Check out all of our starting pitcher rankings and other lineup selection tools here to help you make smart fantasy baseball lineup decisions. MLB betting tips for each day's slate of games will also be added in the morning. MLB game odds are provided by ESPN BET
, and all fantasy advice is geared toward ESPN 10-team leagues with standard scoring.
Note: All information is accurate as of the time of publication. For updates, including what you might have missed from last night, as well as any breaking news that might impact today's MLB slate, be sure to check out the latest fantasy baseball news.
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Pitchers to stream on Tuesday
Over his last three starts spanning 16 2/3 innings, New York Mets LHP David Peterson fanned 16 with just one walk and no homers allowed. Next up is a home date against an Arizona Diamondbacks lineup that has struggled facing lefties over the first month, though they don't strike out much. Even so, Peterson tops the streamers working at pitcher-friendly Citi Field.
Fantasy baseball managers are often creatures of habit, with one impulse being to avoid the Houston Astros lineup. However, though one month, the Astros are the fifth-least productive unit with a right-hander on the hill. Detroit Tigers RHP Reese Olson is coming off a pair of scoreless outings, featuring 12 punchouts with just three free passes in 12 1/3 innings. Even in a road date at Daikin Park, Olson is one of the slate's top spot starters.
Pitchers to avoid on Tuesday
Miami Marlins RHP Sandy Alcantara is coming off his first quality start of the season, but he barely met the criteria, allowing three earned runs in six stanzas while ringing up only four batters. His fastball velocity is still 91st percentile, but it's down half a tick from before he underwent Tommy John surgery. Alcantara should improve as the season progresses, but there is no reason to trust him on the road against the Los Angeles Dodgers, whose offense is averaging the second-most runs scored per game in MLB over the past week.
Today's best matchups for pitchers
Seattle Mariners pitchers vs. Angels hitters
The average pitcher would post a 3.58 ERA in this matchup.
San Francisco Giants pitchers vs. Padres hitters
The average pitcher would post a 3.70 ERA in this matchup.
Los Angeles Dodgers pitchers vs. Marlins hitters
The average pitcher would post a 3.78 ERA in this matchup.
Today's worst matchups for pitchers
Colorado Rockies pitchers vs. Braves hitters
The average pitcher would post a 5.63 ERA in this matchup.
Miami Marlins pitchers vs. Dodgers hitters
The average pitcher would post a 5.36 ERA in this matchup.
Baltimore Orioles pitchers vs. Yankees hitters
The average pitcher would post a 5.27 ERA in this matchup.
Hitters to stream on Tuesday
One of the top destinations outside of Coors Field is Progressive Field, where the Cleveland Guardians face RHP Chris Paddack and the Minnesota Twins. Paddack could be pitching to keep his spot in the rotation. Over his first five starts, the righty sports a bloated 6.45 ERA and 1.61 WHIP, dampened via 13 walks and five homers yielded in only 22 1/3 innings. Lefty swingers Kyle Manzardo and Nolan Jones are the chief Guardians to target.
Hitters to avoid on Tuesday
It's far more common to target Philadelphia Phillies batters than avoid them, especially at home. However, Tuesday is an exception with LHP MacKenzie Gore and the Washington Nationals visiting the City of Brotherly Love. Not only has Gore fanned a major league-leading 53 hitters in 35 frames, but he also enjoys the platoon edge on Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber.
Today's best matchups for hitters
Colorado Rockies batters vs. Braves pitchers
SP: C | Bullpen: C | Park: A+ | Umpire: C | Temperature: D | Wind: A | Home
The average hitter would post a .359 wOBA in this matchup.
Atlanta Braves batters vs. Rockies pitchers
SP: C | Bullpen: D | Park: A+ | Umpire: C | Temperature: D | Wind: A | Away
The average hitter would post a .347 wOBA in this matchup.
Baltimore Orioles RHB vs. Yankees pitchers
SP: C | Bullpen: C | Park: B | Umpire: C | Temperature: B | Wind: A | Home
The average hitter would post a .341 wOBA in this matchup.
Today's worst matchups for hitters
San Diego Padres RHB vs. Giants pitchers
SP: F | Bullpen: F | Park: D | Temperature: D | Wind: C | Home
The average hitter would post a .259 wOBA in this matchup.
Athletics RHB vs. Rangers pitchers
SP: F | Bullpen: C | Park: D | Umpire: C | Temperature: C | Wind: C | Away
The average hitter would post a .263 wOBA in this matchup.
Los Angeles Angels RHB vs. Mariners pitchers
SP: D | Bullpen: C | Park: F | Temperature: D | Wind: D | Away
The average hitter would post a .265 wOBA in this matchup.
Betting tips
Best/worst pitcher/hitter matchups and betting projections are generated by THE BAT X, a system created by Derek Carty using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing, and lots more. Betting projections for every player, team, and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to wager $1.00 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Today's top home run prop bets
Ryan O'Hearn | OVER 0.5 HR (+1100)
Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a $62.00 EV
One reason to bet this: The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8 mph in this game, the second-best of the day for bats.
Adley Rutschman | OVER 0.5 HR (+800)
Projection: 16% chance of this bet hitting, with a $41.66 EV
One reason to bet this: The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8 mph in this game, the second-best of the day for bats.
Trent Grisham | OVER 0.5 HR (+525)
Projection: 22% chance of this bet hitting, with a $36.31 EV
One reason to bet this: Over the last two weeks, Grisham has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls to 30.3 degrees, compared to his overall seasonal mark of 21.8 degrees.
Today's top pitcher prop bets
Carlos Rodon | OVER 2.5 ER (+125)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $30.10 EV
One reason to bet this: A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature (81 degrees) of all games on the slate today.
Jacob Lopez | OVER 3.5 K (+110)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.61 EV
One reason to bet this: Globe Life Field profiles as the No. 9 stadium in MLB for strikeouts, via my projections.
Jacob deGrom | OVER 6.5 K (-110)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.42 EV
One reason to bet this: deGrom's 96-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 92nd percentile out of all starting pitchers.
Today's Top YRFI/NRFI Bets
Royals @ Rays | NRFI (-105)
Projection: 52% chance of NO RUN with a $2.42 EV
D-Backs @ Mets | NRFI (-110)
Projection: 53% chance of NO RUN with a $1.34 EV
Brewers @ White Sox | NRFI (-130)
Projection: 57% chance of NO RUN with a $0.85 EV