Draft day is here, with teams gathering in Secaucus, New Jersey, on Monday night for Rounds 1 and 2. Rounds 3 through 10 will be staged Tuesday, while Rounds 11 to 40 are slated for Wednesday.
I feel pretty good about my information through the midpoint of the first round, and after that, my confidence level decreases hyperbolically. I'll update this on Monday if I hear anything concrete enough to make me change any of these picks.
Full coverage of the 2019 MLB draft can be found here.
More coverage from Keith Law:
Top 100 | Mock draft 1.0 | Mock draft 2.0
1. Baltimore Orioles: Adley Rutschman, C, Oregon State
There's still a chance the Orioles will take Andrew Vaughn (and try to make him a third baseman), or even go for Bobby Witt Jr., but the industry is betting that they don't pass on the consensus No. 1 prospect in the class.
2. Kansas City Royals: Bobby Witt Jr., SS, Colleyville (Texas) Heritage HS
The only question is whether the Royals might switch to Rutschman if Vaughn goes No. 1. Otherwise, this appears to be a lock. They're not taking Vaughn.
3. Chicago White Sox: Andrew Vaughn, 1B, Cal
They could take C.J. Abrams -- but that seems less likely than it did a week ago -- or even J.J. Bleday. If Vaughn goes No. 1 and Witt No. 2, they would take Rutschman. Fun fact: The last time the White Sox picked in the top 10 and took a high school player was 1985, when they selected Kurt Brown fifth overall ... one pick ahead of Barry Bonds.
4. Miami Marlins: J.J. Bleday, OF, Vanderbilt
I think the Marlins would take Bleday even if Vaughn were here. Rutschman might be the only name that could change their minds.
5. Detroit Tigers: Riley Greene, OF, Hagerty HS (Oviedo, Florida)
If Vaughn gets here, they take him. There is some small chance they could pass on Greene for Nick Lodolo, but I doubt it.
6. San Diego Padres: C.J. Abrams, SS, Blessed Trinity HS (Roswell, Georgia)
If Greene gets here, they take him. There have been a slew of rumors the last week about Abrams slipping, but I think if the top five go chalk, the Padres are taking Abrams.
7. Cincinnati Reds: Nick Lodolo, LHP, TCU
If Lodolo goes at No. 5, they could take Shea Langeliers or George Kirby.
8. Texas Rangers: Alek Manoah, RHP, West Virginia
They've explored some under-slot deals, but I think they've coalesced around Manoah in the past week, after earlier seeming less interested.
4:58 p.m. update: They could also consider Josh Jung or even Kody Hoese, which would have to be well under slot.
9. Atlanta Braves: Corbin Carroll, OF, Lakeside HS (Seattle)
Carroll and Langeliers are the leading contenders here, assuming that Manoah is gone; I do think they'd take Manoah over them. They seem to have cooled on Hunter Bishop and Jackson Rutledge.
10. San Francisco Giants: Josh Jung, 3B, Texas Tech
Sounds like it's mostly college bats here, such as Jung, Bryson Stott, Hunter Bishop and maybe even Michael Busch.
4:58 pm. update: They seem to be out on Bishop, but are one possible landing spot if Abrams slides.
11. Toronto Blue Jays: Jackson Rutledge, RHP, San Jacinto College
Probably a college arm here, counting Rutledge as one, although I hear mixed things on whether they would take Manoah. If Rutledge doesn't go here, he could really slide.
12. New York Mets: Zack Thompson, LHP, Kentucky
College player for sure, and Thompson's name has popped up with the Mets a few times in the past week, even over Kirby.
13. Minnesota Twins: Bryson Stott, SS, UNLV
I've also heard the Twins a lot with Langeliers. Keoni Cavaco worked out for them last week, but I think that would be a well-under-slot deal, and Cavaco doesn't need to take that.
12:05 p.m. update: They're also considering Will Wilson.
14. Philadelphia Phillies: Shea Langeliers, C, Baylor
5 p.m. update: Hunter Bishop to Langeliers. They're out on Bishop, my pick from the first iteration of this mock. Still could go in multiple directions, including Baty, Will Wilson, Gunnar Henderson or Carroll/Abrams if either slides.
15. Los Angeles Angels: Keoni Cavaco, 3B, Eastlake HS (Chula Vista, California)
I hear them on big upside plays, of which Cavaco would be one, as would some of the better prep arms such as Malone or Matt Allan.
16. Arizona Diamondbacks: Brett Baty, 3B, Lake Travis HS (Austin, Texas)
Arizona is linked to everybody because it has four picks in the top 34, so the Diamondbacks have been heavily scouting everyone but the top few names. I think they go for broke with the first two picks, knowing they could lose someone they like to a team such as the Dodgers.
5 p.m. update: I could see them taking Bishop as well, given the local tie and the sheer value of getting a player who was seen as a top-10 talent a month ago.
17. Washington Nationals: Matt Allan, RHP, Seminole HS (Sanford, Florida)
They could be in on Kirby or Langeliers, as well, but Allan's name keeps coming up with them.
18. Pittsburgh Pirates: Will Wilson, SS, NC State
5 p.m. update: Switched from Shea Langeliers, to Wilson. I still think they'd take Langeliers if he gets here.
6:45 p.m. update: I'm hearing they're more likely to take a high school arm here.
19. St. Louis Cardinals: Hunter Bishop, OF, Arizona State
5 p.m. update: Switched from Will Wilson to Bishop. Strictly opportunistic; there wasn't much expectation Bishop would get to this point, but the same could be said of Nolan Gorman from last year, whom the Cardinals took at pick 19.
20. Seattle Mariners: George Kirby, RHP, Elon
This is the floor for a handful of guys such as Carroll, Langeliers and probably Wilson -- or the Mariners could roll the dice on more upside with Kam Misner.
21. Atlanta Braves: Quinn Priester, RHP, Cary-Grove (Illinois) HS
I really think the Braves go pitcher here, more likely prep, even if they end up with an arm at No. 9 (which I don't have in this mock).
22. Tampa Bay Rays: Matthew Lugo, SS, Carlos Beltran Baseball Academy (Florida, Puerto Rico)
They'll be opportunistic, hoping someone falls to them, like Matthew Liberatore did last year.
23. Colorado Rockies: Michael Busch, 1B, North Carolina
To be honest, I've heard more about them being off specific players than on anyone. Like, a lot.
24. Cleveland Indians: Maurice Hampton, OF, Memphis University HS
I have heard this rumor for a month now, although that probably makes it seem more like a lock than it actually is. I've also heard the Indians with prep shortstop Kyren Paris, who might go in the comp round if he doesn't go here or with Tampa.
25. Los Angeles Dodgers: Gunnar Henderson, SS, Morgan Academy (Selma, Alabama)
This might be Henderson's floor, either here or pick 26, although there are teams below this spot who would like to take him.
26. Arizona Diamondbacks: J.J. Goss, RHP, Cypress Ranch HS (Houston)
They've been attached to every prep arm, of course, but if they go this course here, look for them to try to save money with an under-slot guy at pick 33 and/or 34.
27. Chicago Cubs: Logan Davidson, SS, Clemson
I've heard them with some college arms that might be modest reaches at this pick, but in a weak pitching draft, it might make more sense.
12:05 p.m. update: Braden Shewmake is a possibility here too.
28. Milwaukee Brewers: Kam Misner, OF, Missouri
The Brewers might be Lugo's floor. I heard them being in on Baty earlier this month, and they're a dark horse for Paris.
29. Oakland Athletics: Greg Jones, SS, UNC-Wilmington
They're also in on Baty, Davidson, Wilson, Goss and Kody Hoese.
30. New York Yankees: Ryan Jensen, RHP Fresno State
12:05 p.m. update: Switched from Kody Hoese to Jensen. They've been linked to Lugo, Henderson, Kirby, Kody Hoese and Rece Hinds. There also has been a rumor that Jack Leiter would only sign with the Yankees or Mets.
31. Los Angeles Dodgers: Kody Hoese, 3B, Tulane
12:05 p.m. update: Switched from Brennan Malone to Hoese. Going with Hoese, who is the oldest player in this mock but nearly led Division 1 in homers this year, would free up money for the Dodgers to go over slot with another pick.
32. Houston Astros: Seth Johnson, RHP, Campbell
It seems like the industry expects Houston to take a college guy here, perhaps someone like Johnson or Louisville's Logan Wyatt, who seems like a perfect guy to take with the intention of reworking his swing to tap into his power.