Is Odell Beckham Jr. primed for a stellar season in Cleveland? Will Tom Brady put up huge passing numbers in Tampa Bay? What should we expect from Joe Burrow in Year 1 in Cincinnati?
Caesars Sportsbook released its early player props for the 2020 season, and we asked our NFL Nation reporters to pick a side on one prop for the team they cover, then explain why they're predicting over or under. These over/unders have been updated as of May 4.
Jump to a team:
ARI | ATL | BAL | BUF | CAR | CHI | CIN
CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND
JAX | KC | LAC | LAR | LV | MIA | MIN
NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF
SEA | TB | TEN | WSH
AFC EAST
Buffalo Bills
Over/under: 3,201.5 passing yards for Josh Allen
Over. Allen threw for 3,089 yards in 2019 while sitting for nearly the entire game in Week 17, and he has an improved receiver corps this season after the addition of Stefon Diggs. If he improves in Year 3 the way he did in Year 2, Allen could far surpass the 3,200-yard mark in 2020. -- Marcel Louis-Jacques
Miami Dolphins
Over/under: 5 receiving TDs for DeVante Parker
Over. This all depends on whether you believe Parker's 2019 season was a mirage, as he was fifth in receiving yards and tied for fourth in receiving touchdowns with nine. He took better care of his body, benefited from receivers coach Karl Dorrell's coaching style, and most importantly, stayed healthy for 16 games. Parker didn't eclipse four receiving touchdowns in any of his previous four NFL seasons, but for the second consecutive season, he should be the Dolphins' No. 1 offensive weapon and premier red zone target. There's always a risk betting on Parker's health, but whether it's Ryan Fitzpatrick or Tua Tagovailoa at quarterback, Parker should be a smart bet to get six-plus receiving touchdowns in 2020. -- Cameron Wolfe
New England Patriots
Over/under: 4.5 receiving TDs for Julian Edelman
Under. Apologies, Julian. This isn't as much about you as it is the changing nature of everything around you -- an offense that projects to be a bit more balanced and diverse than recent years when it seemed like quarterback Tom Brady only had eyes for you at times. Also, while it should still be a productive season on your end, there is also the possibility there won't be as many touchdowns scored in New England this season as the team transitions from Brady. -- Mike Reiss
New York Jets
Over/under: 3,639.5 passing yards for Sam Darnold
Over. Darnold will exceed this number if he simply repeats last season's average (233 yards per game) and plays a full season. You have to believe he will be north of 233 based on self-improvement and a better offensive line than in 2019. The line stunk last year, and yet he still managed to land close to the league average (235). A second season in Adam Gase's offense also should help him. The tricky part will be staying on the field, as he missed three games in each of his first two seasons. -- Rich Cimini
AFC NORTH
Baltimore Ravens
Over/under: 3,199.5 passing yards for Lamar Jackson
Over. It would be surprising if Jackson were held below that mark. Jackson threw for 3,127 yards last season, when he didn't play the regular-season finale and was pulled in the fourth quarter in five other games because Baltimore led by so much. Given that he probably will play more in 2020 and get more passing attempts in his third season as an NFL starter, Jackson realistically should exceed 3,500 yards passing. -- Jamison Hensley
Cincinnati Bengals
Over/under: 3,746.5 passing yards for Joe Burrow
Over. The past two No. 1 picks, Arizona's Kyler Murray and Cleveland's Baker Mayfield, came just short of that mark in their rookie years. But Burrow enters a situation conducive for a big passing year. He should have a receiving corps that features A.J. Green and Tyler Boyd and a coaching staff entering its second year. If Burrow is as prolific as his last year at LSU indicates, he should be able to hit the over. -- Ben Baby
Take a look at highlights from Joe Burrow's senior season at LSU, during which he won the Heisman Trophy and led the Tigers to a No. 1 ranking.
Cleveland Browns
Over/under: 7 receiving TDs for Odell Beckham Jr.
Over. Beckham had the worst statistical year of his career (save his injury-shortened one in 2017) and played through hip and groin injuries all season -- and still went over 1,000 yards receiving with four TD grabs. With better health, a better offensive system and a better year from QB Baker Mayfield, Beckham should top seven scoring receptions. -- Jake Trotter
Pittsburgh Steelers
Over/under: 1,099.5 receiving yards for JuJu Smith-Schuster
Under. Smith-Schuster has just one 1,000-yard season in his three years in the league, and that came when Antonio Brown was in his prime. The pair worked really well in tandem, and Smith-Schuster feasted when defenses covered AB. Last season, he learned how tough life without Brown could be. To be successful, Smith-Schuster needs another receiver to consistently step up to draw some of the double-teams off him, along with a quarterback who can reliably get him the ball. With Ben Roethlisberger's return and the Steelers drafting Chase Claypool to go with a wide receiver room that already includes James Washington and Diontae Johnson, Smith-Schuster should get both of those things. But those pieces haven't materialized yet, making it far from a sure thing that he gets the support necessary for more than 1,099 receiving yards. -- Brooke Pryor
AFC SOUTH
Houston Texans
Over/under: 5.5 receiving TDs for Brandin Cooks
Over. Although Cooks will not replicate DeAndre Hopkins' impact on the Texans' offense, there are 104 catches from last season that have to be replaced. Slot receiver Randall Cobb will give Deshaun Watson a new look in the offense, and a lot will be expected of Will Fuller V, who has a strong connection with Watson when he is healthy. Given Fuller's health concerns and Cooks' similar skill set to the former first-round pick, Houston's newest receiver should expect to find the end zone more than usual. -- Sarah Barshop
Indianapolis Colts
Over/under: 3,999.5 passing yards for Philip Rivers
Over. But not by much for Rivers. The Colts' new starting quarterback has failed to top that mark just three times in the 14 seasons in which he has played in all 16 games. The reason Rivers may not go much over the 3,999.5 yards passing isn't because of his ability, but because they have two talented running backs in Marlon Mack and rookie Jonathan Taylor to go with one of the best offensive lines in the NFL led by Pro Bowl guard Quenton Nelson. Rivers won't have to lead the Colts to victories with just his arm. He has a top-10 running game to help him out. -- Mike Wells
Jacksonville Jaguars
Over/under: 949.5 receiving yards for DJ Chark
Under. The addition of Tyler Eifert finally gives the Jaguars a reliable pass-catching option at tight end. Adding pass-catching running back Chris Thompson also will take some work away from Chark, as will rookie second-round pick Laviska Shenault Jr., a wideout. Chark had some trouble adjusting to bracket coverages last season, so expect defenses to continue to do it in 2020. -- Mike DiRocco
Tennessee Titans
Over/under: 1,199.5 rushing yards for Derrick Henry
Over. Henry averaged 5.1 yards per carry on 303 rushing attempts last season. He'll continue to be a focal point of the offense, so it's safe to say Henry will see close to 300 carries again this season. Even if he has a full 1-yard drop in average per carry, 1,200 yards is an achievable target. -- Turron Davenport
AFC WEST
Denver Broncos
Over/under: 20 TD passes for Drew Lock
Over. Lock will have to overcome plenty of the franchise's own history when it comes to quarterbacks drafted. Jay Cutler and Brian Griese are the only quarterbacks the team has selected in the common draft era who have gone on to throw at least 20 touchdown passes in a season for the Broncos. Cutler did it in his second season, as Lock will be in 2020. If he can get to his pace from last season -- he threw 1.4 touchdown passes per game in his five starts -- after he trained only on the team's virtual reality system for two months before he returned to the practice field, he should just get over the 20-touchdown mark. -- Jeff Legwold
Kansas City Chiefs
Over/under: 1,099.5 receiving yards for Travis Kelce
Under. Kelce has gone well over 1,100 yards in each of Patrick Mahomes' two seasons as the Chiefs' starting quarterback, so it wouldn't be much of a surprise to see him do it again. But the Chiefs have so many offensive mouths to feed that it's difficult to predict it happening again. For instance, the Chiefs will get more from their running backs than they did in 2019 after drafting Clyde Edwards-Helaire in the first round. -- Adam Teicher
Las Vegas Raiders
Over/under: 5 receiving TDs for Henry Ruggs III
Over. Think of it this way -- Ruggs caught four slant passes for Alabama last fall and three of them went for touchdowns as he averaged 31.8 yards per catch on those plays. And slants are a hallmark of Raiders coach Jon Gruden's offense. As a group, Raiders WRs had just 12 TD catches last season, with Tyrell Williams (6) and Hunter Renfrow (4) combining for 10. Expect Ruggs to get his scoring chances. -- Paul Gutierrez
See why former Alabama WR Henry Ruggs III was the first ever draft pick by the Las Vegas Raiders.
Los Angeles Chargers
Over/under: 999.5 receiving yards for Keenan Allen
Over. Allen is on a hot streak with well over 1,000 receiving yards in each of the past three seasons. In his seven-year career, he has surpassed 1,000 receiving yards four times. If there's a reason to doubt Allen's ability to reach 1,000 yards again, it's because longtime quarterback Philip Rivers is gone, and Allen must build chemistry with Tyrod Taylor, who is expected to be the starter. However, expect Allen to continue as a go-to target. -- Lindsey Thiry
NFC EAST
Dallas Cowboys
Over/under: 10 rushing TDs for Ezekiel Elliott
Over. Elliott has topped 10 rushing touchdowns in his career twice. He had 15 as a rookie and 12 last season, but will new coach Mike McCarthy feature the running back as much? He says he will. Only twice in his time in Green Bay did he have a runner with more than 10 rushing touchdowns in a season. Ryan Grant had 11 in 2009; Eddie Lacy had 11 in 2013. Neither player was the back Elliott is. The Cowboys figure to have an explosive offense with the addition of receiver CeeDee Lamb along with Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup as the top targets for quarterback Dak Prescott, but the best red zone teams run the ball into the end zone. Elliott will top 10 rushing touchdowns, while the receivers and Prescott will put up comparable numbers to 2019. -- Todd Archer
New York Giants
Over/under: 1,249.5 rushing yards for Saquon Barkley
Over. Ezekiel Elliott had more than 300 carries and 1,300 yards every year under Jason Garrett that didn't include a suspension. Barkley should experience similar success as long as he remains healthy. There is still no real threat to his playing time, and the Giants' offensive line should be improved. Even with the limitations the past two seasons, Barkley has averaged 4.8 yards per carry. That's better than the 4.6 yards Elliott averaged under Garrett in Dallas. There is no reason to believe this shouldn't be a successful marriage that produces over 1,300 yards barring an injury or shortened season. -- Jordan Raanan
Philadelphia Eagles
Over/under: 3,944.5 passing yards for Carson Wentz
Over. Wentz threw for 4,039 yards last season without having a receiver reach the 500-yard mark. He'll have a more explosive group in 2020 with Marquise Goodwin and first-round pick Jalen Reagor joining a now-healthy DeSean Jackson. While Jalen Hurts is expected to see the field, it shouldn't reduce Wentz's touches to the point that it will dramatically impact his stats. -- Tim McManus
Washington Redskins
Over/under: 999.5 receiving yards for Terry McLaurin
Under. Barely. McLaurin should have finished with 1,200 yards last season had the Redskins received consistent quarterback play -- that's how often he was open and should have been targeted. Still, he finished with 919 yards and was the clear top option in the receiving game. McLaurin is a legitimately good receiver who should be excellent again this season. But there's so much mystery with the new offense: In an unprecedented offseason, how soon will it click for quarterback Dwayne Haskins and his targets? Also, the Redskins want to win with a strong defense and running game. They've added weapons through free agency and the draft at running back and receiver. It remains to be seen how well those players do, but if they work it will take some chances away from McLaurin. -- John Keim
NFC NORTH
Chicago Bears
Over/under: 1,024.5 receiving yards for Allen Robinson
Over. The Bears had the NFL's 29th-ranked offense last season, yet Robinson still caught 98 passes for 1,147 yards. Chicago's quarterback position is bound to improve with the arrival of veteran Nick Foles, who many believe will wrestle the starting job away from Mitchell Trubisky. Robinson is only 26 years old and in the prime of his career. Barring an injury, Robinson should add another 1,000-yard receiving season to his résumé in 2020. -- Jeff Dickerson
Detroit Lions
Over/under: 4,199.5 passing yards for Matthew Stafford
Over. While coach Matt Patricia would like to run the ball more, Stafford was on pace for a 5,000-yard season before a back injury landed him on injured reserve. The Lions have the potential for one of the more potent offenses in the league when players are healthy, and Stafford is a big enough part of that. In Darrell Bevell's offense, even a down year for Stafford should mean around 4,100 yards or so. As long as Stafford stays healthy, he should clear this number with ease. -- Michael Rothstein
Green Bay Packers
Over/under: 8.5 receiving TDs for Davante Adams
Over. The Packers didn't add a receiver in the draft and signed only one, Devin Funchess, in free agency. He essentially replaces Geronimo Allison as WR3. While Adams' touchdowns dropped from 13 in 2018 to five last season (when he missed four games because of a turf toe), he has still averaged 10 touchdown catches per season over the past four years. He's target No. 1 for Aaron Rodgers everywhere, including the red zone. -- Rob Demovsky
Minnesota Vikings
Over/under: 8.5 rushing TDs for Dalvin Cook
Over. This is an easy one. Over 38% of the Vikings' offense ran through Cook (ninth-most touches from scrimmage in the NFL) in 2019 while he recorded 13 rushing touchdowns. The fourth-year running back is the focal point of an offense that had the second-highest designed run percentage in the NFL last season and chose to hand the ball off to Cook 43 times inside the red zone, where he was a constant scoring threat. Cook has become the face of this franchise, and his touches represent that. Minnesota didn't draft or sign another running back, so it's safe to assume Cook's workload (and opportunities to score) will only increase this season. -- Courtney Cronin
NFC SOUTH
Atlanta Falcons
Over/under: 6.5 receiving TDs for Julio Jones
Over. Jones has had eight or more touchdowns in four of his nine NFL seasons. He easily should average 10 per season with as talented as he is. Although Jones draws added attention, Matt Ryan might look for him even more this season with scoring threat Austin Hooper moving on to the Browns. Calvin Ridley's emergence also takes some of the coverage away from Jones in certain situations. -- Vaughn McClure
Carolina Panthers
Over/under: 3,524.5 passing yards for Teddy Bridgewater
Over. If first-year offensive coordinator Joe Brady does at Carolina what he did at LSU last season, this will be a wide-open passing attack with a talented receiving corps of Christian McCaffrey, DJ Moore, Robby Anderson and Curtis Samuel. McCaffrey has had more than 100 catches in each of his past two seasons and lines up all over the place, so I expect this offense to be potent if Bridgewater can maintain the accuracy and consistency he has shown throughout his career. He averaged 241 passing yards in five starts last season in New Orleans, so if he can duplicate that and stay healthy through 16 games, he'll have more than 3,856 yards. I would wager he'll top 4,000. Undrafted QB Kyle Allen had 3,322 yards passing last season in 13 games for Carolina, and Bridgewater is a definite upgrade. -- David Newton
New Orleans Saints
Over/under: 7.5 rushing TDs for Alvin Kamara
Over. Vegas is good at this, because I went back and forth on this one. Kamara had only five rushing TDs in 14 games last season while fighting through injuries for much of the season. And the injury risk for all RBs makes any over bet a dicey proposition. But Kamara had 22 rushing TDs in his first two seasons, and his role in the offense will remain as big as it ever was. -- Mike Triplett
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Over/under: 4,099.5 passing yards for Tom Brady
Over. Bruce Arians' offense is built for pushing the ball downfield -- his quarterbacks in Tampa Bay and Arizona have averaged 4,174.5 passing yards per season -- and Arians doesn't believe Brady's arm strength has declined. "He can make all the throws," Arians said. Only twice in the past 10 seasons has Brady failed to reach the 4,000-yard passing mark, and one of those instances was in 2016, when he played in only 12 regular-season games. And although it's improving, the Bucs haven't had the most reliable ground game, averaging 95.1 rushing yards per game last season, which ranked 24th in the league. -- Jenna Laine
NFC WEST
Arizona Cardinals
Over/under: 499.5 rushing yards for Kyler Murray
Under. Murray rushed for 544 yards on 93 carries last season, his first in the NFL and the first for Kliff Kingsbury's scheme. That meant a good number of those runs weren't designed -- they were Murray running for his life. He was given the green light to take off when he saw fit, as will be the case this season, but this year he'll have better weapons around him, including a stronger running back for a full season in Kenyan Drake and another top receiving option in DeAndre Hopkins. Having those two complement the likes of Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk for a full season will mean Murray won't have the ball in his hands at the end of plays as much as last season. Don't get me wrong, he'll still use his legs to make plays, but in 2020 he won't have to as much as in 2019. -- Josh Weinfuss
Los Angeles Rams
Over/under: 7.5 receiving TDs for Cooper Kupp
Over. Kupp had 10 touchdowns last season and appeared to do so with ease. The Rams' offense is expected to evolve this season to include more use of the tight ends, but Kupp has a well-established relationship with quarterback Jared Goff, and with the departure of Brandin Cooks, will only continue to see increased opportunity, including in the red zone. -- Lindsey Thiry
San Francisco 49ers
Over/under: 1,099.5 receiving yards for George Kittle
Over. Kittle probably would have gone over this total for the second year in a row last season had he not missed a couple of games due to injury. Predicting injuries is difficult, but it takes a lot to keep Kittle out, so let's assume he plays all 16 games. With young wideouts Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk still coming into their own, Kittle will remain Jimmy Garoppolo's top option. And if that duo can produce consistently, it should only open things up for Kittle to do even more damage. -- Nick Wagoner
Seattle Seahawks
Over/under: 3,849.5 passing yards for Russell Wilson
Over. The Seahawks have 11 games against teams that finished in the top half of the NFL in scoring last season, and while some of those offenses (New England) may take a step back, others (Arizona) could be better. The Seahawks still have question marks with a defense that had issues across the board in 2019. Wilson has averaged 3,957 passing yards over the past five seasons, so the guess here is that he edges that number in 2020 because the Seahawks will need him to. -- Brady Henderson