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Is Juan Soto worth the price for Padres? Examining past deals for prospects to decide

Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images

In recent days, Nationals GM Mike Rizzo made one thing clear to teams interested in Juan Soto: If none of them meet his -- reportedly mountainous -- asking price, he'll keep the 23-year-old superstar. Today, we learned just how high, when the Padres sent LHP MacKenzie Gore, OF Robert Hassell III, SS C.J. Abrams, OF James Wood, RHP Jarlin Susana and one more major league player back to the Nationals in a trade for Soto and Bell.

But you wouldn't blame Rizzo for aiming high, because in baseball's superstar trades, the team that gets the elite player almost always wins the deal. And any team that lands Soto stands a good chance of having two and a half years -- or more -- of extraordinary production. The Nationals, meanwhile, will be hoping a group of prospects can collectively come close to matching the young slugger's production.

Soto's career adjusted OPS+, through his age-23 season, is 159. That's higher than Henry Aaron's at the same age, higher than Willie Mays', in the same ballpark but less than Mike Trout's or Ted Williams' -- a pretty good statistical neighborhood to inhabit.