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Expert AFL tips, best tips for week three of finals

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Would an elimination final premier outdo Lions, Dogs feats? (1:46)

The Red Time team discusses whether a flag from outside the top four this season would be as memorable as Brisbane's 2024 run or the Bulldogs' fairytale in 2016. (1:46)

Who should you be tipping in the third week of AFL finals? Our footy experts have put their heads together to help you out. So open your ESPN Footytips app, take notes, and get ahead of the game!

The week kicks off with rivals Geelong taking on Hawthorn in a Friday night blockbuster at the MCG, before Collingwood host Brisbane at the same venue in a Saturday twilight contest.

Our experts share all of their wisdom with you to help guide your tipping.


EXPERT TIPS:

Jake Michaels

Season total: 154

Certainty and why: The Magpies looked so professional in their qualifying final win over the Crows. I think they'll find a way once more.

Upset and why: The Hawks were my team at the beginning of the season, and while we've had some ups and downs, I can't abandon them now.

Tips for the week:

Geelong vs. Hawthorn
Collingwood vs. Brisbane


Matt Walsh

Season total: 145

Certainty and why: I think the Cats are primed for this prelim

Upset and why: I would pick the Lions for muy upset if I had to. If thye can play on their terms, they'll give it a shake. But I think the Pies will win.

Tips for the week:

Geelong vs. Hawthorn
Collingwood vs. Brisbane


Jarryd Barca

Season total: 156

Certainty and why: These are both genuine 50-50s but Geelong is the best team in it. As much as I'm loving the way the Hawks are playing, I have to stick with the Cats.

Upset and why: I tipped a Geelong-Brisbane grand final before the finals started so I can't go against my word, even though it wouldn't shock me to see the Pies not only win but win well...

Tips for the week:

Geelong vs. Hawthorn
Collingwood vs. Brisbane


Christian Joly (Champion Data)

Season total: 153

Certainty and why: Geelong has probably been the best team all season and deserve a spot in the Grand Final.

Upset and why: A real toss of the coin battle, but despite their week 1 finals loss, the Lions' end of season form has been stronger than Collingwood's.

Tips for the week:

Geelong vs. Hawthorn
Collingwood vs. Brisbane