Sean McVay's decision to kick a field goal on 4th-and-1 (before delay of game) with about 5 minutes left was extremely costly. The Rams would have had a 55% chance to win by going for it but only a 43% chance to win by attempting a field goal. The Rams needed to think they had at least a 32% chance of success to justify going for it, and league average rate of success in that situation is 57%.
