Fantasy baseball lineup advice and betting tips for Tuesday

ESPN Fantasy

Sep 1, 2025, 06:00 PM ET

Check out all of our starting pitcher rankings and other lineup selection tools here to help you make smart fantasy baseball lineup decisions. MLB betting tips for each day's slate of games will also be added in the morning. MLB game odds are provided by ESPN BET, and all fantasy advice is geared toward ESPN 10-team leagues with standard scoring.

Note: All information is accurate as of the time of publication. For updates, including what you might have missed from last night, as well as any breaking news that might impact today's MLB slate, be sure to check out the latest fantasy baseball news.

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STARTING PITCHERS FOR TUESDAY

Pitchers are ranked in order of their Forecaster/Daily Notes projected fantasy points (FPTS), using ESPN's standard scoring system (2 points per win, minus-2 per loss, 3 per inning, 1 per K, minus-1 apiece per hit or walk allowed, minus-2 per earned run allowed).

T: The pitcher's handedness. OPP: Opposing team. RST%: The pitcher's roster percentage in ESPN leagues. ML: ESPN BET Money Line. O/U: ESPN BET Over/Under for runs scored. For the projected stat line, W% is the team's win probability using ESPN projections, IP is innings pitched, ER is earned runs allowed and K is strikeouts.

If a team is planning on using an "opener" to start their game, but will rely on a "bulk pitcher" to follow him on the mound after 1-2 innings, the bulk pitcher is listed and indicated with an asterisk.

FPTS	Pitcher	T	Opp	Rst%	W%	IP	ER	K
12.2	Bryan Woo	R	@TB	96.2%	58%	5.8	2.2	5.3
12.2	Framber Valdez	L	NYY	97.9%	51%	6.0	2.3	6.3
12.1	Garrett Crochet	L	CLE	99.9%	65%	5.3	2.4	6.8
11.4	Shota Imanaga	L	ATL	95.3%	68%	5.8	2.5	5.6
11.1	Max Fried	L	@HOU	98.8%	49%	5.8	2.4	6.0
11.0	Nolan McLean	R	@DET	54.5%	64%	6.0	2.6	5.6
10.2	Yu Darvish	R	BAL	14.5%	60%	4.9	1.9	4.8
10.1	Luis Severino	R	@STL	12.4%	56%	5.8	2.5	4.9
8.8	Nick Lodolo	L	TOR	58.1%	48%	5.1	2.6	5.4
8.7	Jose Berrios	R	@CIN	65.4%	52%	5.6	3.1	5.3
8.0	Drew Rasmussen	R	SEA	70.4%	42%	4.3	1.8	4.1
7.5	Tyler Wells	R	@SD	0.3%	40%	5.1	2.5	4.5
7.3	Simeon Woods Richardson	R	CWS	1.2%	48%	4.8	2.4	4.4
7.1	Davis Martin	R	@MIN	2.0%	52%	5.2	3.0	4.6
7.0	Clayton Kershaw	L	@PIT	35.5%	58%	4.7	2.4	4.1
6.3	Miles Mikolas	R	ATH	2.4%	44%	5.2	3.0	3.9
6.1	Bubba Chandler	R	LAD	16.5%	42%	5.0	2.9	4.6
6.1	Sawyer Gipson-Long	R	NYM	0.2%	36%	4.8	3.0	4.6
6.0	Michael Lorenzen	R	LAA	3.7%	62%	5.0	3.2	4.5
5.2	Logan Webb	R	@COL	98.7%	61%	5.8	5.0	6.0
5.1	Adam Mazur	R	@WSH	0.1%	53%	4.7	2.9	3.7
4.7	Joey Wentz	L	@CHC	2.2%	32%	4.7	2.9	4.3
4.2	Cade Cavalli	R	MIA	2.3%	47%	4.9	3.5	4.7
4.1	Nabil Crismatt	R	TEX	0.8%	44%	4.8	3.3	3.9
3.7	Jacob Latz	L	@ARI	0.3%	56%	3.9	2.7	4.3
3.4	Slade Cecconi	R	@BOS	5.3%	35%	4.8	3.8	4.4
	TBD		@KC	0.0%	38%	0.0	0.0	0.0
-1.9	Kyle Freeland	L	SF	1.0%	39%	4.8	5.8	4.3

Pitchers to stream Tuesday

Clayton Kershaw won all five of his August starts, posting a 1.88 ERA and 0.87 WHIP over 28⅔ innings. He struck out only 19, but Kershaw walked just three while allowing one long ball. The veteran lefty is in a great spot to continue rolling in September with a road game against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The hosts sport the third-lowest wOBA and second-highest strikeout rate with a lefty on the hill.
Six homers in 24 August innings bloated Yu Darvish's ERA to 4.88. His 0.88 WHIP tells a different story, though he benefited from a .167 BABIP. The best indicators in small samples are strikeout and walk rates, and Darvish's 19.7% K-BB% was a respectable 29th out of the 112 pitchers compiling at least 24 innings last month. The San Diego Padres host the Baltimore Orioles. The Orioles have been more productive lately, but for the season, they sport the fifth-worst road wOBA versus right-handers.
Luis Severino hasn't fared as poorly at home as the surface stats suggest, but that's a discussion for another day because the Athletics visit the struggling St. Louis Cardinals. Over the past month, the Cardinals recorded the second-lowest wOBA and second-highest strikeout rate facing righties.

Hitters to stream Tuesday

Cade Cavalli recorded a 5.11 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in August, and that includes 11 scoreless frames in two of his five starts. The Miami Marlins visit the Washington Nationals, and Miami hopes to face the more vulnerable version of Cavalli. In a hypothetical September-only league, Marlins' rookies Augustin Ramirez and Jakob Marsee would be clear early-to-mid-round draft picks, but their current ESPN rosterships are 51.1% and 29.7%, respectively.
Slade Cecconi registered two consecutive quality starts, though he fanned only seven while surrendering three homers in 12 frames. That's a bad combination for the Cleveland Guardians' road date with the Boston Red Sox. Roman Anthony, Trevor Story, Nathaniel Lowe and Ceddanne Rafaela all line up for a productive evening in Fenway Park.

Betting tips

Best/worst pitcher/hitter matchups and betting projections are generated by THE BAT X, a system created by Derek Carty using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors, including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and lots more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring in the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to wager $1.00 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end, you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.

Because odds typically do not get set until the previous day's games are completed, betting tips will be added in the morning.