Welcome to Week 4. We have a few undefeated teams left, a few winless teams left and a whole bunch of 2-1 and 1-2 teams that ... might be good? I can't remember a September with more perceived parity in the NFL. Fun to watch, fun to break down -- hard to predict.
I have three key games to watch this week, with a game-level bet for each (side or total), as well as a prop for each -- and a few more lines and props I'm targeting that you'll find at the bottom of the page.
All odds current as of publication time and courtesy of ESPN BET.
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Week 3 recap | Bills-Ravens | Rams-Bears | Eagles-Buccaneers | Quick hits and SGP
Week 3 recap
A better week than Week 2, but still a bad week -- and far more frustrating. Kirk Cousins went over his passing total on the last completion of the game (after consecutive three-and-outs from the Chiefs to give him more opportunities), and Brock Bowers missed our parlay by four yards. We had a bounce-back week in sight, but it just broke wrong at the end.
It has been a wild betting year. Of the 12 underdogs of at least six points to start the season, seven have won outright. It's the second-worst start for the public in the past two decades. We should expect things to normalize over time. But still, painful to see.
Week 3: 4-7 (-2.68 units)
Overall: 11-20 (-7.38u)
Spread: 2-4 (-2.1u)
Total: 3-3 (-0.31u)
Props: 6-10 (-4.38u)
Same-game parlay: 0-3 (-0.6u)