Welcome to the Week 8 Fantasy Football Playbook!
This will be your guide to the week's slate of NFL games, featuring score projections, over/unders, win probabilities and, of course, easily digestible fantasy advice for season-long and DFS leagues. This guide should help you with all sorts of decision-making, including sit/start decisions, last-minute waiver adds and lineup choices.
The advice is centered on 12-team PPR leagues with relatively standard scoring and lineup settings (1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 Flex, 1 K, 1 D/ST), although I'll often mention "shallow" or "deep" leagues for some starters. The charts show all players who have been projected for at least 6.0 fantasy points this week, as well as all D/STs. "Matchup" is automatically determined using a proprietary metric that factors in raw and volume-adjusted fantasy points allowed to each position by the opposing defense this season.
(Editor's note: Projections and rankings will align almost perfectly, but sometimes when a projection is close, a player might be ranked slightly higher or lower because of other factors, including upside or risk. This column is subject to possible updates during the weekend, although at the very minimum, rankings will be updated on the site and projections will always be updated inside the game leading up to kickoff.)
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Denver Broncos @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Lineup locks: Travis Etienne Jr., Courtland Sutton
Russell Wilson (hamstring) missed Week 7, and although he's expected back this week, he won't be a strong fantasy starter in London. The struggling quarterback has managed only one weekly finish better than 14th this season. Only one quarterback has scored more than 11.5 fantasy points against Denver this season, and that was Geno Smith (17.2), way back in Week 1. In fact, every single opposing QB and WR unit has scored below its season average when facing Denver.
Trevor Lawrence has four top-12 fantasy outings this season, but he belongs on benches in this matchup.
Etienne (career-high 18.9 fantasy points last week and 100-plus scrimmage yards in three straight games) is officially a weekly lineup lock after the Jaguars traded James Robinson to the Jets.
With Mike Boone now on IR, Melvin Gordon III (11 carries, four targets on 39 snaps in Week 7) and Latavius Murray (eight carries, three targets on 28 snaps) figure to share nearly all of the backfield work this week. This is a good matchup (the Jaguars have allowed 130-plus RB yards in four straight games), but the shared workload in a low-scoring offense limits the duo to flex territory. Gordon is the preferred fantasy option of the two.
Christian Kirk rebounded with a 101-yard effort in Week 7 and he's handling a strong 23% target share. Lawrence's top target remains in the WR3 mix, even against a Denver defense that has allowed the second-fewest WR yards and fantasy points, as well as the lowest WR yards per target (5.8) and only one receiving score. Zay Jones has seen eight-plus targets in four of his six games, but he's best left on benches in what will be one of his toughest matchups of the season (and the same goes for Marvin Jones Jr.).
Jerry Jeudy turned a season-high 11 targets into 96 yards last week, which helped him to his third top-20 fantasy outing. Jeudy is a solid WR3.
Greg Dulcich has played on 65% of snaps since making his NFL debut in Week 6. He posted a 6-51-0 receiving line on nine targets last week and appears to be locked in as the team's No. 3 pass-catcher. Dulcich is a fringe TE1.
Evan Engram has seen six-plus targets in three straight games, having cleared 65 yards in two of those outings. On the other hand, he's yet to find the end zone or reach 13.0 fantasy points in any game. Engram is a midrange TE2.
Over/Under: 33.7 (15th highest in Week 8)
Win Probability: Jaguars 55% (11th highest in Week 8)
Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons
Lineup locks: DJ Moore
Marcus Mariota hasn't eclipsed 150 passing yards in a game since Week 3, as Atlanta has leaned on an extremely run-heavy offense, even when trailing big. Mariota's legs have allowed him a trio of top-10 fantasy showings this season, but the lack of passing volume crushes his upside. He's best left on benches.
Tyler Allgeier handled a career-high 16 carries and found the end zone for the first time in Week 7, but he has been targeted only twice in six games and has yet to reach 11.5 fantasy points in any game. He's a low-ceiling flex.
In Carolina's first game post-Christian McCaffrey, D'Onta Foreman (15 carries, 10 routes and 2 targets on 27 snaps) held a slight edge in usage over Chuba Hubbard (9 carries, 8 routes and 3 targets on 23 snaps), although Hubbard was leading the way prior to missing the fourth quarter with an ankle injury. This is clearly a two-player committee that will also include a sprinkle of UDFA Raheem Blackshear (five snaps). Hubbard is the better flex.
Moore is back to lineup lock status after finally posting his first top-25 fantasy outing of 2022 last week. Moore has now seen seven-plus targets in four straight games and his 27% target share is the eighth-highest rate among wide receivers. He has an elite matchup against a Falcons defense that has allowed the most WR receptions, touchdowns and fantasy points. Atlanta will be without top corners Casey Hayward and A.J. Terrell.
The Falcons called for 19 passes and 26 runs, even as they trailed the Bengals by multiple scores throughout Sunday's loss. This helps explain why Drake London was limited to only one target despite an ideal game script. London hasn't cleared 40 yards or scored a touchdown in any game since Week 3. This offense has derailed his rookie season and pushed him down to flex territory, despite a massive 31% target share.
Kyle Pitts (25% target share) is dealing with the same circumstances, which have limited him to no more than 25 yards in five out of six games. Pitts is a low-floor, fringe TE1.
Over/Under: 39.4 (9th highest)
Win Probability: Falcons 66% (6th highest)
Chicago Bears @ Dallas Cowboys
Lineup locks: Tony Pollard, CeeDee Lamb
Dak Prescott returned from injury in Week 7's blowout of Detroit and threw for 207 yards and a score on only 25 attempts. Prescott is no more than a borderline starter this week against a Bears defense that doesn't get thrown on much (second-fewest passing attempts, yards, and touchdowns allowed).
Justin Fields has now reeled off three straight top-12 fantasy outings, but (A) he has done nearly all of the damage with his legs, and (B) all seven QB and RB units that have faced Dallas this season have scored below their season average. Fields, who has seven touchdowns in as many games this season, is best left on benches.
Ezekiel Elliott (knee) would normally be a lineup lock after consecutive 12th-place fantasy finishes, but he appears likely to miss this game. Pollard (11.1 touches per game) is a flex option when Elliott is active, but he's an RB1/lineup lock when Elliott is out. The last time Elliott was sidelined (Week 15 in 2020), Pollard played on 90% of the snaps and piled up 132 yards and a pair of scores on 18 touches. Fire him up against a Chicago defense that sits in the top eight in terms of the most RB yards, touchdowns and fantasy points allowed.
David Montgomery has managed 15-plus touches and produced 50-plus yards in all five full games this season, but he played on a season-low 56% of the snaps last week with Khalil Herbert nipping at his heels. Still, Montgomery remains the lead back for Chicago and is a fringe flex, whereas Herbert should be on benches against a Dallas defense that has allowed the second-fewest RB fantasy points.
Darnell Mooney's 29% target and 43% air-yard shares are both up from 2021, but he has still yet to find the end zone or reach 14 fantasy points in any game. He does, however, have 50-plus yards in four straight outings, which places him on the WR3/flex radar.
Better days are surely ahead for Michael Gallup, but he's tough to trust right now after a zero-catch effort in Week 7, not to mention that he has yet to eclipse 45 yards in any game this season.
After totaling a mere 18 yards on eight targets while Prescott was out, Dalton Schultz rebounded with a 5-49-0 receiving line on five targets in Week 7. Schultz is back on the TE1 radar moving forward.
Over/Under: 37.1 (13th highest)
Win Probability: Cowboys 86% (2nd highest)
Miami Dolphins @ Detroit Lions
Lineup locks: Tua Tagovailoa, Raheem Mostert, D'Andre Swift, Tyreek Hill, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jaylen Waddle, T.J. Hockenson
Tagovailoa finds his way to lineup lock status this week against a Detroit defense that has allowed the fourth-most QB fantasy points. Tagovailoa has 14-plus fantasy points and 260-plus passing yards in three out of his four full games, with the exception coming against an elite Buffalo defense.
Miami has allowed the fifth-most QB fantasy points, but most of that damage was done by Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen earlier this season. Jared Goff, meanwhile, hasn't thrown a passing score since Week 4 and remains a nonfactor with his legs (27 yards). Goff is an underwhelming streaming option.
Mostert has seen 15-plus touches in four straight games and produced 80-plus yards in three of those outings. Lock him in against a Detroit team that sits among the three worst RB defenses in terms of yards, touchdowns and fantasy points, with most of that damage coming on the ground. In fact, Detroit has allowed 21-plus fantasy points to every opposing RB unit it has faced this season.
We're starting Swift if he's back from injury this week. However, if not, Jamaal Williams becomes a lineup lock. Williams has also had 15-plus touches in four straight games and produced 80-plus yards in three of those outings.
Mike Gesicki exploded for a 6-69-2 receiving line on nine targets with Durham Smythe out in Week 6, and while he plummeted to a 3-27-0 line with Smythe back in Week 7, he still saw a respectable seven targets in the game. Gesicki is a fringe TE1 against a Detroit defense that has allowed the fifth-most TE fantasy points (along with four touchdowns) this season.
Over/Under: 48.7 (2nd highest)
Win Probability: Dolphins 61% (8th highest)
Arizona Cardinals @ Minnesota Vikings
Lineup locks: Kyler Murray, Dalvin Cook, Justin Jefferson, DeAndre Hopkins, Zach Ertz
Kirk Cousins has yet to register more than two touchdowns in any game this season, but he's delivered a solid fantasy floor with four top-12 outings. He's a fine streaming option.
James Conner (ribs) has missed two straight games and has struggled to stay on the field this season. He has averaged 13.6 touches and 60.6 yards per game when active, though, which keeps him in the RB2 discussion. If Conner remains out, Eno Benjamin becomes a lineup lock. Benjamin has had 32 touches for 178 yards and a score with Conner out for the last two weeks.
Adam Thielen has seen seven-plus targets in five straight games, and two of those outings resulted in 15-plus fantasy points. He's a WR3.
Rondale Moore ran a team-high 29 routes (out of a possible 32) in Week 7, but he primarily played on the boundary and was limited to two targets. His role change makes him a riskier flex option. Robbie Anderson figures to play more this week, but he was limited to just one target on 11 snaps in his Arizona debut and belongs on benches for now.
Irv Smith Jr. hasn't cleared five targets in a game since Week 2 and he hasn't reached 45 yards in any game this season. He's a TD-dependent TE2 in a good matchup against an Arizona defense that has allowed the second-most TE fantasy points.
Over/Under: 43 (6th highest)
Win Probability: Vikings 70% (5th highest)
Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints
Lineup locks: Josh Jacobs, Alvin Kamara, Davante Adams, Chris Olave
Derek Carr has yet to eclipse either two touchdowns or 19.8 fantasy points in any single game this season, but he has still managed a trio of top-10 fantasy outings. He's a streaming option this week against a Saints defense that has allowed the most QB fantasy points over expected this season.
Andy Dalton isn't the most trustworthy fantasy option, but only three quarterbacks scored more points in Week 7. Keep this in mind when considering him as a streamer: Every single quarterback who has faced Las Vegas this season has finished top eight in QB fantasy points for the week.
Michael Thomas hasn't played since Week 3, and Jarvis Landry has been out since Week 4. Landry shouldn't be near lineups regardless, but Thomas would be tough to bench if he's active after having scoring three touchdowns in as many games to open 2022. Of course, he has remained out of practice (just like Landry) and is unlikely to play this week. Replacements Tre'Quan Smith and Marquez Callaway are not recommended flex options.
Hunter Renfrow has fallen behind Mack Hollins on the depth chart and has been held under 60 yards in every game this season (with no trips to the end zone as of yet). Both Renfrow and Hollins have seen seven targets during the Raiders' last two games -- and both belong on benches.
Darren Waller was the TE12 in fantasy points during his four healthy games this season, but he's dicey for Week 8 with a hamstring injury that cost him most of Week 5 and all of Week 7. With Waller out last week, Foster Moreau played on 96% of snaps, but was held to 28 yards on four targets. The Saints have yet to allow any tight end to reach 8.0 fantasy points in a game this season, so Moreau belongs on waivers/benches regardless of Waller's status.
Juwan Johnson caught two TD passes in Week 7, but the big game marked his first top-18 fantasy outing of the season. He's not an ideal start -- even with Adam Trautman, Thomas and Landry all doubtful. We can't completely discount Taysom Hill's 34.1-point effort in Week 5, but he's averaging just 7.9 points in his other five games, which would rank 19th at tight end. He's a TD-dependent TE2.
Over/Under: 49 (Highest)
Win Probability: Saints 52% (15th highest)
New England Patriots @ New York Jets
Lineup locks: Rhamondre Stevenson
Breece Hall (torn ACL) is done for the season after having posted the sixth-most RB fantasy points through seven weeks. He'll be replaced by a combination of Michael Carter, who was already handling 12.3 touches per game, and the newly-acquired Robinson. A two-player committee/hot hand approach is the likely deployment here, and Carter's passing-game chops figure to five him a slight edge from a fantasy standpoint. Robinson figures to be limited (if he's even active) in his Jets debut this week, which helps secure Carter as a RB2 option. Robinson should be on benches for now but has flex appeal down the road.
Damien Harris returned from injury Monday night, but he was limited to just four touches on eight snaps. It certainly appears that Stevenson has taken hold of lead-back duties, so Harris is no more than a TD-dependent flex (with more value in non-PPR formats).
Jakobi Meyers was trending toward the WR1 discussion, but he has now seen only six targets over his last two games after having managed at least six in each of his prior seven games. The dip in target share is a concern, though he has still scored a touchdown in two of his last three games. Meyers is best viewed as a WR3 this week against a Jets defense that hasn't been as good against slot receivers as it has been versus those on the perimeter. (Meyers is in the slot 70% of the time.)
Garrett Wilson has produced one top-50 fantasy outing this season, and he hasn't cleared six targets in a game since Week 3. Elijah Moore is expected back from last week's benching, but he has yet to reach double-digit fantasy points in any game this season. Corey Davis (MCL sprain) is looking doubtful for this week, but he's been held to just 90 yards on seven targets over his last two games and can't be trusted as a fantasy starter even if he is active.
Patriots' perimeter WRs DeVante Parker (60-plus yards in consecutive games, but over 10.5 fantasy points just once this season) and Tyquan Thornton (five targets in two straight games) can't be counted on as flex options, especially against D.J. Reed and Sauce Gardner.
Over/Under: 38.2 (10th highest)
Win Probability: Jets 47% (17th highest)
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Philadelphia Eagles
Lineup locks: Jalen Hurts, Miles Sanders, A.J. Brown, Pat Freiermuth, Dallas Goedert
Najee Harris, who matched a season-high with 20 touches last week, has survived an extremely tough stretch of defenses and is more secure as a RB2 this week against an Eagles defense that has allowed 4.8 RB yards per carry (eighth highest) and six touchdowns (sixth) this season.
DeVonta Smith is a borderline lineup lock, having produced 15-plus fantasy points in four of his last five games. He and Brown both have elite matchups this week against a Pittsburgh defense that has allowed the most WR yards and the second-most fantasy points this season.
On the other hand, Pittsburgh's wide receivers have an extremely hard matchup against a Philadelphia defense that has surrendered the second-fewest WR fantasy points over expected this season. The Eagles have allowed the ninth-fewest WR receiving yards despite facing the third-most targets, thanks to a 5.9 yards per target (second lowest) and 54% catch rate (lowest). Diontae Johnson has yet to produce any top-20 fantasy outings this season and is best viewed as a WR3 this week. Chase Claypool (one top-40 fantasy outing this season, but seven-plus targets in three straight) and George Pickens (six-plus targets in five straight with 14-plus fantasy points in three of those games) are flex options, at best.
Over/Under: 41.1 (7th highest)
Win Probability: Eagles 85% (3rd highest)
Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans
Lineup locks: Derrick Henry, Dameon Pierce
Brandin Cooks' target total has fallen from 12 in Week 1 to 10 in Week 2, to seven in Weeks 3 and 4, to six in Week 5 and now to a season-low five in Week 7. Regardless of target volume, Cooks has struggled in fantasy, producing double-digit points only twice. The lack of production and dip in usage have reduced Cooks to WR3 status, though he gets a big boost this week against a Titans defense that has allowed the third-most WR yards and fantasy points, as well as the highest yards per target (9.6) and nine TD receptions.
Robert Woods has yet to produce a top-25 fantasy outing this season. He's a tough sell as a WR3 against a Houston defense that has allowed just two TD catches to wide receivers this season.
Over/Under: 37.4 (12th highest)
Win Probability: Titans 54% (12th highest)
Washington Commanders @ Indianapolis Colts
Lineup locks: Jonathan Taylor, Michael Pittman Jr., Terry McLaurin
Brian Robinson Jr. remained the Commanders' top back in Week 7, having handled 20 carries and a pair of targets on 34 snaps. Antonio Gibson played a larger role with 10 carries and four targets on 28 snaps, which left J.D. McKissic with only a single carry and a pair of targets on 12 snaps. Robinson has handled 17-plus touches in his last two games, and while the minimal receiving work will limit his upside, he's the top flex option from the committee. Gibson found the end zone in Week 7, but he has a total of only 27 touches in the three games since Robinson's return and can't be trusted as a fantasy starter.
We're sticking with Pittman has a lineup lock even with Matt Ryan out and Sam Ehlinger in at quarterback, but it's a situation to monitor. Parris Campbell has produced 11-plus targets, one touchdown and at least 18 fantasy points in consecutive games, but he's a candidate to take a step back with the scrambling Ehlinger now under center. Consider Campbell to be a risky flex, whereas rookie Alec Pierce (four targets last week) belongs on benches.
The same uncertainty with regards to lock status is there for McLaurin, with Taylor Heinicke now under center for Washington and the wideout facing probable Stephon Gilmore shadow coverage. Curtis Samuel will see a lot of Kenny Moore II in the slot this week, but Washington drew up five running plays for him in Week 7, and the versatile receiver now has eight-plus touches in four out of seven games this season. He's a flex.
Over/Under: 34.1 (14th highest)
Win Probability: Colts 57% (10th highest)
San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams
Lineup locks: Christian McCaffrey, Cooper Kupp, Deebo Samuel, Tyler Higbee, George Kittle
Matthew Stafford returns from the bye week having produced only one weekly fantasy finish better than QB20 this season. The 49ers defense has allowed 24-plus QB fantasy points in consecutive games, but Stafford is tough to trust after witnessing his poor early-season production.
McCaffrey was limited to just eight carries and a pair of targets on 21 snaps (29%) in his 49ers debut last week. He's a strong bet for a much larger workload this week, which cements him as a lineup lock and sends Jeff Wilson Jr. (seven carries, one target on 22 snaps last week) to the bench. That's especially the case against a Rams defense that has allowed the fewest RB fantasy points and only two RB touchdowns this season.
With Cam Akers out of the picture in Week 6, Darrell Henderson Jr. handled 12 carries and four targets on 44 snaps. He held a pretty clear edge over Malcolm Brown (seven carries and one target on 16 snaps) and rookie Ronnie Rivers (three snaps). Henderson is best viewed as a fringe RB2 this week against a 49ers defense that has allowed the third-fewest RB fantasy points, the second-fewest yards and the second-lowest yards per carry (3.4) this season. In fact, only two backs have even cleared 11.3 fantasy points against them this season.
Brandon Aiyuk has produced 11 targets and 80-plus yards in consecutive games, but his volume may take a hit with McCaffrey's role likely to expand. Aiyuk, who posted a 4-37-0 receiving line in the Week 4 meeting with Los Angeles, is a WR3, although he'll leap to the WR2 discussion if Samuel (hamstring) is out.
Allen Robinson II has seen either five or six targets in five consecutive games and remains no more than a TD-dependent deep-league flex, especially with Van Jefferson expected back this week.
Over/Under: 38.1 (11th highest)
Win Probability: Rams 54% (13th highest)
New York Giants @ Seattle Seahawks
Lineup locks: Saquon Barkley, Kenneth Walker III, DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett
Daniel Jones has shown a solid floor with 12-plus fantasy points in all seven games this season and he reached a season-high with 28.8 points in Week 7. Jones hasn't added much with his arm (sitting outside the top 20 in both yards and TD passes), but he's making up for it with his legs (top three in QB rushing yards and scores), the latter of which included a 100-yard rushing effort last week. Jones is a starting option this week against a Seattle defense that has allowed 14-plus QB fantasy points in six out of seven games.
Geno Smith has fallen shy of 14 fantasy points in two straight games, but has thrown two-plus passing touchdowns in five out of seven games this season. Fantasy's QB7 is a back-end starter against a Giants defense that hasn't allowed anyone to reach 20 QB fantasy points this season.
Metcalf (knee) is questionable for this week, and if he sits, Marquise Goodwin will get a boost in value. Goodwin found the end zone twice in Week 7, but keep in mind that he was only targeted five times and has now reached the five-target mark in just two of his last 29 games tracing back to the beginning the 2019 season. Still, Goodwin would be a risky flex even if Metcalf is out.
Wan'Dale Robinson played on a career-high 67% of the snaps and posted a 6-50-0 receiving line on eight targets in Week 7. The second-round rookie figures to be the team's No. 1 WR moving forward and is on the flex radar against a Seattle defense that has allowed the sixth-fewest WR fantasy points.
Over/Under: 47.2 (3rd highest)
Win Probability: Giants 59% (9th highest)
Green Bay Packers @ Buffalo Bills
Lineup locks: Josh Allen, Devin Singletary, Aaron Jones, Stefon Diggs
Aaron Rodgers currently ranks as QB15 in terms of fantasy points, which is actually impressive when you consider that he has zero weekly finishes better than 12th. Rodgers has tossed exactly two TD passes in five of his last six games, but his ceiling is low as is and he especially can't be trusted this week against a Buffalo defense that has allowed the third-fewest QB fantasy points and only five passing touchdowns this season. (Patrick Mahomes is the only quarterback who has reached 14 points against Buffalo this season.)
AJ Dillon has been held to six or fewer touches in two of his last three games and hasn't reached double-digit fantasy points since Week 1. He shouldn't be close to lineups against a Buffalo defense that has allowed a league-low 3.2 YPC to running backs.
Allen Lazard has emerged as Rodgers' clear No. 1 target (seven-plus targets in four straight games and at least one score in 11 of his last 16 outings), but he'll miss this week because of a shoulder injury. Romeo Doubs was held without a catch on four targets in Week 7, and the rookie has now been held below 30 yards in three straight games. He's only a palatable WR3/flex with Lazard out and the same applies (albeit to a lesser extent) to Sammy Watkins, who figures to now play an every-down role.
Gabe Davis has yet to clear six targets in any game this season, but has found the end zone four times in five games thanks to Buffalo's elite offense. The Packers haven't faced much pass volume this season (second-fewest WR targets), but they've allowed a league-high 71% catch rate to wideouts and Davis could benefit if Jaire Alexander shadows Diggs. Consider Davis to be a WR3.
Robert Tonyan predictably plummeted back to earth with just 32 yards on four targets in Week 7 after his random 12-target, 90-yard effort in Week 6. Tonyan isn't a great streamer against a Bills defense yet to allow any TE touchdowns this season.
In Week 6, Dawson Knox scored for the first time in 2022, but he's yet to clear 41 yards in any game and belongs on benches.
Over/Under: 39.6 (8th highest)
Win Probability: Bills 89% (Highest)
Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns
Lineup locks: Joe Burrow, Joe Mixon, Nick Chubb, Tee Higgins, Amari Cooper
Kareem Hunt found the end zone in Week 7, but he was limited to a sad eight yards on just six touches in the game, which brings him to 20 yards on 10 touches during his last two outings. Hunt's snap share hasn't changed much from earlier this season, but he's not getting enough touches to be considered for a flex spot, especially against a Bengals defense that has allowed the fourth-fewest RB fantasy points, third-fewest yards and only four touchdowns this season.
Tyler Boyd had one of his best fantasy outings ever last week (8-155-1) and he has been a top-20 fantasy wideout this season with Higgins and Ja'Marr Chase both appearing in every game. With Chase now out for a month or so, Boyd is suddenly in the WR2 mix and arguably a lineup lock.
Donovan Peoples-Jones has contributed four-plus catches and 50-plus yards in four straight games, but he hasn't scored a touchdown since Week 9 of last season. He's a weak flex against a Cincinnati defense that has allowed the fifth-fewest WR fantasy points and yards, as well as only three touchdowns this season.
Hayden Hurst matched a season-high with eight targets last week, but he has been held below 55 yards in every single game. His upside is limited, but he has hit double-digit fantasy points in three straight contests and is thus a fringe starting option.
David Njoku is out this week, which vaults Harrison Bryant into the deep-league streaming discussion.
Over/Under: 46.5 (4th highest)
Win Probability: Bengals 73% (4th highest)
Baltimore Ravens @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Lineup locks: Lamar Jackson, Leonard Fournette, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Mark Andrews
Only Denver and Chicago have scored fewer offensive touchdowns than Tampa Bay this season, so it may be a shock to learn that Tom Brady is somehow QB12 in fantasy points. That says more about the state of the QB position in fantasy than anything, but Brady is never short on volume, currently sitting third in passing attempts. This keeps him in the QB1 mix this week.
Gus Edwards made his 2022 debut in Week 7 and played on 23 snaps (37%), which allowed him to get 16 carries and one target. Justice Hill (five carries, zero targets on 20 snaps) and Kenyan Drake (11 carries, one target on 16 snaps) were also involved and, while Edwards figures to remain the lead back, his lack of receiving work will limit him to flex consideration.
Rashod Bateman (foot) is dicey for this game, but even if he plays, he'll be no more than a WR3/flex. Bateman has yet to clear seven targets in any game (5.4 average) and hasn't reached double-digit fantasy points since Week 2, although the Ravens wideouts will benefit from a very short-handed Buccaneers secondary (Carlton Davis III, Antoine Winfield Jr., Sean Murphy-Bunting and Logan Ryan are all out). Devin Duvernay hasn't found the end zone since Week 3 and has a total of just 54 yards on eight targets in his past two games. Consider him for a flex spot only if Bateman is out.
Julio Jones has appeared in only one game since his 86-yard effort in Week 1. Even if Russell Gage is out, Jones is best left on benches.
Cade Otton has reached double-digit fantasy points in both games that Cameron Brate has missed. With Brate (concussion) sidelined again, Otton is a starting option in 2-TE leagues.
Over/Under: 43.3 (5th highest)
Win Probability: Ravens 61% (7th highest)