Editor's Note (Feb. 22): This mock draft has been updated after the Nets, Lakers, Kings, Blazers and Magic acquired 2017 first-round picks at the trade deadline. It includes a new projected draft order with new selections for multiple teams.
We're halfway through the NBA season and moving toward the end of the college basketball regular season, which means it's time for the third full mock for the 2017 NBA draft.
It's our best stab at a full first-round mock draft -- assuming every eligible prospect who has yet to state his intentions on the draft declares -- after taking into account team needs and conversations with NBA scouts and general managers.
We'll be using ESPN's Basketball Power Index (BPI) to project the order.
1. Boston Celtics (via Nets)*
Markelle Fultz
Washington
Freshman
Guard
Celtics president Danny Ainge was in Seattle recently, watching Fultz go head-to-head with UCLA's Lonzo Ball and USC's De'Anthony Melton. Fultz was good but not spectacular in both games, but blame much of that on a lackluster roster at Washington.
The Celtics don't really need a point guard -- they passed on Kris Dunn last year because of how loaded they are at the position -- but I don't think that will stop Boston from drafting Fultz.
Fultz has the size and natural scoring ability to play either the 1 or the 2. And his 3-point shooting should be especially appealing to the Celtics. In the two games Ainge watched, Fultz was 9-for-18 from 3.
Odds of winning lottery (if Brooklyn finishes with the worst record): 25 percent (Boston owns the rights to swap picks with Brooklyn.)
Projected record (Nets): 16-66
2. Phoenix Suns
Lonzo Ball
UCLA
Freshman
Guard
The Suns are loaded with point guards, but I don't think that will stop them from drafting Ball.
Eric Bledsoe and Brandon Knight are expendable. Ball's ceiling is higher than both combined.
His elite passing ability combined with his unselfishness gives him the potential to make everyone on this young, up-and-coming roster better. Pair him with Devin Booker, Marquese Chriss and Dragan Bender, and the Suns have a very appealing and fun team on the horizon.
Odds of winning lottery: 19.9 percent
Projected record: 26-56
3. Los Angeles Lakers*
Josh Jackson
Kansas
Freshman
Forward
The Lakers currently have a 46.8 percent chance of landing a top-three pick in the draft, according to BPI. If they don't land in the top three, the Sixers will get the pick.
Jackson has been on fire lately for Kansas and is making a strong case for the No. 1 pick, as well. The Lakers have added some offensive firepower with young players such as Brandon Ingram, D'Angelo Russell and Julius Randle. Jackson gives them a player who excels defensively, brings a ferocious winning mentality and has the versatility to let coach Luke Walton use him in the same way the Warriors have used Andre Iguodala.
While Fultz and Ball might be a little more appealing, what Jackson would add to the culture of this team shouldn't be discounted.
Odds of winning lottery: 15.6 percent (Sixers get the Lakers' pick if it falls outside the top three)
Projected record: 28-54
4. Philadelphia 76ers
Malik Monk
Kentucky
Freshman
Guard
Falling to No. 4, paired with the Lakers moving up to No. 3, is a bit of a worst-case scenario for the Sixers when it comes to the draft lottery. But this draft is so loaded, it won't stop them from landing another major building block. (Sacramento's potential to slide without DeMarcus Cousins also helps Philly's lottery odds).
Monk makes a lot of sense for the Sixers. Ben Simmons can play the point, so what they need is a dynamic scorer and shooter to pair with him. Monk is the most electric scorer to come into the draft in some time. He can be streaky, but when he gets going he's difficult to stop. He should be able to instantly transform the Sixers' offense.
Odds of winning lottery: 11.9 percent
Projected record: 29-53
5. Orlando Magic
Dennis Smith
NC State
Freshman
Guard
The Magic are a mess and could end up in a major front-office and roster overhaul this summer. That makes it a bit difficult to project the team's needs.
There are several good options on the board for Orlando here, but Smith seems like a solid fit. Elfrid Payton is up and down, and even when he's on, it wouldn't prohibit the Magic from grabbing Smith. Smith's elite athleticism and dynamic scoring ability should give the Magic some real offensive punch in their backcourt.
Odds of winning lottery: 8.8 percent
Projected record: 30-52
6. Minnesota Timberwolves
Jonathan Isaac
FSU
Freshman
Forward
Based on pure upside and talent, Isaac might be a better overall prospect than Brandon Ingram. He just needs to add a lot of strength.
The Wolves might feel as if they have enough young players and can't afford to be patient. But Isaac is worth the wait. Either way, getting another shooting big would be a nice fit for the Wolves -- if Tom Thibodeau can handle another player on the roster who doesn't play great defense.
Odds of winning lottery: 6.3 percent
Projected record: 32-50
7. Sacramento Kings (via Pelicans)*
Jayson Tatum
Duke
Freshman
Forward
The Kings received this pick (top-three protected) from the Pelicans along with Buddy Hield, Tyreke Evans and Langston Galloway in the DeMarcus Cousins trade on Sunday night.
While the Kings love Hield, something we reported
Tatum probably has the most raw talent of the players left on the board. He's a prototypical 3 in the NBA. If he can ever get his 3-point shot to fall with regularity, he'd be a steal this late in the draft. Rudy Gay is out with an Achilles injury and has a player-option this summer, so Tatum should be a nice fit in what's now considered a major rebuild.
Odds of winning lottery: 4.3 percent
Projected record (Pelicans): 33-49 (Sacramento will get New Orleans' pick if it falls outside the top three.)
8. New York Knicks
Frank Ntilikina
France
Age: 18
Guard
Derrick Rose and Brandon Jennings are free agents this summer. At some point, the Knicks are going to have to transition from Carmelo Anthony's team to Kristaps Porzingis' team.
Ntilikina is probably underrated right now. If he were in the NCAA, I think he'd be a few spots higher in our Big Board rankings. The Knicks need to think about the future, and Ntilikina can help them get there if they're a little patient.
Odds of winning lottery: 2.8 percent
Projected record: 34-48
9. Dallas Mavericks*
Lauri Markkanen
Arizona
Freshman
Forward
The Mavs are about ready to hit a full reset. Dirk Nowitzki, 38, is aging along with much of the rest of the roster. Harrison Barnes seems like the only true building block for the future (and, no, I'm not on the Yogi Ferrell future Hall of Famer bandwagon yet). That gives the Mavs a lot of flexibility when it comes to the draft.
Markkanen has slowly moved himself closer to Tier 2 alongside Jackson, Monk, Smith, Isaac and Tatum. A versatile 7-footer, he is shooting a crazy 47 percent from 3 on nearly five attempts per game.
A few scouts have made comparisons to Nowitzki. That seems a bit hyperbolic to me. There are some similarities there, especially with Markkanen's shooting ability for his height, but a Ryan Anderson comp might be more fitting.
Odds of winning lottery: 1.7 percent
Projected record: 34-48 (Philly will get this pick if it falls outside the top 18.)
10. Sacramento Kings*
De'Aaron Fox
Kentucky
Freshman
Guard
Drafting a young point guard has been a need for years. Luckily, there is still one on the board for Sacramento.
The depth of the draft remains ridiculous. Fox is having a terrific season for the Wildcats and might be the fastest player in the draft, yet he can barely crack the top 10.
He doesn't give the Kings the shooting they need, but he's a major prospect in every other area.
Odds of winning lottery: 1.1 percent (If the Kings move ahead of Philadelphia in the lottery and are in the top 10, they swap spots with the Sixers. If Sacramento's pick falls outside the top 10, it will go to Chicago.)
Projected record: 34-48
11. Miami Heat
Harry Giles
Duke
Freshman
Forward
Giles remains the trickiest prospect in the draft to evaluate. He's playing anywhere from seven to 18 minutes a game. When he plays 14 minutes or more, good things seem to happen in flashes. But overall, he still doesn't look like the Giles we saw in high school. It will be hard for teams to draft him over some of the less talented but less risky players above him.
I don't think the Heat (or Wolves, for that matter) should pass on him, though. His upside is as high as anyone's in the draft. He's shaking off a lot of rust right now, but when he gets fully healthy, he has superstar potential.
If the Heat can grab him here, they'll be thrilled. His work ethic and toughness fit Miami's culture perfectly. In a year or two, this pick could be the steal of the draft.
Odds of winning lottery: 0.8 percent
Projected record: 36-46
12. Portland Trail Blazers
Miles Bridges
Michigan State
Freshman
Forward
Bridges' hot start has cooled a bit thanks to injuries and a tough season for the Spartans. He remains an appealing prospect who could be a nice long-term fit in Portland.
He's versatile and super athletic and has proved he can hit college 3s at a 40 percent clip. He's still turnover prone, but it's often because he's asked to do too much. Put him around young guards Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum, and I think he'll thrive.
Odds of winning lottery: 0.7 percent
Projected record: 36-46
13. Milwaukee Bucks
Justin Patton
Creighton
Freshman
Center
Patton has been on a meteoric rise and is the highest-rated center on our Big Board. The Bucks just dumped Miles Plumlee and have been looking to move Greg Monroe for a year.
Although Patton isn't the type of player who will come in and dominate right away for the Bucks, he's the long-term building block they've been looking for in the middle. He has tremendous upside and seems to be just scratching the surface on what he can do.
Odds of winning lottery: 0.6 percent
Projected record: 37-45
14. Charlotte Hornets
Robert Williams
Texas A&M
Freshman
Forward
Williams is raw, but his athleticism and defensive potential are off the charts.
The Hornets really don't have anyone on the roster who fits that mold anymore.
Odds of winning lottery: 0.5 percent
Projected record: 38-44
15. Denver Nuggets
T.J. Leaf
UCLA
Freshman
Forward
Leaf is one of the most gifted scorers in college basketball. He has the full arsenal of skills on the offensive end of the court. Defensively, however, he's a bit of a liability, and that causes him to slide just a bit down the draft board.
The Nuggets lack elite athletes in the frontcourt, so this might not be a perfect fit. However, his offensive skills are so strong that I think he'd still make a convincing case.
Projected record: 38-44
16. Chicago Bulls
Jarrett Allen
Texas
Freshman
Center
The Bulls are a mess, and the rumblings that there could be major changes to the front office and team this summer appear well-founded. Trying to discern what's next for them, given the team chaos, is difficult.
Allen is a project, but an intriguing one. His defense is ahead of his offense right now, but over the course of the past few weeks he has been making major offensive strides as well.
He seems to be coming on at the right time and could be a nice backup to Robin Lopez for the next year or two while he adds strength and experience.
Projected record: 39-43
17. Detroit Pistons
Terrance Ferguson
Australia
Age: 19
Guard
Ferguson's stint in Australia has been solid. He's not shooting the ball particularly well, but he has picked up valuable experience and teams like his long-term upside as a shooter. The Pistons could use depth behind Kentavious Caldwell-Pope at the 2.
Projected record: 40-42
18. Indiana Pacers
Ivan Rabb
Cal
Sophomore
Forward
The Pacers don't have a lot of real depth behind Thaddeus Young at the 4. Rabb has probably moved from overrated to underrated this season.
While scouts are infatuated with the freshmen, Rabb is quietly averaging a double-double and has had 12 or more rebounds in eight of his past 11 games. He's still figuring things out and needs to add strength, but he's a phenomenal talent this late in the draft.
Projected record: 41-41
19. Oklahoma City Thunder
OG Anunoby
Indiana
Sophomore
Forward
Anunoby underwent knee surgery and will miss the remainder of the season. NBA teams are still trying to discern the exact nature of the injury and what his rehab timetable will be.
Regardless, most teams still see him as a potential top-20 pick, even if he can't play his rookie season in the NBA. His combination of raw strength, power and the ability to stretch the floor make him an elite 3-and-D-type prospect. The Thunder have been searching for a long-term wing solution. If they're patient, Anunoby should deliver.
Projected record: 45-37
20. Atlanta Hawks
John Collins
Wake Forest
Sophomore
Forward
The Hawks' entire crop of power forwards is set to enter free agency this summer. Collins ranks second in the NCAA in player efficiency rating (PER).
He's crazy efficient around the basket, a great athlete and a very good defender. He might be the most underrated player on the board. I won't be surprised if he moves up significantly before the draft.
Projected record: 45-37
21. Brooklyn Nets (via Wizards)*
Zach Collins
Gonzaga
Freshman
Center
The Nets get this pick from the Wizards in the deal that sent Bojan Bogdanovic to Washington.
Brook Lopez has patrolled the paint for years, but, like most of Brooklyn's veterans, he is now expendable. Collins looks like a strong long-term replacement.
He can be a modern 5 who stretches the floor and protects the rim. He has been one of the most efficient players in college basketball and ranks fourth in the NCAA in PER. He might be a steal this low in the draft.
Projected record (Wizards): 47-35 (Brooklyn will get Washington's pick if it falls outside the lottery.)
22. Portland Trail Blazers (via Grizzlies)*
Rodions Kurucs
Latvia
Age: 19
Forward
The Blazers picked up this Memphis pick from the Nuggets in the Mason Plumlee-for-Jusuf Nurkic swap.
Kurucs is starting to get more playing time in Spain and has made the most of it, averaging 15 PPG in his past five games. He's a project, but, with three first-round picks, the Blazers can afford to stash him overseas and wait for him to develop.
Projected record (Grizzlies): 48-34 (Portland will get Memphis' first-round pick -- through a trade with Denver -- if it falls outside the top five.)
23. Utah Jazz
Isaiah Hartenstein
Germany
Age: 18
Forward
The Jazz don't have any real needs right now, which gives them flexibility to either take a project or to find a player who can fit into the rotation some way.
While Hartenstein might be the least ready of the 4s we've ranked, there is a high ceiling with him. There aren't many 7-footers with his combination of athleticism, elite skill level and motor. He can be volatile, but he should be worth a gamble at this stage of the draft.
Projected record: 49-33
24. Toronto Raptors*
Ike Anigbogu
UCLA
Freshman
Center
This is the type of player Toronto GM Masai Ujiri loves: underrated and a little raw but with athleticism and toughness that should translate to the NBA.
Anigbogu doesn't play a huge role for UCLA, but his athleticism and shot-blocking have turned a lot of heads.
Projected record: 50-32 (Toronto will get the better pick between its own selection and the Clippers'.)
25. Orlando Magic (via Raptors)*
Tyler Lydon
Syracuse
Sophomore
Forward
The Magic picked up this selection in the Serge Ibaka trade.
Lydon has some similarities with Ibaka -- his two best attributes are his 3-point shooting and ability to attack the rim.
His lack of strength (a problem Ibaka did not have) is what lowers him a bit on our board.
Projected record (Clippers): 51-31 (Toronto has the rights to its own first-rounder as well as the Clippers'. The Raptors will keep the better of the two picks and send the worse one to Orlando.)
26. Brooklyn Nets (via Celtics)*
Andrew Jones
Texas
Freshman
Guard
There are a lot of scouts who feel like Jones is a major sleeper.
He's an elite athlete, plays above the rim and has shown the ability to knock down the 3. He's really come along in Big 12 play. The Nets need to continue to swing for the fences with these late draft picks and hope they strike gold. Jones is a good bet down this low.
Projected record (Celtics): 53-29
27. Portland Trail Blazers (via Cavaliers)*
Kostja Mushidi
Belgium
Age: 18
Guard
This is the third first-rounder for the Blazers, and I wouldn't be surprised if they went international.
Mushidi is a raw prospect who needs to improve his shooting, but his athleticism and scoring talent make him an attractive option. He averaged 14.7 PPG for Germany in the FIBA Under-18 European Championships.
His 8-for-42 shooting from 3 is the big reason he isn't higher on our board.
Projected record (Cavaliers): 56-26 (Portland owns Cleveland's first-round pick.)
28. Los Angeles Lakers (via Rockets)*
Donovan Mitchell
Louisville
Sophomore
Guard
The Lakers picked up this first-rounder from Houston in the Lou Williams deal.
Mitchell is having a strong sophomore season. He's one of the most athletic players in the draft and is emerging as a shooter. He's a bit of a tweener, but he gives the Lakers a long-term replacement for Williams.
Projected record (Rockets): 57-25 (The Lakers own the Rockets' first-round pick.)
29. San Antonio Spurs
Josh Hart
Villanova
Senior
Guard
Hart just feels like a Spurs player: solid, no ego and can hurt you in a number of ways, such as hitting 3s and getting to the basket.
The Spurs have Danny Green to do a lot of that, but with Manu Ginobili potentially in his last season, Hart could be a nice fit.
Projected record: 62-20
30. Utah Jazz (via Warriors)*
Luke Kennard
Duke
Sophomore
Guard
Elite shooting will always be a long-term need, and Kennard has a claim to being the best shooter in the draft.
Projected record (Warriors): 69-13 (Utah owns Golden State's first-round pick.)
BPI projected records current as of Feb. 14.