Fantasy baseball lineup advice and betting tips for Tuesday

Todd ZolaApr 22, 2025, 09:18 AM ET
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Check out all of our starting pitcher rankings and other lineup selection tools here to help you make smart fantasy baseball lineup decisions. MLB betting tips for each day's slate of games will also be added in the morning. MLB game odds are provided by ESPN BET, and all fantasy advice is geared toward ESPN 10-team leagues with standard scoring.

Note: All information is accurate as of the time of publication. For updates, including what you might have missed from last night, as well as any breaking news that might impact today's MLB slate, be sure to check out the latest fantasy baseball news.

Jump to: Pitching notes | Hitting notes | Betting tips
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STARTING PITCHERS FOR TUESDAY

Pitchers are ranked in order of their Forecaster/Daily Notes projected fantasy points (FPTS), using ESPN's standard scoring system (2 points per win, minus-2 per loss, 3 per inning, 1 per K, minus-1 apiece per hit or walk allowed, minus-2 per earned run allowed).

T: The pitcher's handedness. OPP: Opposing team. RST%: The pitcher's roster percentage in ESPN leagues. ML: ESPN BET Money Line. O/U: ESPN BET Over/Under for runs scored. For the projected stat line, W% is the team's win probability using ESPN projections, IP is innings pitched, ER is earned runs allowed and K is strikeouts.

If a team is planning on using an "opener" to start their game, but will rely on a "bulk pitcher" to follow him on the mound after 1-2 innings, the bulk pitcher is listed and indicated with an asterisk.

FPTS	Pitcher	T	Opp	Rst%	ML	O/U	W%	IP	ER	K
14.0	Cristopher Sanchez	L	@NYM	86.1%	-135	7.5	55%	6.0	1.8	5.8
13.1	Chris Bassitt	R	@HOU	81.4%	-105	8.5	55%	6.0	2.1	6.0
11.0	Bailey Ober	R	CWS	80.0%	-250	8.5	66%	5.4	2.4	5.7
10.4	Shota Imanaga	L	LAD	98.1%	EVEN	8.5	52%	5.9	2.8	5.5
10.1	Nick Pivetta	R	@DET	83.2%	-105	7.5	53%	5.3	2.6	5.9
9.9	Griffin Canning	R	PHI	4.9%	+115	7.5	45%	5.5	2.3	5.2
9.7	Ronel Blanco	R	TOR	31.0%	-115	8.5	45%	5.5	2.3	5.1
9.5	Jose Quintana	L	@SF	16.3%	+115	7.5	49%	5.7	2.5	4.6
9.4	Kris Bubic	L	COL	75.4%	-215	8.5	58%	5.9	3.2	5.8
9.0	Edward Cabrera	R	CIN	1.7%	+115	8.5	45%	4.9	2.1	5.5
8.9	Tanner Bibee	R	NYY	76.4%	EVEN	8.5	50%	5.4	2.8	5.6
8.9	Jack Flaherty	R	SD	89.4%	-115	7.5	47%	5.6	3.1	6.0
8.8	Nick Martinez	R	@MIA	23.6%	-135	8.5	55%	5.0	2.3	4.6
8.5	Jordan Hicks	R	MIL	9.9%	-135	7.5	51%	5.4	2.5	4.6
8.4	Brandon Pfaadt	R	TB	78.1%	-165	8.5	50%	5.4	2.9	5.2
8.4	Bryce Miller	R	@BOS	85.1%	+115	8.5	53%	5.3	2.9	5.2
8.3	Dean Kremer	R	@WSH	1.9%	-135	9.5	55%	5.5	2.9	4.9
8.2	Andre Pallante	R	@ATL	8.3%	+115	8.5	59%	5.3	2.6	4.5
8.1	Dustin May	R	@CHC	52.2%	-120	8.5	48%	4.8	2.1	4.4
7.9	Mitchell Parker	L	BAL	23.0%	+115	9.5	45%	5.2	2.7	4.9
7.9	Osvaldo Bido	R	TEX	3.6%	-150	10.5	53%	4.8	2.2	4.4
7.7	Zack Littell	R	@ARI	2.9%	+140	8.5	50%	5.2	2.8	4.6
7.4	Jose Soriano	R	PIT	27.8%	-185	8.5	54%	5.1	2.7	4.8
7.0	Davis Martin	R	@MIN	0.8%	+205	8.5	34%	5.1	2.7	4.6
6.8	Patrick Corbin	L	@ATH	1.4%	+125	10.5	47%	5.5	3.2	4.7
6.7	Brayan Bello	R	SEA	9.5%	-135	8.5	47%	5.4	3.4	5.2
5.8	Ryan Feltner	R	@KC	0.9%	+180	8.5	42%	5.1	3.1	4.1
5.6	Will Warren	R	@CLE	3.3%	-120	8.5	50%	4.5	2.6	4.2
4.4	Scott Blewett	R	STL	0.0%	-135	8.5	41%	3.6	2.0	3.1
4.0	Bailey Falter	L	@LAA	1.6%	+155	8.5	46%	4.6	3.1	3.7

Pitchers to stream on Tuesday

New York Mets RHP Griffin Canning has taken advantage of his chance to open the season in the rotation with a solid month, albeit with 10 walks in 21 innings, though he has fanned 21. Next up is a Philadelphia Phillies club struggling on the road and experiencing a steep park downgrade.
Early season stats can be misleading. Over three stats, Los Angeles Angels RHP Jose Soriano posted a 1.77 ERA and 1.18 WHIP, albeit with only 11 strikeouts in those 20⅓ frames. In his other outing, Soriano punched out nine in 5⅓ frames, but he also yielded five earned runs. Look for the righty to combine run prevention with strikeouts on Tuesday at home against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The visitors tote the third-lowest wOBA and fourth-worst strikeout rate into Angels Stadium.

Pitchers to avoid on Tuesday

Detroit Tigers RHP Jack Flaherty has started four games but has yet to complete six innings as a high 10.3% walk rate has driven up his pitch count. On Tuesday, he faces a very patient San Diego Padres lineup with a low strikeout rate. There is no need to take the risk so early in the fantasy week.

Today's best matchups for pitchers

Detroit Tigers pitchers vs. Padres hitters
The average pitcher would post a 3.40 ERA in this matchup.

Kansas City Royals pitchers vs. Rockies hitters
The average pitcher would post a 3.54 ERA in this matchup.

San Diego Padres pitchers vs. Tigers hitters
The average pitcher would post a 3.85 ERA in this matchup.

Today's worst matchups for pitchers

Chicago Cubs pitchers vs. Dodgers hitters
The average pitcher would post a 5.06 ERA in this matchup.

Los Angeles Dodgers pitchers vs. Cubs hitters
The average pitcher would post a 5.00 ERA in this matchup.

Seattle Mariners pitchers vs. Red Sox hitters
The average pitcher would post a 4.98 ERA in this matchup.

Hitters to stream on Tuesday

One solid home start against the Angels doesn't erase a 5.62 ERA and 1.53 WHIP since 2020. To his credit, Texas Rangers LHP Patrick Corbin has been a workhorse, but his numbers have not been fantasy-worthy since before the pandemic. The Athletics Athletics are powering home runs at the seventh-highest rate in the league. Jacob Wilson and Miguel Andujar both have some pop and will enjoy the platoon edge.

Today's best matchups for hitters

Today's worst matchups for hitters

Betting tips

Best/worst pitcher/hitter matchups and betting projections are generated by THE BAT X, a system created by Derek Carty using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and lots more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to wager $1.00 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.

Today's top HR prop bets

Cam Smith | OVER 0.5 HR (+1100)
Projection: 11% chance of this bet hitting, with a $27.92 EV
One reason to bet this: Smith has been hot recently, notching two HRs over the last week of games.

Jake Meyers | OVER 0.5 HR (+1100)
Projection: 10% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.28 EV
One reason to bet this: As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Meyers has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .287 rate falls considerably below my projection's expected wOBA of .323.

Yandy Diaz | OVER 0.5 HR (+800)
Projection: 13% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.46 EV
One reason to bet this: This season, Diaz has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.6 mph (compared to last year's 91.9 mph).

Today's top pitcher prop bets

Andre Pallante | UNDER 3.5 K (+125)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.51 EV
One reason to bet this: It is anticipated that we will see a "hitter's umpire" (Jordan Baker) calling pitches today.

Cristopher Sanchez | UNDER 5.5 K (+110)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.40 EV
One reason to bet this: Expected starting catcher J.T. Realmuto projects as a weak pitch framer.

Bailey Ober | UNDER 6.5 K (-140)
Projection: 63% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.70 EV
One reason to bet this: Ober has averaged 79.7 adjusted pitches per start this year, grading out only in the 14th percentile.

Today's top YRFI/NRFI bets

Dodgers @ Cubs | YRFI (-110)
Projection: 53% chance of RUN with a $2.33 EV