Welcome to the Week 7 Fantasy Football Playbook!
This will be your guide to the week's slate of NFL games, featuring score projections, over/unders, win probabilities and, of course, easily digestible fantasy advice for season-long and DFS leagues. This guide should help you with all sorts of decision-making, including sit/start decisions, last-minute waiver adds and lineup choices.
The advice is centered on 12-team PPR leagues with relatively standard scoring and lineup settings (1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 Flex, 1 K, 1 D/ST), although I'll often mention "shallow" or "deep" leagues for some starters. The charts show all players who have been projected for at least 6.0 fantasy points this week, as well as all D/STs. "Matchup" is automatically determined using a proprietary metric that factors in raw and volume-adjusted fantasy points allowed to each position by the opposing defense this season.
(Editor's note: Projections and rankings will align almost perfectly, but sometimes when a projection is close, a player might be ranked slightly higher or lower because of other factors, including upside or risk. This column is subject to possible updates during the weekend, although at the very minimum, rankings will be updated on the site and projections will always be updated inside the game leading up to kickoff.)
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Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens
Lineup locks: Lamar Jackson, Nick Chubb, Amari Cooper, Mark Andrews, David Njoku
Every quarterback who the Ravens have faced has scored 13-plus fantasy points, but Jacoby Brissett's limited upside (he's yet to finish a week better than 10th) keeps him glued to QB2 territory.
Kareem Hunt has scored single-digit fantasy points in four of six games and he was held to season-lows in both touches (4) and yardage (12) in Week 6. He's a flex against a Baltimore defense that has been good against the run overall, but has allowed the third-most RB receptions and fifth-most RB receiving yards.
J.K. Dobbins missed most of last week's game with an injury and he has now reached double-digit touches and cleared 45 yards in just one of four games this season. Dobbins, who hasn't been targeted since Week 4, has a great matchup against a Browns defense that has allowed the third-most RB fantasy points (and the most touchdowns). However, if he plays, he'll be hard to trust as anything more than a fringe flex. If Dobbins (knee) is sidelined, Kenyan Drake leaps into the flex mix, although he could face added competition from Gus Edwards, who might be activated from IR this weekend.
Rashod Bateman (foot) missed Weeks 5-6 after averaging a weak 5.5 targets per game during his first four outings. If he returns this week, he'll be in the WR3 mix. Devin Duvernay was a fantasy bust with just 14 yards on one touch last week and will only be a flex option if Bateman is out.
Since allowing a whopping 92.2 fantasy points to Miami's wideouts in Week 2, Baltimore has since surrendered a total of just 113.2 over its past four games -- a respectable 28.3 average. Donovan Peoples-Jones has 50-plus yards in three straight games, but he'll see a ton of Marcus Peters and Marlon Humphrey, He makes for a weak flex.
Over/Under: 52.1 (Highest in Week 7)
Win Probability: Ravens 72% (3rd highest in Week 7)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers
Lineup locks: Leonard Fournette, Chris Godwin, Mike Evans
Tom Brady disappointed in a good spot last week, but Tampa Bay's pass-heavy offense has allowed him a respectable floor (13-plus points in four straight games) and he does have two 19-plus point outings in his past three games. Brady is a back-end QB1.
With Christian McCaffrey now in San Francisco, D'Onta Foreman and Chuba Hubbard figure to split backfield duties in the struggling Carolina offense. At 233 pounds, Foreman is the best bet to lead the way both in carries and at the goal line, but he's not an option in the passing game. Hubbard struggled badly with efficiency as a rookie but is more versatile and can help via the pass. The Buccaneers' elite run defense (fewest RB fantasy points allowed) confirms that we can leave both Carolina backs on our bench this week and see what the usage actually looks like before deciding if either will be a worthwhile flex option.
DJ Moore's season went from bad to worse with Baker Mayfield out last week (only 7 yards on 7 targets). Moore's best weekly finish is 29th despite a strong 25% target share. He could draw Carlton Davis III shadow coverage this week, but teams target wideouts a ton against Tampa Bay (fifth-most targets), so Moore remains in the WR3 mix with four teams on a bye.
Julio Jones has appeared in only one of his team's past five games and was severely limited when active in Week 4. Even in a good matchup, he belongs on benches. The same goes for Russell Gage, who has posted 2-24-0, 2-20-0 and 2-20-0 receiving lines over his past three outings.
Cameron Brate is expected to miss this game. The last time he was out (Week 5), Cade Otton played on 96% of the snaps and handled seven targets. The rookie has the look of a good TE2.
Over/Under: 35.6 (13th highest)
Win Probability: Buccaneers 78% (2nd highest)
Atlanta Falcons @ Cincinnati Bengals
Lineup locks: Joe Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins
Marcus Mariota is playing well and has a trio of top-10 fantasy outings to show for it. He's best left on benches this week, however, against a Bengals defense that has yet to allow any quarterback to exceed 14.8 fantasy points.
In two full games without Cordarrelle Patterson, Tyler Allgeier has totaled 96 yards and no scores on 28 touches. He has zero targets during this span. Allgeier is an uninspiring flex play against a Bengals defense that has allowed just one rushing score and the fewest RB fantasy points over expected this season.
Drake London's target share is holding strong at 33%, but he has been held below 8.0 fantasy points in three straight games in the league's run-heaviest offense. London has cleared seven targets in just one game (Week 2) and his high-end target share is all that keeps him in the WR3 mix.
Kyle Pitts scored his first NFL touchdown in the USA last week, but he was still held below 30 yards for the fourth time in five games. The Bengals have allowed the fifth-most TE catches and yards, but Pitts and his 23% target share are no more than a back-end starting option.
Atlanta is the only team that has allowed the opposing TE room to outscore its weekly average in 100% of games this season. That's good news for Hayden Hurst, but note that he has a grand total of 79 yards and one touchdown on 16 targets during the four games Higgins has played in full. Hurst is a fringe TE1.
Over/Under: 42.7 (7th highest)
Win Probability: Bengals 71% (4th highest)
Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys
Lineup locks: D'Andre Swift, CeeDee Lamb, Amon-Ra St. Brown, T.J. Hockenson
Dak Prescott (hand) is expected back this week after missing the past five games. Fantasy's No. 7-scoring quarterback in 2021, Prescott is immediately a starting option in fantasy against a Detroit defense that has allowed the second-most QB fantasy points this season, including 18-plus points in four out of five games.
Jared Goff has three finishes of seventh or better and three of 17th or worse this season. He's best left on benches against a Dallas defense that has allowed the seventh-fewest QB fantasy points while racking up a league-high 24 sacks.
Ezekiel Elliott has produced 75-plus scrimmage yards in four straight games, though he has yet to clear two targets in any contest. The veteran back has an elite matchup against a Lions defense that ranks in the bottom three in terms of RB yards, touchdowns and fantasy points allowed. The matchup also positions Tony Pollard (61.8 yards per game) as a flex option.
Jamaal Williams has three two-TD efforts this season, but he's likely headed for a reduced role with Swift expected back in full this week. Williams' TD upside is enough to keep him in the flex mix and he'll leap back into the RB1 discussion if Swift is a surprise scratch.
Michael Gallup has yet to clear 45 yards in a game in 2022, but he handled a season-high seven targets last week and should benefit from the return of Prescott (and with him, a faster-moving, pass-first offense).
If they are able to play, Josh Reynolds and DJ Chark will be no more than deep-league flex fliers with the rest of the Detroit offense healthy.
Dalton Schultz has had just 18 yards on eight targets in the three games since Prescott's injury. If he's able to play this week, Schultz will be a bounce-back candidate against a Detroit defense that has allowed the seventh-most TE fantasy points. Consider him a fringe TE1.
Over/Under: 47.9 (4th highest)
Win Probability: Cowboys 81% (Highest)
New York Giants @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Lineup locks: Saquon Barkley, Christian Kirk
Trevor Lawrence has delivered a pair of top-five fantasy outings this season, but he has also been outside the top 20 three times. Daniel Jones has produced only one weekly finish better than 16th -- and that was in Week 4 (QB8). Both of these defenses have been decent against the position, so neither young quarterback makes for an ideal streamer.
Travis Etienne Jr. has outsnapped James Robinson in three consecutive games, although he trailed 13-12 in opportunities last week. Etienne has yet to find the end zone, but he has cleared 100 scrimmage yards in consecutive games and was a top-25 fantasy scorer in both. Robinson hasn't scored or cleared 55 yards since Week 3 and he has a grand total of three targets during his past three outings. Both backs get a boost this week against a Giants defense allowing 5.5 yards per RB carry (third highest) and 10.4 yards per RB reception (highest) this season. Etienne is the better flex.
Kirk was held below 25 yards in games over the past two weeks against Desmond King II and Kenny Moore II, but he did find the end zone last week for the fourth time this season and remains a lineup lock. Zay Jones has handled a generous 22% target share, which is enough to keep him in the flex discussion against a Giants defense that has allowed the fewest WR fantasy points and receptions, as well as the second-fewest yards.
Evan Engram has 16 targets over his past two games, but he has yet to find the end zone, nor reach 13 fantasy points in any single game. Even in a "revenge game," he's best left on benches.
Over/Under: 40.8 (9th highest)
Win Probability: Jaguars 50% (14th highest)
Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans
Lineup locks: Derrick Henry, Jonathan Taylor, Michael Pittman Jr.
Matt Ryan has produced 15-plus fantasy points in four of six games and was second (behind Burrow) in fantasy scoring last week. These days, that's enough production to land on the streaming radar, especially when said quarterback is facing a Titans defense that has yet to hold any opposing QB below 16 fantasy points. Tennessee has allowed the most yards and second-most TDs to QBs this season.
On the other side of the field, Ryan Tannehill hasn't produced any weekly finish better than QB8 and remains a poor starting option this week.
Who was fantasy's RB1 in Week 6? You guessed it: Deon Jackson. With Taylor and Nyheim Hines both out, Jackson posted a 12-42-1 rushing line and added 79 receiving yards on 10 targets. Still, Jackson will be a starting option only if Taylor remains out this week.
Robert Woods has been held below 40 yards in four of five games and has a brutal matchup against a Colts defense that has allowed the second-fewest WR fantasy points and the fewest receiving yards this season. He's fringe WR3 with major bust potential, especially if shadowed by Stephon Gilmore.
Alec Pierce has now had either 80 yards or a score in three straight games and has a great matchup against a Titans defense that has allowed the second-most WR fantasy points and yards, along with the most touchdowns and highest yards per target (10.4). Pierce is a flex option and would be ranked higher if he weren't losing snaps to Parris Campbell. Speaking of Campbell, he posted career-high marks in targets (11) and catches (7) last week, but that was his first game with more than four targets since Week 5 of last season. He's best left on benches.
Over/Under: 40.6 (10th highest)
Win Probability: Titans 53% (13th highest)
Green Bay Packers @ Washington Commanders
Lineup locks: Aaron Jones
Aaron Rodgers' struggles continue, as he's still without any top-10 fantasy outings this season. He has produced 16-17 fantasy points in four of his past five games, however, which is just enough to keep him in the streaming discussion against a Washington defense that has allowed the eighth-most QB fantasy points and 12 touchdowns (fourth most).
Carson Wentz will be out for a while, but Taylor Heinicke isn't a recommended streamer. Washington's starter for a majority of 2021, Heinicke was held to four top-10 fantasy outings last season and was outside the top 20 eight times.
AJ Dillon last scored double-digit fantasy points in Week 1. He hasn't found the end zone since that game, though he does have 14-plus touches in five of six outings. Consider Dillon to be a flex.
Washington appears set on a three-headed backfield committee. Brian Robinson Jr. (25 snaps, 17 carries, 5 routes, 0 targets) led the way in Week 6, but J.D. McKissic (15 snaps, 2 carries, 7 routes, 3 targets) and Antonio Gibson (15 snaps, 5 carries, 5 routes, 4 targets) were plenty involved. Robinson is the top fantasy option of the trio and can be considered a flex against a Green Bay defense allowing 5.3 RB yards per carry this season (fifth highest).
Allen Lazard found the end zone last week for the 11th time in his past 15 games and he's bordering on lineup-lock status with eight-plus targets in three straight games. Romeo Doubs has eight-plus targets in three of his past four outings and a pair of scores during this span. His yardage output has been disappointing (under 50 in three straight), but there's enough usage here for WR3 consideration against a Washington defense that has allowed the sixth-most WR fantasy points and yards.
Terry McLaurin hasn't scored since Week 1 and is without any top-20 fantasy outings this season. Curtis Samuel's last weekly finish better than 30th was in Week 2 and he saw a season-low in targets (5) and yardage (6) in Week 6. Especially with Wentz out, these two receivers have fallen to WR3 territory.
Robert Tonyan rose for 90 yards on 12 targets, the latter of which was five more than his previous career-high. Tonyan has ascended to fringe TE1 territory, but this is a tough matchup. Washington has allowed the fourth-fewest TE fantasy points -- only Dallas Goedert (11.6) has even cleared 6.8 points against them.
Over/Under: 37.1 (11th highest)
Win Probability: Packers 61% (8th highest)
New York Jets @ Denver Broncos
Lineup locks: Breece Hall, Courtland Sutton
The Broncos' offense ranks dead last in offensive touchdowns per game (1.2) and Russell Wilson has produced just one weekly fantasy finish better than 14th (QB3 in Week 4). He's tough to justify as a starter against an improved Jets defense that has allowed the sixth-fewest QB fantasy points over expected.
Hall has taken control of the Jets backfield, which has left Michael Carter with 50-or-fewer yards in five straight games, three of which included under 6.0 fantasy points. Carter is best left on benches.
Denver's RB situation is extremely muddled, as Week 6 saw Melvin Gordon III essentially benched after just eight snaps. Latavius Murray handled 15 carries and one target on 27 snaps in his Denver debut, with Mike Boone contributing one carry and four targets on 19 snaps. Boone's 12 routes were more than Murray (7) and Gordon (3) combined. Gordon figures to play a larger role moving forward, but it seems likely all three backs will be involved. Avoid this mess if possible.
Jerry Jeudy has been held below 55 yards in four straight games and has only one touchdown during this span. The 6.5 targets per game he saw during these four weeks is enough to keep him on the flex radar, despite Denver's offensive woes.
Garrett Wilson (76 yards on 15 targets over his past three games), Corey Davis (exactly two touches in four of his past five games) and Elijah Moore (just one catch in his past two games) have combined for one weekly finish better than WR43 during the Jets' past four games. None are safe plays, especially against a Denver defense that has allowed the third-fewest WR fantasy points and yards, as well as the fewest touchdowns (1) and second-lowest yards per target (6.0). However, with Moore (personal) expected to miss the game, Wilson and Davis are at least more palatable flex plays.
Greg Dulcich was a pleasant surprise in his NFL debut last week. The third-round rookie ran 26 routes, which barely trailed Sutton (31) and Jeudy (30). He found the end zone, nearly had a second score, and finished as a top-12 fantasy scorer. The Jets allowed a 10-90-0 receiving line to Tonyan last week, which helps Dulcich's streaming appeal (although he's ideally left on benches until we see more).
Over/Under: 33 (14th highest)
Win Probability: Broncos 56% (11th highest)
Houston Texans @ Las Vegas Raiders
Lineup locks: Dameon Pierce, Josh Jacobs, Davante Adams
Derek Carr has had a pair of duds (outside the top 20 in fantasy points), but also three top-10 outings this season. Houston has been better than expected against the pass (eighth-fewest QB fantasy points and only four touchdowns allowed), but with four teams on a bye, Carr is still on the QB1 radar.
Brandin Cooks is averaging a career-high 8.8 targets, but he has been held below 60 yards in four straight games and has posted single-digit fantasy points in four of five games. He's still in the WR2 mix, but trending the wrong way.
Hunter Renfrow has 105 yards on 20 targets in three games this season and is best left on benches, especially against a Houston defense that has only allowed more than 7.6 fantasy points to four wide receivers, all of whom are perimeter receivers (Pittman, Sutton, Mike Williams, Marvin Jones Jr.). Mack Hollins was held without a catch when we last saw him in Week 4, but he posted 8-158-1 and 3-33-0 receiving lines when Renfrow was out in Weeks 3-4. Hollins should be considered only as a flex if Renfrow is out.
Darren Waller is expected to miss this game, which vaults Foster Moreau onto the fantasy radar. Waller missed six games last season and Moreau posted a 22-248-1 receiving line during that span. Consider Moreau a TE2 and deep league streamer.
Over/Under: 43.9 (5th highest)
Win Probability: Raiders 64% (7th highest)
Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Chargers
Lineup locks: Justin Herbert, Geno Smith, Austin Ekeler, Kenneth Walker III, DK Metcalf, Mike Williams, Keenan Allen, Tyler Lockett
Smith sits seventh in QB fantasy points and has found his way to lineup lock status. He has had at least two touchdowns in four of six games and ranks first in completion rate and third in yards per pass attempt. The Chargers have allowed the fifth-most passing scores (11) this season.
Walker is a confirmed lineup lock after totaling 110 yards and a score on 23 touches in his debut as Seattle's clear lead back. He has an elite matchup against a Chargers defense that has allowed the fourth-most RB fantasy points, third-most TDs (8) and a league-highest 5.8 yards per carry.
Allen is expected back this week and can immediately be reinserted into lineups. Joshua Palmer put up career-high marks in both targets (13) and receptions (9) last week, but he should only be considered a WR3/flex if Allen is a surprise scratch.
Gerald Everett has been held below 30 yards in three of his past four games -- and that was with Allen sidelined. Everett has a great "revenge game" matchup as Seattle has allowed the most TE receiving yards and fantasy points, as well as four TD receptions. This keeps him in the TE1 mix, but he's a candidate for fewer targets if Allen does, in fact, return.
Noah Fant's role is finally expanding and he's now seen 12 targets over his last two games. He's a serviceable TE2.
Over/Under: 49.3 (2nd highest)
Win Probability: Chargers 59% (9th highest)
Kansas City Chiefs @ San Francisco 49ers
Lineup locks: Patrick Mahomes, Deebo Samuel, Travis Kelce, George Kittle
All of the NFL buzz is about McCaffrey getting traded to the 49ers on Thursday. However, it's to be determined if (or how much) he will play in this game. If he's active, it's likely he'll see a few carries and a handful of targets, which will make him worth starting consideration.
This deal absolutely crushes the value of Jeff Wilson Jr. (and eventually Elijah Mitchell), but with McCaffrey needing to get up to speed on a new playbook, Wilson has one more week left as a fantasy starter. Wilson had reeled off four straight top-25 fantasy outings before last week's 25-yard dud. He had seen 15-plus touches in all four of those strong games, but was limited to only seven against Atlanta. He has a good matchup this week against a Chiefs defense that has allowed the fifth-most RB fantasy points, as well as the most targets, catches and receiving yards.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire has hit the regression wall the past two weeks, totaling just 68 yards and zero touchdowns on 21 touches. This slump came after he averaged 81.3 yards and 1.25 TDs on 13.5 touches per game during Weeks 1-4. CEH has been outsnapped by Jerick McKinnon in four of six games and will continue to share the backfield with both McKinnon and Isiah Pacheco. Consider Edwards-Helaire to be no more than a fringe RB2 against a 49ers defense that has allowed the second-fewest RB fantasy points and third-fewest RB yards.
JuJu Smith-Schuster was targeted only five times last week, but he still managed his best fantasy outing via a 5-113-1 receiving line. Smith-Schuster has been targeted exactly eight times in four of six games and is in the WR2 discussion, even in a tough matchup against a 49ers defense that has allowed the fifth-fewest WR fantasy points. Marquez Valdes-Scantling has had his best (6-90-0) and worst (zero catches) games of the season over the past two weeks and is tough to justify as a flex after he was held to a mere three targets against Buffalo.
Brandon Aiyuk is on the ascent after ascending for an 8-83-2 receiving line on 11 targets last week. His random usage is a concern (eight-plus targets in three games, but five or fewer in the other three), but he has a 22% target share and a great matchup against a Chiefs defense that has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points, third-most catches and second-most TDs (9) to wideouts this season. Aiyuk is a fine WR3.
Over/Under: 48 (3rd highest)
Win Probability: Chiefs 57% (10th highest)
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins
Lineup locks: Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, Diontae Johnson, Pat Freiermuth
Tua Tagovailoa is back this week and will face a Steelers defense that sits no better than seventh in QB fantasy points, yards and touchdowns allowed. Tagovailoa certainly showed his high ceiling with a 469-yard, six-TD outing against the Ravens in Week 2. Consider him to be a viable starter this week.
Miami has allowed the fourth-most QB fantasy points this season, but Kenny Pickett has yet to deliver any weekly fantasy finishes better than 20th. He belongs on benches/waivers.
Raheem Mostert continues to dominate the Miami backfield and now has 15-plus touches in three straight games. Results have varied (81 yards in Week 4, 122 yards and a score in Week 5, 48 yards in Week 6) and he hasn't done much as a receiver (20 yards on 9 targets over his last four games). Still, the rushing volume is enough to keep Mostert in the RB2 mix.
Najee Harris caught a pass for a score last week, but he failed to reach 50 scrimmage yards for the second week in a row. The good news is that he's averaging 16.3 touches. On the other hand, the Dolphins have allowed 3.8 yards per RB carry (third lowest). Harris remains a mid-to-back-end RB2.
Miami has allowed the eighth-most WR fantasy points (and third-most over expected), which is enough to help Chase Claypool (104 yards and a score on eight touches last week) and George Pickens (six-plus targets in four straight games) onto the fantasy radar. Both are WR3/flex options.
Mike Gesicki had a 6-69-2 receiving line on nine targets last week, but note that top TE Durham Smythe was out. Gesicki, who totaled 12 targets during Weeks 1-5, will be on the streaming radar only if Smythe sits again.
Over/Under: 43.8 (6th highest)
Win Probability: Dolphins 68% (6th highest)
Chicago Bears @ New England Patriots
Lineup locks: Rhamondre Stevenson, David Montgomery, Jakobi Meyers
Montgomery has had 16-plus touches in all of his four full games this season and he produced at least 80 yards in three of those outings. He remains a lineup lock despite Khalil Herbert's strong play.
With Damien Harris out last week, Stevenson played on 85% of the snaps and delivered 91 yards and two scores on 23 touches. He has now produced 16-plus touches, 89-plus yards and a total of three touchdowns during his past four games. He's a solid RB2 who you can bump up to the RB1 mix if Harris remains out. If Harris returns, he'll be in the RB2/flex mix as usual. Harris averaged 15.0 touches per game during Weeks 1-4 and has scored at least once in 13 of his past 15 games.
Only one man has cleared 12.6 WR fantasy points against Chicago this season (Justin Jefferson in Week 5), so Meyers (WR12 in fantasy points during his four active weeks) is the only Patriots wideout worth starting. Tyquan Thornton should be on rosters after his two-TD Week 6, but note that he was just fourth in the WR pecking order before Kendrick Bourne's injury (not to mention that Nelson Agholor was also out).
Darnell Mooney saw a season-high 12 targets last week and he has now reached 50 yards in three straight games. Of course, he's still working in a super run-heavy offense and hasn't found the end zone since last season. Mooney is no more than a flex.
Hunter Henry posted a 4-61-1 receiving line on a season-high seven targets last week, but he totaled only 95 yards (0 TD) on 14 targets during Weeks 1-5. He's not to be trusted as a starter just yet.
Over/Under: 35.7 (12th highest)
Win Probability: Patriots 70% (5th highest)
New Orleans Saints at Arizona Cardinals
Lineup locks: Kyler Murray, Alvin Kamara, Eno Benjamin, DeAndre Hopkins, Zach Ertz
Benjamin is a lineup lock this week after playing on 62 out of 71 snaps with both James Conner and Darrel Williams out for Week 6. Both remained sidelined, which positions Benjamin to repeat something in the vicinity of last week's 15 carries and three targets.
Hopkins is also a lineup lock in his 2022 debut (especially with Marquise Brown now out) and in a good matchup against a Saints defense that has allowed the seventh-most WR fantasy points. Even more so, as that defense will be without Marshon Lattimore. Rondale Moore (91% snap share and 7.7 targets per game this season) is in the WR3 mix.
Michael Thomas and Jarvis Landry remain out for the Saints, but Chris Olave is expected back and remains positioned for roughly 25% of the targets. Despite missing a game, Olave still paces the league in air yards (736) and the rookie is averaging 9.8 targets per game since Week 2. He's a WR2, even against an Arizona defense that has allowed 6.6 yards per WR target (third lowest).
With Thomas, Landry and Adam Trautman out, both Juwan Johnson and Taysom Hill get a boost in value. However, both are only starting options in leagues that start two tight ends. Johnson has yet to provide any top-15 fantasy outings this season, and while Hill had the big Week 5, he is otherwise averaging just 7.3 fantasy PPG.
Over/Under: 41.5 (8th highest)
Win Probability: Saints 54% (12th highest)