WNBA bets and fantasy picks: Will Fever-Liberty go over the total?

Breanna Stewart and the New York Liberty look to put up a ton of points on an Indiana Fever team that has struggled so far this season. Photo by Nathaniel S. Butler/NBAE via Getty Images

Each day, our team of fantasy and betting experts will break down every game on the WNBA slate, making note of everything from injuries and lineup changes to recent trends and more.

Here's what to look for tonight:

The WNBA season continues with a four-game slate on Saturday, featuring two nationally televised games on ABC. Many eyes will be on 2024 No. 1 pick Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever as they take on the Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and the New York Liberty for the second time in three days. However, the most interesting game on the slate might be between the Los Angeles Sparks and the Las Vegas Aces. Los Angeles was one of just five teams in the WNBA that defeated the defending champion Aces last season.

Saturday's Fantasy Stream Team

Alysha Clark, F, Las Vegas Aces (rostered in 26.0% of ESPN leagues)

Clark finished with 19 fantasy points in 34 minutes against the Mercury on Tuesday. With a clear path to minutes in the Aces' starting lineup, Clark is an excellent streaming option for Saturday.

Maddy Siegrist, F, Dallas Wings (10.0%)

Siegrist finished with 26 fantasy points in just 18 minutes against the Sky on Wednesday. Remember, Siegrist was the No. 3 pick in 2023 and had modest contributions as a rookie last season. This year, she has a prime opportunity to showcase her talents with Natasha Howard out. Siegrist is firmly on the streaming radar for Saturday.

Picks, Projections and Injury Reports

Basketball Power Index by ESPN Analytics. Injury aggregation by Rotowire.com. All odds are provided by ESPN BET.

Indiana Fever at New York Liberty
1 p.m. ET, Barclays Center, Brooklyn

Line: Liberty -13.5
Money line: Fever (+850), Liberty (-1700)
Total: 168.5 points

BPI prediction:
Liberty: 81.5% chance to win.
Projected margin of victory: 10.2 points

Injury report
Fever: Damiris Dantas (Out)
Liberty: No injuries reported

Best bet: Over 169.5 points.

The Liberty have looked fantastic to start the season, operating on all cylinders. New York has gone over the total in five of their past six games against Indiana, so it's safe to expect a high-scoring game. Indiana's defense continues to be a major issue, and they might struggle to contain Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu, Jonquel Jones, and Courtney Vandersloot.

Los Angeles Sparks at Las Vegas Aces
3 p.m. ET, Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas

Line: Aces -19.5
Money line: Sparks (+1800), Aces (-5000)
Total: 167.5 points

BPI prediction:
Aces: 85.4% chance to win.
Projected margin of victory: 12.1 points

Injury report
Sparks: Rae Burrell (Out), Azura Stevens (Out)
Aces: Chelsea Gray (Out)

Best bet: Sparks (+19.5).

The Aces are the superior team in this matchup with a deep and talented roster. However, 19.5 points seems too high of a number. The Sparks, led by Kia Nurse, have a bright future after selecting Cameron Brink and Rickea Jackson with two of the top four picks in the 2024 draft. While it will take a collective effort from Los Angeles to defeat the Aces, I believe the Sparks can keep this game close.

Chicago Sky at Dallas Wings
8 p.m. ET, College Park Center, Arlington

Line: Wings -6.5
Money line: Sky (+225), Wings (-275)
Total: 167.5 points

BPI prediction:
Wings: 66.9% chance to win.
Projected margin of victory: 4.8 points

Injury report
Sky: Isabelle Harrison (Out), Kamilla Cardoso (Out)
Wings: Natasha Howard (Out), Jaelyn Brown (Out), Satou Sabally (Out)

Best bet: Wings over 86.5 points.

The Wings cleared this total against the Sky on Wednesday, shooting 45.1% from the floor and 33.3% from beyond the arc. Although Dallas got off to a slow start, they fought back and dominated the fourth quarter. The Wings will be back on their home court and likely be aiming for a faster start Saturday, especially since they aren't the strongest team defensively.

Atlanta Dream at Phoenix Mercury
10 p.m. ET, Footprint Center, Phoenix

Line: Dream -1.5
Money line: Dream (-110), Mercury (-110)
Total: 170.5 points

BPI prediction:
Dream: 55.8% chance to win.
Projected margin of victory: 1.6 points

Injury report
Dream: Lorela Cubaj (Out), Jordin Canada (Out)
Mercury: Rebecca Allen (Day-To-Day), Brittney Griner (Out)