a top corner. The Bears have some young corners coming up behind him, but he has played well enough that they should try to find a way to keep him. Using the franchise tag on Johnson likely won't make him happy, but so far the two sides haven't been able to agree on numbers. -- Graziano

Draft outlook: With the No. 1 pick for the second consecutive year, the Bears are in control of the draft. GM Ryan Poles has a major decision on his hands with Fields. If Chicago opts to keep Fields, it could look to acquire a similar package as it did a year ago from the Panthers, continuing to build out this roster with more picks. But if the Bears decide to trade him, they could then pivot to selecting USC's Caleb Williams or North Carolina's Drake Maye. -- Reid

Big prediction for the offseason: The Bears will use the No. 1 pick on a new quarterback and invest in that quarterback by signing Mike Evans, one of the top free agent wide receivers. Evans has 10 straight 1,000-yard seasons and would pair nicely with DJ Moore in this offense. -- Schatz


Cincinnati Bengals

2023 record: 9-8
Final FPI ranking: No. 14
Estimated 2024 cap space: $68.5 million
First-round draft slot: No. 18

Biggest offseason priority: The Bengals should focus on sorting out their wide receiver situation. They have to make contract decisions on two key players; Ja'Marr Chase is eligible for an extension, and Tee Higgins is at the end of his rookie deal. Chase, who is one of the best receivers in the game and has 1,000-plus yards in each of his three seasons, could end up resetting the market based on what happens with Minnesota's Justin Jefferson. And Cincinnati could opt to give Higgins the franchise tag while exploring potential trade options.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: Can the Bengals strengthen the trenches? Right tackle Jonah Williams is at the end of his rookie contract, and defensive tackle DJ Reader enters free agency dealing with a season-ending quadriceps injury. Those are two critical positions for Cincinnati's future, and it needs to shore up those spots. -- en Baby

Latest on whether they will re-sign receiver Tee Higgins: The belief around the league is the Bengals have prioritized Joe Burrow (already extended) and Chase (will be extended down the road), meaning Higgins might be the odd man out because of financial constraints. But the dynamic receiver will be awfully tempting to keep, which is why I'm not taking a franchise tag off the table. Multiple teams would be willing to pay him something close to No. 1 receiver money. -- Fowler

Draft outlook: The Bengals' reconfigured offensive line has been inconsistent, and now Williams will enter free agency with a chance to move on and get back to his first position of left tackle. The '24 draft has three right tackles with a top-32 grade on my board, and the Bengals could be in place to add JC Latham (Alabama), Amarius Mims (Georgia) or even Tyler Guyton (Oklahoma), who is my top-ranked right tackle. -- Miller

Big prediction for the offseason: The Bengals will place the franchise tag on Higgins instead of trading him to another team as often rumored. They are currently sixth in projected cap space for 2024 and can easily fit the franchise tag into their budget and keep this high-end offense rolling. -- Schatz


Denver Broncos

2023 record: 8-9
Final FPI ranking: No. 27
Estimated 2024 cap space: minus-$18.0 million
First-round draft slot: No. 12

Biggest offseason priority: Get an answer at quarterback. Stop us if you've heard this before, but coach Sean Payton almost certainly put the Broncos back in the find-a-QB business again the moment he benched Russell Wilson in Week 17. If the Broncos release Wilson -- as most around the team expect despite Payton saying no decision has been made -- they will struggle with $85 million in dead money against their salary cap and uncertainty about a replacement. They have just six picks in the April draft, including only two in the first two days.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: Denver has to improve clock management. The Broncos burned timeouts at odd times this season, sometimes in dead-ball situations. In the Week 16 loss to the Patriots, Payton called two timeouts during the Patriots' winning drive when New England looked to be playing for the tie in regulation. Sometimes it was substitutions, sometimes it was communication and sometimes it was confusion at the line of scrimmage. -- Jeff Legwold

Latest on whether they will re-sign center Lloyd Cushenberry: Good centers are hard to find, and the emergence of Cushenberry, 26, could affect Denver's long-term planning. The interior offensive line is crucial for a Payton offense, so Denver must decide whether to pay Cushenberry, guard Quinn Meinerz (a 2025 free agent) or both. The center market hasn't been outrageous in recent years, so perhaps Denver can afford him. -- Fowler

Draft outlook: The Broncos likely played themselves out of the Round 1 quarterback conversation, at least the top-tier passers. But they could and should be interested in the top defensive prospects available. The Broncos rank No. 27 overall in points allowed per game (24.3), so taking a "best player available" approach on defense works well. We also have to mention that wide receiver Courtland Sutton has a potential out in his contract, and Jerry Jeudy hasn't developed into a consistent threat, so in an historically deep receiver class, the Broncos could be looking for pass-catchers in Round 1 or Round 3 (they don't have a second-round pick). -- Miller

Big prediction for the offseason: The Broncos, stuck with a mid-Round 1 pick that doesn't give them easy access to one of the top young quarterbacks, will sign Ryan Tannehill as their veteran caretaker quarterback for the next year or two. -- Schatz


Indianapolis Colts

2023 record: 9-8
Final FPI ranking: No. 21
Estimated 2024 cap space: $71.2 million
First-round draft slot: No. 15

Biggest offseason priority: The Colts have to re-sign receiver Michael Pittman Jr. Locking up Pittman is critical, given how essential he has become to their offensive success. He is the single biggest offensive focal point for Indianapolis, as he was targeted on 28.2% of the pass attempts this season (11th-highest in the NFL), and he caught 109 passes for 1,152 yards. The lack of consistent threats behind Pittman makes retaining him urgent, but it won't come cheap. Look for him to sign the biggest wide receiver contract in franchise history.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: Improve the secondary. The Colts have been struggling with a lack of quality depth at defensive back, and the issues on the back end of the defense have been costly. They were down to two rookies and two second-year players in the secondary at some points. While Indy picked off 15 passes, it also allowed 7.3 yards per attempt, 23rd in the league. -- Stephen Holder

Latest on whether they will re-sign receiver Michael Pittman Jr.: Pittman just recorded his first 100-catch season and has catalyzed Indy's offense in Shane Steichen's first year as coach. The Colts have a penchant for paying their own players but might be too late for Pittman, who is comfortable going into free agency and will do quite well. The franchise tag is an option Indy could use. -- Fowler

Draft outlook: If the Colts lose Pittman, wide receiver is first up on the list of team needs. Pairing a big-body pass-catcher -- perhaps Texas' Adonai Mitchell or LSU's Brian Thomas Jr. -- with rookie Josh Downs is the best-case scenario in a very deep wide receiver draft. A bunch of wideouts could go in Round 1, so the Colts would need to get one early before the talent is taken by other teams. -- Miller

Big prediction for the offseason: The Colts will have the money to bring back veteran defensive tackle Grover Stewart and slot cornerback Kenny Moore II ... but not Pittman. -- Schatz


Jacksonville Jaguars

2023 record: 9-8
Final FPI ranking: No. 11
Estimated 2024 cap space: $24.4 million
First-round draft slot: No. 17

Biggest offseason priority: The Jaguars should focus on signing edge rusher Josh Allen to a long-term extension. The team didn't offer him an extension last offseason and made him play this season on his fifth-year option. That's going to prove costly because Allen produced a season that should put him in Defensive Player of the Year consideration, with 17.5 sacks and 96 pressures. The Jags can use the franchise tag, but the team needs to reward one of its few first-round picks since 2010 who have performed at a high level.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: Improve an offensive line that was one of the worst in the league (29th in pass block win rate and 27th in run block win rate) -- especially along the interior. QB Trevor Lawrence was sacked 35 times (three more than his rookie season) and suffered four injuries, including a concussion. And the run game since Week 12 averaged just 79.9 yards per game, 30th in the NFL. Better OL play should lead to more offensive consistency. -- Mike DiRocco

Latest on whether they will re-sign edge rusher Josh Allen: Many around the league believe the Jaguars will do what they can to keep Allen, possibly with the franchise tag. The market for top pass-rushers will likely eclipse $20 million on a three- or four-year deal. Wide receiver Calvin Ridley will also be costly for Jacksonville to re-sign. -- Fowler

Draft outlook: The Jaguars' struggles down the stretch point to problems on both lines, and the front office should go with a "best player available" approach in Round 1 with offensive tackles and pass-rushers. Houston's Patrick Paul is an agile easy-moving pass protector who might need a little more seasoning but has future starting left tackle traits. But the Jaguars could also be in play for a highly ranked edge rusher, which could be a consideration if Allen leaves in free agency. -- Miller

Big prediction for the offseason: The Jaguars will cut cornerback Darious Williams for a $10 million cap savings, leaving just $500,000 in dead money, even though he had a strong season with 12 pass breakups and four picks. -- Schatz


Las Vegas Raiders

2023 record: 8-9
Final FPI ranking: No. 22
Estimated 2024 cap space: $50.7 million
First-round draft slot: No. 13

Biggest offseason priority: Figure out the full-time general manager and coach -- then figure out the next quarterback. They made the first steps in mid-January, keeping interim Antonio Pierce as the full-time coach and hiring former Chargers GM Tom Telesco for the same role in Las Vegas. The Raiders went 5-4 under Pierce to finish the season. While they -- along with rookie QB Aidan O'Connell -- had scintillating victories over the Giants, Chargers and Chiefs, they had losses to the Vikings and Colts that were just as disappointing. O'Connell has not shown to be the quarterback of the future, and Las Vegas didn't fix the issue with the Jimmy Garoppolo signing last offseason.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: Retaining defensive coordinator Patrick Graham. His defense shined after Josh McDaniels was shown the door, carrying the weight for the phlegmatic Raiders offense. The defense allowed the league's fewest points from Weeks 9 to 18 (16.0), and Graham might be a candidate for a raise as a DC somewhere else. For continuity sake -- defensive end Maxx Crosby said the Raiders need "stability and consistency" -- keeping Graham in-house is a must. -- Paul Gutierrez

Latest on whether they will re-sign running back Josh Jacobs: Jacobs had the worst statistical season of his five-year career (805 yards and six touchdowns on the ground), but he also missed significant offseason and training camp work with the team because of a contract dispute while on the franchise tag. He turns 26 in February, so he should have enough tread left. One thing in his favor for a potential re-signing: Should Pierce get the full-time job, he values the running game. Jacobs' production has been better since Pierce took over, and Jacobs still has a chance to land a contract earning seven figures per year. -- Fowler

Draft outlook: Pierce and Telesco will have a major impact on what the Raiders do in the offseason, but quarterback is where the conversation starts after Garoppolo failed to nail down the starting job long term. Drafting outside the top 10 likely keeps Vegas out of the running for the top three quarterbacks, but Michigan's J.J. McCarthy could be an option in the middle of Round 1. He is an efficient passer with good mobility. -- Miller

Big prediction for the offseason: The Raiders will not trade receiver Davante Adams to the Jets. This move has been rumored for months, but I'm betting Adams will decide he's happy playing under Pierce. Adams went over 1,000 receiving yards for the fourth time in the past five seasons. -- Schatz


Los Angeles Chargers

2023 record: 5-12
Final FPI ranking: No. 25
Estimated 2024 cap space: minus-$34.7 million
First-round draft slot: No. 5

Biggest offseason priority: The Chargers need to hire the right coach and general manager after letting Brandon Staley and Tom Telesco go. They found their coach in Jim Harbaugh, and now Justin Herbert will have his fourth offensive coordinator since he entered the NFL. This team has just five playoff wins since 1995 despite having some of the league's best quarterbacks. With Herbert, 25 and in the prime of his career, the Chargers will hope Harbaugh and the new GM can get them on track.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: Will the Chargers retain special teams coordinator Ryan Ficken? He is one of the most respected coaches in the Chargers' locker room, and he has turned their special teams unit into one of the best in the league. But Harbaugh could want a person he is familiar with in this role. -- Kris Rhim

Latest on whether they will re-sign tight end Gerald Everett: Everett has averaged 54 catches since joining the Chargers in 2022, and he was third on the team in targets behind Keenan Allen and Austin Ekeler this season. His connection with Herbert brings value that Los Angeles must assess. Everett has earned around $6 million per year over the past three years, so perhaps L.A. can re-sign him at a similar clip, with a little more added for salary cap inflation. Should Everett leave, the Chargers have Donald Parham Jr. under contract for one more season. He can play a bigger role. -- Fowler

Draft outlook: The new regime will likely be addressing either the offensive line (middling 57.4% pass block win rate) or wide receiver (Allen and Mike Williams have dealt with numerous injuries). The Chargers could land someone like LSU's Malik Nabers at wideout or shore up the offensive line with Notre Dame's Joe Alt or Penn State's Olumuyiwa Fashanu. -- Miller

Big prediction for the offseason: The Chargers will cut Williams, who is coming off an ACL injury suffered in Week 3. Williams is set to have a $32.5 million cap hit next season, and cutting him would save the Chargers $20 million. That's important when the team is currently in line to be roughly $35 million over the cap. Allen, 31, is older than Williams, 29, and cutting him would save even more money ($23 million), but it's hard to imagine the Chargers cutting him loose after he had 1,243 receiving yards in 13 games. -- Schatz


Minnesota Vikings

2023 record: 7-10
Final FPI ranking: No. 23
Estimated 2024 cap space: $37.3 million
First-round draft slot: No. 11

Biggest offseason priority: Minnesota has to determine Kirk Cousins' future with the team. His contract will void after the franchise tag deadline, giving him a clear path to the free agent market -- where he might be the best quarterback available despite turning 36 next August and continuing his recovery from a torn right Achilles tendon. The Vikings don't have an obvious heir on the roster, and their draft slot puts them on the edge of the first quarterback tier. Cousins said he wants to finish his career in Minnesota, and the Vikings seem warm to that idea. But would they pay him a market rate contact of $40 million annually or more?

Under-the-radar offseason priority: Make up for a thin 2022 draft class. The Vikings drafted five defensive players in the top 165 picks of that draft, and only one -- fourth-round cornerback Akayleb Evans -- has played with any regularity. The apparent misses set up a significant personnel problem for 2024. -- Kevin Seifert

Latest on whether they will re-sign quarterback Kirk Cousins: The biggest question mark for the Vikings is the quarterback position. Cousins will be coming off major injury and will be 36 when next season starts. But they like him a lot, he likes being there and they're carrying $28.5 million in dead 2024 salary cap charges on him no matter what. The question is, will Cousins cut them a deal for the first time ever? Or will he seek to max out on the open market as he did once upon a time? -- Graziano

Draft outlook: Whether or not Cousins returns, I wouldn't rule out the Vikings looking quarterback early, though especially so if Cousins signs elsewhere. Michigan's J.J. McCarthy, Oregon's Bo Nix and Washington's Michael Penix Jr. could all be Round 1 options for the Vikings. -- Reid

Big prediction for the offseason: The Vikings will allow edge rusher Danielle Hunter to leave in free agency despite the fact he set a career-high with 16.5 sacks in 2023. Hunter's cost will be too expensive going into his age-30 season (likely over $20 million per year), and Vikings general manager Kwesi Adofo-Mensah will look to get younger on defense. -- Schatz


New England Patriots

2023 record: 4-13
Final FPI ranking: No. 29
Estimated 2024 cap space: $72.4 million
First-round draft slot: No. 3

Biggest offseason priority: The Patriots obviously have to figure out what comes next with their personnel under new coach Jerod Mayo. Bill Belichick's consistency and tunnel-visioned focus have been part of the foundation of the franchise over the past 24 years -- both as head coach and primary personnel decision-maker. With the team owning its highest draft pick since selecting Willie McGinest at No. 4 overall in 1994, will New England pick a quarterback and start over under center with Mayo in as coach?

Under-the-radar offseason priority: New England will be trying to resolve Matthew Judon's contract status. The 31-year-old edge rusher, who is coming off a season-ending torn biceps injury sustained in Week 4, is scheduled to earn a base salary of $6.5 million in the final year of his restructured four-year pact. That is well below market value, but he's also coming off a serious injury. Judon had 15.5 sacks in 2022 and was off to a good start with four in four games this season. -- Mike Reiss

Latest on whether they will re-sign guard Mike Onwenu: Many teams view Onwenu as the top offensive lineman in free agency because of his physicality, quickness and ability to play guard or tackle. The Patriots essentially know Onwenu isn't coming back, and he will have high bidders. -- Fowler

Draft outlook: The Patriots threw 16 passing touchdowns this season, and that highlights their problems. But they will be in position to land one of the top quarterbacks in the draft class. The dual-threat ability of LSU's Jayden Daniels could be the spark this offense so badly needs. Daniels won the Heisman Trophy after scoring 50 total touchdowns (40 passing, 10 rushing). -- Miller

Big prediction for the offseason: The Patriots will draft a young quarterback in the first round and then give him a top target to help him get used to the NFL. With a ton of cap space for 2024, the Patriots will be able to afford an expensive contract and bring in Michael Pittman Jr. -- Schatz


New Orleans Saints

2023 record: 9-8
Final FPI ranking: No. 10
Estimated 2024 cap space: minus-$72.3 million
First-round draft slot: No. 14

Biggest offseason priority: The Saints haven't gotten anything out of 2022 first-round tackle Trevor Penning, right tackle Ryan Ramczyk has serious knee issues, longtime left guard Andrus Peat ended up being moved to left tackle out of necessity and James Hurst (signed as a tackle) was shifted to guard. So the line needs addressing. Peat's contract voids in 2024, and the Saints would be on the hook for $13.6 million in dead money if he doesn't return. New Orleans was 28th in pass block win rate this season (51.2%).

Under-the-radar offseason priority: Who is the backup quarterback? The Saints are likely locked into starter Derek Carr's contract with his base salary guaranteed in 2024 and a restructure probably needed for cap purposes. But their backup QB is in question. Jameis Winston came back on a reduced salary to back up Carr, but his contract voids in 2024. If he doesn't return, the Saints will be on the hook for $10 million in dead money. The Saints drafted Jake Haener in the fourth round of the 2023 draft, but can New Orleans rely on him to back up Carr? Or will it look to bring in a veteran if Winston doesn't re-sign -- or even consider taking a quarterback again in the draft. -- Katherine Terrell

Latest on whether they will re-sign receiver Michael Thomas: This is an odd contract, since he's technically signed through 2024. But the deal is designed to basically treat him as a free agent. New guarantees trigger if he's still on the roster on the first day of the league year, so the Saints will likely designate him as a post-June 1 cut before that happens. It's possible they could end up bringing him back; they like him, and he played well when healthy this season (39 catches for 448 yards). But he hasn't been consistently healthy in a very long time, and the Saints have younger WRs who may need to get more reps. -- Graziano

Draft outlook: New Orleans might need long-term starters at both offensive tackle spots, and there are plenty of options in this class. Amarius Mims (Georgia) and Taliese Fuaga (Oregon State) are likely Round 1 prospects, and while both have played primarily right tackle during their careers, both are also capable of playing on the left side. -- Reid

Big prediction for the offseason: The Saints will restructure the left side of their offensive line. Peat will leave in free agency, while Hurst will be cut with a post-June 1 designation, saving $3.3 million (with only $260,000 in dead money). -- Schatz


New York Giants

2023 record: 6-11
Final FPI ranking: No. 31
Estimated 2024 cap space: $34.1 million
First-round draft slot: No. 6

Biggest offseason priority: What will the Giants do at quarterback? Yes, they are back here even after signing Daniel Jones to a four-year, $160 million deal last offseason. But he now has had two neck injuries and a torn ACL that needs rehabbing until the summer. General manager Joe Schoen has already said the team will need to add a quarterback in the draft or free agency, and the Giants are drafting high. This could be a rare opportunity.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: Add more pass-rushers. The Giants have a lot of needs, including quarterback, No. 1 wide receiver and offensive line. But don't forget about a pass-rusher. Azeez Ojulari had a disappointing season, and there is not much behind Kayvon Thibodeaux. The Giants managed 34 sacks this season, tied for 28th. -- Jordan Raanan

Latest on whether they will re-sign running back Saquon Barkley: The Giants could place the franchise tag on him again, this time for $12.1 million. But he wasn't happy about being tagged in March and likely won't be happy if they do it again. It's unlikely the Giants' stance on a big, long-term deal for Barkley has changed, but perhaps the Jonathan Taylor deal offers the framework for a compromise. -- Graziano

Draft outlook: The Jones extension has proved to be a disaster, and the franchise should be in range to select another passer. LSU's Jayden Daniels could be an intriguing option for the Giants, if he's still on the board. If not a QB, then wide receiver is another position the team could address, with players such as Marvin Harrison Jr. (Ohio State), Malik Nabers (LSU) and Rome Odunze (Washington) all high on draft boards. -- Reid

Big prediction for the offseason: The Giants will make a splash with a surprisingly big free agent contract for edge rusher Bryce Huff, currently of the crosstown Jets. Huff has started only seven games in his career but is a bit of a secret star with a 23.5% career pass rush win rate. -- Schatz


New York Jets

2023 record: 7-10
Final FPI ranking: No. 28
Estimated 2024 cap space: $16.0 million
First-round draft slot: No. 10

Biggest offseason priority: Get help for Aaron Rodgers. The offense was an absolute mess without Rodgers and needs at least four new front-line players. That includes two, possibly three, offensive linemen, along with a No. 2 and No. 3 wide receiver to complement star Garrett Wilson. The first priority, though, has to be the line, which has deteriorated because of poor drafting and questionable free agent additions. With left tackle Mekhi Becton likely to depart via free agency, the only certainties are right guard Alijah Vera-Tucker and center Joe Tippmann. Left guard Laken Tomlinson is the senior member of the group, but he's on shaky ground due to a huge cap charge ($18.9 million). The Jets might have to double down, taking a tackle with their first-round pick and signing a starter in free agency. Rodgers' health could depend on it.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: Next, restock the defensive line. Everyone says the Jets have an embarrassment of riches, but guess what? Five of their top 10 linemen are eligible for free agency, most notably pass-rusher Bryce Huff. They have two excellent players in defensive tackle Quinnen Williams and defensive end Jermaine Johnson, but they need more depth, especially on the interior. If the line suffers, the entire defense suffers. -- Rich Cimini

Latest on whether they will re-sign edge rusher Bryce Huff: He has earned himself money with a 10-sack season. The Jets would love to keep him but have considerations, including the fact that they've drafted pass-rushers in back-to-back first rounds. New York will want to maximize its play on rookie contracts. Veteran end John Franklin-Myers has a $16.4 million cap hit, so perhaps the Jets can reduce that and use available money on Huff. -- Fowler

Draft outlook: Becton has allowed 17 sacks this season, which won't work with a 40-year-old Rodgers under center next season. The Jets should look at a very strong offensive tackle class for an upgrade. Oklahoma right tackle Tyler Guyton in the middle of Round 1 has the agility to make the switch to the left side and thrive. -- Miller

Big prediction for the offseason: What Rodgers wants, Rodgers gets. And he wants more playmakers. So the Jets will bring in receiver Odell Beckham Jr. in free agency after his contract with the Ravens automatically voids. -- Schatz


Seattle Seahawks

2023 record: 9-8
Final FPI ranking: No. 13
Estimated 2024 cap space: $1.3 million
First-round draft slot: No. 16

Biggest offseason priority: Identifying -- and helping -- their quarterbacks is key for Seahawks GM John Schneider and new head coach Mike Macdonald. The first piece of this shouldn't take long. Geno Smith's $12.7 million base salary for 2024 will become fully guaranteed if he remains on the roster past Feb. 16, making that a likely deadline to determine whether he'll remain the starting quarterback. Even if they stick with Smith, they'll have to re-sign Drew Lock and/or draft another backup. They will also have to figure out how to make their quarterback better on third down, an issue that has held back the Seattle offense for years.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: After acquiring defensive tackle Leonard Williams at the trade deadline for a 2024 second-round pick and a 2025 fifth-round pick, Seattle will want to re-sign him. He was Seattle's best defensive lineman over the second half of the season, recording four sacks and 19 pressures over 10 games. Re-signing him won't be cheap, nor will it be simple given all the money the Seahawks are already committing to Dre'Mont Jones and Uchenna Nwosu up front. But it should be a priority. -- Brady Henderson

Latest on whether they will re-sign linebacker Bobby Wagner: The nine-time Pro Bowler recently said he 100% plans to play again next season. Whether it will be in Seattle remains to be seen. The Seahawks already let him go once, to the Rams, but having him back in the locker room has been special for the young players on the Seahawks' defense. But what's the right price for a 33-year-old inside linebacker in a market that doesn't much value 33-year-olds or inside linebackers? -- Graziano

Draft outlook: The Seahawks are always hard to predict in Round 1, but with Damien Lewis and Phil Haynes both set for free agency, interior offensive line could be an area to address. Troy Fautanu (Washington) and Graham Barton (Duke) both have experience at tackle and along the interior, so they would provide much-needed depth at multiple spots. -- Reid

Big prediction for the offseason: The Seahawks will cut safety Jamal Adams, who has never quite produced as expected when the Seahawks traded two first-round picks for him. A post-June 1 cut would save $16.5 million on the cap with $10.4 million in dead money. The Seahawks will also say goodbye to nose tackle Bryan Mone, who has not come back from an ACL tear suffered late in the 2022 season. The Seahawks can cut Mone to save $5.9 million with only $500,000 in dead money on their cap. -- Schatz


Tennessee Titans

2023 record: 6-11
Final FPI ranking: No. 16
Estimated 2024 cap space: $76.3 million
First-round draft slot: No. 7

Biggest offseason priority: Tennessee must fix its offensive line. Will Levis took 28 sacks in nine starts. He missed the Week 16 game because of injury and got knocked out of Week 17. If Levis is going to get a chance to show he can be the future at for the Titans, they are going to have to find a way to protect him better. Picking high in the draft, Tennessee should be looking for a franchise left tackle.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: How about adding a cornerback? The Titans have Sean Murphy-Bunting and Kristian Fulton headed for free agency, and even if they bring back one or both, they could stand to add depth in the secondary. The Titans managed six interceptions on defense this season, the fewest in the NFL. -- Graziano

Latest on whether they will re-sign running back Derrick Henry: Henry parting with the only NFL team he has ever known seems like a real possibility at this point. He turns 30 in January and rushed for 4.2 yards per carry this season, tying the lowest average of his career, though he still produced 1,167 yards and 12 touchdowns. The Titans came close to trading Henry in the past, and rookie Tyjae Spears looks poised for a bigger role. Even still, perhaps the Titans and Henry could reach a two-year bridge deal at somewhere around $10 million per year to allow him to retire a Titan. -- Fowler

Draft outlook: Levis has played well enough to be considered the starter heading into the offseason, but he needs help around him. The Titans should be aggressive about adding a wide receiver -- Malik Nabers from LSU is a run-after-catch magician -- or left tackle to keep Levis protected. Joe Alt (Notre Dame) or Olumuyiwa Fashanu (Penn State) could still be on the board for Tennessee, which would be a no-brainer selection in Round 1 before adding a pass-catcher in Round 2. Without a third-round pick, the Titans have to leave Round 2 with improvements at both spots. -- Miller

Big prediction for the offseason: The Titans, who have a ton of projected cap space, will sign coveted free agent interior lineman Leonard Williams to play next to Jeffery Simmons and replace the departing Denico Autry. Autry has been great for the Titans, but Williams is four years younger. -- Schatz


Washington Commanders

2023 record: 4-13
Final FPI ranking: No. 30
Estimated 2024 cap space: $78.8 million
First-round draft slot: No. 2

Biggest offseason priority: Revamping the front office and coaching staff is obviously the first thing on the list, and new owner Josh Harris is well on his way with accomplishing that. Harris hired 49ers assistant GM Adam Peters as the team's new general manager and then tabbed Cowboys DC Dan Quinn as the new head coach. Harris bought the team in July and needs to reenergize the organization -- and then settle on a quarterback. Sam Howell threw 21 touchdown passes and 21 interceptions in 2023.

Under-the-radar offseason priority: To help the quarterback, the Commanders have to address the offensive line. Washington allowed 65 sacks, a byproduct of scheme, protection and a young QB. The Commanders will possibly have at least one new tackle, center and guard. Right guard Sam Cosmi, though, was excellent. -- John Keim

Latest on whether they will re-sign quarterback Jacoby Brissett: With big changes to the coaching staff and front office in Washington, and Brissett, 31, having shown well in a fill-in role the past two seasons in Cleveland and Washington, he could be looking for a chance to start somewhere else. -- Graziano

Draft outlook: As John mentioned, the offensive line likely needs multiple new starters. The biggest offseason question surrounds Howell, though. With a new regime entering the franchise, selecting a new signal-caller early in the draft remains a possibility. Caleb Williams (USC) is likely to be selected first, but the Commanders could have a choice between Drake Maye (North Carolina) and Jayden Daniels (LSU). -- Reid

Big prediction for the offseason: The Commanders will surprise fans by bringing back edge rusher Chase Young on a big free agent contract after his short sojourn in San Francisco. The Commanders currently have the most projected cap space for 2024 and a definite need for edge rushers after trading Young and Montez Sweat away at midseason. -- Schatz