<
>

Best bets for New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys

Ethan Miller/Getty Images

Where does the betting value lie in Sunday's prime-time rivalry matchup? Warren Sharp, Preston Johnson and Mike Clay provide their picks to help you place your bets.

Note: All odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of Saturday afternoon.


New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-3)

Total: 42
PickCenter public consensus pick: 69 percent New York

Sharp's take: The Cowboys inexplicably seem incapable of crafting an offense to enhance efficiency. Despite the rhetoric in the offseason about incorporating Ezekiel Elliott into the passing game, Dallas targeted him only twice in the game's first three quarters with just one catch for 1 yard. Dallas did not even cross midfield until the third quarter. The Cowboys allowed five red zone trips for the Carolina offense while traveling to the red zone just once themselves. The Giants defense was stout in Week 1 and is more than capable of keeping the Cowboys offense, without Travis Frederick, in check, so it will be up to Scott Linehan to dial up something new and creative.

The Giants should be in for a much more productive evening than when they squared off against the tough Jaguars defense in Week 1. I expect more receptions from Saquon Barkley and higher efficiency from Eli Manning. Not that this Cowboys defense is a bad one, but the unit allowed the Panthers to average 5.9 yards per play, including a 55 percent success rate on early downs before stiffening up on third down.

Pick: Lean New York +3


Johnson's take: The talk most of the week has been about how inept the Cowboys offense looked in Week 1, but Dallas was extremely fortunate defensively as well to even be within a possession late against Carolina. While I think the Dallas defense was underrated some entering the season, the Panthers had multiple trips in Cowboys territory that resulted in zero points. The Cowboys will be stout in the red zone this season, but that type of success rate isn't sustainable.

The takeaway should be that Dallas looked equally bad on both sides of the football. I made adjustments accordingly, and my numbers still make the Cowboys -4.05 on Sunday night against the Giants. I won't be getting involved at -3, but I do anticipate Jason Garrett will have his team better prepared in the home opener. If this were to dip to -2.5 or lower at some point Sunday, I'll be grabbing the Cowboys.

Pick: Pass unless -2.5 or better on Cowboys.


Clay's prediction: Dallas 25, New York 22

The pick: New York +3