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NFL playoff picture projections at midseason: Updated chances for all 32 teams

We're looking ahead to how the 14-team playoff picture could line up en route to Super Bowl LIX.

5hESPN

NFL

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NFL win rate metrics leaderboard: Who is the best statistical pass rusher? Top run blocking team?

Our win rate metrics stack the NFL's best run-blocking, run-stopping, pass-protecting and pass-rushing players and teams.

6hESPN Analytics

Top Headlines

NFL

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Which NFL teams are most, least analytics-advanced? We surveyed 22 staffers around the league

Do the Browns still lead the way in analytics? Which franchises have bought in, and which remain skeptical? We polled NFL teams on advanced data usage.

46dSeth Walder

NFL

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No, NFL analytics models don't always recommend going for it on fourth down: Here's the method

Do NFL analytics models always recommend going for it on fourth down? No. Here's how the decisions actually are made.

285dSeth Walder

NFL

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NFL pass-rushing, run-stopping, blocking leaderboard: Win rate rankings for 2023

Our win rate metics stack the NFL's best run-blocking, run-stopping, pass-protecting and pass-rushing players and teams.

301dESPN Analytics

NFL

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Updated NFL playoff picture: AFC, NFC seed projections after Week 17

We're looking ahead to how the 14-team playoff picture could line up en route to Super Bowl LVIII.

309dESPN staff

Packers

NFL

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Going for 2 down 8 points: Packers pull off come-from-behind win thanks to this strategy

The Packers profited from being the first team this season to try this unconventional 2-point conversion attempt. Here's why others should follow their lead.

1ySeth Walder

news - analytics

2023 NBA draft projections: Will Victor Wembanyama become an All-Star?

How do Victor Wembanyama's All-Star chances stack up to those of prior top draft picks?

1yChris Harden

NFL

NFL game management cheat sheet: Guide to fourth downs and 2-point conversions

Curious about a fourth-down or 2-point conversion decision? ESPN's recommendation model can help.

2ySeth Walder

NFL

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NFL pass-rushing, run-stopping, blocking leaderboard: Win rate rankings for 2022

Our win rate metics stack the best run-blocking, run-stopping, pass-protecting and pass-rushing players and teams in the game for the 2022 season.

2yESPN Analytics

Khalil Herbert gains 63 yards on a run against the Commanders.

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics2y ago

Darius Slayton gets open on a short route, makes a catch and takes it for a 24-yard gain against the Lions.

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics2y ago

NFL

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Which NFL teams are most, least analytics-advanced? We surveyed 21 team staffers

Which NFL team buys in to analytics the most? Which teams remain skeptical? And is momentum a thing? We surveyed team staffers from around the league for the inside word.

2ySeth Walder

NFL

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Checking in on the top 10 CB picks in the 2021 Draft as the nearest defender today, per NFL Next Gen Stats. Patrick Surtain: 1 reception allowed for -4 yards on 1 target over 28 coverage snaps. Jaycee Horn: 1 reception allowed for -1 yards on 1 target over 26 coverage snaps.

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics2y ago

NFL

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PJ Walker's touchdown pass to DJ Moore had an air distance of 67.6 yards -- the longest air distance completion in the Next Gen Stats era, since 2016.

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics2y ago

NFL

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The Chiefs won despite a massive error by Andy Reid punting on 4th-and-3 at the Raiders' 46 with 2:36 left, per ESPN's win probability model. Win probability had they gone for it: 78.3% Win probability by punting: 69.1%

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics2y ago

NFL

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Deebo Dots! Expected YAC: 1.0 yards Actual YAC: 51.7 yards Per NFL Next Gen Stats

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics2y ago

Eagles

NFL

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Haason Reddick pass rush win rate at edge Weeks 1-2: 4%, 58th/62 Weeks 3-4: 29%, T-6th/61 (ESPN / NFL Next Gen Stats)

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics2y ago

Steelers

NFL

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Steelers mixed up George Pickens' routes much more today. He had previously run an extreme rate of straight downfield routes. Go routes W1-3: 17% W4: 4% Deep fades W1-3: 23% W4: 13% Image is his route map today, on all routes. (ESPN / NGS)

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics2y ago

Zay Jones (7) open deep but untargeted in Week 1.

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics2y ago

NFL

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Big takeaways from ESPN's new pass-catcher stats: A.J. Brown is always open, Kendrick Bourne is underrated

Mark Andrews is elite, Kendrick Bourne is underused and Deebo Samuel's yards-after-catch production in 2021 nearly broke our new metrics.

2ySeth Walder