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Todd McShay's final 2019 NFL Mock Draft: One last first-round projection

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McShay confident Murray will be 'special' in NFL (1:20)

Todd McShay reviews Kyler Murray's tape and shows why his arm talent will carry him in the NFL. (1:20)

The 2019 NFL draft is finally here. Which teams will find their new franchise quarterbacks? Which will get a jolt from one of the talented pass-rushers in this class? Thursday night we get our answers.

For my closing mock, I predict picks based on what I'm hearing, showing what I think a team will do, rather than what it should do. And while I didn't explore any specific trades in the resulting selections, I do expect some picks to change hands when the names start flying Thursday.

So ahead of the first round, let's project the opening 32 picks one last time, starting with a certain athletic quarterback. And be sure to catch all the action live, starting at 7 p.m. ET on ABC, ESPN and the ESPN App.

McShay's Top 300 | Draft primer
Prospect profiles | Draft buzz | Full order
Best at everything | 50 facts about the class


1. Arizona Cardinals

Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma | Highlights

No change at the top of the board. New coach Kliff Kingsbury wants Murray running this offense, and who wouldn't? This is a gifted quarterback prospect.


2. San Francisco 49ers

Nick Bosa, DE, Ohio State | Highlights

In one of my favorite team/player landing spots, the Niners are gifted the top talent in the class for some much-needed help off the edge. Bosa has the technique, speed and strength to make a difference right out of the gate for San Francisco.


3. New York Jets

Quinnen Williams, DT, Alabama | Highlights

There has been a lot of Ed Oliver talk here, but Williams is the best player left on my board. We're talking about a guy who made 18.5 tackles for loss last season. Easy choice.


4. Oakland Raiders

Ed Oliver, DT, Houston | Highlights

Defensive coordinator Paul Guenther had Geno Atkins plugging the middle of the defensive line during his Bengals days. Now he gets the disruptive Oliver in that same role.


5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Josh Allen, OLB, Kentucky | Highlights

All Allen does is pressure opposing quarterbacks, and his 17 sacks last season prove it. Tampa Bay could use a player with closing burst like that coming around the corner of its new 3-4 defense.


6. New York Giants

Devin White, ILB, LSU | Highlights

This defensive unit needs just about everything. And in addition to his great speed, range and instincts, White can be the leader of New York's rebuilding defense for years to come.


7. Jacksonville Jaguars

T.J. Hockenson, TE, Iowa | Highlights

Hockenson might just be the most complete player in the draft class, combining speed, size (6-foot-5), athleticism and versatility. He immediately becomes an important asset for Nick Foles as the Jags try to revive their offense.

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NFL draft profile: T.J. Hockenson

Iowa's T.J. Hockenson is a weapon in the passing game and an above-average blocker, and he has an outstanding combination of height, weight, playing speed and strength.

8. Detroit Lions

Brian Burns, OLB, Florida State | Highlights

It's possible the Lions opt to trade back here, but they also badly need playmaking pass-rushers, despite signing Trey Flowers. Burns has the versatility and closing burst to produce in the NFL as he did at FSU (24 sacks since 2016).


9. Buffalo Bills

Jawaan Taylor, OT, Florida | Highlights

Option 1 is trading out, and Option 2 is drafting Oliver. But assuming neither comes to fruition, the Bills need to keep quarterback Josh Allen clean. The Buffalo offensive line is undergoing a major overhaul, and Taylor would give the unit a building block for the future.


10. Denver Broncos

Devin Bush, ILB, Michigan | Highlights

Just consider the havoc this linebacking group can create with Von Miller and Bradley Chubb coming off the edge and Bush roaming sideline-to-sideline from the middle. Hockenson also could be in play if he's still on the board at No. 10.


11. Cincinnati Bengals

Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama | Highlights

The Bengals would have loved to add Bush in the middle of the defense, but they also need offensive line help. Williams is an upgrade over Bobby Hart at right tackle. He handles speed off the edge effortlessly and shows pop when run blocking.


12. Green Bay Packers

Noah Fant, TE, Iowa | Highlights

Get. Aaron. Rodgers. Help. The Packers haven't used a first-round pick on a skill position since taking Rodgers in 2005. Fant would create plenty of mismatches, make difficult catches and tack on extra yardage after the catch.


13. Miami Dolphins

Christian Wilkins, DT, Clemson | Highlights

Miami needs everything. And considering defensive line coach Marion Hobby worked with Wilkins for a few years at Clemson, this pick makes a lot of sense. The Dolphins were No. 31 in run defense last season.


14. Atlanta Falcons

Cody Ford, OT, Oklahoma | Highlights

The Falcons like Oliver, but would they trade up for him? If they stand their ground, getting a mauler with versatility like Ford would limit the numerous hits Matt Ryan took a season ago.

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NFL draft profile: Cody Ford

Cody Ford is an offensive lineman out of Oklahoma who was a first-team All-Big 12 selection for the Sooners.

15. Washington Redskins

Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State | Highlights

This works out beautifully for Washington, as the Redskins get their guy without having to move up. Haskins is an extremely accurate pocket passer who could learn behind Case Keenum and Colt McCoy and become an effective franchise QB.


16. Carolina Panthers

Rashan Gary, DE, Michigan | Highlights

Carolina has been looking for edge rushers for a long time. And while the production never really materialized at Michigan, Gary's athleticism and explosiveness are legit. The Panthers managed just 35 sacks in 2018.


17. New York Giants (from Cleveland)

Drew Lock, QB, Missouri | Highlights

At last, the Giants get a quarterback. Lock brings a big arm, mobility and the ability to make difficult off-balance throws with ease. Under Eli Manning's tutelage, Lock and White spark some excitement in the Giants' rebuild.


18. Minnesota Vikings

Garrett Bradbury, C, NC State | Highlights

The Vikings' line would improve drastically if they moved Pat Elflein to guard and inserted the top center prospect in the class in the middle. Bradbury has great agility and is quick off the ball in run blocking.


19. Tennessee Titans

Marquise Brown, WR, Oklahoma | Highlights

Brown could slide a little due to his foot injury, but he is an absolute burner. Opposite Corey Davis, he could pile on big gains all season long. Brown can pluck on the run and dash upfield, making defenders miss along the way.


20. Pittsburgh Steelers

Greedy Williams, CB, LSU | Highlights

Yes, he has some tackling concerns, but Williams can turn and run like few others. And while the Steelers signed Steven Nelson, Joe Haden is in a contract year and Artie Burns hasn't produced.

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NFL draft profile: Greedy Williams

Greedy Williams has excellent top-end speed and is at his best in press-man coverage.

21. Seattle Seahawks

Montez Sweat, DE, Mississippi State | Highlights

Some teams are concerned about Sweat's heart condition, which probably will cause him to fall a bit on Day 1. But he is one of the more talented edge rushers in the class -- and Seattle could use one after shipping Frank Clark to Kansas City.


22. Baltimore Ravens

Erik McCoy, C/G, Texas A&M | Highlights

The Ravens will look to trade out of this pick, but they also could use an upgrade at left guard or center in helping protect mobile second-year quarterback Lamar Jackson. McCoy has excellent awareness and athleticism.


23. Houston Texans

Andre Dillard, OT, Washington State | Highlights

Watch for Houston to try to trade up on Thursday night. But considering Houston allowed 62 sacks of Deshaun Watson in 2018, the fact that Dillard allowed just one all season for the Cougars might also be of interest. He has excellent feet.


24. Oakland Raiders (from Chicago)

Josh Jacobs, RB, Alabama | Highlights

The Marshawn Lynch era is over in Oakland. Jon Gruden would happily lean on the grinding running game of Isaiah Crowell and Jacobs, a violent runner with good instincts and burst.


25. Philadelphia Eagles

Byron Murphy, CB, Washington | Highlights

Injuries hit the Philly secondary last season -- not a single cornerback started at least nine games. Murphy has the ball skills and instincts to really excel in the Eagles' zone coverage scheme.


26. Indianapolis Colts

Clelin Ferrell, DE, Clemson | Highlights

I have defensive end as my top area of need for the Colts. Ferrell is versatile, has good closing burst off the edge and flashes as a run defender. After picking up 11.5 sacks last season, he'd immediately improve the pass rush.

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NFL draft profile: Clelin Ferrell

Clemson's Clelin Ferrell is a versatile pass-rusher with good initial quickness, flexibility and closing speed.

27. Oakland Raiders (from Dallas)

Rock Ya-Sin, CB, Temple | Highlights

Gruden loves his physical cornerbacks, and this former wrestler could end up being a very good press corner. Not to mention Daryl Worley is in the final year of his contract.


28. Los Angeles Chargers

Daniel Jones, QB, Duke | Highlights

Jones needs a place where he can develop. Learning behind Philip Rivers and Tyrod Taylor in Los Angeles is a good match for him. While he has good timing as a passer, he needs to work on his poise under pressure.


29. Seattle Seahawks (from Kansas City)

Dexter Lawrence, DT, Clemson | Highlights

Jarran Reed put up 10 sacks last season. Complementing him with the best run-stopper in the draft class makes for an exciting interior line.


30. Green Bay Packers (from New Orleans)

Jeffery Simmons, DT, Mississippi State | Highlights

Simmons will sit a year while recovering from a torn ACL, but he's one of the top prospects when healthy in the entire draft class. Kenny Clark will be a fifth-year option candidate for 2020, so the defensive tackle position could open up (although the Packers are expected to exercise the option).


31. Los Angeles Rams

Chris Lindstrom, G, Boston College | Highlights

Lindstrom would be an excellent replacement for Rodger Saffold at left guard. He impressed at the combine and has the ability to ride speed rushers past the pocket.


32. New England Patriots

Darnell Savage Jr., S, Maryland | Highlights

Savage has been one of the draft's biggest risers over the past couple of weeks. He reads receivers and quarterbacks very well and will step up and make plays on the ball. And I love his aggressiveness in run support.