Fantasy baseball lineup advice and betting tips for Sunday

Todd ZolaJun 14, 2025, 05:30 PM ET
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Check out all of our starting pitcher rankings and other lineup selection tools here to help you make smart fantasy baseball lineup decisions. MLB betting tips for each day's slate of games will also be added in the morning. MLB game odds are provided by ESPN BET, and all fantasy advice is geared toward ESPN 10-team leagues with standard scoring.

Note: All information is accurate as of the time of publication. For updates, including what you might have missed from last night, as well as any breaking news that might impact today's MLB slate, be sure to check out the latest fantasy baseball news.

Jump to: Pitching notes | Hitting notes | Betting tips
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STARTING PITCHERS FOR SUNDAY

Pitchers are ranked in order of their Forecaster/Daily Notes projected fantasy points (FPTS), using ESPN's standard scoring system (2 points per win, minus-2 per loss, 3 per inning, 1 per K, minus-1 apiece per hit or walk allowed, minus-2 per earned run allowed).

T: The pitcher's handedness. OPP: Opposing team. RST%: The pitcher's roster percentage in ESPN leagues. ML: ESPN BET Money Line. O/U: ESPN BET Over/Under for runs scored. For the projected stat line, W% is the team's win probability using ESPN projections, IP is innings pitched, ER is earned runs allowed and K is strikeouts.

If a team is planning on using an "opener" to start their game, but will rely on a "bulk pitcher" to follow him on the mound after 1-2 innings, the bulk pitcher is listed and indicated with an asterisk.

FPTS	Pitcher	T	Opp	Rst%	W%	IP	ER	K
15.3	Zack Wheeler	R	TOR	99.9%	57%	6.4	2.2	6.7
12.8	Chris Sale	L	COL	98.8%	62%	5.7	2.5	7.1
10.7	Shane Baz	R	@NYM	26.9%	54%	5.4	2.0	5.1
10.5	Yusei Kikuchi	L	@BAL	58.7%	50%	5.6	2.5	5.9
10.4	Nick Pivetta	R	@ARI	89.5%	52%	5.4	2.5	5.9
10.3	Merrill Kelly	R	SD	78.3%	48%	5.8	2.6	5.5
10.2	Griffin Canning	R	TB	29.0%	46%	5.5	2.2	5.2
9.6	Jose Berrios	R	@PHI	63.3%	43%	5.8	2.8	5.3
9.2	Dustin May	R	SF	25.2%	49%	5.4	2.6	5.4
9.2	MacKenzie Gore	L	MIA	91.9%	53%	5.4	2.8	6.0
8.9	Luis Ortiz	R	@SEA	8.1%	55%	5.4	2.5	5.1
8.8	Simeon Woods Richardson	R	@HOU	0.5%	55%	5.1	2.3	4.7
8.8	Mitch Keller	R	@CHC	49.2%	50%	5.8	3.0	5.3
8.3	Brandon Walter	L	MIN	2.9%	45%	5.1	2.4	4.6
8.2	Kyle Harrison	L	@LAD	2.3%	51%	5.0	2.6	5.0
7.8	Colin Rea	R	PIT	6.1%	50%	5.3	2.9	4.8
7.5	Max Fried	L	@BOS	99.5%	52%	5.2	3.1	5.9
7.3	Noah Cameron	L	ATH	37.6%	51%	5.5	3.3	5.0
7.3	Eury Perez	R	@WSH	19.6%	47%	4.5	2.5	5.2
7.0	Tyler Mahle	R	CWS	74.6%	58%	4.9	2.6	4.4
7.0	Emerson Hancock	R	CLE	1.8%	45%	4.9	2.4	4.0
6.7	Aaron Civale	R	@TEX	2.5%	42%	5.0	3.0	4.7
6.3	Sawyer Gipson-Long	R	CIN	1.9%	46%	4.6	2.8	4.7
6.2	Cade Povich	L	LAA	1.3%	50%	5.2	3.4	5.0
6.2	Wade Miley	L	@DET	0.2%	54%	4.9	2.8	3.9
6.2	Miles Mikolas	R	@MIL	4.3%	50%	5.2	3.0	3.9
5.7	Jeffrey Springs	L	@KC	11.0%	49%	5.0	3.1	4.4
5.4	Brayan Bello	R	NYY	7.9%	48%	5.3	3.6	4.8
5.3	Quinn Priester	R	STL	4.7%	50%	5.2	3.3	4.2
5.3	Austin Gomber	L	@ATL	0.1%	38%	5.3	3.5	4.2

Pitchers to stream on Sunday

Dustin May appeared to be getting back on track after posting a 3.18 ERA and 1.18 WHIP with 22 strikeouts in 17 innings in the three outings leading up to his last start. However, the hot stretch ended after yielding five earned runs in five frames against the San Diego Padres. The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Francisco Giants in the finale of a three-game weekend set. The visitors sport a below average wOBA and above average strikeout rate with a righty on the hill, giving May a good chance to rebound.
Noah Cameron experienced the first poor outing of his short career earlier in the week against the New York Yankees, but the Yankees are one of the most potent offenses in the league. Cameron is in a great spot to get back on track at home when the Kansas City Royals face the Athletics. He'll take on an impatient lineup with an above-average strikeout rate.

Pitchers to avoid on Sunday

Mitch Keller is tied for third in baseball with 10 quality starts, yet his record is just 1-9. He'll be hard-pressed to collect his second win on Sunday with the Pittsburgh Pirates wrapping up a four-game set with the Chicago Cubs in Wrigley Field. Usually starting Keller to garner some strikeouts while not harming ratios is a viable approach. However, the Cubs lead the league in scoring, so it's best to avoid Keller on the final day of this fantasy scoring period

Hitters to stream on Sunday

With Hunter Greene sidelined after aggravating a groin injury, the Cincinnati Reds are sending Wade Miley to the hill for another start despite surrendering seven runs in seven stanzas over his first two appearances. The Detroit Tigers right-handed contingent line up for a productive afternoon. The primary options are C Dillon Dingler, IF/OF Javier Baez and switch-hitting OF Wenceel Perez.

Hitters to avoid on Sunday

The Boston Red Sox are one of the top offenses facing left-handers. However, with Max Fried taking the hill for the New York Yankees in the finale of a three-game series in Fenway Park, the safe approach is pivoting from Red Sox batters.

Betting tips

Best/worst pitcher/hitter matchups and betting projections are generated by THE BAT X, a system created by Derek Carty using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing, and lots more. Betting projections for every player, team, and game can be found at EV Analytics.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to wager $1.00 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.

Because odds typically do not get set until the previous day's games are completed, betting tips will be added in the morning.