NBA draft lottery 2021: Potential picks and odds for every lottery team

The NBA draft lottery is one week away, which means we'll soon know which team is in position to draft Oklahoma State star Cade Cunningham, the presumptive No. 1 overall pick. But Cunningham is far from the only prize in this year's potentially historic draft class. Jalen Green, Jalen Suggs, Evan Mobley and Jonathan Kuminga all represent great options for teams picking in the coveted No. 2, No. 3 or No. 4 spots, all of which will also be decided by the bounce of the pingpong balls on June 22.

With that in mind, we take a look at all 14 lottery teams and whom they might pick if they don't land at No. 1. What player might each team select if it lands in a coveted top-four spot? What if they land outside that range? Or, in the case of three teams, what will happen if they lose their pick entirely?

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Houston Rockets | Average pick: 3.7

No. 1 pick odds: 14.0% | Top-four odds: 52.1%

The player they'd prioritize after Cunningham: Jalen Green

The Rockets are at a stage of their rebuilding process where they need to accumulate as much star power as possible. With his combination of elite explosiveness and shot-making ability, there's a good argument to be made that Green has the highest upside of any prospect in the draft, Cade Cunningham included. The fact that Green also complements all of the existing pieces on the Rockets' roster, including Kevin Porter and Christian Wood, could also be viewed as a plus.

The player they'd take if they slide: Evan Mobley

If the Rockets fall out of the top four, their pick will be conveyed to Oklahoma City, which would be a disastrous outcome after a 17-55 season. With pick three or four, Mobley will surely get plenty of looks if available, as he'd provide the type of defensive anchor the team sorely lacked this season, while giving Houston another highly skilled big man to pair with Christian Wood.

-- Jonathan Givony

Note: If Houston's pick falls outside the top four it gets conveyed to Oklahoma City.

Detroit Pistons | Average pick: 3.9

No. 1 pick odds: 14.0% | Top-four odds: 52.1%

The player they'd prioritize after Cunningham: Evan Mobley

Not only does Mobley hold All-Star potential given his two-way versatility and skill set at 7-0, he also fits well with Detroit's current roster. Mobley would complement high-motor bruiser Isaiah Stewart well up front, and can slide up to the 5 with Jerami Grant and Saddiq Bey at the forward spots. I'd also expect Troy Weaver and company to heavily consider Jalen Green, who would infuse a level of youthful athleticism, scoring punch and star power into a Pistons organization in search of a "face of the franchise" type of talent. Green would mesh well alongside current core pieces like Killian Hayes, Bey, Grant and Stewart.

The player they'd take if they slide: Davion Mitchell

Should it slide to 6, Detroit would be wise to target the Baylor guard and consensus national defensive player of the year Mitchell, who would instantly change the culture and give the Pistons a point guard of the future who also fits alongside a big playmaker like Hayes. Mitchell has experience playing in multiguard lineups, and is a lockdown defender who figures to terrorize defenses with his quickness, shot-making ability and court vision. A versatile forward like Scottie Barnes would also make sense here.

-- Mike Schmitz

Orlando Magic | Average pick: 4.1

No. 1 pick odds: 14.0% | Top-four odds: 52.1%

The player they'd prioritize after Cunningham: Jalen Green

While the Magic have several intriguing young players on their roster, including the two young members of their core who sat out the season with injury -- Jonathan Isaac and Markelle Fultz -- they'll likely be looking to draft the most talented player they can identify, regardless of positional fit. Green certainly fits that bill, and also has ample size and versatility to play in a variety of different lineup configurations alongside any of the players already in the fold.

The player they'd take if they slide: The Magic can't fall any further than seventh, with the most likely scenario being the No. 6 pick.

Taking a swing on a toolsy high-upside prospect like Keon Johnson, who offers impressive defensive versatility, open-court scoring and playmaking ability, could make sense. He'll need plenty of development in the weight room and as a shooter to reach his considerable upside, but the Magic are just starting their rebuilding process and can afford to give him the reps and patience he needs.

-- Givony

Oklahoma City Thunder | Average pick: 4.6

No. 1 pick odds: 11.5% | Top-four odds: 45.1%

The player they'd prioritize after Cunningham: Evan Mobley

Clearly taking a long-term approach as a franchise, the Thunder can afford to wait on the physical progression of a prospect like Mobley, who would give them additional defensive versatility and yet another rangy prospect who can handle, pass and shoot. Adding Mobley (7-5 wingspan) would give the Thunder up to four potential starters with a wingspan of at least 7-0 in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (7-0), Aleksej Pokusevski (7-3) and Darius Bazley (7-0), not to mention Moses Brown and his 9-5 reach. An electric scorer like Jalen Green or a hard-nosed two-way playmaker like Jalen Suggs would also make sense here, as both fit well alongside SGA. Oklahoma City would be a great landing spot for Jonathan Kuminga, a talented two-way wing.

The player they'd take if they slide: Scottie Barnes

The Thunder could end up with 1 and 5 if they jump up to first with their own pick and Houston drops to 5, as the Rockets pick is protected 1 through 4. With their own pick, the Thunder have a 27.1% change of landing the sixth pick, an 18% chance of selecting seventh and a 2.4% chance of drafting eighth.

Barnes would give the Thunder a versatile forward and almost just as much length as Mobley with his 7-3 wingspan and massive 9-1 standing reach. Barnes' ability to handle and pass at 6-9 makes him highly intriguing, especially if he can play some small-ball 5 alongside a floor-spacer like Pokusevski. Betting on the intangibles of a highly explosive prospect like Keon Johnson would also make sense here, as would selecting a dynamic guard like Davion Mitchell, even if he doesn't quite fit their current timeline.

-- Schmitz

Cleveland Cavaliers | Average pick: 4.8

No. 1 pick odds: 11.5% | Top-four odds: 45.1%

The player they'd prioritize after Cunningham: Evan Mobley

Although Cunningham is clearly an ideal fit for the Cavs' roster due to his unselfish style of play, excellent perimeter shooting and impressive defensive versatility, the next best fit among the players considered to be in the top group isn't as clear cut. Mobley's skill level and potential as a defensive anchor is arguably the most intriguing, even if he doesn't really offer the type of 3-point shooting the team lacked this season, and his fit alongside the talented but inconsistent Jarrett Allen doesn't look seamless on paper. A big wing who can slide to the 4 like Jonathan Kuminga would actually be ideal, but Kuminga's ball-stopping tendencies and erratic shooting might provide too much overlap to warrant reaching for him in the top 3.

The player they'd take if they slide: Scottie Barnes

The Cavs have an 18.2% chance of selecting sixth, a 25.5% chance of picking seventh, 8.6% of picking eighth, and a miniscule 0.6% chance of picking ninth.

Despite not possessing the same offensive upside as the prospects in the top 5 -- an inconsistent jumper stands out -- Barnes' defensive versatility, unselfishness and overall impact he makes on winning will be attractive to a Cavs team eager to make progress next year in attempting to return to the playoffs.

-- Givony

Minnesota Timberwolves | Average pick: 5.5

No. 1 pick odds: 9.0% | Top-three odds: 27.6%

The player they'd prioritize after Cunningham: Jalen Suggs

Suggs is the type of culture-changing prospect Minnesota needs, as he'd give the Timberwolves a major jolt defensively while adding excitement with his transition prowess and downhill style. An under-21 quartet of Anthony Edwards, Suggs, Jaden McDaniels and Barcelona stash Leandro Bolmaro would be cause for excitement in Minnesota. While some scouts question his true star potential, Suggs wouldn't have to score 20 a night to have an impact alongside one of the game's most explosive young bucket-getters in Edwards. Mobley also makes sense here as he could play with or without Karl-Anthony Towns.

Note: Minnesota's pick has a 9.6% chance of moving up to No. 4. If the Timberwolves' pick is not one of the top three it gets conveyed to the Golden State Warriors.

The player Golden State would take if the pick conveys: Scottie Barnes

Should the pick land outside the top three, there's a 9.6% chance of fourth, an 8.6% chance of sixth, a 29.7% chance of seventh, a 20.6% chance of eighth, a 3.8% chance of ninth and a 0.2% chance of 10th.

If available, the Warriors should strongly consider Barnes, who has quite a few similarities to a young Draymond Green with his defensive versatility, toughness, court vision, willingness to do the little things that impact winning and scoring-averse style. Few coaches would value Barnes' strengths quite like Steve Kerr and his staff. Davion Mitchell -- arguably the draft's most NBA-ready prospect -- would help Golden State immediately as well with his defensive toughness and offensive skill set in the backcourt.

-- Schmitz

Toronto Raptors | Average pick: 6.2

No. 1 pick odds: 7.5% | Top-four odds: 31.9%

The player they'd prioritize after Cunningham if they move up: Jalen Green

Already sorely lacking a dynamic shot creator, the potential departure of Kyle Lowry only adds to the need to add a player in Green's mold to the backcourt, with the significant scoring punch and explosiveness he offers. Sliding Fred VanVleet to point guard to replace Lowry would open plenty of opportunity for Green at the off-guard spot, giving the Raptors a potential star to build around in their attempt to quickly return to championship contention.

The player they'd take if they stay where they are: Keon Johnson

Swinging for the fences on a raw but talented prospect, and then trusting the Raptors' player development staff to mold the significant potential offered by Johnson, seems like a logical outcome for Toronto's braintrust. Johnson has the type of physical tools and mentality the front office has targeted in the past, even if it's clear he'll need plenty of seasoning to emerge as a consistent contributor.

-- Givony

Chicago Bulls | Average pick: 7.5

No. 1 pick odds: 4.5% | Top-four odds: 20.2%

The player they'd prioritize after Cunningham if they move up: Jalen Suggs

Long starved for a franchise point guard, Suggs makes a lot of sense for the Bulls as he brings a winning mentality, defensive intensity and playmaking ability that would fit well alongside Zach LaVine. Mobley also is intriguing here, as he can play with Nikola Vucevic in the short term, given his defensive versatility and Vucevic's shooting, while evolving into the eventual Bulls big man of the future.

Note: The Bulls' most likely draft slot based on pre-lottery odds is No. 9 (36.2% chance). However, if the Bulls' pick does not move up to the top four it gets conveyed to the Orlando Magic.

The player Orlando would take if the pick doesn't move up: Franz Wagner

Wagner's defensive versatility, feel for the game and fill-in-the-gaps style at 6-9 works well alongside Orlando's current pieces at the combo forward spot. The same could be said for Jalen Johnson. Should the Magic opt to take more of a swing for talent than positional fit, a shot creator like James Bouknight or a high-upside big like Kai Jones are intriguing.

-- Schmitz

Sacramento Kings | Average pick: 8.1

No. 1 pick odds: 4.5% | Top-four odds: 20.2%

The player they'd prioritize after Cunningham if they move up: Evan Mobley

The worst defensive team in the NBA according to several metrics, the Kings have little in the way of proven commodities at either big-man position, making Mobley an easy player to slot into their roster. His ability to cover ground seamlessly on the perimeter and protect the rim with phenomenal timing should allow him to grow into a defensive anchor eventually, and his occasional passivity can be masked on a team with plenty of offensive firepower.

The player they'd take if they stay where they are: Isaiah Jackson

While not in the same stratosphere as Mobley in terms of size or polish, Jackson offers some of the same defensive upside with the mobility and impressive quickness he shows getting off the ground to protect the rim. He has some budding skill he can tap into offensively and should emerge as a nice building block for a team that is willing to be patient with his development.

-- Givony

New Orleans Pelicans | Average pick: 8.7

No. 1 pick odds: 4.5% | Top-four odds: 20.2%

The player they'd prioritize after Cunningham if they move up: Evan Mobley

While an explosive scorer like Jalen Green or a two-way playmaker like Jalen Suggs have intrigue, Mobley might be the perfect big to fully unlock Zion Williamson's superstar potential. The Pelicans ranked in the bottom-three in the NBA in defensive field goal percentage inside of 6 feet, according to NBA.com. Mobley helps solve that problem with his stellar defensive range and shot-blocking instincts. Although he shot just 30% from 3 at USC, he projects as a floor spacer and is far more comfortable playing on the perimeter as a ball handler and passer than New Orleans' current centers, giving Zion room to do what he does best -- attack the rim. Mobley's big-to-big passing would come to life next to Williamson, and there would be less pressure on him to carry the scoring load with Zion and Brandon Ingram on the floor. A two-way combo forward like Jonathan Kuminga is also worthy of a look here.

The player they'd take if they stay where they are: Corey Kispert

With Zion and Ingram using most of New Orleans' possessions and the Pelicans likely aiming to make a playoff push next season, they're in need of a low-volume, efficient prospect who is ready to contribute from day one. Enter Kispert, the draft's best shooter (44% from 3, 88% from the free throw line) who plays a ball-moving style and has the size (6-7) and strength to play either forward spot in a pinch. Kispert is a plug-and-play starter in the Joe Harris mold.

-- Schmitz

Charlotte Hornets | Average pick: 10.4

No. 1 pick odds: 1.8% | Top-four odds: 8.5%

The player they'd prioritize after Cunningham if they move up: Evan Mobley

The Hornets' depth chart could surely benefit from the addition of a skilled, defensive anchor like Mobley to grow alongside their promising nucleus. Starting centers Cody Zeller and Bismack Biyombo are both entering free agency and the team's plethora of perimeter options would benefit from the addition of a 3-point shooting, lob-catching, rim-protecting big man like many hope Mobley can become.

The player they'd take if they stay where they are: Isaiah Jackson

Jackson's rim-running, lob-catching, and shot-blocking prowess would make him an ideal prospect to add alongside the likes of LaMelo Ball, P.J. Washington and Gordon Hayward. He's thin and foul-prone at the moment, but he has explosiveness, instincts and budding offensive prowess, attributes that are difficult to come by.

-- Givony

San Antonio Spurs | Average pick: 11.3

No. 1 pick odds: 1.7% | Top-four odds: 8.1%

The player they'd prioritize after Cunningham if they move up: Evan Mobley

With no shortage of young perimeter talent under contract in Dejounte Murray, Derrick White, Keldon Johnson and Devin Vassell, adding a big man who can connect the dots like Mobley would go a long way in diversifying San Antonio's young core. Mobley's feel for the game and Tim Duncan-like selflessness would likely resonate with coach Gregg Popovich. With that said, the Spurs are also in need of a true superstar, which opens the door for an explosive scorer like Jalen Green, who would fit really well next to Murray and Johnson.

The player they'd take if they stay where they are: Alperen Sengun

Given the organization's long pattern of success with international players, highly productive big man Sengun is a worthy target for a team with an 85% chance of landing the 12th pick and still in search of a franchise cornerstone up front. The 6-9 Sengun has the type of hands, touch and feel that the Spurs traditionally value in their bigs, and he holds far more shooting potential than he showed for Besiktas in Turkey last season.

-- Schmitz

Indiana Pacers | Average pick: 12.5

No. 1 pick odds: 1.0% | Top-four odds: 4.7%

The player they'd prioritize after Cunningham if they move up: Jalen Green

Adding the explosive open-court scoring prowess and shot-making of Green could give Indiana a highly dynamic backcourt alongside Malcolm Brogdon and Caris LeVert. Despite most of the Pacers' established players being in their mid-20s, Green's considerable upside warrants deviating from the timeline dictated by Indiana's core.

The player they'd take if they stay where they are: Josh Giddey

Small-forward sized, with the handle, playmaking and vision of a point guard, Giddey would be an interesting fit on Indiana's roster, allowing him to play behind and alongside the likes of Brogdon and LeVert. As one of the youngest prospects in the draft at 18 years old, he has plenty of upside to grow into as well, particularly as his thin frame fills out and his perimeter shooting evolves.

-- Givony

Golden State Warriors | Average pick: 13.7

No. 1 pick odds: 0.5% | Top-four odds: 2.4%

The player they'd prioritize after Cunningham if they move up: Jalen Green

For a team in search of more youth and explosiveness, look no further than Green, who has consistently been described as a Zach Lavine-Bradley Beal hybrid. Green is a blur running the floor in transition and is well-equipped to provide a much-needed scoring punch alongside Steph Curry, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green with his transition finishing, spot shooting and improved ball-handling ability.

While Green has a higher upside, Suggs is likely the most NBA-ready of the bunch, and would add value instantly with his defense, transition playmaking and intangibles. Mobley is an ideal big for the Warriors' system, but isn't a likely option after Golden State selected James Wiseman No. 2 overall in 2020.

The player they'd take if they stay where they are: Usman Garuba

Garuba is the type of NBA-ready defender who, given his Euroleague and ACB experience with Real Madrid, could help elevate the Warriors back into the Western Conference playoff hunt. Often earning Draymond Green comparisons during his ascension abroad, Garuba is one of the most versatile defenders in the draft with a relentless motor and the willingness to do all the little things on the court at either the 4 or the 5 (where he played a fair amount with Real Madrid). Although limited as a scorer, Garuba fits Golden State's small-ball style, and his ability to impact the game without needing much offensive volume would go over well with the Warriors' current roster.

-- Schmitz

Jonathan Givony is an NBA draft expert and the founder and co-owner of DraftExpress.com, a private scouting and analytics service utilized by NBA, NCAA and international teams.

Mike Schmitz is an NBA draft expert and a contributor to DraftExpress.com, a private scouting and analytics service utilized by NBA, NCAA and international teams.