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What are the best teams for the star PGs in the 2017 NBA draft?

What NBA teams would Lonzo Ball and Markelle Fultz fit best? Getty Images

The 2017 NBA draft is loaded with point guards, and that could have an impact on how teams approach the Feb. 23 trade deadline. Because most of the teams in need of an upgrade at point guard are likely to be in the lottery, there's a chance they'll be able to fill their need without having to trade.

To help understand the impact of the draft on the trade market for point guards such as Goran Dragic of the Miami Heat, Reggie Jackson of the Detroit Pistons, Elfrid Payton of the Orlando Magic and Ricky Rubio of the Minnesota Timberwolves, Chad Ford takes a look at seven teams' chances of drafting a point guard and who might fit best.

Then, Kevin Pelton considers what the Knicks, Bulls, Sixers and others might do if they don't draft a PG.


Chicago Bulls

Odds of a top-5 pick (via ESPN Basketball Power Index projections): 1.1 percent

Chances of drafting a PG: Very slim. We have five point guards projected in the lottery and all are likely to go in the top 10 picks in the draft. Given the current standings, I'm not sure the Bulls will be bad enough to get into the top 10, and they have only a tiny chance of landing in the top five. The other top point guards on our list -- Oklahoma State's Jawun Evans and Xavier's Edmond Sumner -- are ranked in the 20s on our Big Board.

Best PG fit: Shooting is paramount for the Bulls right now. I can't imagine them drafting a point guard who can't shoot, which rules out Kentucky's De'Aaron Fox. Washington's Markelle Fultz would be the best fit for them because of his combination of playmaking and shooting, but they would have to get a top-two pick to grab him. Very slim.

One dark horse for the Bulls is Iowa State's Monte Morris. Fred Hoiberg coached him, and sources say the Bulls' coach loves him. While Morris doesn't have a huge upside, he posts an incredible assist-to-turnover ratio every season and is shooting 40 percent from 3 as a senior. Morris is ranked in the 30s right now, but some teams, including the Bulls, have him ranked much higher. Of course, all of this assumes that Chicago's current front-office members and Hoiberg himself keep their jobs. That's a bigger question at the moment. -- Ford

If they don't draft a PG: The Bulls can clear about $30 million in cap space this summer by waiving Rajon Rondo and stretching the $3 million guaranteed portion of his 2017-18 salary, though that's contingent on renouncing the rights to free agents Michael Carter-Williams, Taj Gibson and Nikola Mirotic. (It also assumes Dwyane Wade picks up his player option.)

Chicago could bring back a couple of those players and try to deal for Jackson or Rubio. Or they could acknowledge that Wade and Jimmy Butler are their real point guards and try to add a floor spacer who can defend point guards instead. -- Pelton


Dallas Mavericks

Odds of a top-5 pick: 32.3 percent

Chances of drafting a PG: Pretty high. If they land in the top five, they can get one of at least three point guards. If they fall in the Nos. 6-10 range, then they should have a great shot at either Fox or France's Frank Ntilikina.

Best PG fit: Sources say the Mavs are very high on Ntilikina. They have some of the best international scouts in the business and think that he's getting lost in the shuffle because of the high-profile play of several college freshmen. Only Fultz and Lonzo Ball rank higher on their board.

Ntilikina is the real deal. He just guided France's under-18 team to a FIBA European championship. He scored 31 points in the title game against Lithuania and made 17 of his 29 3s in the tournament. He's big, aggressive and tough and he plays with a high basketball IQ. -- Ford

If they don't draft a PG: The Mavericks' cap situation will depend on what Dirk Nowitzki decides to do this summer. Dallas will likely turn down his $25 million team option, providing the opportunity to re-sign Nowitzki to a smaller salary, if he decides to return. That would enable the Mavericks to chase the top free agents likely to be on the market -- Jrue Holiday, George Hill and Jeff Teague.

Given coach Rick Carlisle's success with smaller, quick point guards such as J.J. Barea, Patty Mills of the San Antonio Spurs might be an interesting Plan B for Dallas. -- Pelton


Miami Heat

Odds of a top-5 pick: 32.9 percent

Chances of drafting a PG: They'll have a great shot at selecting a top point guard. The question is whether they'll hang onto Dragic and fill a need another way.

Best PG fit: I love UCLA's Ball for them. Ball is an elite playmaker with deep range. He's the type of point guard who makes everyone on the floor better. Given all the Heat's young players, I think having a dominant floor general such as Ball will help bring the entire team together and elevate the games of Justise Winslow, Hassan Whiteside and Tyler Johnson in the process. -- Ford

If they don't draft a PG: The Heat don't currently need a point guard, of course, not with Dragic on the roster. But Dragic will turn 31 in May and is not a long-term solution for a team that might be forced to rebuild.

Expect Miami to monitor the trade market for Dragic as teams strike out in the draft and free agency. -- Pelton

New York Knicks

Odds of a top-5 pick: 6.0 percent

Chances of drafting a PG: No offense to Derrick Rose or Brandon Jennings, but point guard would be New York's biggest need even if both weren't free agents this summer. The Knicks need an elite playmaker to pair with Kristaps Porzingis. The problem is, they are too good to land a top-5 pick and might not even crack the top 10.

Best PG fit: It's tough to say with so much in flux in New York. Is Phil Jackson going to keep his job? What about Jeff Hornacek? Realistically, the Knicks' two best options might be Fox and Ntilikina.

While I have concerns about Fox's shooting, he adds a sizzle that I think would be a great fit in New York. He's the fastest point guard in the draft, and he has the potential to be the best defensive point guard as well. His playmaking skills are top-notch. I think he would be the guy for the Knicks. -- Ford

If they don't draft a PG: The Knicks can clear about $20 million in cap space by renouncing Rose and Jennings, both unrestricted free agents. That would allow them to get into the bidding for Hill, Holiday and Teague. If those point guards land elsewhere, a trade might be New York's backup plan.

Rubio would be an enormous defensive upgrade and a capable pick-and-pop partner for Porzingis ... so the Knicks would probably trade for the older and more expensive Dragic instead. -- Pelton


Orlando Magic

Odds of a top-5 pick: 32.4 percent

Chances of drafting a PG: I'm an Elfrid Payton fan, but any of the top-5 point guards in this draft would be an upgrade. I don't think the goal in Orlando is to necessarily get younger. However, I think the Magic are still looking for a superstar. If they land any of the top three point guards, he'll have the highest ceiling of anyone on the team.

Best PG fit: I'd love to see Lonzo Ball serving up Aaron Gordon. That's what Gordon needs to take his game to the next level. Those two together would just be awesome. -- Ford

If they don't draft a PG: Everything's up for debate in Orlando, including who's making the decisions if Magic ownership is frustrated after what looks like another lottery season. If the mandate is win now, a trade for a veteran such as Dragic -- possibly giving up this year's first-round pick in return, as Orlando did for Serge Ibaka last summer -- is a likely option. -- Pelton


Philadelphia 76ers

Odds of a top-5 pick: 87.0 percent (not including potential pick swaps)

Chances of drafting a PG: Super high. Coach Brett Brown thinks that Ben Simmons is a point guard and plans to play him as such. But having other playmakers, especially ones who can space the floor, is also a high priority for the Sixers. And if they land the Lakers' pick (which they'll receive if L.A.'s selection falls outside the top three), that gives them a chance to draft both a point guard and a shooting guard.

Best PG fit: I'd love to see Fultz here. His versatile game seems like a perfect fit next to Simmons. He can be as effective off the ball as he is with it, and he would be able to share ballhandling duties with Simmons.

If the Sixers were able to somehow land both Fultz and Kentucky's Malik Monk for their backcourt, I think they'd have a potential championship contender down the road. -- Ford

If they don't draft a PG: Zach Lowe reported last week that the Sixers "will take a hard look at" bringing Holiday back to Philadelphia, where he started his career. Hill also would be an excellent fit alongside Simmons, though joining a lottery team might be a tough sell.

I like Mills as a lower-cost option who remains effective playing off the ball. -- Pelton


Sacramento Kings

Odds of a top-5 pick: 23.5 percent (not including potential pick swaps)

Chances of drafting a PG: High. The Kings have blown several opportunities to get a point guard. I don't think they'll blow it if they get another chance. The odds of them getting a top-three pick are slim -- the Sixers can swap picks with Sacramento if the Kings land in the top 10 with a higher pick than Philly -- so they're probably looking at NC State's Dennis Smith, Fox or Ntilikina.

Best PG fit: Smith might be the best talent available, but scouts are wringing their hands a bit at NC State's poor play and the fact that Smith can take plays off defensively. That's the last thing the Kings need right now.

Fox would add some defensive intensity and elite speed, but his shooting is a question mark. Vlade Divac isn't afraid to go international, and I think the Kings might be the main other team besides the Mavericks to give Ntilikina a shot high in the draft. -- Ford

If they don't draft a PG: The Kings should be able to create max-level cap space this summer by waiving Arron Afflalo, whose contract is just $1.5 million guaranteed through the day after the draft. Still, luring top free agents to a team that has gone more than a decade in the lottery will be challenging, and a trade might be Sacramento's best option. -- Pelton