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'Stanford Steve' and 'The Bear': Week 7 college football picks, bets, nuggets

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SVP throws out some chalk in his Week 7 college football winners (2:17)

SVP does the unthinkable and hands out some favorites among his Week 7 college football winners. (2:17)

College football season is in full swing, which means it's time for "Stanford Steve" Coughlin and Chris "The Bear" Fallica to continue their prognostications.

In this article, they break down Week 7 of the season as only they can, offering their top bets, nuggets, games to stay away from and a special money-line underdog parlay to jump on.

Here we go with Week 7 picks. The Bear is 9-0 the past two weeks. Enjoy Week 7.


The plays

Stanford Steve (2-3 last week, 17-11-2 overall)

The Bear (4-0 last week, 14-11-1 overall)


Charlotte 49ers at Florida International Panthers (-5.5, 61)

Stanford Steve: The 49ers are off a bye week, and the Panthers are fresh off a win over UMass. Both teams are looking for their first win in conference play. Charlotte is 0-4 vs. FIU, losing the past three by a total of nine points, which includes two one-point losses. The 49ers' new regime under Will Healy leads C-USA and ranks in the top 30 in FBS in scoring at 35.8 points per game and rushing yards per game at 219. They also have had great success when getting to the red zone, scoring 14 TDs on 17 trips. I think the 49ers can win the game, but we'll take the points.

Pick: Charlotte +5.5. Charlotte 31 FIU 29

North Texas Mean Green at Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (-4, 58.5)

Stanford Steve: Both teams start conference play off a bye after playing some good competition in nonconference play. Plenty of people thought the Mean Green would win their side of Conference USA, but they have plenty of doubters now after they got handled by the Houston Cougars. Houston started a new quarterback and gave it to North Texas, returning a punt and a kickoff for a touchdown and winning 46-25. You have to think head coach Seth Littrell, who was a hot commodity in the offseason, got his team grounded during the bye week and got their attention. They have plenty of talent, led by quarterback Mason Fine, who has already thrown for 1,200 yards and 11 touchdowns. I like the Mean Green to cover on the road.

Pick: North Texas +4. North Texas 28, Southern Miss 27

Ole Miss Rebels at Missouri Tigers (-12.5)

The Bear: The introduction of quarterback John Rhys Plumlee has added a dimension to the Rebels' offense that Rich Rodriguez can utilize. Factor in the loss of linebacker Cale Garrett for the Tigers, and Missouri's task is a bit tougher. Besides the game against Alabama, Ole Miss' defense hasn't played too poorly, and I'd imagine they are probably kicking themselves for close losses to Memphis and Cal. I think the Rebels hang around here.

Pick: Ole Miss +12.5

USC Trojans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-11)

The Bear: The Trojans outgained Washington in Seattle two weeks ago but were done in by three Matt Fink interceptions and one 89-yard run by Salvon Ahmed (his other 16 carries netted 64 yards). Kedon Slovis is back for USC at quarterback, and he has some weapons at wide receiver if injuries to Notre Dame's Shaun Crawford and Daelin Hayes affect the Irish defense against a much better offensive unit than they faced last week in Bowling Green. Will the return of Irish running back Jafar Armstrong boost a unit that managed 322 total yards against Virginia and 321 at Georgia? If the Trojans can avoid the game-altering turnover they suffered at Washington -- and the ones Virginia did itself in with two weeks ago -- they can hang around.

Pick: USC +11

Iowa State Cyclones (-10) at West Virginia Mountaineers

The Bear: According to our power rankings, Iowa State is a top-20 team. West Virginia is outside the top 70. The Cyclones haven't run very well this season, but the Mountaineers haven't fared too well against the run, nor have they forced too many turnovers. Quarterback Brock Purdy could give them fits. Iowa State ate apart a much better West Virginia offense last season, and if the Mountaineers continue to throw interceptions, it will likely mean a second straight double-digit home loss.

Pick: Iowa State -10

Stanford Steve's no-brainer over to take

Colorado Buffaloes at Oregon Ducks (-21, 58.5)

I like the situation here for the Ducks. I know they have hated rival Washington up next in Seattle, but last week had to leave a bad taste in their mouths, as they beat Cal 17-7 despite three first-half turnovers. The offense is now as healthy as it has been, and you have to think this team wants to get out to a good start vs. the undermanned Buffaloes, build up a lead and maybe coast to the end, leaving the back door open for plenty of points. The last time the Buffs played in Eugene, it was quarterback Steven Montez's first career start -- and Colorado won as a monster underdog, so he will not be fazed by the atmosphere, but I think his defense might be. For the record, the road team is 5-14 in Pac-12 conference road games on Friday. I like the over.

Pick: Over 58.5. Oregon 42, Colorado 21 (over 58.5)


Stay-away games

The Bear

Virginia Cavaliers at Miami Hurricanes (-2, 43.5)

Last week Miami fell behind Virginia Tech 28-0 and turned the ball over four times in its first 13 plays. Last year in Charlottesville, N'Kosi Perry completed five of his six passes -- two were to Cavaliers. The Hurricanes' season appears to be spiraling downward, yet the Canes are two-point favorites? Run away. Run far away from this one.

Washington State Cougars at Arizona State Sun Devils (PK, 59)

The Cougars allowed 67 points to UCLA. Not much else needs to be said.

Colorado State Rams (-3, 66.5) at New Mexico Lobos

A true test of the adage, "If there's a game on a Friday night, you have to bet it." No, you don't.

Kent State Golden Flashes (-14.5, 57.5) at Akron Zips

Kent State spent two of the past three weeks getting beaten up by Auburn and Wisconsin. Sure, in between the two, it pummeled Bowling Green. But do you really want to lay more than a TD? Or feel good about taking the Flashes with a punchless Akron team?

Stanford Steve

Washington State Cougars at Arizona State Sun Devils (-1, 58.5)

A 12:30 p.m. PT kickoff time in Tempe and the Sun Devils haven't played against any kind of offense ... and on the other side, you have a new defensive coordinator for Wazzu after an interesting resignation. Go have fun with that game.

UMass Minutemen at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (-32, 62.5)

The worst 4-1 team in the country is giving 32 points to the worst team in college football not named Akron. No, thanks.


The Bear's money-line parlay of the week

Eight-team favorite ML parlay. Based on current Caesars odds, $100 returns $67.41.

Oregon -1600
Indiana -5000
Toledo -3500
Michigan -2500
Georgia -2500
LSU -500
Alabama -800
Clemson -3500


The Bear's underdogs to play on the ML and/or in a parlay or round-robin

Louisville +195
Temple +185
Northern Illinois +210
Michigan State +330
Ole Miss +400
USC +320
Arizona +180


The Bear: If you had to play one or two, who ya got?

Connecticut +34 at Tulane or Massachusetts +32 at Louisiana Tech


Stanford Steve's weeknight teaser

UL Monroe +6.5
Oregon -10.5
Virginia +12


Bear Bytes

What is Florida up against?

Dating to 2010, the past 12 ranked teams to pull a home upset and face another ranked team as an underdog the following week are 1-11 SU and 4-8 ATS. The only win came in 2014 with Ole Miss at A&M the week after the Rebels upset Alabama.

Aggies typically don't win these games

Texas A&M is 2-9 since 2000 at Kyle Field as a ranked team vs. a top-10 opponent. Among teams that have played at least four games meeting that criteria, only Tennessee (1-7) has a worse record in that span.

Dogging it

Texas has been an underdog each of the past six years vs. Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry Game and has covered all six games, winning three times outright. OU did cover in the Big 12 Championship Game last season.

Texas vs. Oklahoma in Red River Rivalry Game:

2018, Texas +7.5, Won by 3
2017, Texas +9.5, Lost by 5
2016, Texas +11, Lost by 5
2015, Texas +16.5, Won by 7
2014, Texas +15.5, Lost by 5
2013, Texas +13, Won by 16

Unchartered territory

The only time since 1978 that Florida State has been a 20-point 'dog was in Bobby Bowden's final regular-season game. The Seminoles were +25 at Florida in 2009. FSU lost that game 37-10.

Humbled Huskies?

Washington is 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS in its past seven Pac-12 road games as a favorite. That includes three outright losses as a favorite of at least 12.5 points. The last time Washington went to Tucson, in 2016, the Huskies needed OT to win as 14-point favorites against an Arizona team that finished 3-9.

Tidal wave

The only other time Tulane has been a 30-point favorite over an FBS team came in 1998, when the Green Wave were 37-point favorites over UL Lafayette. Tulane is favored by 34 over Connecticut.

Devil of a time

In its past 10 games as a favorite, Duke is 0-10 ATS, and it lost nine of them straight-up. Going back further, in the Blue Devils' past 17 games as favorites, they are 2-15 ATS with 13 outright losses. That will be tested this week vs. Georgia Tech.

Golden era

Kent State is a 14.5-point favorite vs. Akron. It's the biggest favorite Kent State has been over an FBS team since 2013, when the Golden Flashes were 18-point favorites over Miami (Ohio).

Give a hoot

Since 2015, Temple is 17-5 ATS with 11 outright wins as an underdog. Included in that is a 20-17 win over Maryland earlier this season as a 5.5-point underdog.

U got it?

Utah has lost four of its past six Pac-12 road games in which it was favored. Included in that is a 30-23 loss at USC in September.

Spartans usually bounce back after a loss

Excluding the 2016 3-9 outlier season for Michigan State, in the Spartans' past 11 games immediately following a double-digit loss, they have 10 wins and one loss, by a field goal last season at Nebraska.