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NCAA women's tournament predictor: Charlie Creme picks every line of the bracket

By its nature, Bracketology is a long, painstaking process grounded in the details, some quite minute. Each one thought about once, twice, perhaps 10 times before I can be satisfied the formula has been followed. But that's putting the bracket together. Picking the winners is essentially taking the bracket apart. That kind of work needs to be done quickly. The analysis of an entire season of college basketball has already been done, so deciding the winner of all 67 games is all about first instincts. Go with your gut.

From the days of making my own brackets on my parents' living room floor with a pencil, a ruler and construction paper, to today plugging in my winners on ESPN, it has always been about making a quick decision and sticking to it. So that is what I have done here. These are my picks for the entire tournament, from the First Four to the championship game -- and I made them as soon as the bracket was announced. No long looks. No extra analysis. I dove right in and didn't look back to construct my true Instant Bracket.


First Four

ALBANY 1 REGION

No. 16 Sacred Heart 68, No. 16 Presbyterian 61

ALBANY 2 REGION

No. 16 UT Martin 52, No. 16 Holy Cross 50

PORTLAND 3 REGION

No. 12 Vanderbilt 54, No. 12 Columbia 46

No. 11 Arizona 58, No. 11 Auburn 54

Albany 1

FIRST ROUND PICKS

No. 1 South Carolina 102, No. 16 Sacred Heart 51

No. 8 North Carolina 64, No. 9 Michigan State 68


No. 5 Oklahoma 82, No. 12 Florida Gulf Coast 80

No. 4 Indiana 67, No. 13 Fairfield 58


No. 6 Nebraska 72, No. 11 Texas A&M 68

No. 3 Oregon State 77, No. 14 Eastern Washington 52


No. 7 Ole Miss 68, No. 10 Marquette 44

No. 2 Notre Dame 89, No. 15 Kent State 60


SECOND ROUND PICKS

No. 1 South Carolina 89, No. 9 Michigan State 62

No. 5 Oklahoma 88, No. No. 4 Indiana 84


No. 3 Oregon State 68, No. 6 Nebraska 61

No. 7 Ole Miss 57, No. 2 Notre Dame 55


SWEET 16 PICKS

No. 1 South Carolina 94, No. 5 Oklahoma 68


No. 7 Ole Miss 65, No. 3 Oregon State 64


ELITE EIGHT PICK

No. 1 South Carolina 79, No. 7 Ole Miss 62

REGION ANALYSIS: South Carolina is the team to beat in this entire tournament and also has the easiest path of any No. 1 seed. The Gamecocks earned it as the lone unbeaten in Division I college basketball. Don't expect much resistance for South Carolina until the Final Four. SEC compatriot Ole Miss might be the seed outside the top four to make a run. The Rebels have length, experience and a physical defense.


Albany 2

FIRST ROUND PICKS

No. 1 Iowa 112, No. 16 UT Martin 68

No. 8 Princeton 74, No. 9 West Virginia 71


No. 12 Drake 69, No. 5 Colorado 65

No. 4 Kansas State 62, No. 13 Portland 50


No. 6 Louisville 65, No. 11 Middle Tennessee 60

No. 3 LSU 91, No. 14 Rice 52


No. 10 UNLV 74, No. 7 Creighton 72

No. 2 UCLA 67, No. 15 California Baptist 59


SECOND ROUND PICKS

No. 1 Iowa 84, No. 9 Princeton 77

No. 4 Kansas State 72, No. 12 Drake 69


No. 3 LSU 84, No. 6 Louisville 72

No. 2 UCLA 69, No. 10 UNLV 52


SWEET 16 PICKS

No. 1 Iowa 92, No. 4 Kansas State 80


No. 2 UCLA 74, No. 3 LSU 73


ELITE EIGHT PICK

No. 2 UCLA 80, No. 1 Iowa 78

REGION ANALYSIS: Iowa has potential matchups with teams it can put up points against. Caitlin Clark should not disappoint during the Hawkeyes' run. An LSU-UCLA meeting in the regional semifinals could wear down both teams and give Iowa an opening to make the Final Four again. However, for a long stretch earlier in the season, the Bruins were the country's second-best team. They can be a Final Four team if they find that level again. With Lauren Betts, the Bruins present the kind of size that often gives Iowa trouble. And UCLA guards Kiki Rice and Charisma Osborne are outstanding defenders who will make Clark's life difficult. This region also sports two of the best mid-majors in the field: UNLV and Middle Tennessee. The Lady Rebels are probably underseeded at No. 10 and could beat a lower seed to advance out of the first round.


Portland 3

FIRST ROUND PICKS

No. 1 USC 80, No. 16 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 50

No. 8 Kansas 73, No. 9 Michigan 68


No. 5 Baylor 69, No. 12 Vanderbilt 57

No. 4 Virginia Tech 72, No. 13 Marshall 68


No. 11 Arizona 62, No. 6 Syracuse 61

No. 3 UConn 72, No. 14 Jackson State 41


No. 7 Duke 66, No. 10 Richmond 48

No. 2 Ohio State 88, No. 15 Maine 51


SECOND ROUND PICKS

No. 1 USC 71, No. 8 Kansas 57

No. 5 Baylor 81, No. 4 Virginia Tech 67


No. 3 UConn 78, No. 11 Arizona 52

No. 2 Ohio State 68, No. 7 Duke 61


SWEET 16 PICKS

No. 1 USC 72, No. 5 Baylor 65


No. 3 UConn 80, No. 2 Ohio State 69


ELITE EIGHT PICK

No. 3 UConn 78, No. 1 USC 74

REGION ANALYSIS: The early storyline to follow in this region is the availability of Virginia Tech's Elizabeth Kitley. Based on how the Hokies played in the ACC tournament without her, with a lopsided loss to Notre Dame, don't pick them to go far if Kitley can't play. Marshall could be a first-round upset pick. I think Virginia Tech will just escape there, but it won't survive Round 2 against Baylor. Arizona just snuck into the field in the First Four, but the Wildcats could win two games with the way they were playing down the stretch. Celeste Taylor played at Duke last year. This year she's at Ohio State. The Blue Devils and Buckeyes are on a path to meet in the second round. If UConn gains revenge for last year's Sweet 16 loss to Ohio State, a USC-UConn regional final would pit JuJu Watkins and Paige Bueckers on the same court. Whichever player performs best in that game will get her team to the Final Four.


Portland 4

FIRST ROUND PICKS

No. 1 Texas 78, No. 16 Drexel 42

No. 9 Florida State 72, No. 8 Alabama 70


No. 5 Utah 68, No. 12 South Dakota State 52

No. 4 Gonzaga 74, No. 13 UC Irvine 55


No. 6 Tennessee 68, No. 11 Green Bay 52

No. 3 NC State 84, No. 14 Chattanooga 52


No. 7 Iowa State 64, No. 10 Maryland 58

No. 2 Stanford 92, No. 15 Norfolk State 51


SECOND ROUND PICKS

No. 1 Texas 78, No. 9 Florida State 67

No. 4 Gonzaga 80, No. 5 Utah 76


No. 6 Tennessee 71, No. 3 NC State 70

No. 2 Stanford 88, No. 7 Iowa State 75


SWEET 16 PICKS

No. 1 Texas 65, No. 4 Gonzaga 58


No. 2 Stanford 84, No. 6 Tennessee 76


ELITE EIGHT PICK

No. 2 Stanford 69, No. 1 Texas 68

REGION ANALYSIS: Look for Stanford to score plenty against Norfolk State and then Iowa State. After a tough finish to the regular season and Pac-12 tournament for the Cardinal, these matchups should help them get their footing. Texas was rewarded with the final No. 1 seed and it would be most appropriate if the Longhorns met Stanford for the right to go to the Final Four. Gonzaga was given the right to host despite losing in the WCC title game and should take advantage. The Zags beat Stanford earlier in the season and are good enough to beat another Pac-12 opponent in Utah. Tennessee is the most intriguing team in this region. No one played South Carolina better than the Lady Vols, and this could be a national showcase for Rickea Jackson, a probable top-5 WNBA pick next month. If Stanford does get tripped up, Tennessee, with a big game from Jackson, is the team to do it.


Final Four (Cleveland)

FINAL FOUR

No. 1 (Albany 1) South Carolina 80, No. 2 (Portland 4) Stanford 70


No. 2 (Albany 2) UCLA 79, No. 3 (Portland 3) UConn 77


NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP

No. 1 South Carolina 82, No. 2 UCLA 72

ANALYSIS: South Carolina vs. Stanford would pit the two schools who met in the 2021 national semifinal game -- the Cardinal won that by one. UConn vs. UCLA would be a rematch of a game played in November in the Cayman Islands. The Bruins won that game by 11 and controlled it throughout. Go with UCLA to win a second time, but the Gamecocks will be too deep for Stanford. Cameron Brink still has a tendency to get into foul trouble. If that happens here, Stanford will have trouble staying in the game. Hannah Jump's 3-point shooting would be desperately needed by Stanford, and she may have trouble shaking loose of the likes of Raven Johnson, Te-Hina Paopao and Bree Hall.

UConn will be playing this NCAA tournament with almost no bench. The Huskies, as good as Paige Bueckers and Aaliyah Edwards are, will eventually run out of gas. Just as Rice and Osborne will challenge Clark in the regionals, they can do that same thing to Bueckers. She did score 31 points in the earlier meeting, but was only 9-for-23 from the field, and UConn had no one else to turn to. Betts bothered Edwards enough to hold her to a season-low five points.