The NFL season is fast approaching, but fantasy football season is already here. To celebrate the ESPN Fantasy Football Marathon, this week NFL Nation reporters will be giving their fantasy predictions for the top offensive players on the teams they cover.
ESPN fantasy football analyst Mike Clay provided the over/unders -- using his 2018 projections -- and each Nation reporter was given one projection for each position on which to give a prediction. The full schedule:
Quarterbacks
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NFC EAST
Dallas Cowboys
Over/under 3,693 passing yards for Dak Prescott
Todd Archer's prediction: Under, but barely. Prescott threw for 3,667 yards as a rookie and 3,324 yards in his second season with Jason Witten available for every game and Dez Bryant available for all but three games. Neither guy will be around this year, which will affect the passing game. But it's not just that. It's style of play. The Cowboys will rely on Ezekiel Elliott and the offensive line to make this offense go. If Prescott is in the 3,600-yard range, then the Cowboys should have success. If he is upward of 4,000 yards, then they will have played from behind a lot.
New York Giants
Over/under 26 passing TDs for Eli Manning
Jordan Raanan's prediction: Over -- barely. Manning has topped that number only twice in the past six years. He hit it on the dot twice during that span. With all the weapons and new coach Pat Shurmur at his disposal, it's hard to see Manning not having a slight uptick in his numbers.
Philadelphia Eagles
Over/under 33 total TDs for Carson Wentz
Tim McManus' prediction: Under. It's not set in stone that Wentz is going to start the season, and it's to be determined how well he performs in his first season back from a torn ACL/LCL. He's talented enough to reach these heights -- heck, he had 33 TDs last year despite missing three-plus games -- but this might be asking a bit much.
Washington Redskins
Over/under 26 total TDs for Alex Smith
John Keim's prediction: Under, but barely. This is a hard one because Kirk Cousins topped this total in each of his three seasons as a starter under Jay Gruden. Cousins had a combined 13 rushing touchdowns the past three years; Smith has 14 for his career. Smith is more athletic, but Cousins' runs often caught the defense by surprise -- and a team with a weak running game inside the 20 needed that element. If the skill players -- and the line -- stay relatively healthy, then they can have a more diverse red zone attack. Keep in mind, too, that Smith has topped 26 total touchdowns only once in his career; of course, that was in 2017. It's easy to see Smith throwing for 24 touchdowns, having one or two rushing touchdowns -- and others doing more of the work in the running game.
NFC NORTH
Chicago Bears
Over/under 25 total TDs for Mitchell Trubisky
Nick Friedell's prediction: Under. Matt Nagy's offense should be beneficial for Trubisky's growth, but to go from just seven TDs in his rookie season to 25 now is just too much to expect. If Trubisky can get anywhere close to this number, the Bears would be very happy.
Detroit Lions
Over/under 575 pass attempts for Matthew Stafford
Michael Rothstein's prediction: Over. It'll be close, though. Stafford has gone under 575 attempts only once in the past seven seasons, and while Detroit wants to run the ball more the offense is still built to be one relying heavily on the pass. So Stafford gets over 575 (and as a bonus, he throws for over 4,000 yards for the eighth straight season).
Green Bay Packers
Over/under 34 passing TDs for Aaron Rodgers
Rob Demovsky's prediction: Over. The last time Rodgers broke his collarbone, he came back the next season to throw 38 touchdowns on the way to his second NFL MVP. Now, he has a giant red zone target in Jimmy Graham, plus an emerging star in Davante Adams.
Minnesota Vikings
Over/under 4,328 passing yards for Kirk Cousins
Courtney Cronin's prediction: Under. Cousins threw for 4,917 yards in 2016 surrounded by the best supporting cast from his time in Washington. His weapons in Minnesota might be even better, but with Dalvin Cook back, the Vikings are expected to place a heavy emphasis on the run. Cousins is a fantasy owners' dream, but the one thing he didn't have during those three straight seasons of 4,000-plus passing yards is the backing of the league's No. 1 defense. With that in mind, the QB won't be pressed into many late-game situations where he has to stage a shootout to come away with a victory.
NFC SOUTH
Atlanta Falcons
Over/under 26 passing TDs for Matt Ryan
Vaughn McClure's prediction: Over. Ryan had just 20 touchdown passes in 2017, his lowest season total since 16 as a rookie. The offense struggled in the first year under offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian, but Year 2 is expected to be much smoother. Ryan is working to refine chemistry with top receiver Julio Jones, who had only three touchdowns last season. Ryan also has a new toy in rookie Calvin Ridley, and plenty of other options, including running backs Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman and tight end Austin Hooper.
Carolina Panthers
Over/under 627 rushing yards for Cam Newton
David Newton's prediction: Under. With Christian McCaffrey expected to play a bigger role in the ground game, the addition of 1,000-yard rusher C.J. Anderson and new coordinator Norv Turner asking Newton to look to pass before running, don't expect Newton to lead the team in rushing again this season.
New Orleans Saints
Over/under 28 passing TDs for Drew Brees
Mike Triplett's prediction: Over. This projection seems just about right, since the Saints' offense has become more balanced and Brees had only 23 TD passes last year. However, he had at least 32 TD passes every year from 2008 to 2016. Even though the Saints are truly more balanced now, it's a bit fluky that they finished with 23 TD passes and 23 TD runs last year. No other team in the NFL ran for more than 18 TDs.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Over/under 3,599 passing yards for Jameis Winston
Jenna Laine's prediction: Over. In 13 games last season, Winston managed to throw for 3,504 yards. That included a couple of games where his accuracy was definitely impacted by a shoulder injury. It also included two games -- Arizona and New Orleans -- where Winston left early because of the injury. So if he can reach 3,504 in 13 games injured, he should be able to surpass 3,599 in 13 games in 2018.
NFC WEST
Arizona Cardinals
Over/under eight starts for Josh Rosen
Josh Weinfuss' prediction: Over. With Sam Bradford's injury history, it's tough to believe the veteran will play a whole season. Half a season seems high, too, considering he played in two games last season. Rosen's playing time will be dictated by Bradford's health.
Los Angeles Rams
Over/under 548 pass attempts for Jared Goff
Lindsey Thiry's prediction: Under. In 15 starts last season, Goff attempted 477 passes, which averages out to 31.8 pass attempts per game. Even if he had started 16 games, he would have fallen more than 40 passes short of 548. It's unlikely Goff's pass attempts will increase dramatically this season, given he still has the reigning NFL Offensive Player of the Year in his backfield. Further, the probability of explosive plays increases with Brandin Cooks' addition as a deep target, thus reducing the number of throws Goff might attempt.
San Francisco 49ers
Over/under 4,354 passing yards for Jimmy Garoppolo
Nick Wagoner's prediction: Over. In five starts last year, Garoppolo averaged about 308 passing yards per game, a pace that would easily eclipse this number if he held it up over a 16-game season. That might be asking a bit too much in his first season as a full-time starter but to reach this mark, it would mean averaging 272 yards a game, a number that seems feasible for Garoppolo now that he has a full offseason under his belt to learn more of coach Kyle Shanahan's offense and develop further rapport with his pass-catchers.
Seattle Seahawks
Over/under 521 pass attempts for Russell Wilson
Brady Henderson's prediction: Under. Wilson's attempts jumped to 546 in 2016 and 553 last season, but that was out of necessity and not by design as Seattle couldn't run the ball. The Seahawks want to revive their once-strong running game and Wilson won't have to do as much.
AFC EAST
Buffalo Bills
Over/under seven starts for Josh Allen
Mike Rodak's prediction: Under. Bills coach Sean McDermott insists the team is taking a "calculated" approach with Allen and does not want to rush him, and after the performance of their two non-rookie quarterbacks in the preseason opener, they have no reason yet to force Allen onto the field. Perhaps the Bills' grueling schedule the first half of the season will change that.
Miami Dolphins
Over/under 24 total TDs for Ryan Tannehill
Mike Rodak's prediction: Over. Tannehill met or exceeded that number in each season from 2013 through 2015 and was about on pace for it in 2016 before his injury. He lost Jarvis Landry this offseason but Landry accounted for only 11 of Tannehill's 70 touchdowns from 2014 through 2016.
New England Patriots
Over/under 4,729 passing yards for Tom Brady
Mike Reiss' prediction: Under. Brady passed for 4,577 yards last season, and with transition at the WR position early in the season, the expectation of some turbulence in the passing game seems likely. While the short passing game is an extension of the running game, and counts as passing yardage, it would still be relying on a lot of YAC to hit 4,729 yards.
New York Jets
Over/under seven starts for Sam Darnold
Rich Cimini's prediction: Over. The rookie has a legitimate chance to be the Week 1 starter, depending on how he performs in the preseason. If he doesn't get the job, he'll be in the lineup by Halloween. He's too poised and too talented to keep on the bench. The Jets' hierarchy wants him to get significant playing time this season.
AFC NORTH
Baltimore Ravens
Over/under 37 pass attempts for Lamar Jackson
Jamison Hensley's prediction: Under. If this were rush attempts, I would've gone with the over. But in terms of pass attempts, the better projection would be between 15 and 20. When offensive coordinator Marty Mornhinweg had Donovan McNabb and Michael Vick in Philadelphia nine years ago, Vick was used in special packages and finished with 13 pass attempts. That's a good barometer.
Cincinnati Bengals
Over/under 24 passing TDs for Andy Dalton
Katherine Terrell's prediction: Over. It probably won't be over by much, but Dalton managed 25 passing touchdowns last season despite the struggles of the offense. If the offensive line improves, Dalton should have around that number again.
Cleveland Browns
Over/under 12 starts for Tyrod Taylor
Pat McManamon's prediction: Over. The Browns believe in Taylor, and they will do all they can to protect him. The goal this season is not to force Baker Mayfield on the field too early. Taylor has done nothing to indicate he can't play, and in the past three seasons in Buffalo he started 43 games. That means he stays on the field. The Browns will do enough offensively and win enough games early -- yes, they will win games -- to keep Taylor the starter into December.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Over/under 4,534 passing yards for Ben Roethlisberger
Jeremy Fowler's prediction: Under. Roethlisberger will surpass 4,000 yards and produce enough downfield explosion in Heinz Field to make this interesting. But he has surpassed 4,350 yards only once in 14 seasons, and the offense must find its way early in the season without Martavis Bryant and with Le'Veon Bell missing preseason work. Roethlisberger looks motivated and has had an edge to him in training camp, so this mark isn't out of the question. It's just not a safe bet based on precedent and the lack of consistent yardage on the road.
AFC SOUTH
Houston Texans
Over/under 30 total TDs for Deshaun Watson
Sarah Barshop's prediction: Over. This, of course, depends on whether Watson can stay healthy, but it's hard to see him not averaging at least two touchdowns per game. He was on an incredible pace as a rookie, with 21 total touchdowns (19 passing) in seven games. With a full offseason under his belt, even if he cools off from a year ago he should still be a very productive player.
Indianapolis Colts
Over/under 15 starts for Andrew Luck
Mike Wells' prediction: Over. I'm going with the over because this is the healthiest Luck has been since before the 2015 season, and he's playing behind his best offensive line since entering the league in 2012.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Over/under 3,725 passing yards for Blake Bortles
Mike DiRocco's prediction: Under. The Jaguars remain committed to the running game first -- they added All-Pro guard Andrew Norwell in free agency -- and those inside the organization believe Leonard Fournette is primed for a big season. The Jaguars didn't consistently run the ball the last six weeks of the regular season and are working on being able to better run it when defenses know they're going to. Bortles could come close to this number, but he won't surpass it.
Tennessee Titans
Over/under 27 total TDs for Marcus Mariota
Turron Davenport's prediction: Over. The Titans are looking to unleash Mariota's dual-threat ability. The offense will include more run-pass option looks as well as play-action. That allows Mariota to do what he does best -- make plays on the move resulting in some additional rushing TDs. Matt LaFleur will call some designed runs for Mariota to keep defenses honest.
AFC WEST
Denver Broncos
Over/under 4,089 passing yards for Case Keenum
Jeff Legwold's prediction: Under. Some of it is the franchise's offensive tradition. Before Peyton Manning's arrival, the Broncos had only three 4,000-yard passing seasons on the docket -- one each by John Elway, Jake Plummer and Jay Cutler. It doesn't mean Keenum can't set a career single-season best for passing yards and threaten the 4,000-yard mark. But the Broncos envision an active, productive running game in their offense. The Broncos will be searching for a little more run-pass balance than other teams, especially if they play with the lead -- something they didn't do much of in last season's 5-11 cave-in.
Kansas City Chiefs
Over/under 26 total TDs for Patrick Mahomes II
Adam Teicher's prediction: Under. Only eight quarterbacks had more than 26 touchdown passes last season. It's difficult to picture Mahomes topping that in his first season as a starter, though with pass-catchers such as Travis Kelce, Sammy Watkins and Tyreek Hill, it wouldn't be a huge surprise.
Los Angeles Chargers
Over/under 28 passing TDs for Philip Rivers
Eric D. Williams' prediction: Under. Rivers has thrown more than 28 touchdown passes in a single season only five times during his 15-year career. While the Chargers will lean on the passing game to move the football, at his core coach Anthony Lynn wants to run it -- and that means more touches near the red zone in the running game for Melvin Gordon and Austin Ekeler.
Oakland Raiders
Over/under 24 passing TDs for Derek Carr
Paul Gutierrez's prediction: Over. Sure, Carr threw only 22 touchdown passes last season, his fewest since he had 21 as a rookie in 2014. But in his four-year career, he is averaging nearly 26 TD passes per season. And with Jon Gruden running his version of the West Coast offense with Carr's strong arm, the QB is ripe for a rebound.
Running backs
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NFC EAST
Dallas Cowboys
Over/under 43 receptions for Ezekiel Elliott
Todd Archer's prediction: Over. With no Witten or Bryant, the Cowboys are going to need somebody to pick up the pace when it comes to the passing game. That figures to be Elliott, who will be asked to do more than just catch swing and screen passes in his third year. They want to use him as a mismatch player. In Scott Linehan's first year as the playcaller, DeMarco Murray had 57 catches and set the franchise record with 1,845 rushing yards, so he is not averse to giving his back many chances.
New York Giants
Over/under 258 carries for Saquon Barkley
Jordan Raanan's prediction: Under. Just to show how high that number is, Kareem Hunt had 272 carries last season and he was the Chiefs' only running back. Nobody else (other than Alex Smith) had 20 carries. Jonathan Stewart and Wayne Gallman will be sprinkled into the Giants' mix, and they're not magically going to transform into being a run-heavy team. Not with so many options in the passing game. Barkley will get over 300 total touches, but that is because of his massive impact as a receiver.
Philadelphia Eagles
Over/under 21 receptions for Jay Ajayi
Tim McManus' prediction: Under. He has averaged 19 receptions per season, so it's certainly an attainable number. But with Darren Sproles and Corey Clement as solid pass-catching options, I'm not sure how much Ajayi is going to factor into the pass game. He's expected to receive the bulk of the carries, though.
Washington Redskins
Over/under 139 touches for Chris Thompson
John Keim's prediction: Under. Thompson has never topped this figure in his career, though he was on pace to do so last season before breaking his fibula. But coach Jay Gruden said the Redskins might need to limit his role early in the season, and Thompson said he won't be 100 percent until perhaps November, a full year after the injury. He has looked quick in practices, so this might not be an issue come September. Thompson will still be the third-down back but, even with Derrius Guice out, they'll go running back by committee on early downs. It'll also depend on the health of tight end Jordan Reed and the progress of receiver Josh Doctson. Their presence could reduce the need to give Thompson the 10.3 touches per game he averaged in 10 games last season. They need to keep him fresh, which allows him to be more dynamic.
NFC NORTH
Chicago Bears
Over/under 29 receptions for Jordan Howard
Nick Friedell's prediction: Over. Howard's numbers should benefit in a more free-flowing offensive system. After racking up 23 receptions a year ago, 29 should be attainable -- and crucial for an offensive group in need of balance.
Detroit Lions
Over/under 189 touches for Kerryon Johnson
Michael Rothstein's prediction: Over. Johnson will get a lot of work, but between Theo Riddick and LeGarrette Blount, he won't be expected to be an every-down rusher. Given Detroit's short-passing ability with Riddick and Golden Tate, Johnson won't quite get to that mark in carries. But if you add in some possible receptions, he could slip just over that 189 mark. Overall, I wouldn't expect much over 200.
Green Bay Packers
Over/under 159 touches for Jamaal Williams
Rob Demovsky's prediction: Under. Mike McCarthy came right out and said it -- he's planning a running back-by-committee approach. Though Williams seems the most likely to take on a workhorse role, it's clear the Packers still have big plans for Ty Montgomery. And don't be surprised if by midseason, Aaron Jones becomes the No. 1 back. He's the most explosive of the trio.
Minnesota Vikings
Over/under nine total TDs for Dalvin Cook
Courtney Cronin's prediction: Over. Cook is the focal point of the Vikings' offense. Before tearing his ACL four games into his rookie season, the running back showed he was every bit of three-down rusher and more, averaging 4.8 yards per carry and exuding signs of becoming a dynamic passing threat. Minnesota still has Latavius Murray, so Cook's workload probably will be tapered while we see how his knee responds, but fantasy owners expecting big things from the second-year rusher won't be disappointed. Projecting around 11 touchdowns feels reasonable for Cook, considering a good three to four of those probably will come on passes with him lined up as a receiver.
NFC SOUTH
Atlanta Falcons
Over/under 265 touches for Devonta Freeman
Vaughan McClure's prediction: Over. Freeman has averaged 283.7 touches in the past three seasons, and missed a few games because of concussions. If he remains healthy, he should have around 275-300 touches despite the array of offensive weapons joining him. The Falcons have talked about getting Freeman and Coleman more involved in the passing game. Freeman, who was second on the team with 73 receptions in 2015, had 36 receptions last season, as Ryan completed and attempted less passes than the previous seven seasons.
Carolina Panthers
Over/under 159 carries for Christian McCaffrey
David Newton's prediction: Over. Coach Ron Rivera already has said 200 carries is realistic, as is 25 to 30 touches per game for the 2017 first-round pick. Lead backs under Turner have a history of getting between 200 and 300 carries, so this should be a no-brainer unless McCaffrey is injured.
New Orleans Saints
Over/under 1,559 scrimmage yards for Alvin Kamara
Mike Triplett's prediction: Over. Even if Kamara falls back to earth a little bit after his sensational rookie season, he should be able to hit this mark by adding a little more volume to his workload. Last year, Kamara gained 1,554 yards from scrimmage while averaging just 12.6 touches per game. His workload should increase a bit -- even though coach Sean Payton has insisted he won't overuse him during Mark Ingram's four-game suspension to start the season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Over/under 228 carries for Ronald Jones
Jenna Laine's prediction: Under. First of all, it's too early to tell if Jones will get the nod to start at running back or if Peyton Barber, who dropped 13 pounds this offseason and looks noticeably quicker, keeps the job. Also, the Bucs have had only two running backs finish a season with 228 or more carries in the past 17 years -- Doug Martin, who did it twice, and Cadillac Williams. They've also deviated from having one bell-cow back. I think you'll see a good, healthy mix of Barber and Jones.
NFC WEST
Arizona Cardinals
Over/under 1,827 yards from scrimmage for David Johnson
Josh Weinfuss' prediction: Under. Three reasons: (1) Teams know what he's capable of so defenses will key on him, (2) Arizona's receivers can't keep defenses on their heels the way they did in 2016, and (3) Johnson hasn't played since September so he'll spend the early season knocking off rust.
Los Angeles Rams
Over/under 13 total TDs for Todd Gurley II
Lindsey Thiry's prediction: Over. Defenses will be tailored around slowing down the reigning NFL Offensive Player of the Year, who last season proved himself as a multidimensional back when he rushed for 13 touchdowns and caught six more. But it won't matter. Gurley is Sean McVay's favorite weapon and he probably spent the offseason drawing up more ways to use him.
San Francisco 49ers
Over/under 1,283 scrimmage yards for Jerick McKinnon
Nick Wagoner's prediction: Under. Barely. McKinnon has never had more than the 991 scrimmage yards he had last season, though he also has never been his team's primary back as he is now in San Francisco. But while McKinnon will be the starter and get plenty of opportunities, Matt Breida can't be overlooked and will get his share of touches to complement McKinnon. Look for McKinnon to easily surpass his career high in receiving yards (set at 421 last year) and finish with something near 600 in that category to go with another 600 or so as a rusher. This number actually feels about right but we'll err on the under just based on the fact that McKinnon will have other backs taking some opportunities away.
Seattle Seahawks
Over/under 223 carries for Rashaad Penny
Brady Henderson's prediction: Under. Yes, the Seahawks drafted Penny 27th overall, and first-round picks at that position usually don't stay on the bench long. But Chris Carson is still taking first-team reps and seems like the favorite to be the first option at running back. Both will play.
AFC EAST
Buffalo Bills
Over/under 1,535 scrimmage yards for LeSean McCoy
Mike Rodak's prediction: Over. McCoy surpassed this number each of the past two seasons while playing essentially a full season in each. If he stays healthy this season, the number should be attainable mostly because of his value in the passing game. Brian Daboll's offense seems to make frequent use of screen passes to running backs and both AJ McCarron and Nathan Peterman have thrown a large percentage of their passes in training camp to their backs.
Miami Dolphins
Over/under 194 carries for Kenyan Drake
Mike Rodak's prediction: Over. Barring injury, Drake can meet this number that Jay Ajayi far exceeded with 260 carries as the Dolphins' lead back in Adam Gase's first season as coach in 2016. Drake was able to amass 133 carries while splitting time with Ajayi the first half of last season and logically should be in a better position to handle the workload than a 35-year-old Frank Gore.
New England Patriots
Over/under 234 touches for Sony Michel
Mike Reiss' prediction: Under. With Michel coming off the field in the sixth practice of training camp, and having a procedure to drain fluid from his knee, he is falling behind with missed practice time. He can still make up the time, but based on the altered schedule, going with a conservative approach in terms of touches seems most prudent.
New York Jets
Over/under 210 touches for Isaiah Crowell
Rich Cimini's prediction: Under. But barely. The Jets will take a committee approach in the backfield, which means Crowell and Bilal Powell will split time. They also hope to incorporate a third back. In the end, Crowell and Powell will finish with about 200 touches apiece. Crowell's number could rise if he proves himself as a receiver.
AFC NORTH
Baltimore Ravens
Over/under 30 receptions for Alex Collins
Jamison Hensley's prediction: Under. This is a close call. Collins caught 23 passes last season, and he didn't become the featured back until a quarter of the way into the regular season. Even though Collins is the top back, the Ravens will spread the ball around with Buck Allen and Kenneth Dixon. Allen will end up with the most catches among Baltimore running backs.
Cincinnati Bengals
Over/under 270 touches for Joe Mixon
Katherine Terrell's prediction: Under. The Bengals showed they're making an effort to get Mixon involved more in the passing game by lining him out wide in Thursday's preseason game. He responded with a touchdown. Considering Giovani Bernard will also be involved in both the run and pass game, however, it's hard to imagine Mixon could get to that number. Jeremy Hill never came close even in his best years. It should be close, but the under is a safer bet.
Cleveland Browns
Over/under 132 touches for Carlos Hyde
Pat McManamon's prediction: Over. Hyde had 240 carries and was targeted 88 times in the passing game with the 49ers last season. The backfield in Cleveland is more crowded with rookie Nick Chubb and Duke Johnson, but Hyde will get his reps. Average 132 over 16 games and that's 8.25 per game. Between the passing and running game, Hyde should average more than 8.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Over/under 1,954 scrimmage yards for Le'Veon Bell
Jeremy Fowler's prediction: Over. Best believe the Steelers will give Bell the ball early and often in his second franchise-tag season. If this marriage is over in March, Pittsburgh will give Bell 350 to 400 touches on his way out the door. And Bell will be highly motivated to recapture his 2016 magic in the rushing game. Bell struggled with negative runs early last season and had no rushes longer than 27 yards -- and he still produced 1,946 yards from scrimmage. He can make the necessary tweaks in his 2018 attack to improve those areas.
AFC SOUTH
Houston Texans
Over/under 154 carries for D'Onta Foreman
Sarah Barshop's prediction: Under. Foreman might not be ready to start the season as he recovers from tearing his Achilles in late November. Even if he misses only a few games, he will still probably be limited early on, especially if starter Lamar Miller can rebound from his career-worst season and stay healthy.
Indianapolis Colts
Over/under 205 touches for Marlon Mack
Mike Wells' prediction: Over. He is in line to be the starting running back after the departure of veteran Frank Gore and the suspension of Robert Turbin (PED) for the first four games. Mack had 114 touches as a rookie while playing behind Gore, who was the workhorse with 290 touches. Expect Mack to get a lot of those.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Over/under 310 carries for Leonard Fournette
Mike DiRocco's prediction: Over. Fournette had 268 last season and missed three games. He averaged 20.6 carries per game in those 13 games, which meant he would have had 330 carries as a rookie had he played in every game. He won't be carrying the ball less in 2018, and the team believes his lighter weight (he's down to 223) and commitment to taking fewer unnecessary hits will reduce his injury risk.
Tennessee Titans
Over/under eight TDs for Derrick Henry
Turron Davenport's prediction: Under. Henry is a big back, but Dion Lewis will also get opportunities in goal-line situations. It will be a shared workload for Lewis and Henry, so opportunities won't be as abundant. The Titans will also give Corey Davis and Delanie Walker plenty of targets in the red zone.
AFC WEST
Denver Broncos
Over/under 275 touches for Royce Freeman
Jeff Legwold's prediction: Under. The Broncos expect big things from Freeman, who was already splitting time with the starters in the second week of training camp. But they envision an approach where many hands make light work. Devontae Booker is going to get plenty of touches, and with the size the Broncos can now put on the field at wide receiver, plenty of the red zone touches will be taken up in the passing game. Freeman will get plenty of work, but it's a matter of whether the Broncos can possess the ball enough for him to have 225 carries and 50 or so receptions. Denver hasn't had a running back surpass 50 receptions since Knowshon Moreno had 60 in the team's record-setting 2013.
Kansas City Chiefs
Over/under 236 carries for Kareem Hunt
Adam Teicher's prediction: Under. The Chiefs had little alternative to Hunt last season after losing Spencer Ware to a knee injury. Ware is back, giving the Chiefs a nice option to Hunt.
Los Angeles Chargers
Over/under 1,526 scrimmage yards for Melvin Gordon
Eric D. Williams' prediction: Over. This Wisconsin product had his best season as a pro last season, finishing with 1,581 yards from scrimmage and 12 total touchdowns. With tight end Hunter Henry out for the year, Lynn said that Gordon will have more of a role in the passing game, which means even more touches.
Oakland Raiders
Over/under eight total TDs for Marshawn Lynch
Paul Gutierrez's prediction: Under. Lynch had seven total TDs last season, all on the ground, and Gruden's offense figures to use Beast Mode more to set up the play-action passing game, so it would seem to reason that Lynch's scoring output might suffer. Especially with Doug Martin, Jalen Richard and/or DeAndre Washington figuring to eat into his touches.
Wide receivers
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NFC EAST
Dallas Cowboys
Over/under 480 receiving yards for Michael Gallup
Todd Archer's prediction: Over. Trying to get a read on how the Cowboys will deploy their receivers has been a difficult chore in training camp. They are rolling almost all of them through in an equal manner. But Gallup has made plays from the first practice on, albeit with some drops, too. He and Prescott appear to have a natural chemistry. The Cowboys won't have a truly defined No. 1 receiver, but Gallup should be able to have more than 480 yards when you consider Terrance Williams had 736 yards his rookie season, even if the style of offense is different.
New York Giants
Over/under eight TDs for Odell Beckham Jr.
Jordan Raanan's prediction: Easy money. Take the over. He had 10 or more touchdowns each of his first three seasons. The only reason he didn't do it last year was because of a broken ankle, and he had three TDs in about 3.5 games. Beckham looks like his old, explosive self this summer. That means plenty of touchdowns.
Philadelphia Eagles
Over/under 66 receptions for Alshon Jeffery
Tim McManus' prediction: Under. He had only 57 catches last season, and is currently rehabbing from a torn rotator cuff that could carry into the regular season. It's certainly possible that Wentz looks to Jeffery more this season -- with a full year of chemistry building in the books -- but this is an offense that likes to spread the ball around.
Washington Redskins
Over/under six TDs for Josh Doctson
John Keim's prediction: Over. Doctson caught six touchdown passes last season with only 35 receptions. He had only 15 red zone targets, but the Redskins want that number to increase. If Jordan Reed is healthy, then he'll be a focal point in the red zone; that will take away some chances for Doctson -- but also lead to decreased attention at times. The Redskins say they think QB Smith will give Doctson more chances, and Gruden has said several times the third-year wideout should be a big help in the red zone.
NFC NORTH
Chicago Bears
Over/under 1,049 receiving yards for Allen Robinson
Nick Friedell's prediction: Under. The Bears are hoping for a big impact from Robinson and he should be able to produce in Nagy's system. But it will be tough to expect that many yards a year after missing almost the entire season, and playing in a new offense.
Detroit Lions
Over/under five TDs for Kenny Golladay
Michael Rothstein's prediction: Over. Golladay has been extremely impressive throughout training camp and should play a much larger role in the offense. Between he and Marvin Jones Sr. on the outside, Stafford has two tall, lanky receivers who are adept at high-pointing the ball. That makes Golladay both a deep threat and a red-zone target. He could be well over five touchdowns this season, perhaps somewhere in the eight to nine range.
Green Bay Packers
Over/under 10 TDs for Davante Adams
Rob Demovsky's prediction: Under. It's no slight on Adams, but teams are going to make it as difficult as possible for him this year -- especially after catching 22 touchdown passes the past two years combined. Yes, he became the focal point of defensive coverages last season, but it's going to be even tougher for him to wriggle free for scores this season. Don't be surprised, however, if he finally goes over the 1,000-yard mark.
Minnesota Vikings
Over/under 82 receptions for Stefon Diggs
Courtney Cronin's prediction: Under. The Vikings stake claim to the league's top wide receiver duo, which is among the many reasons why Cousins chose to come to Minnesota. Diggs has been on the verge of a breakout season for a while now, and if injuries don't force him to miss time like in 2016 and 2017, the 24-year-old could see career-best numbers in yards and touchdowns. To expect more than 82 receptions would mean a decrease in Adam Thielen's target share, but considering there aren't a whole ton of options elsewhere behind these two, the amount of passes Diggs catches in 2018 should hover around that range.
NFC SOUTH
Atlanta Falcons
Over/under eight TDs for Julio Jones
Vaughan McClure's prediction: Over. Believe it or not, Jones has reached double digits in touchdowns only once in his career (10, in 2012). He should be good for at least five per year, regardless of defensive coverage. Jones said there has been a renewed emphasis on working with Ryan in the red zone. Plus, the addition of Ridley should keep defenses honest, and give Jones more one-on-one opportunities to score.
Carolina Panthers
Over/under 40 receptions for DJ Moore
David Newton's prediction: Over. Devin Funchess and Torrey Smith will be the starters in a two-receiver set, but the rookie Moore will play a lot and have plenty of opportunities in a new offense that will rely on more high-percentage passes. One of Moore's strengths is yards after the catch, so look for him to take away from some of McCaffrey's catches.
New Orleans Saints
Over/under 53 receptions for Cameron Meredith
Mike Triplett's prediction: Under. It's entirely possible that Meredith could soar past this mark if he regains the form he displayed in Chicago and emerges as the Saints' No. 2 receiver. But that's a big "if" since Meredith is still working his way back from a major knee injury (his practice time has been limited in training camp). And the Saints have other options at WR, including veterans Michael Thomas and Ted Ginn Jr. and impressive rookie Tre'Quan Smith.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Over/under eight TDs for Mike Evans
Jenna Laine's prediction: Under. Evans had 12 touchdown catches his rookie season and in 2016 -- so it's certainly doable -- but had five last year and three in 2015. He has been Winston's go-to guy in the red zone, along with Cameron Brate, but Winston has gotten to a point where he has had to learn to spread the ball around more because Evans and Brate command so much of a defense's attention.
NFC WEST
Arizona Cardinals
Over/under 105 receptions for Larry Fitzgerald
Josh Weinfuss' prediction: Over. Fitzgerald will be relied upon early to make things happen as the rest of the offense gets comfortable in coordinator Mike McCoy's scheme. The quarterback will look to Fitzgerald early and often.
Los Angeles Rams
Over/under 994 receiving yards for Brandin Cooks
Lindsey Thiry's prediction: Over. But barely. Cooks has strung together three consecutive 1,000-plus receiving yard seasons and he is the piece McVay so desperately sought in his offense in 2017. Cooks' speed and ability to track a pass over his shoulder will make him a deep threat that Goff will seek time and again to keep defenses honest and put points on the board.
San Francisco 49ers
Over/under 76 receptions for Pierre Garcon
Nick Wagoner's prediction: Under. Garcon and Garoppolo took some time to finally link up in training camp and though Garcon still figures to be a prominent part of the offense, there figures to be a bit more of an even distribution among the team's pass-catchers. Marquise Goodwin's quick and easy connection with Garoppolo looks as if it has carried over from the end of last season and Goodwin looks like the favorite to be this team's leading receiver.
Seattle Seahawks
Over/under 654 receiving yards for Tyler Lockett
Brady Henderson's prediction: Over. But not by a lot. Lockett had 664 yards as a rookie in 2015, when he was Seattle's No. 3 receiver. He seems to have regained the burst he was missing last season (555 yards) and projects to be Seattle's No. 2 receiver.
AFC EAST
Buffalo Bills
Over/under 46 receptions for Zay Jones
Mike Rodak's prediction: Under. This would be a 70 percent increase over his 27 catches last season in 15 games, a huge jump that would seem unlikely after he missed essentially an entire offseason of work with the team's quarterbacks. The Bills' trade for Corey Coleman also throws a variable into the position that could cut into Jones' playing time.
Miami Dolphins
Over/under five TDs for DeVante Parker
Mike Rodak's prediction: Under. Parker has never met this number since entering the NFL as a first-round pick and quite frankly will have to prove he can meet it. He was not targeted in the Dolphins' preseason opener and reportedly struggled early in training camp to make his mark. Among a crowded Dolphins receiver depth chart, he must still emerge. Moreover, a broken finger will keep him out "indefinitely," and coach Adam Gase could not say whether Parker would be available by Week 1.
New England Patriots
Over/under 910 receiving yards for Chris Hogan
Mike Reiss' prediction: Under. Hogan had a career-high 680 receiving yards in 2016, his best in New England, and could be relied upon more heavily without Julian Edelman in the first four games of the season. But 910 yards is expecting too much, even though Hogan is one of the team's best deep-ball receivers.
New York Jets
Over/under 1,007 receiving yards for Robby Anderson
Rich Cimini's prediction: Under. Anderson, who set a career high last year with 941, is an ascending player. But the receiving corps is deeper than a year ago, and the ball will be distributed among Anderson, Jermaine Kearse, Quincy Enunwa and Terrelle Pryor. That will mean fewer targets for Anderson.
AFC NORTH
Baltimore Ravens
Over/under 53 receptions for Willie Snead
Jamison Hensley's prediction: Under, reluctantly. Snead has been impressive this offseason, and he has built a rapport with Joe Flacco. He gives the Ravens what they've lacked in recent years -- a slot receiver who can consistently get open over the middle. But the numbers say he won't reach 50 receptions. Since 2013, only six Ravens receivers have totaled over 50 catches in a season.
Cincinnati Bengals
Over/under 48 receptions for John Ross
Katherine Terrell's prediction: Under. The Bengals are going to be able to spread the ball around between Ross, Mixon, Bernard, A.J. Green, Tyler Eifert, Josh Malone and Tyler Boyd. While Ross has flashed potential in the preseason, it's hard to imagine he goes from only 15 total snaps in 2018 to the No. 2 target. If Ross stays healthy, he'll get some chances, but he's going to have to compete for playing time with others.
Cleveland Browns
Over/under 897 receiving yards for Jarvis Landry
Pat McManamon's prediction: Over. Someone has to lead the team in receiving and receiving yards, and Landry figures to be that guy. He has been outstanding since the Browns acquired him, and his hands seem to be a vacuum bringing the ball in. Landry also figures to be the team's top target, and be near or above 1,000 yards for the season.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Over/under 996 receiving yards for JuJu Smith-Schuster
Jeremy Fowler's prediction: Under. But close. Smith-Schuster is poised for 100-plus targets after the departure of Bryant, and his big-play flare is obvious. But he'll get attention from top-end cornerbacks tand must adjust or those chunk-yardage plays won't be there. Randy Fichtner's offense will get tight ends heavily involved, too. Hitting the low-900s seems a safer bet than pushing 1,000.
AFC SOUTH
Houston Texans
Over/under six TDs for Will Fuller V
Sarah Barshop's prediction: Over. Fuller won't keep up the pace he and Watson set in the limited time they played together last season -- seven touchdowns in four games. As opponents continue to focus on DeAndre Hopkins, however, Fuller will get his share of chances to find the end zone. He is known as a speed threat, but Texans coach Bill O'Brien has praised the third-year receiver's improvement in his route running. Fuller also said he gained 15-20 pounds during the offseason to aid his durability.
Indianapolis Colts
Over/under 1,249 receiving yards for T.Y. Hilton
Mike Wells' prediction: Under. Not that Hilton isn't capable of eclipsing that because he has surpassed that total twice in his six-year career. It's more that you can expect the Colts to distribute the ball more evenly under new coach Frank Reich's offense, which looks to exploit mismatches and spread the ball around.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Over/under 36 receptions for Donte Moncrief
Mike DiRocco's prediction: Over. But not by much. The Jaguars feel they have a pretty evenly talented group of receivers who could take turns being the featured guy. The expectation is Bortles will spread the ball around and there probably will be three or more players with 40-plus catches. Moncrief, Marqise Lee, Keelan Cole and tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins are the best bets.
Tennessee Titans
Over/under 847 receiving yards for Corey Davis
Turron Davenport's prediction: Under. The biggest factor for Davis is staying healthy. He will play a key role in the passing game, but the Titans will spread the ball around to Rishard Matthews, Jonnu Smith, Dion Lewis and Delanie Walker. Davis will get his share of touchdowns as he and Mariota develop timing.
AFC WEST
Denver Broncos
Over/under 951 receiving yards for Emmanuel Sanders
Jeff Legwold's prediction: Over. Especially if rookies Courtland Sutton and DaeSean Hamilton carry anything close to the momentum they've shown in training camp into the regular season. Both Sanders and Demaryius Thomas are going to find themselves in single coverage far more than they did last season. Keenum has also shown exceptional accuracy so far, and his ability to put the ball in a position where receivers can have some catch-and-run yardage will pump up the numbers as well.
Kansas City Chiefs
Over/under 1,157 scrimmage yards for Tyreek Hill
Adam Teicher's prediction: Over. Hill had more than 1,200 scrimmage yards last season. The addition of Sammy Watkins shouldn't make a significant dent in Hill's 2018 production. Judging by what he has shown in training camp, Hill will be Mahomes' go-to deep threat.
Los Angeles Chargers
Over/under 457 receiving yards for Mike Williams
Eric D. Williams' prediction: Over. Now healthy, Williams played to his potential during training camp and should help fill the void left by Henry's absence, particularly on third down and in the red zone. The No. 7 overall pick in the 2017 draft, Williams should have a breakout season in 2018, developing into a reliable target for Rivers.
Oakland Raiders
Over/under 1,007 receiving yards for Amari Cooper
Paul Gutierrez's prediction: Over. Or have you forgotten that Gruden promised to make Cooper a "centerpiece" of the Raiders' passing offense? Before last season's disappearing act as part of an overall offensive regression, Cooper put together two 1,000-yard receiving seasons to start his career. And if Gruden is serious about bringing back old roles, think of Cooper as Tim Brown and Jordy Nelson as Jerry Rice.
Tight ends
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NFC EAST
Dallas Cowboys
Over/under 23 receptions for Blake Jarwin
Todd Archer's prediction: Over. Just like at receiver, the Cowboys will go with a committee approach at tight end, but Jarwin has looked as if he will be the featured pass target among the group. He is playing with his hand on the ground, but he also has been flanked to the slot and even out wide. He runs well. He is strong, and he looks to have good hands. Now, he doesn't have a catch in his career to his credit just yet, but he should average more than 1.5 catches per game.
New York Giants
Over/under 69 receptions for Evan Engram
Jordan Raanan's prediction: Under. He might be a better player this season, but his target share will almost certainly decrease, barring an avalanche of injuries. Engram had 64 catches last season and that was without Odell Beckham Jr. and Saquon Barkley in the lineup. It's hard to see an uptick with all the playmakers around him.
Philadelphia Eagles
Over/under seven TDs for Zach Ertz
Tim McManus' prediction: Over. Ertz is in line for a big year, health allowing. He set a new high in TDs last season (8) and has the feel of a player just now hitting his prime. He and rookie TE Dallas Goedert are going to produce some matchup issues.
Washington Redskins
Over/under 14 games played for Jordan Reed
John Keim's prediction: Under. Reed has never played more than 14 games in his career, and he has reached this figure only once; it's no coincidence that it was his best season with 87 catches and 11 touchdowns. But since that 2015 season, he has missed a combined 14 games and is coming off surgery on both toes. He says the pain is gone and that's a crucial step. But he has missed a combined 30 games in five seasons.
NFC NORTH
Chicago Bears
Over/under 51 receptions for Trey Burton
Nick Friedell's prediction: Under. Burton should have opportunities in the new-look offense, but he would have to have a career year to hit the number. If he can find an early rhythm with Mitch Trubisky, it would give the group a big lift.
Detroit Lions
Over/under 30 receptions for Luke Willson
Michael Rothstein's prediction: Under. Willson has played well during camp, but given the combination of Detroit's three top receivers (Kenny Golladay, Marvin Jones Jr. and Golden Tate) along with Theo Riddick as a pass-catcher -- as well as the potential for second-year tight end Michael Roberts to snag some reps and receptions -- Willson doesn't quite get there. Like many of these numbers, though, he comes close.
Green Bay Packers
Over/under eight TDs for Jimmy Graham
Rob Demovsky's prediction: Over. Aaron Rodgers has spent a good portion of training camp focusing on his connection with his new tight end so they can hit the ground running in the opener. Graham looks healthy, speedy and on the same page with his new QB.
Minnesota Vikings
Over/under seven TDs for Kyle Rudolph
Courtney Cronin's prediction: Over, but not by much. Rudolph's eight touchdowns from a year ago feels like the sweet spot in 2018. He has a quarterback who loves throwing to the tight end (Kirk Cousins likened throwing to Rudolph to throwing into a mattress) and an offensive coordinator champing at the bit to utilize him on third down and in the red zone. Rudolph is among six TEs to score double-digit touchdowns inside the 20-yard line during the past two seasons. Pairing Rudolph with Cousins is bound to make those figures increase, etching his way further to becoming a top 6 or 7 fantasy tight end.
NFC SOUTH
Atlanta Falcons
Over/under 500 receiving yards for Austin Hooper
Vaughan McClure's prediction: Over. There has been a lot of hype surrounding Hooper leading into the season, and he seems poised to live up to those expectations. In training camp, he has been impressive going down the middle and leaping to catch the ball in traffic, which could mean more chunk yards to go with an expected increase in red zone opportunities. Hooper averaged 14.3 yards per catch as a rookie, so equaling or bettering that average with likely many more targets should put him well above 500.
Carolina Panthers
Over/under 69 receptions for Greg Olsen
David Newton's prediction: Under. Cam Newton has arguably the most receiving talent around him since arriving in the NFL in wide receivers Devin Funchess, DJ Moore, Torrey Smith, Jarius Wright and Curtis Samuel. Turner's offense will depend on Newton spreading the ball around more, so while Olsen will be a primary target, getting to 69 catches might be tough.
New Orleans Saints
Over/under 470 receiving yards for Ben Watson
Mike Triplett's prediction: Under. In theory, Watson should be able to easily eclipse this mark, even at age 37. The last season he was in New Orleans in 2015, he had 825 receiving yards. And last year with the Ravens, he had 522 despite returning from a torn Achilles. However, Watson has missed most of training camp because of an unspecified injury. And the Saints' entire TE group gained a total of only 476 yards last year. So there are some question marks that make this an unsafe bet.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Over/under 37 receptions for O.J. Howard
Jenna Laine's prediction: Over. Howard should exceed this mark. He has had a great camp and is showing much more improved chemistry with both Ryan Fitzpatrick and Jameis Winston. Howard will have to share targets with Cameron Brate, and he'll still do his share of run blocking, but he's becoming a much more consistent player in terms of technique, route running and overall production.
NFC WEST
Arizona Cardinals
Over/under 41 receptions for Ricky Seals-Jones
Josh Weinfuss' prediction: Under. He was a secret last season but that cat is out of the bag. Defenses now have enough tape. Plus, once Jermaine Gresham is healthy, he'll become a favorite target of Sam Bradford, just like he was in college.
Los Angeles Rams
Over/under 348 receiving yards for Gerald Everett
Lindsey Thiry's prediction: Under. Everett's role was bound to grow in his second season after catching 16 passes for 244 yards and two touchdowns in 2017. But the tight end suffered a shoulder injury in the second week of training camp and Sean McVay has not provided a definitive timeline for Everett's return.
San Francisco 49ers
Over/under four TDs for George Kittle
Nick Wagoner's prediction: Over. Kittle scored two touchdowns as a rookie and though he had a solid first season in the league, he also was plagued by injuries. If he can avoid the many ailments that affected him in 2017, he could emerge as a quality red zone target in 2018. That's especially true with Jimmy Garoppolo at quarterback. It's a small sample but Garoppolo targeted tight ends nine times in the red zone with six completions for 32 yards and three touchdowns over the final five games last season. Kittle should benefit and clear this number so long as he stays healthy.
Seattle Seahawks
Over/under 26 receptions for Nick Vannett
Brady Henderson's prediction: Under. Vannett has a chance to play a larger role in his third season, potentially as the No. 2 tight end behind Ed Dickson. But Luke Willson never topped 22 receptions in any of the past five seasons while serving in that No. 2 role.
AFC EAST
Buffalo Bills
Over/under 646 receiving yards for Charles Clay
Mike Rodak's prediction: Under. Clay has not posted this many receiving yards since 2013, when he played a full 16 games for Miami. He has avoided major injury since then but has shown a tendency to occasionally miss a game, a trend that could keep him under this number. He was targeted the second most of any Bills player last season but finished with only 558 yards.
Miami Dolphins
Over/under 41 receptions for Mike Gesicki
Mike Rodak's prediction: Over. This was Julius Thomas' total as the Dolphins' top tight end last season and seems attainable for Gesicki given his prowess in the passing game. Although the rookie still reportedly has room to improve as a blocker and might see reduced playing time because of that, he is the most talented tight end in Miami who does not need to cross a high bar with this target.
New England Patriots
Over/under nine TDs for Rob Gronkowski
Mike Reiss' prediction: Over. Gronkowski says his body feels great and that's bad news for opposing defenses. Tom Brady will be relying on him as much as ever, especially without Julian Edelman for the first four games of the season.
New York Jets
Over/under 21 receptions for Jordan Leggett
Rich Cimini's prediction: Under. Leggett is already behind because a leg injury has kept him off the field in training camp. During his absence, rookie Chris Herndon has climbed the depth chart, displaying the best receiving skills among the tight ends. The coaches still like Leggett's potential, but he has no track record after missing his entire rookie year.
AFC NORTH
Baltimore Ravens
Over/under 37 receptions for Hayden Hurst
Jamison Hensley's prediction: Over. History says rookie tight ends struggle, but Hurst is the Ravens' best pass-catching tight end. He has looked impressive in training camp with his quickness and reliable hands. There's a reason he was the first tight end taken in the draft. Plus, Joe Flacco loves throwing to tight ends, whether it's Todd Heap, Dennis Pitta, Owen Daniels or Benjamin Watson.
Cincinnati Bengals
Over/under 13 games played for Tyler Eifert
Katherine Terrell's prediction: Under. Eifert has played in only 13 games twice in his five years. That is combined with the fact that he's coming off back surgeries in consecutive years, and the Bengals have already been extra cautious with him. They are going to do everything they can to get him through the season, but it's hard to imagine he's going to be available every game, especially if that caution continues to the regular season.
Cleveland Browns
Over/under five TDs for David Njoku
Pat McManamon's prediction: Over. This is close, and the concern is Njoku's problem with drops. But his height makes him a factor in the red zone, and his ability to run after the catch makes him a factor from outside the 20-yard line. Njoku might not get near 10, but he should get at least six.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Over/under 43 receptions for Vance McDonald
Jeremy Fowler's prediction: Over. Health is the only concern here. McDonald has struggled to stay in the Steelers' lineup and has missed much of camp because of a foot injury. But he's the clear-cut No. 1 as a pass-catching tight end and has a good rapport with Ben Roethlisberger. The Steelers like his quickness on short-to-intermediate routes over the middle or toward the sideline. And Steelers tight ends will line up wide more often than in years past.
AFC SOUTH
Houston Texans
Over/under 429 receiving yards for Ryan Griffin
Sarah Barshop's prediction: Under. Griffin is the starter, but even when he has played in 16 games, his highest total receiving yards was 442, and that was with nearly as many targets as then-starter C.J. Fiedorowicz. The Texans drafted two tight ends, Jordan Akins and Jordan Thomas, who will see some playing time, and Watson has several strong options at receiver, too.
Indianapolis Colts
Over/under 69 receptions for Jack Doyle
Mike Wells' prediction: Under. Doyle had a career-high 80 receptions last season as Jacoby Brissett's security blanket. It won't be surprising if Doyle leads Colts tight ends in receptions because he'll be Andrew Luck's underneath safety valve, but the total will be lower with the addition of Eric Ebron, who will line up as a receiver at times.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Over/under 509 receiving yards for Austin Seferian-Jenkins
Mike DiRocco's prediction: Under. Seferian-Jenkins is an upgrade over Marcedes Lewis as a receiver and gives Blake Bortles a reliable red zone target. But as mentioned with the receivers, the ball is going to be spread around quite a bit. Seferian-Jenkins caught a career-high 50 passes with the Jets last season but averaged just 7.1 yards per reception, and it wouldn't be a surprise if he ended up with similar numbers in 2018.
Tennessee Titans
Over/under 820 receiving yards for Delanie Walker
Turron Davenport's prediction: Over. Though Marcus Mariota will be asked to spread the ball around, Walker will be the focal point of the passing game. Mariota said he likes throwing to Walker because of the matchup problems he causes. Walker is too fast for most linebackers and able to outmuscle safeties. Their chemistry makes them tough to stop.
AFC WEST
Denver Broncos
Over/under 325 receiving yards for Jake Butt
Jeff Legwold's prediction: Over. The Broncos have been encouraged by Butt, who spent last season recovering from a knee injury, throughout the offseason program and training camp. And he will get snaps, especially since he is in the team's red zone plans. He'll have the opportunity, and Case Keenum already trusts him to be where he is supposed to be in the pattern, so that means, unless something unexpected happens, he should get the ball. Averaging 20.3 receiving yards per game is a bar he could surpass.
Kansas City Chiefs
Over/under 1,006 receiving yards for Travis Kelce
Adam Teicher's prediction: Over. Kelce had more than 1,000 receiving yards in each of the past two seasons. There's no reason to believe that his numbers will dip significantly with Patrick Mahomes.
Los Angeles Chargers
Over/under 31 receptions for Virgil Green
Eric D. Williams' prediction: Under. Green's best season statistically occurred in 2016 with the Broncos, when he totaled 22 receptions for 237 receiving yards and a touchdown. Green enters the season as the Chargers' top tight end, but the Bolts have several playmakers on offense and probably will look to other options on third down and in the red zone, limiting Green's targets.
Oakland Raiders
Over/under four TDs for Jared Cook
Paul Gutierrez's prediction: Under. Look, Cook has had only four touchdowns in a season twice in his nine-year NFL career and he had only two last season. There is no doubt that Cook is the most explosive pass-catching tight end on the roster, but Jon Gruden's offense also favors the likes of Derek Carrier as a red zone tight end target, not to mention the potential of rookie receiver Marcell Ateman near the goal line. Derek Carr should throw more TD passes, but he probably will be more magnanimous in spreading that scoring around.