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NFL expected touchdown (xTD) leaderboard for 2025

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Why Karabell has so much fantasy optimism for Emeka Egbuka (1:06)

Eric Karabell breaks down Emeka Egbuka's impressive fantasy performance in Week 1. (1:06)

What is xTD?

xTD stands for expected touchdowns. It is a statistic that weighs every carry/target and converts the data into one number that indicates a player's scoring opportunity. For example, if a player has an xTD of 3.0, it means that a statistically league-average player who saw the same number of carries/targets in the same area of the field would have scored three touchdowns.

xTD key

Looks = Carries + targets
TD = Actual TD total
xTD = Expected TD total
Diff = Difference between the player's total xTD and actual TD total
In5 = Carries by the player inside the opponent's 5-yard line
EZ = End zone targets